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All Forums | MLB Betting

Bubba's $$$$ Thread WEDNESDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 04.13.16

«First Previous 12
rybiggs
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rybiggs
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Posted: Apr. 13, 2016 - 4:21 PM ET #26

wow barca came out flat as hell, and my write up was spot on for atletico with them pressing and pressing barcelona in the first half unfortunately they pressed barca so hard they couldnt even get it out of their own end, praying for a goal here from barca theyre getting opportunities just cant capitalize
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wow barca came out flat as hell, and my write up was spot on for atletico with them pressing and pressing barcelona in the first half unfortunately they pressed barca so hard they couldnt even get it out of their own end, praying for a goal here from barca theyre getting opportunities just cant capitalize
 
nfl_brosuf
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Posted: Apr. 13, 2016 - 4:25 PM ET #27

Quote Originally Posted by here2contribute:

brosuf, all kinds of posts on covers with a very simple formula that explains how someone can do a -1 even if there online book doesn't take it.  Heck, I do -1's in Vegas.  Bubbaski's call, but there should be no issues with you playing a -1 in my humble opinion.  I personally posted two -1's already.


I hope so. 

MLB and NHL to me is the best sport to play the -1

If win by 2, you win with a better odds
Since mlb and nhl so happens to end games with 1 score victory like in OT, it then becomes a push for you.

Only way to lose is an upset but if you think about it, taking a team to win SU and losing to an upset is the same thing.  Only advantage is if a game wins by 1, you SU betters will win small money while I push. 

So we both can lose on an upset
if win by 1, you win small and i push
if win by 2, you win small and I win larger

-1 sounds good to me. 
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Quote Originally Posted by here2contribute:

brosuf, all kinds of posts on covers with a very simple formula that explains how someone can do a -1 even if there online book doesn't take it.  Heck, I do -1's in Vegas.  Bubbaski's call, but there should be no issues with you playing a -1 in my humble opinion.  I personally posted two -1's already.


I hope so. 

MLB and NHL to me is the best sport to play the -1

If win by 2, you win with a better odds
Since mlb and nhl so happens to end games with 1 score victory like in OT, it then becomes a push for you.

Only way to lose is an upset but if you think about it, taking a team to win SU and losing to an upset is the same thing.  Only advantage is if a game wins by 1, you SU betters will win small money while I push. 

So we both can lose on an upset
if win by 1, you win small and i push
if win by 2, you win small and I win larger

-1 sounds good to me. 
 
HoopsStar
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Posted: Apr. 13, 2016 - 4:40 PM ET #28

Quote Originally Posted by rybiggs:

wow barca came out flat as hell, and my write up was spot on for atletico with them pressing and pressing barcelona in the first half unfortunately they pressed barca so hard they couldnt even get it out of their own end, praying for a goal here from barca theyre getting opportunities just cant capitalize

I took Barc also..can't believe they came out that flat..
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Quote Originally Posted by rybiggs:

wow barca came out flat as hell, and my write up was spot on for atletico with them pressing and pressing barcelona in the first half unfortunately they pressed barca so hard they couldnt even get it out of their own end, praying for a goal here from barca theyre getting opportunities just cant capitalize

I took Barc also..can't believe they came out that flat..
 
rybiggs
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Posted: Apr. 13, 2016 - 5:34 PM ET #29

Quote Originally Posted by HoopsStar:


I took Barc also..can't believe they came out that flat..

I knew in the first 20 mins it was a loss, you could just tell how atletico came out that barca was just trying to hold on to the aggregate lead... smh i donno why teams in soccer think you can let a team shoot and shoot and shoot on their goalie like the net isnt huge...
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Quote Originally Posted by HoopsStar:


I took Barc also..can't believe they came out that flat..

