I know exactly what you're talking about and yes, looks like it's scrambled and we're being set up because of people running their mouths. Just post plays, but not the "theories" or else you can best be damn sure those plays will stop hitting....
"u don't know which days vegas is going to mess with the numbers "
Some bookies have the best luck finding their clients
"u don't know which days vegas is going to mess with the numbers "
Some bookies have the best luck finding their clients
pbackers, betting markets are quite efficient ones but not THAT efficient...
This 50/50 thing holds on average, doesn't mean every game is 50/50 ats... closing/opening or moving...
Do you really imply all longterm winning bettors are just some lucky guys who keep making -ev 50/50 bets at odds below even?
pbackers, betting markets are quite efficient ones but not THAT efficient...
This 50/50 thing holds on average, doesn't mean every game is 50/50 ats... closing/opening or moving...
Do you really imply all longterm winning bettors are just some lucky guys who keep making -ev 50/50 bets at odds below even?
Yes I agree here. This isn't what I was talking about. I'm referring to the amount of public money. Yesterday all the 65%to70% of heavily public saturated plays won. Most of them won. The way rage makes his selections it looks like for the most part he fades the public. I don't know for sure but from my observations it looks this way. Sometimes he is on favorites but when he is I've noticed its normally when there is even money on the game. Like when he picks orlando and Chicago and suns. Teams like this.. they are normally like very low amount of public money and over 70% of money is on the other team and he fades it. Makes sense? None of this is validated just my observations
Yes I agree here. This isn't what I was talking about. I'm referring to the amount of public money. Yesterday all the 65%to70% of heavily public saturated plays won. Most of them won. The way rage makes his selections it looks like for the most part he fades the public. I don't know for sure but from my observations it looks this way. Sometimes he is on favorites but when he is I've noticed its normally when there is even money on the game. Like when he picks orlando and Chicago and suns. Teams like this.. they are normally like very low amount of public money and over 70% of money is on the other team and he fades it. Makes sense? None of this is validated just my observations
Again, if you fully understood what I'm talking about you would understand buddy. That did sound silly I'll admit lol but with what I'm referring to it makes sense. Obviously vegas sets the line so they mess with it every day. I'm talking ab the amount of public money on a game and rather or not vegas controls the websites that display the amount of public money on a game
Again, if you fully understood what I'm talking about you would understand buddy. That did sound silly I'll admit lol but with what I'm referring to it makes sense. Obviously vegas sets the line so they mess with it every day. I'm talking ab the amount of public money on a game and rather or not vegas controls the websites that display the amount of public money on a game
You'll be way better off if you never think about the "public", the "money", the "sharps" etc... you can't get any real info on those anyway
You'll be way better off if you never think about the "public", the "money", the "sharps" etc... you can't get any real info on those anyway
Debating what special qualities a successful longterm winning bettor they have over the rest of the public is pointless...maybe 5% (more like 2% or even less though) tops are lifelong winners...the rest just feed the industry enormous wealth.
The winners are not lucky, they simply are great at the art and science of handicapping and understand all the hidden intricacies required to be succeasful.
Debating what special qualities a successful longterm winning bettor they have over the rest of the public is pointless...maybe 5% (more like 2% or even less though) tops are lifelong winners...the rest just feed the industry enormous wealth.
The winners are not lucky, they simply are great at the art and science of handicapping and understand all the hidden intricacies required to be succeasful.
Vegas does not control peoples minds...but the way they sets lines are far more complex than most people will ever grasp, even if they are explained it, it will most likely go way over their heads.
Vegas does not control peoples minds...but the way they sets lines are far more complex than most people will ever grasp, even if they are explained it, it will most likely go way over their heads.
Agree with what you say and it also proves 50/50 doesn't hold for every game... or this 2-5% would be zero
Agree with what you say and it also proves 50/50 doesn't hold for every game... or this 2-5% would be zero
Okc- 10
Miami -1pacers -10
Charlotte +7
You all make valid points but I'm done giving it away ..this idea has worked near 60% for 3 years 2 posted ..gotta just tale the highs with the lows. Vegas took a pounding last night. Absolute pounding. I'm very streaky. Gotta figure out how to stop the 3 or 4 day losing binges and extend the 4 or 5 day winning streaks.
Okc- 10
Miami -1pacers -10
Charlotte +7
You all make valid points but I'm done giving it away ..this idea has worked near 60% for 3 years 2 posted ..gotta just tale the highs with the lows. Vegas took a pounding last night. Absolute pounding. I'm very streaky. Gotta figure out how to stop the 3 or 4 day losing binges and extend the 4 or 5 day winning streaks.
You'll be way better off if you never think about the "public", the "money", the "sharps" etc... you can't get any real info on those anyway
You'll be way better off if you never think about the "public", the "money", the "sharps" etc... you can't get any real info on those anyway
Well stated Packers If you want to win at gambling you have to be a good accountant, gambling is a horrible addiction and like any other horrible addiction , it's so powerful that people don't realize it's Got them and has Owned them. Scary garbage
Well stated Packers If you want to win at gambling you have to be a good accountant, gambling is a horrible addiction and like any other horrible addiction , it's so powerful that people don't realize it's Got them and has Owned them. Scary garbage
Outoforder...if you give 2 people the same cards at poker, one is a professional card player, and the other one just picked up the game 2 weeks ago, and simulate a 6hr period at a random table where both players would have the exact same scenarios come up with the same cards, i can assure you the pro will do better than the rookie...when in fact its all math, understanding of the game, and human psychology...just like Capping.
Sports capping follows the same principle...lets just agree to disagree regarding winning and losing sports bettors, and wish Rage and wveryone else here best of luck.
Outoforder...if you give 2 people the same cards at poker, one is a professional card player, and the other one just picked up the game 2 weeks ago, and simulate a 6hr period at a random table where both players would have the exact same scenarios come up with the same cards, i can assure you the pro will do better than the rookie...when in fact its all math, understanding of the game, and human psychology...just like Capping.
Sports capping follows the same principle...lets just agree to disagree regarding winning and losing sports bettors, and wish Rage and wveryone else here best of luck.
You keep missing my point, but anyways let's stop hijacking someone else's thread, cheers pb
and GL today rage
You keep missing my point, but anyways let's stop hijacking someone else's thread, cheers pb
and GL today rage
im not saying anything. People who know my theory know it. All I can say is the public LOVES favorite and the over anytime I can get a favorite with less than 50% IM ON THEM NO MATTER WHAT THE SPREAD
im not saying anything. People who know my theory know it. All I can say is the public LOVES favorite and the over anytime I can get a favorite with less than 50% IM ON THEM NO MATTER WHAT THE SPREAD
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