@bluecompass
Oh.
And I have answered your question multiple times about my wagers.
I wager every play I post at 1 unit = $100.
Not sure what you are not understanding about this.
Doing my best to help you out here but it seems like there is some kind of block you have.
@AdVictoriam
Your losing MIN play was most definitely -109. Again, you "accidentally" make another "mistake" in your favor.
Post #20
https://www.covers.com/forum/mlb-betting-27/48-45-126-units-in-11-days-103738757/1
@bluecompass
Very nice research on your part. I stand corrected on that .10.
So now we have locked in a (51-47) and -1.87 units for the cumulative number.
You know, my friend, you really do have a talent.
The grit and determination you have in helping me keep my units straight is almost unbelievable.
It's a privilege having you in here, Sir.
I applaud you!
@bluecompass
"Mistakes" are ALWAYS made in these guys favor. Don't believe these were "accidental" mistakes. It's a joke because he and others who do well for a short time always try and pad their stats when they start to lose. Like clockwork on this website. These "mistakes" are NEVER made that worsens their stats.
@Anthony1960
Let's see what we have here. Milwaukee at S.F.. Houser vs Stripling.
Mr. Houser is coming off the 15 day DL after a groin injury and making his first start of the season today.
He had 4 rehab outings posting a 3.07/1.50 ERA/WHIP in those games.
From 2022, he posted a line of 102.2IP 103H 54ER 13HR 47BB 69K and 4.73/1.46 ERA/WHIP.
Lefties hit him at .307 and righties .217.
He has been an extreme GB pitcher in years previous to 2022, but he was pretty even in 2022 itself.
Mr. Stripling has posted a 5.40/1.50 ERA/WHIP in his last 3 starts.
His last start of 5IP was his longest outing of the year. Gave up 4 ERs over the last 8.1IPs.
Lefties hitting .333, righties .271.
Home and away splits are dramatically different with home at 8.64/1.80 ERA/WHIP and away at 4.38/1.22.
For the year, he gives up 2.6HRs per 9 IP, but he has not given up a HR in his last 3 outings. But he has a 2.15/9IP home run rate over the last 2 years. BAD.
If my past experience with pitchers making their first stat this year is anything to go by, Houser should just tear them up today. LOL.
The Brewers "should" hit Stripling pretty hard from all the metrics.
The Giants ML is -141. Seems a bit high to me. Was expecting -120 or so. Maybe the uncertainty over Houser and his first start after injury/rehab is playing into that.
Slightly surprised that the Giants are that big of a favorite.
TTs are Brewers TT OVER 4.5 +100. Giants TT OVER 4.5 -125. Interesting they put them both at 4.5. Juicing the Giants heavy says they think Houser pitches well.
Hope this helps!
NYYs at the Tampa Bay Devil Rays. G. Cole vs "starter" J. Guerra and then real starter Josh Fleming for the bulk of the innings.
Mr. Cole is having an excellent start to the year. His line is 46.2IP 28H 7R 7ER 0HR 14BB 52Ks and a 1.35/0.90 ERA/WHIP.
He led the league in Ks with 257 last year and is on pace to surpass that this year.
Righties and Lefties both hitting .176 vs him this year.
FIP of 2.16 and BABIP of .257 are both excellent.
Maybe his only blemish in his armor is his Home/Away splits. Home 0.82/0.85 and away 2.63/1.02 on ERA/WHIP but that is still not much to not like.
Since Josh Fleming is the "real starter", lets look at him.
For the season, 22.2IP 21H 8R 8ER 9BB 0HR 14K with a 4.72/1.32 WHIP. Generally respectable but small sample size.
Career he is 4.72/1.40 ERA/WHIP.
The line on this game is really unexplainable. The Yankees are a -120 and the Devil Rays +100 on the ML.
The Devil Rays have been shut down by good pitching this year. Often enough to say it can happen again.
And you have 2 pitchers starting the game for the Devil Rays who are not anywhere near his class.
Can the Yankees hit them? They "should" be able to.
Strong lean to the Yankees here.
No play yet, just a lean.
Texas Rangers at the LA Angels. M. Perez vs J. Suarez.
Note: I have a know bias against M. Perez due to wagers in the past not working out well.
