I got great news for all you. If you found this thread you just found a literal gold mine.

@hyvong

 Ra cho khác choi 

jimmy is a good guy.  You on the other hand are out of line.  Stay out of his thread 

6-10-2025

Angels -155

6-10-2055

Angels -155

Giants -220

For our official June 10 MLB pick, we're going with the San Francisco Giants moneyline vs. the Colorado Rockies. We don’t normally like laying heavy juice, but this is one of those rare times the model lit it up. The current line of –225 implies a 69% win probability, but our internal breakdown — factoring in pitching, bullpen, offense, team trends, and recent form — puts the Giants’ true win rate closer to 73%. That gives us a solid +4% edge over the market.

Pitching Matchup:
Kyle Harrison gets the start for San Francisco. Through 18.2 innings in 2025, he’s posted a 4.34 ERA and 1.29 WHIP, with 19 strikeouts and just 7 walks (9.1 K/9, 2.3 BB/9). He’s been reliable and shows sharp command, especially against weaker lineups. Colorado counters with Carson Palmquist, who has been getting crushed — 8.50 ERA, 1.83 WHIP, 10 walks in 18 innings, and an unsightly 5.6 BB/9 rate. This is a massive starting pitcher mismatch.

Team Trends & Form:
The Rockies are a disastrous 6–25 at home — the worst home record in baseball. They’ve dropped 8 of their last 10 and have shown no ability to generate consistent offense or prevent damage late. The Giants come in riding a 5-game win streak, are 38–28 overall, and have been strong even on the road (16–17) considering the ballparks and travel.

Bullpen & Defense:
San Francisco’s bullpen is top-tier — ERA around 3.04 and WHIP near 1.19. Colorado’s pen ranks bottom-five in both ERA (over 5.50) and WHIP (~1.57), and they’ve repeatedly imploded in the late innings. The Rockies also rank near the bottom in defensive efficiency, making even routine outs a liability.

Offensive Matchup:
The Giants' team slash line is .229/.305/.367 — not elite, but they’re getting it done. Heliot Ramos is batting .294 with a .360 OBP and .484 slug. Matt Chapman has 12 home runs. Wilmer Flores leads the team with 49 RBI. Meanwhile, Colorado’s offense is dead on arrival: .219 AVG, .282 OBP, 55 total home runs. Hunter Goodman is their only consistent threat.

Model Projection vs Market:
The market implies 69%. We project the Giants closer to 73% to win, which gives us an estimated +4% edge. That might sound small, but over the long run, these are the kinds of advantages sharp bettors live for — especially in spots with total mismatch across the board.

Final Thoughts:
This is a classic “don’t overthink it” situation. We’ve got the better starter, better bullpen, better bats, a red-hot team, and a Rockies squad that’s 6–25 at home with no momentum. The price isn’t fun, but the edge is real.

Final pick: San Francisco Giants ML (–225)

I included the write up to justify laying juice at -225 as I know how awful that looks. BOL to all whatever you decide.

wow what a win by the Gigantes

down 5-2 and scored 4 in the 9th

Angels late game win too. LFG

Cashed a massive parlay

Posted by JimmyGape  6-10-2055       Angels -155    Giants -220      laa was good for me but giants gave me a sore ass ....how ya doing jimmygape   

Doing great I threw massive on a 2 teamer SF and Angels

Both teams left for dead but pulled it out

6-11-2025

Angels -130

@JimmyGape

6-13-2025

Mets -159

@JimmyGape    how is the record doing?  last 10  or 15     good luck rest the way

17-6 or 17-7 since adding the filter, not exactly sure but one of those is correct

Whats next

Mets -159 so far

more coming

6-13-2025

Mets -159 so far

Royals -152

Needs more filters.

@BrazenBurrow

 Needs trash can!!!

@Ilost

 Talking about TRASH CAN....When was the last time you posted a WINNER? I will wait.......................