I knew in the first 20 mins it was a loss, you could just tell how atletico came out that barca was just trying to hold on to the aggregate lead... smh i donno why teams in soccer think you can let a team shoot and shoot and shoot on their goalie like the net isnt huge...
 
bshoe43
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Posted: Apr. 13, 2016 - 5:40 PM ET #30

[Quote: Originally Posted by here2contribute] brosuf, all kinds of posts on covers with a very simple formula that explains how someone can do a -1 even if there online book doesn't take it.  Heck, I do -1's in Vegas.  Bubbaski's call, but there should be no issues with you playing a -1 in my humble opinion.  I personally posted two -1's already.
hey h2c, if/when you get a chance could you explain how to get the -1? appreciate it
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[Quote: Originally Posted by here2contribute] brosuf, all kinds of posts on covers with a very simple formula that explains how someone can do a -1 even if there online book doesn't take it.  Heck, I do -1's in Vegas.  Bubbaski's call, but there should be no issues with you playing a -1 in my humble opinion.  I personally posted two -1's already.
hey h2c, if/when you get a chance could you explain how to get the -1? appreciate it
 
nfl_brosuf
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Posted: Apr. 13, 2016 - 5:44 PM ET #31

Quote Originally Posted by bshoe43:

Quote Originally Posted by here2contribute:

brosuf, all kinds of posts on covers with a very simple formula that explains how someone can do a -1 even if there online book doesn't take it.  Heck, I do -1's in Vegas.  Bubbaski's call, but there should be no issues with you playing a -1 in my humble opinion.  I personally posted two -1's already.
hey h2c, if/when you get a chance could you explain how to get the -1? appreciate it


depending on bookie.

I have 5dimes and I get -1 on mlb and nhl

however, 5dimes been raping people doing deposits.  They charges me extra $3.xx for any $100 deposit and they label it as an exchange rate.  I'm like WTF? 
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Quote Originally Posted by bshoe43:

Quote Originally Posted by here2contribute:

brosuf, all kinds of posts on covers with a very simple formula that explains how someone can do a -1 even if there online book doesn't take it.  Heck, I do -1's in Vegas.  Bubbaski's call, but there should be no issues with you playing a -1 in my humble opinion.  I personally posted two -1's already.
hey h2c, if/when you get a chance could you explain how to get the -1? appreciate it


depending on bookie.

I have 5dimes and I get -1 on mlb and nhl

however, 5dimes been raping people doing deposits.  They charges me extra $3.xx for any $100 deposit and they label it as an exchange rate.  I'm like WTF? 
 
NicMittens
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Posted: Apr. 13, 2016 - 5:49 PM ET #32

$$$$$$ Utah -4.5$$$$$

Takin the Vegas angle on this one .Kobe Bryants last game , at home playing a against a Utah team that hasn't been playing great . Everyone is on the Lakers easy money for Vegas because Utah is the better team , Utah players know this game will be televised and will give maximum effort . Bubba give me the Jazz -4.5
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$$$$$$ Utah -4.5$$$$$

Takin the Vegas angle on this one .Kobe Bryants last game , at home playing a against a Utah team that hasn't been playing great . Everyone is on the Lakers easy money for Vegas because Utah is the better team , Utah players know this game will be televised and will give maximum effort . Bubba give me the Jazz -4.5
 
bshoe43
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Posted: Apr. 13, 2016 - 5:52 PM ET #33

[Quote: Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf]

depending on bookie.

I have 5dimes and I get -1 on mlb and nhl

however, 5dimes been raping people doing deposits.  They charges me extra $3.xx for any $100 deposit and they label it as an exchange rate.  I'm like WTF? 

f**** that online nonsense. i've got a good local. just not sure how to manipulate the lines the way i've seen discussed
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[Quote: Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf]

depending on bookie.

I have 5dimes and I get -1 on mlb and nhl

however, 5dimes been raping people doing deposits.  They charges me extra $3.xx for any $100 deposit and they label it as an exchange rate.  I'm like WTF? 

f**** that online nonsense. i've got a good local. just not sure how to manipulate the lines the way i've seen discussed
 
lakerz
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Posted: Apr. 13, 2016 - 7:43 PM ET #34

FWIW, here are my NBA leans

Houston -16 : huge line but Sacramento absolutely positively does not want to even come close to winning this game.  If they do win, they likely lose their top 10 protected draft pick.  They are ensuring the tank is in by sitting all of their starters plus a few of their more capable bench guys.  I know these 'all bench' teams have been playing quite well lately.  But the coach George Karl is going to be fired and team just could care less about this one.  Houston is highly motivated as a win gets them in the playoffs as an 8 seed.  They smoked Minny on the road two days ago, and I think they will play with the same mindset today. 