Mr. Perez sits at a 2.41 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 26:9 K:BB over 33.2 innings.
His last 3 starts he is at 2.00/1.22 ERA/WHIP. Pitching very well lately.
Lefties hitting .292 and righties .284. Seem surprising given his recent success but he did have a couple of starts with 8H early in the year.
Home/Away splits. Home 1.54/1.54 and away 2.86/1.32 ERA/WHIP.
FIP at 4.16 and BAPIP at .3.73 seems to indicate he has been a bit lucky this year so far and is due for some regression.
Many of the Angels players have a lot of successful BAs vs him. Ward .333, Trout .278, Ohtani .286, Drury .250, Urshella .438, Rengifo .400. And these are not a few ABs, they range from 10 to 36ABs in Trout's case.
Perez has posted a season sub 4.00 ERA only once in his career (2013) and he has a 5.50 ERA average over the last 5 seasons.
Mr. Suarez has had a lot of difficulty this year. He had his best start of the year vs the Brewers last time out tossing five scoreless innings in which he allowed two hits and three walks. He struck out six.
His last 3 starts he has a 6.08/1.80 ERA/WHIP. For the season now 7.89/1.98.
Lefties hitting .417, righties .325.
Home 11.00/2.33, away 5.68/1.74 ERA/WHIP splits. So much better at home.
A whopping 7.89 FIR and .373 BABIP suggests that he is truly bad and not unlucky at all.
He is a reliever "trying" to be a starter and not getting it done. Don't see him getting it done today vs this hot hitting Texas lineup.
But the Angels will hit Perez says all of the metrics.
The OFFICIAL plays here are the OVERs.
Texas/LA Angels OVER 9.5 -115 for 3 units.
Texas TT OVER 4.5 -125 for 3 units.
LA Angels TT OVER 4.5 -125 for 3 units.
Interesting.
In 2022, there were 4860 games played and a total of 2486 stolen bases in those games.
That comes out to 1.95 stolen bases per game.
In 2023, we have played 1006 games to yesterday. 713 stolen bases in those games.
That comes out to 1.41 stolen bases per game.
My gut was saying it was down so I decided to check it.
But you would think with the new rules that it should be MORE stolen bases.
Bigger bases, restrictions on how many throw overs a pitcher can do. The pitch timer forcing action should also help.
As teams figure things out, this number should move up to match or eclipse last year.
That means more scoring overall.
Which is exactly what MLB wanted. More scoring. Faster games.
And the clown show continues. Seriously, are you this retarded?
@bluecompass
Great to see you back bro!
I know you want an update on the numbers as you are a numbers guy.
I'm 3-1 on the day and up a nice 6.14 units!
Can't keep a good man down.
I'm feeling a big, big day coming!
I know you won't want to miss it so stay tuned!
Chicago White Sox at the Cincinnati Reds. M. Kopech vs G. Ashcraft.
I know a lot of you have been waiting for this write up. I've been a bit delayed today but let's knock it out!
Mr. Kopech has struggled to a 7.01 ERA across five starts in April but now has a 5.97 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 34:21 K:BB over 31.2 innings following Tuesday's outing.
In his last 3 he is 5.62/1.50 ERA/WHIP.
Lefties hitting .190 while righties .305.
Home he is 6.32/1.72 and away he is 5.63/1.44 ERA/WHIP splits.
Hiss BB/9IP is 6.0 which is atrocious as is his 2.3HR/9IP number.
FIP of 6.67 and his BABIP of .273 indicate that none of his bad performance is due to being unlucky.
Mr. Ashcraft has a 2.00/1.17 ERA/WHIP with strong performances all year long as well as quality starts.
Lefties .108, righties .297.
This is a pretty big mismatch here.
Running out of time here so suffice to say I like the value with the Reds at -123 on the ML against one of the worst teams in baseball.
Official Play
Cincinnati Reds -123 for 3 units
@bluecompass
I'm not up to speed on all the internet lingo and acronyms but I'm pretty sure that "GFY!" is "GOOD FOR YOU!".
I really cannot thank you enough for your support. Seriously.
You have helped with the record keeping AND I might add, without charging me a dime.
Extremely charitable on your part.
You, Sir, are a scholar and a gentleman!
You are welcome anytime in my threads. Please, I insist.
Come back whenever you like!
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