Anderson is scorching vs this Angels lineup with only one solo HR given up and a .152 BA vs....all in 66 ABs....thats something! Conversely, Skaggs gives up a .302 avg to Oak and I don't trust a pitcher to have 4 great games in a row when they are avg anyway...A'S hit lefties well!
LAD -1.5 2x
Dodgers sure do light up Gray almost every time but you can't say the same for Kershaw vs. Rockies
BOL
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
Anderson is scorching vs this Angels lineup with only one solo HR given up and a .152 BA vs....all in 66 ABs....thats something! Conversely, Skaggs gives up a .302 avg to Oak and I don't trust a pitcher to have 4 great games in a row when they are avg anyway...A'S hit lefties well!
LAD -1.5 2x
Dodgers sure do light up Gray almost every time but you can't say the same for Kershaw vs. Rockies
Sanchez has been absolutely brutal and I will fade him until he shows 6 innings of focus. Last game he was scoreless over 3-4 innings and then lost focus....again!
Texas 1.5 Units to win 2x (high ML)
Fading Snell is earning as well. Chavez has been lights out
CWS 2x
Giolito is impressive and this Triple AAA pitcher is not....fading these AAA pitchers has been profitable
Cards U8 1x
Mikolas is controlling this Padre lineup and Luchesi is good at home and Day games
Angels 5x to win 4x (-140)
Heaney has been dominant vs this A's lineup and Bassitt get hammered especially from Trout/Pujols/ Calhoun...easy fade!
BOL....pressing today a little
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
Sanchez has been absolutely brutal and I will fade him until he shows 6 innings of focus. Last game he was scoreless over 3-4 innings and then lost focus....again!
Texas 1.5 Units to win 2x (high ML)
Fading Snell is earning as well. Chavez has been lights out
CWS 2x
Giolito is impressive and this Triple AAA pitcher is not....fading these AAA pitchers has been profitable
Cards U8 1x
Mikolas is controlling this Padre lineup and Luchesi is good at home and Day games
Angels 5x to win 4x (-140)
Heaney has been dominant vs this A's lineup and Bassitt get hammered especially from Trout/Pujols/ Calhoun...easy fade!
I will keep fading Richard and Sanchez until I see a different trend. Jays weakness is vs rightie pitching so I like this matchup even more
Texas -140 5x to earn +4 Units
Angels are not hitting and their pitches are pressing as a result trying to be too perfect. I have seen many teams in a funk like this and you might as well fade them when they face a superior pitcher and hitting team
Padres -1.5 2x
Giants are brutal vs a leftie and now have to face a hot lefty pitching prospect that they know little about.....Samardje is leaking!
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
I will keep fading Richard and Sanchez until I see a different trend. Jays weakness is vs rightie pitching so I like this matchup even more
Texas -140 5x to earn +4 Units
Angels are not hitting and their pitches are pressing as a result trying to be too perfect. I have seen many teams in a funk like this and you might as well fade them when they face a superior pitcher and hitting team
Padres -1.5 2x
Giants are brutal vs a leftie and now have to face a hot lefty pitching prospect that they know little about.....Samardje is leaking!
Ugh.....O Units.....wtf with the Yanks? Jetlag IS worse coming west from overseas so I should have considered that but it sure did not affect the Red Sox!
Logical Play of the Day next is 8 Units ....yikes!
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
Ugh.....O Units.....wtf with the Yanks? Jetlag IS worse coming west from overseas so I should have considered that but it sure did not affect the Red Sox!
Logical Play of the Day next is 8 Units ....yikes!
Wednesday: Logical Play of the Day Nationals -1.5 8x
Strasburg has allowed only 1HR and 8 RBIs in 135 ABs vs this Marlins lineup and a .215 BA, while Alacantra has given up .369 BA/ 5 HRs and 18 RBIs in only 65 ABs.......
This is a pure Sabremetrics play and I like it a lot!
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
Wednesday: Logical Play of the Day Nationals -1.5 8x
Strasburg has allowed only 1HR and 8 RBIs in 135 ABs vs this Marlins lineup and a .215 BA, while Alacantra has given up .369 BA/ 5 HRs and 18 RBIs in only 65 ABs.......
