@PUSSYGALORE333
Crazy. Just pick the winner holds up again. I didn’t think this was accurate, I had to ask someone to do a query. Imagine betting the dog SU all these years in the Finals.
SU winners in the NBA Finals are now 57-3-3 ATS the L10 years.
Doris Bourke mentioned Game 3 winners have won the chip 80% of the time.
Futures backers:
Hedge a bit or let it ride…do or die time.
Pacers have been one of my favorite bets off a loss this season. 21-13-2 (62% ATS) and 24-10-2 (71%) to the over. 71% to the over favors their fast pace of play and offensive efficiency. 63-37 at the crib this year and catching points is scary. OKC was the best road team this year at 36-11-0, but I don’t think they’ve done that great covering in the postseason but (need to check that).
Need to think this one over. Locked in OKC but can always go the other way. Curious to see where the line moves and money comes in.
Indy after a loss in playoffs have scored 125-130 points.
71% to the over all year.
62% ATS.
Basically score and win.
OKC is 0-6 ATS on road and lost 3 of those games SU in playoffs.
Game 3s:
Team that won gm2 L10 playoffs finals is 4-8 SU and ATS. All 8 losses by double digits WTF!
Seeds 3 or worse gm3 on: 10-8 SU 12-6 ATS.
Lots of data so far for Indy especially based on postseason. Problem is when it’s all one-sided that never seems to end well. I’ll hit the lab tomorrow for more info.
*Cold hearted fact SU winners also cover the spread in the Finals. ATS should not matter.
* Doris Bourke is 100 percent correct NBA teams that win game 3 wins the ship 80 percent of the time. I was not a big Doris fan in the beginning, but she has definitely improved her x's and o's commentating skills.
*Pacers is high percentage after a loss. One of my "lay low" PODs. I think they only solidified that stat this postseason going 4-0 ATS after a SU loss.
*Pacers score more at home and the Thunder score less on the road while giving up more points on the road. Especially amplified with Timberwolves series. Like I said before both OKC and Indy are special teams in their own way. OKC would have dominated during the 90's and 00's era. But with such emphasis on the 3pt shot, 20 point leads are not safe in the 4th anymore.
Nice digging. BOL Freedo
The 4-0 SU and ATS record postseason after a loss is part of a 9-0 SU, 7-2 ATS (4-0 SU and ATS as a dog) stretch after a loss, dating back to Mar. 11.
@tweets50
@Stew Baker
and every one
Thanks for the data. Enjoy talking hoops about trends, angles, or just opinions on games.
Seems like all the data, talking heads, and the peeps from the betting groups I’m in like Indy. I’ll probably play contrarian and let my bet ride. Only thing positive for OKC I can find so far I listed below. Kind of interesting that few times have teams been favored on the road in the finals. I do think if Indy wins their team total might be worth a look.
Since 2005, road favorites of 3 or more points in the NBA Finals have gone 7-1 SU.
78-65 (+8.22u) Playoffs
Wednesday:
OKC -3.5 (-114) 1x pending
OKC 1H -2.5 (-105) half unit
unofficial play: TJ McConnell 1 3-pointer 25% boost +337.
Analysis:
Lots of data to support Indiana this game, don’t care. I’m bucking the 0-7 on the road ATS trend. At this point I’m all in on the Thunder. Will back them if they lose too. OKC has lead by 12 and 18 at halftime this series. I think there’s even more pressure on Indy playing their first finals home game in 25 years.
bol either way
With the line being set as it is, part and parcel with getting line value on Indy, is that the Pacers will still have the underdog/no respect mentality. That being said, it's a game and anything can happen. That's why money management is so key. Not addressing anyone in particular with this comment, just spouting some general wisdom.
Have to go against you, Mr. Freedo, but I do like the line value you got with your -3 1/2 -114.
I hope Indy wins, not just for the obvious reason of winning my spread and ML, but so I can take +6 1/2 on the next game.
Established in 1995,
#34 & #36 good interesting read mah man 
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