Miami Heat ML and +5 : Miami is playing for a 3 seed but could fall all the way to 6 seed I believe with a loss.  Boston playing for 4 seed I believe.  Just a hunch, I don't see Boston caring as much about being a 4, 5, 6 seed nearly as much as Miami holding onto the 3 seed.  Since it is decently likely that Atlanta will beat Washington and Charlotte will win, if Miami loses today it will be a disaster. 

Lakers ML and +4.5 : Utah is done, stick a fork in 'em.  Same can be said of Lakers obviously, but for one game they will actually try and play hard for a change.  NBA wants to see Kobe sent off the right way.  Utah should be quite deflated, as I expect their last remaining playoff hope to be utterly dashed as Houston should be destroying Sacramento by the time the Utah game tips off.  With a Houston win, Utah has nothing to play for.  They were quite deflated in losing to Dallas on Monday and losing their center to an ankle injury.  A properly motivated Utah team could still kick the Laker behinds six way to Sunday, but I just do *not* think Utah will be in that right mindset.

Clippers ML and +5.5 : Clippers are sitting all of their starters and Jamal Crawford for this last game against the Suns.  Clippers bench though has played quite well with Austin Rivers and Cole Aldrich leading the way.  I had a feeling the Suns line against the Kings was suspect given their lack of talent on that roster.  Looking at the two teams, seemed the Kings bench still had more talent than the Suns team.  Again, today it seems Clippers bench has more talent than Suns team.  It should be mentioned thought that Archie Goodwin is playing tonight.  Even with him and Devin Booker though, I do not think the Suns have enough firepower to take down a surging Clippers team that wants to keep the positive momentum going heading into the playoffs.

Minnesota -10 : Last home game vs New Orleans.  Minny was playing hard to end the year but got blasted by a highly motivated Houston squad on Monday.  In their last game, I see them still playing hard and trying to get one last win to end the year.  New Orleans also is playing hard as their whole roster at this point is D-league guys trying to catch a scout's interest for next season contract.  Unfortunately for New Orleans, even their D-league guys are getting hurt.  One has to laugh at this point how many injuries New Orleans has had.  This is my least favorite pick out of the bunch, as I never like to bet on TWolves giving up so many points.  But this one time, I will roll the dice

I cannot make any of these picks $$ plays though, as there is just too much randomness in last day of NBA. 
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FWIW, here are my NBA leans

Houston -16 : huge line but Sacramento absolutely positively does not want to even come close to winning this game.  If they do win, they likely lose their top 10 protected draft pick.  They are ensuring the tank is in by sitting all of their starters plus a few of their more capable bench guys.  I know these 'all bench' teams have been playing quite well lately.  But the coach George Karl is going to be fired and team just could care less about this one.  Houston is highly motivated as a win gets them in the playoffs as an 8 seed.  They smoked Minny on the road two days ago, and I think they will play with the same mindset today. 

Miami Heat ML and +5 : Miami is playing for a 3 seed but could fall all the way to 6 seed I believe with a loss.  Boston playing for 4 seed I believe.  Just a hunch, I don't see Boston caring as much about being a 4, 5, 6 seed nearly as much as Miami holding onto the 3 seed.  Since it is decently likely that Atlanta will beat Washington and Charlotte will win, if Miami loses today it will be a disaster. 