This is a pure Sabremetrics play and I like it a lot!
Sale can get hit by this Jays lineup....they hit decent vs him and love lefties, also, its a super muggy/warm day here and the ball tends to carry/bounce quicker and more runs are scored when the dome is open on days like this.....and this Jays Triple AAA callup was a pinata down in Buffalo, what chance does he have vs one of the best hitting lineups in baseball? Red Sox should score 8-10 runs themselves!
Good value....
Parlay.....0.5 to win +3 Units.....
Baltimore win and KC win
BOL
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
Sale can get hit by this Jays lineup....they hit decent vs him and love lefties, also, its a super muggy/warm day here and the ball tends to carry/bounce quicker and more runs are scored when the dome is open on days like this.....and this Jays Triple AAA callup was a pinata down in Buffalo, what chance does he have vs one of the best hitting lineups in baseball? Red Sox should score 8-10 runs themselves!
Thanks Wise! I seem to do better when I live dangerously and my head/gut and sabermetrics all line up. Look at data for today. Do you like anything
I got a late start this morning . I'm still looking . I typically do not bet on games this close to the All star break. If I see something, I'll pass it on. Happy 4th , Buddy.
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
Thanks Wise! I seem to do better when I live dangerously and my head/gut and sabermetrics all line up. Look at data for today. Do you like anything
I got a late start this morning . I'm still looking . I typically do not bet on games this close to the All star break. If I see something, I'll pass it on. Happy 4th , Buddy.
Castillo's nemesis are the Brewers who hit him well but now you have a biased homer ump (12-3 for home team). Reds hit Woodruff well and I am going to play the ump and the fact that Castillo is stellar during the day
Pirates Under 9.5 1x
Quintana may have figured out his mechanics evidenced by his last outing with no walks and a shutout....Pirates only hit him to a .208 BA and vs Lyles, Cubs not hitting right now and only hit him for a .238 BA.....playing the CUBS as well on the Quintana angle. We have a UNDER ump today as well.
Cubs 1x
Logical Play of the Day:Braves Under 10.5 2x
Soroka back in form, Eflin keeps it in the park usually and decent ERA and under ump....total is too high. 5-3/7-3 at most type of game
Twins 3x
Berrios has held Oakland in check and this Anderson for the A's seems like a gascan. I like the short price here a lot going with a great road team.
Jays 1x
Expect a heated game and I predict a benchclearing brawl because Hector will hit a Jay and the Sox want to get at Stroman...but I would't want to fight Stroman....pound for pound one of the strongest and most athletic dudes in the majors! Stroman eats stuff up like this and will be zoned in to defeat the mouthy Red Sox bench. Should be fun to watch!
BOL
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
Castillo's nemesis are the Brewers who hit him well but now you have a biased homer ump (12-3 for home team). Reds hit Woodruff well and I am going to play the ump and the fact that Castillo is stellar during the day
Pirates Under 9.5 1x
Quintana may have figured out his mechanics evidenced by his last outing with no walks and a shutout....Pirates only hit him to a .208 BA and vs Lyles, Cubs not hitting right now and only hit him for a .238 BA.....playing the CUBS as well on the Quintana angle. We have a UNDER ump today as well.
Cubs 1x
Logical Play of the Day:Braves Under 10.5 2x
Soroka back in form, Eflin keeps it in the park usually and decent ERA and under ump....total is too high. 5-3/7-3 at most type of game
Twins 3x
Berrios has held Oakland in check and this Anderson for the A's seems like a gascan. I like the short price here a lot going with a great road team.
Jays 1x
Expect a heated game and I predict a benchclearing brawl because Hector will hit a Jay and the Sox want to get at Stroman...but I would't want to fight Stroman....pound for pound one of the strongest and most athletic dudes in the majors! Stroman eats stuff up like this and will be zoned in to defeat the mouthy Red Sox bench. Should be fun to watch!
I got a late start this morning . I'm still looking . I typically do not bet on games this close to the All star break. If I see something, I'll pass it on. Happy 4th , Buddy.
