During the Triple Crown and Breeders’ Cup there is plenty of free information to be had. One of my favorites is at DRF, their official clocker, Mike Welsch, does a great job of breaking down what he sees.
For the 2009 Derby he consistently pointed out how Rachel Alexandra was the most impressive worker in the morning and she won the Oaks by twenty lengths and the Preakness two weeks later. He also noted that he thought second place Derby finisher Pioneer of the Nile would transfer his form from synthetics to dirt.
In 2010 his Derby pick was winner Super Saver and he also pointed out how well third place finisher Paddy o’Prado was working.
In 2011 he referred to eventual winner Animal Kingdom as a “longshot with a big chance”.
For the Breeders’ Cup he’s tipped off the winner of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies winner two years in a row in 2009 Tapitsfly at 10-1 and 2010 More Than Real at 13-1 and sung the praises of 2011 Breeders’ Cup Classic upset winner Drosselmeyer.
During the Triple Crown and Breeders’ Cup there is plenty of free information to be had. One of my favorites is at DRF, their official clocker, Mike Welsch, does a great job of breaking down what he sees.
For the 2009 Derby he consistently pointed out how Rachel Alexandra was the most impressive worker in the morning and she won the Oaks by twenty lengths and the Preakness two weeks later. He also noted that he thought second place Derby finisher Pioneer of the Nile would transfer his form from synthetics to dirt.
In 2010 his Derby pick was winner Super Saver and he also pointed out how well third place finisher Paddy o’Prado was working.
In 2011 he referred to eventual winner Animal Kingdom as a “longshot with a big chance”.
For the Breeders’ Cup he’s tipped off the winner of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies winner two years in a row in 2009 Tapitsfly at 10-1 and 2010 More Than Real at 13-1 and sung the praises of 2011 Breeders’ Cup Classic upset winner Drosselmeyer.
GH do u happen to have d chart of the winniest post positions for the Kentucky Derby...thanks in advance..
Winning Kentucky Derby Post Positions
Which Horse Has The Best Draw In The Kentucky Derby
You have to be careful with that first list. When the Derby first started there wasn't that many horses in the race. Now there is 20 horses in the race every year. The #1 post is considered a bad post now because all the horses from the outside come crashing in toward the rail. (and the #2 thru 4 also but maybe to a lesser extent as you move out from the rail) I think the statement below from the second article I posted is basically what people believe now.
"The best place to break appears to be somewhere between post PP #5 and PP #10, which have accounted for 16 of the past 33 Derby winners."
How much early speed the horse has also makes a difference because they get out quickly, go to the front and clear all the trouble behind them. So if you like a horse with a lot of early speed, the post position is less important (like Hansen for example). Kind of the same with the horses who run from the back of the pack. They just settle in at the back of the pack and wait to make their run. It's the horses who come out in the middle of the pack that you have to worry about post position the most in the run to the turn. (Not a fast early speed horse and not a deep closer) There the ones that usually get hung wide on the first turn and crash into each other running to the turn.
GH do u happen to have d chart of the winniest post positions for the Kentucky Derby...thanks in advance..
Winning Kentucky Derby Post Positions
Which Horse Has The Best Draw In The Kentucky Derby
You have to be careful with that first list. When the Derby first started there wasn't that many horses in the race. Now there is 20 horses in the race every year. The #1 post is considered a bad post now because all the horses from the outside come crashing in toward the rail. (and the #2 thru 4 also but maybe to a lesser extent as you move out from the rail) I think the statement below from the second article I posted is basically what people believe now.
"The best place to break appears to be somewhere between post PP #5 and PP #10, which have accounted for 16 of the past 33 Derby winners."
How much early speed the horse has also makes a difference because they get out quickly, go to the front and clear all the trouble behind them. So if you like a horse with a lot of early speed, the post position is less important (like Hansen for example). Kind of the same with the horses who run from the back of the pack. They just settle in at the back of the pack and wait to make their run. It's the horses who come out in the middle of the pack that you have to worry about post position the most in the run to the turn. (Not a fast early speed horse and not a deep closer) There the ones that usually get hung wide on the first turn and crash into each other running to the turn.
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