Lakers ML and +4.5 : Utah is done, stick a fork in 'em.  Same can be said of Lakers obviously, but for one game they will actually try and play hard for a change.  NBA wants to see Kobe sent off the right way.  Utah should be quite deflated, as I expect their last remaining playoff hope to be utterly dashed as Houston should be destroying Sacramento by the time the Utah game tips off.  With a Houston win, Utah has nothing to play for.  They were quite deflated in losing to Dallas on Monday and losing their center to an ankle injury.  A properly motivated Utah team could still kick the Laker behinds six way to Sunday, but I just do *not* think Utah will be in that right mindset.

Clippers ML and +5.5 : Clippers are sitting all of their starters and Jamal Crawford for this last game against the Suns.  Clippers bench though has played quite well with Austin Rivers and Cole Aldrich leading the way.  I had a feeling the Suns line against the Kings was suspect given their lack of talent on that roster.  Looking at the two teams, seemed the Kings bench still had more talent than the Suns team.  Again, today it seems Clippers bench has more talent than Suns team.  It should be mentioned thought that Archie Goodwin is playing tonight.  Even with him and Devin Booker though, I do not think the Suns have enough firepower to take down a surging Clippers team that wants to keep the positive momentum going heading into the playoffs.

Minnesota -10 : Last home game vs New Orleans.  Minny was playing hard to end the year but got blasted by a highly motivated Houston squad on Monday.  In their last game, I see them still playing hard and trying to get one last win to end the year.  New Orleans also is playing hard as their whole roster at this point is D-league guys trying to catch a scout's interest for next season contract.  Unfortunately for New Orleans, even their D-league guys are getting hurt.  One has to laugh at this point how many injuries New Orleans has had.  This is my least favorite pick out of the bunch, as I never like to bet on TWolves giving up so many points.  But this one time, I will roll the dice

I cannot make any of these picks $$ plays though, as there is just too much randomness in last day of NBA. 
 
PimpNation
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Posted: Apr. 13, 2016 - 8:00 PM ET #35

$$$$ Colorado Over 11.5  I whiffed on this last night (non $$$$) play but did you see my boy have a huge night...Pence will continue to hit in Coors Field (Is it still called that?).  Look the Giants are Red Hot and although I do not look at stats until 2-3 weeks into the season, I don't need stats to know the Giants can flat out hit.  I am thinking a 9-4 or 8-6 ballgame tonight.  I favor the Giants a little but with this field and the Colorado bats, the Over looks a tad better value to me.

Others I passed on (Philly Run Line) and (Baltimore).  I am going to play KC tonight (non $$$$) on here, but I just think this is the MOST under the radar team in MLB.  How?  Two times in a row in the World Series, defending champs and it is not like they can't make a huge move in July to bolster their already strong roster.  I think Ventura is a stud and he will rise up every now and again, but feldman is meat.

Hoops :  I am one of only 4 that think Golden State Will NOT win the NBA title, but they might beat the Griz by 50 AGAIN this time around.  Griz played last night and now travel for a totally useless game for them.  They will be the 7th seed and get swept by San Antonio.

So for me:  Colorado Over, KC and Golden State.  

I passed on Houston and Houston Over...the role Karl thing is a complete disaster and I have no idea what they will do tonight.  Why would Karl even go to Houston?  What a train wreck in Sad Sac Town!!

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$$$$ Colorado Over 11.5  I whiffed on this last night (non $$$$) play but did you see my boy have a huge night...Pence will continue to hit in Coors Field (Is it still called that?).  Look the Giants are Red Hot and although I do not look at stats until 2-3 weeks into the season, I don't need stats to know the Giants can flat out hit.  I am thinking a 9-4 or 8-6 ballgame tonight.  I favor the Giants a little but with this field and the Colorado bats, the Over looks a tad better value to me.

Others I passed on (Philly Run Line) and (Baltimore).  I am going to play KC tonight (non $$$$) on here, but I just think this is the MOST under the radar team in MLB.  How?  Two times in a row in the World Series, defending champs and it is not like they can't make a huge move in July to bolster their already strong roster.  I think Ventura is a stud and he will rise up every now and again, but feldman is meat.