Happy Freedom day everyone! Thanks Wiseguy.....have a happy and safe one.
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
I got a late start this morning . I'm still looking . I typically do not bet on games this close to the All star break. If I see something, I'll pass it on. Happy 4th , Buddy.
Happy Freedom day everyone! Thanks Wiseguy.....have a happy and safe one.
How can the worst team in baseball be logical? Bundy is a decent pitcher and has success on this mound over the years and if you wish to cool off the Jays hitting/HRs from this loosey goosey group, send out a crafty right hander who can pitch the fastball high or low after junk....they chase. Sanchez has become a PINATA with no end in sight. He is brutal at home. He has been hit for a .320 avg from this lineup.
Yankees Under 8.5 2x
Hotshot rookie who has pedigree to shutdown teams and Yankees not hitting since coming back from England....score was 3-3 only going to extras last night.....Tanaka has a mastery over TB to the tune of under 1.50 ERA since 2017
Miami +1.5 2x
This Yakamoto is something. Teheran is slipping into his mid season funk so either way, if he doesn't, I feel I still should be in a tight ballgame.....been watching the Marlins play feisty in the last month and I am impressed.
Time to play the wily old man flame thrower parlay......
Dodgers ml with Astros ml 4x
Kershaw is 22-4 vs this pukey SD hitting lineup lately and Lauer does not inspire any confidence going against a team on a roll and 37-9 at home......now add Verlander who holds the Angels to a .178 BA vs and is in form against a team that does not hit well vs and might be without Pujols and Upton....with LaStella already out. Trout cannot be the saviour because he is not good vs Verlander!
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
How can the worst team in baseball be logical? Bundy is a decent pitcher and has success on this mound over the years and if you wish to cool off the Jays hitting/HRs from this loosey goosey group, send out a crafty right hander who can pitch the fastball high or low after junk....they chase. Sanchez has become a PINATA with no end in sight. He is brutal at home. He has been hit for a .320 avg from this lineup.
Yankees Under 8.5 2x
Hotshot rookie who has pedigree to shutdown teams and Yankees not hitting since coming back from England....score was 3-3 only going to extras last night.....Tanaka has a mastery over TB to the tune of under 1.50 ERA since 2017
Miami +1.5 2x
This Yakamoto is something. Teheran is slipping into his mid season funk so either way, if he doesn't, I feel I still should be in a tight ballgame.....been watching the Marlins play feisty in the last month and I am impressed.
Time to play the wily old man flame thrower parlay......
Dodgers ml with Astros ml 4x
Kershaw is 22-4 vs this pukey SD hitting lineup lately and Lauer does not inspire any confidence going against a team on a roll and 37-9 at home......now add Verlander who holds the Angels to a .178 BA vs and is in form against a team that does not hit well vs and might be without Pujols and Upton....with LaStella already out. Trout cannot be the saviour because he is not good vs Verlander!
Whoops....forgot to switch my Logical Play of the Day.....
Now playing:
Oakland -1.5 4x
Brett Anderson is excellent in this situation, the A's are firing on all cyclinders offensively and hit lefties real well.....Sea hitters and the team are in a funk with a pitcher who has the tendency to give up big innings......not a good look for Sea tonight.
I have lowered my confidence with Orioles as I read Pete Walker the pitching coach had a friendly suggestion and advice for Sanchez to let the catcher call the game and you are probably going to see a lot more fastballs tonight up and down in the zone and away.....so I am lowering Baltimore win at 2x
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
Whoops....forgot to switch my Logical Play of the Day.....
Now playing:
Oakland -1.5 4x
Brett Anderson is excellent in this situation, the A's are firing on all cyclinders offensively and hit lefties real well.....Sea hitters and the team are in a funk with a pitcher who has the tendency to give up big innings......not a good look for Sea tonight.
I have lowered my confidence with Orioles as I read Pete Walker the pitching coach had a friendly suggestion and advice for Sanchez to let the catcher call the game and you are probably going to see a lot more fastballs tonight up and down in the zone and away.....so I am lowering Baltimore win at 2x
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