Yea...Beckett and the Sox are -205ish right now. Doesn't that seem a bit low? I'd expect CC and the Yanks to be near -250 opening if the O's and Britton were in the Bronx the way Britton has pitched. The Sox are incredible at home and, of course this line is high, but shouldn't it be much higher?
Red Sox -1.5 +100 Risking 1 unit to win 1 unit Oh well...I'll have to take it. After a great start to the season...Britton has been subpar. He's had only 2 "quality starts" in his last 7 games and the O's have only 2 wins in that span. And only 1 of those losses were by 1 run. The O's have been freefalling lately having just 1 game in their last 10 (a 1 run win in Atlanta with Britton on the mound). And only ONE of the losses in their last 10 games have come within 1 run. To add to that stat...of the 49 losses for the Orioles this season...only 8 of them have been by 1 run. So if you expect the O's to lose...they usually don't make too much of a game of it in regards to the runline. And if you're wondering...the Sox are 42-10 in their wins on the runline. And all this nonsense is without even the mention of Josh Beckett(not that we need to).
Yea...Beckett and the Sox are -205ish right now. Doesn't that seem a bit low? I'd expect CC and the Yanks to be near -250 opening if the O's and Britton were in the Bronx the way Britton has pitched. The Sox are incredible at home and, of course this line is high, but shouldn't it be much higher?
Red Sox -1.5 +100 Risking 1 unit to win 1 unit Oh well...I'll have to take it. After a great start to the season...Britton has been subpar. He's had only 2 "quality starts" in his last 7 games and the O's have only 2 wins in that span. And only 1 of those losses were by 1 run. The O's have been freefalling lately having just 1 game in their last 10 (a 1 run win in Atlanta with Britton on the mound). And only ONE of the losses in their last 10 games have come within 1 run. To add to that stat...of the 49 losses for the Orioles this season...only 8 of them have been by 1 run. So if you expect the O's to lose...they usually don't make too much of a game of it in regards to the runline. And if you're wondering...the Sox are 42-10 in their wins on the runline. And all this nonsense is without even the mention of Josh Beckett(not that we need to).
I know the Marlins have been playing better and Vazquez has pitched better of late...but Vazquez -140?
And there is no telling what Lyles is going to do. If you read anything into his numbers...he has been as inconsistant as it comes. He had a great debut, then got beat up at Petco of all places. Then held the Braves in check just to get beat up by the Pirates. Then he holds the Rangers in check IN Arlington......just to get hammered by the Rangers in Houston in his next start. Then he, you guessed it, kept the Red Sox in check despite walking 5 in 5 innings. But one thing has been consistant with him. And that is the Astros have lost all 6 starts that he's made since his debut.
Just throwing some shit your way. I have no interest in this game aside from checking out the outcome when all is said and done.
I know the Marlins have been playing better and Vazquez has pitched better of late...but Vazquez -140?
And there is no telling what Lyles is going to do. If you read anything into his numbers...he has been as inconsistant as it comes. He had a great debut, then got beat up at Petco of all places. Then held the Braves in check just to get beat up by the Pirates. Then he holds the Rangers in check IN Arlington......just to get hammered by the Rangers in Houston in his next start. Then he, you guessed it, kept the Red Sox in check despite walking 5 in 5 innings. But one thing has been consistant with him. And that is the Astros have lost all 6 starts that he's made since his debut.
Just throwing some shit your way. I have no interest in this game aside from checking out the outcome when all is said and done.
Sparky....I was caught off guard by the low -205 ish...not trying to sound the fool as you mentioned w/ the -205...but darn this almost seems as free money....w/Beckett on the bump ats the O's.
Sparky....I was caught off guard by the low -205 ish...not trying to sound the fool as you mentioned w/ the -205...but darn this almost seems as free money....w/Beckett on the bump ats the O's.
The Braves have the best record in baseball since June 19th, which is 14-3. But one of those losses came with Beachy on the mound and none of those wins came against the Phillies. Beachy hasn't had success against the Phillies this season while Halladay has that sick 18-3 stat against NL East opponents while the Phillies are 19-3 in games he's started against NL East opponents. The Phillies have also never lost a start made by Doc against an NL East opponent at Citizens Bank Park.
Oh yea...and the Phillies have won Doc's last 9 starts overall.
Doc also lost the last start he made against the Braves which should give him some incentive here. And having thrown only 110 pitches in his last start (yes...110 pitches requires an "only" label in front of it for this Doctor), he should be good for the long haul especially since the All-Star break is upon us.
The Braves have the best record in baseball since June 19th, which is 14-3. But one of those losses came with Beachy on the mound and none of those wins came against the Phillies. Beachy hasn't had success against the Phillies this season while Halladay has that sick 18-3 stat against NL East opponents while the Phillies are 19-3 in games he's started against NL East opponents. The Phillies have also never lost a start made by Doc against an NL East opponent at Citizens Bank Park.
Oh yea...and the Phillies have won Doc's last 9 starts overall.
Doc also lost the last start he made against the Braves which should give him some incentive here. And having thrown only 110 pitches in his last start (yes...110 pitches requires an "only" label in front of it for this Doctor), he should be good for the long haul especially since the All-Star break is upon us.
Sparky....I was caught off guard by the low -205 ish...not trying to sound the fool as you mentioned w/ the -205...but darn this almost seems as free money....w/Beckett on the bump ats the O's.
Sparky....I was caught off guard by the low -205 ish...not trying to sound the fool as you mentioned w/ the -205...but darn this almost seems as free money....w/Beckett on the bump ats the O's.