Hoops :  I am one of only 4 that think Golden State Will NOT win the NBA title, but they might beat the Griz by 50 AGAIN this time around.  Griz played last night and now travel for a totally useless game for them.  They will be the 7th seed and get swept by San Antonio.

So for me:  Colorado Over, KC and Golden State.  

I passed on Houston and Houston Over...the role Karl thing is a complete disaster and I have no idea what they will do tonight.  Why would Karl even go to Houston?  What a train wreck in Sad Sac Town!!

 
lakerz
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Posted: Apr. 13, 2016 - 8:04 PM ET #36

I also took the full game overs in the Lakers and Clipper games. 
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I also took the full game overs in the Lakers and Clipper games. 
 
lakerz
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Posted: Apr. 13, 2016 - 8:16 PM ET #37

Good discussion on the Lakers - Utah game in the Scalabrine thread I just finished reading.  It gives even more reasons why Lakers could be the play tonight.  One prop bet caught my attention was a poster suggested betting Kobe made free throws over 3.5.  Assuming he plays a lot of minutes (very likely unless he gets hurt), this bet should be a gimme!  On my site though, bet has a very high vig, so I just bet a little.  Should win though.
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Good discussion on the Lakers - Utah game in the Scalabrine thread I just finished reading.  It gives even more reasons why Lakers could be the play tonight.  One prop bet caught my attention was a poster suggested betting Kobe made free throws over 3.5.  Assuming he plays a lot of minutes (very likely unless he gets hurt), this bet should be a gimme!  On my site though, bet has a very high vig, so I just bet a little.  Should win though.
 
Brightsizelife
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Posted: Apr. 13, 2016 - 9:28 PM ET #38

Quote Originally Posted by bshoe43:

Quote Originally Posted by here2contribute:

brosuf, all kinds of posts on covers with a very simple formula that explains how someone can do a -1 even if there online book doesn't take it.  Heck, I do -1's in Vegas.  Bubbaski's call, but there should be no issues with you playing a -1 in my humble opinion.  I personally posted two -1's already.
hey h2c, if/when you get a chance could you explain how to get the -1? appreciate it



If your book doesn't offer -1 line you can create your own like this
For $100 wager :
ML -160 bet $61 to win 38
RL +130 bet 39 to win 50= a total of -112

Numbers a rounded off slightly
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Quote Originally Posted by bshoe43:

Quote Originally Posted by here2contribute:

brosuf, all kinds of posts on covers with a very simple formula that explains how someone can do a -1 even if there online book doesn't take it.  Heck, I do -1's in Vegas.  Bubbaski's call, but there should be no issues with you playing a -1 in my humble opinion.  I personally posted two -1's already.
hey h2c, if/when you get a chance could you explain how to get the -1? appreciate it



If your book doesn't offer -1 line you can create your own like this
For $100 wager :
ML -160 bet $61 to win 38
RL +130 bet 39 to win 50= a total of -112

Numbers a rounded off slightly
 
Bubbaski27
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Posted: Apr. 13, 2016 - 10:18 PM ET #39

I have a golf play for tomorrow. Will give a write up in the morning.  I don't want to post it now as I can almost guarantee a more favorable line closer to tee time.  
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I have a golf play for tomorrow. Will give a write up in the morning.  I don't want to post it now as I can almost guarantee a more favorable line closer to tee time.  
 
nfl_brosuf
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2016 - 12:35 AM ET #40

Quote Originally Posted by Brightsizelife:

Quote Originally Posted by bshoe43:

Quote Originally Posted by here2contribute:

brosuf, all kinds of posts on covers with a very simple formula that explains how someone can do a -1 even if there online book doesn't take it.  Heck, I do -1's in Vegas.  Bubbaski's call, but there should be no issues with you playing a -1 in my humble opinion.  I personally posted two -1's already. hey h2c, if/when you get a chance could you explain
how to get the -1? appreciate it
If your book doesn't offer -1 line you can create your own like thisFor $100 wager :ML -160 bet $61 to win 38RL +130 bet 39 to win 50= a total of -112Numbers a rounded off slightly


Thank you friend. I will take your strategy n let it soak on in.

See u guys tomorrow with more great picks from our members.

Congrats curry record 3's season single record n team most win record. Too beast mode n memphis wasn't playing all that bad either.
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Quote Originally Posted by Brightsizelife:

Quote Originally Posted by bshoe43:

Quote Originally Posted by here2contribute:

brosuf, all kinds of posts on covers with a very simple formula that explains how someone can do a -1 even if there online book doesn't take it.  Heck, I do -1's in Vegas.  Bubbaski's call, but there should be no issues with you playing a -1 in my humble opinion.  I personally posted two -1's already. hey h2c, if/when you get a chance could you explain
how to get the -1? appreciate it
If your book doesn't offer -1 line you can create your own like thisFor $100 wager :ML -160 bet $61 to win 38RL +130 bet 39 to win 50= a total of -112Numbers a rounded off slightly


Thank you friend. I will take your strategy n let it soak on in.

See u guys tomorrow with more great picks from our members.

Congrats curry record 3's season single record n team most win record. Too beast mode n memphis wasn't playing all that bad either.
 
lakerz
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2016 - 2:12 AM ET #41

MAMBA OUT! 
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MAMBA OUT! 
 
TheHat
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2016 - 9:37 AM ET #42

$$$$ CHW/Minn under 8.5$$$$

Heading to Minn for this early Thursday game, wind is blowing in at the beginning of the game and is expected to get stronger as the game goes on. The twins have scored 13 runs in the first 8 games this year and have not scored over 3 runs in any game. Add in the fact that the white sox have gone under in the last 4 road games and the twins have gone under in the last 5 home games plus the wind blowing in for 2 offensively challenged teams and a very generous 8.5 line, points me toward the under in this game. 

Bubba, taking $$$$ CHW/Minn under 8.5$$$$

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$$$$ CHW/Minn under 8.5$$$$

Heading to Minn for this early Thursday game, wind is blowing in at the beginning of the game and is expected to get stronger as the game goes on. The twins have scored 13 runs in the first 8 games this year and have not scored over 3 runs in any game. Add in the fact that the white sox have gone under in the last 4 road games and the twins have gone under in the last 5 home games plus the wind blowing in for 2 offensively challenged teams and a very generous 8.5 line, points me toward the under in this game. 

Bubba, taking $$$$ CHW/Minn under 8.5$$$$

 
 
SAGGY_HOOTS
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2016 - 9:50 AM ET #43

Thursday April 14th 2016:

 $$$$       MINNESOTA TWINS -120              $$$$

ERVIN SANTANA IS 50-33 IN HIS CAREER PITCHING WITH 5 DAYS REST.

SANTANA IS 3-0 WITH MARK RIPPERGER AS UMPIRE.

SANTANA HAS A 66-48 CAREER RECORD AT HOME.

SANTANA ALLOWS A .175 CAREER AVERAGE VS. WHITE SOX.

WHITE SOX STARTER MAT LATOS HAS A CAREER 5-11 RECORD IN APRIL/MARCH & IS COMING OFF A WIN.

I THINK THE TWINKIES FINALLY GET IN THE WIN COLUMN THIS AFTERNOON.

GOOD LUCK TO ALL!

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Thursday April 14th 2016:

 $$$$       MINNESOTA TWINS -120              $$$$

ERVIN SANTANA IS 50-33 IN HIS CAREER PITCHING WITH 5 DAYS REST.

SANTANA IS 3-0 WITH MARK RIPPERGER AS UMPIRE.

SANTANA HAS A 66-48 CAREER RECORD AT HOME.

SANTANA ALLOWS A .175 CAREER AVERAGE VS. WHITE SOX.

WHITE SOX STARTER MAT LATOS HAS A CAREER 5-11 RECORD IN APRIL/MARCH & IS COMING OFF A WIN.

I THINK THE TWINKIES FINALLY GET IN THE WIN COLUMN THIS AFTERNOON.

GOOD LUCK TO ALL!

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If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.