Chad Billingsley's home ERA is 2.81. And that's with a game where he gave up 7 runs. He faces Latos who seems to be average every time out. And sometimes...average isn't good enough. He has a 5.09 ERA over his past 3 starts while giving up 21 hits in 17.2 innings. Along with the nice home ERA...Billingsley has also pitched very well lately overall. He's racked up a 1.86 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP in 19.1 innings. The Padres have the bullpen advantage here...but it's like clockwork that Latos is gone after the 6th. Only twice has he gotten an out in the 7th inning this season. One time he got only 1 out in the 7th and another time he went 8. And it's no surprise that his 8 inning effort came at Petco. He has a 3.61 ERA at home with a 5.09 ERA on the road. Total opposites...but Latos is still getting respect because of last year's efforts. He's been getting respectful lines all season.
In Latos' 7 road starts this season...he's given up 16 runs in the first 5 innings. In 8 home starts...Billingsley has given up 14 earned runs in the first 5 innings. However...7 of those runs came in 1 game while he shut out 3 teams and allowed only 1 run in 2 different games. Latos seemed to give up 3 on a regular basis.
So since the bullpen advantage goes to the Padres in a BIG way (2.83 ERA for the Padres as opposed to a 4.39 ERA for the Dodgers), and I think the bullpen may be able to keep the Padres in the game...I'll take the Dodgers for the first half when the line comes out.
Chad Billingsley's home ERA is 2.81. And that's with a game where he gave up 7 runs. He faces Latos who seems to be average every time out. And sometimes...average isn't good enough. He has a 5.09 ERA over his past 3 starts while giving up 21 hits in 17.2 innings. Along with the nice home ERA...Billingsley has also pitched very well lately overall. He's racked up a 1.86 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP in 19.1 innings. The Padres have the bullpen advantage here...but it's like clockwork that Latos is gone after the 6th. Only twice has he gotten an out in the 7th inning this season. One time he got only 1 out in the 7th and another time he went 8. And it's no surprise that his 8 inning effort came at Petco. He has a 3.61 ERA at home with a 5.09 ERA on the road. Total opposites...but Latos is still getting respect because of last year's efforts. He's been getting respectful lines all season.
In Latos' 7 road starts this season...he's given up 16 runs in the first 5 innings. In 8 home starts...Billingsley has given up 14 earned runs in the first 5 innings. However...7 of those runs came in 1 game while he shut out 3 teams and allowed only 1 run in 2 different games. Latos seemed to give up 3 on a regular basis.
So since the bullpen advantage goes to the Padres in a BIG way (2.83 ERA for the Padres as opposed to a 4.39 ERA for the Dodgers), and I think the bullpen may be able to keep the Padres in the game...I'll take the Dodgers for the first half when the line comes out.
Chad Billingsley's home ERA is 2.81. And that's with a game where he gave up 7 runs. He faces Latos who seems to be average every time out. And sometimes...average isn't good enough. He has a 5.09 ERA over his past 3 starts while giving up 21 hits in 17.2 innings. Along with the nice home ERA...Billingsley has also pitched very well lately overall. He's racked up a 1.86 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP in 19.1 innings. The Padres have the bullpen advantage here...but it's like clockwork that Latos is gone after the 6th. Only twice has he gotten an out in the 7th inning this season. One time he got only 1 out in the 7th and another time he went 8. And it's no surprise that his 8 inning effort came at Petco. He has a 3.61 ERA at home with a 5.09 ERA on the road. Total opposites...but Latos is still getting respect because of last year's efforts. He's been getting respectful lines all season.
In Latos' 7 road starts this season...he's given up 16 runs in the first 5 innings. In 8 home starts...Billingsley has given up 14 earned runs in the first 5 innings. However...7 of those runs came in 1 game while he shut out 3 teams and allowed only 1 run in 2 different games. Latos seemed to give up 3 on a regular basis.
So since the bullpen advantage goes to the Padres in a BIG way (2.83 ERA for the Padres as opposed to a 4.39 ERA for the Dodgers), and I think the bullpen may be able to keep the Padres in the game...I'll take the Dodgers for the first half when the line comes out.
Dodgers -120 (1st 5 innings) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
Chad Billingsley's home ERA is 2.81. And that's with a game where he gave up 7 runs. He faces Latos who seems to be average every time out. And sometimes...average isn't good enough. He has a 5.09 ERA over his past 3 starts while giving up 21 hits in 17.2 innings. Along with the nice home ERA...Billingsley has also pitched very well lately overall. He's racked up a 1.86 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP in 19.1 innings. The Padres have the bullpen advantage here...but it's like clockwork that Latos is gone after the 6th. Only twice has he gotten an out in the 7th inning this season. One time he got only 1 out in the 7th and another time he went 8. And it's no surprise that his 8 inning effort came at Petco. He has a 3.61 ERA at home with a 5.09 ERA on the road. Total opposites...but Latos is still getting respect because of last year's efforts. He's been getting respectful lines all season.
In Latos' 7 road starts this season...he's given up 16 runs in the first 5 innings. In 8 home starts...Billingsley has given up 14 earned runs in the first 5 innings. However...7 of those runs came in 1 game while he shut out 3 teams and allowed only 1 run in 2 different games. Latos seemed to give up 3 on a regular basis.
So since the bullpen advantage goes to the Padres in a BIG way (2.83 ERA for the Padres as opposed to a 4.39 ERA for the Dodgers), and I think the bullpen may be able to keep the Padres in the game...I'll take the Dodgers for the first half when the line comes out.
Dodgers -120 (1st 5 innings) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
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