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Ball State at Central Michigan (11/19/2008)

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Posted: #101
Quote Originally Posted by wshustler:

 BALL ST -6.5
 show me the money YEEEEAH! 
 
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Posted: #102
Quote Originally Posted by Sandman23:

Easy $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
 
OVER 55
 
LOCK !!!!!!!!!!!!

 
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Posted: #103
Ball st looks like the play to me at first...
 
BUT
 
their strength of sched = 126th ....
 
But
 
cent mich = 90th
 
-------------------------

Chippewas are 9-0-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Chippewas are 14-2-1 ATS in their last 17 home games.

Chippewas are 21-5-3 ATS in their last 29 conference games.

BUT

Cardinals are 14-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Cardinals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.

Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.

Cardinals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

 
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Posted: #104
Quote Originally Posted by peppto:

please explain the reverse....curious on how it works....

I didn't mean to attack anyone's pick...I'm just saying the use to do teaser and then I realize that it's a sucker bet to draw people from concentrating on their capping that's all. No offense to anyone please, I'm not like that. I use to lose alot on those teaser and I either play straight or reverse. Reverse play is like a parlay on 2 teams to win double of waht you put up.(ex. $1 on team and $1 on over/under...if i lose 1 way and then it's the $1 lose + 10% juice. I win both reverse parlay then I win double of my $2.) Does that explains it? I think total for this game looks too easy. They have offense and defense don't look that great when I watch them last week and the week before.

 
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Posted: #105
CMU + OVER $$$$$$$$$
 
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Posted: #106
Out of those 17 games how many of those were the CHIPS home dogs?
 
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Posted: #107
CMU + OVER $$$$$$$$$
 
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Posted: #108

FYI...glta

Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games in November.

Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.  

Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games overall.

Under is 5-1 in Chippewas last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Under is 7-2 in Cardinals last 9 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Under is 6-2 in Cardinals last 8 games on turf.

Under is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 road games.

Under is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 road games.

but

Over is 6-2-1 in Chippewas last 9 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Over is 13-5 in Chippewas last 18 games overall.

Over is 10-4 in Chippewas last 14 games following a S.U. win.

 

 

 
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Posted: #109
Okay, why would the OVER be the easy play? There is either a lot of money on the OVER or a large percent of bets one the OVER to move the line like that. Are there any other reasons?
 
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Posted: #110
Ball State has been very impressive this year:

BALL STATE -7.0
(wish I got it earlier at -6.5)

GL ALL
 
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Posted: #111
 
 
 
snow band looks to be a 100 mile or so north moving south east...my opinion is it won't be a blizzard at kick off...over first thought but still not convinced it's a scoring fest...biggest concern is cent mich beat up db and weak rating in pass def....do they come to play and get a little help from the weather?....glta
 
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Posted: #112
Quote Originally Posted by kmaster:

Quote Originally Posted by Fpronk:

 Ball State -6.5

 

:: 7 POINT TEASER ::

Ball State - PICK

UNDER 63.5

 

Central Michigan and the under it is then!  GL all!

This here is an example of a TOUT who knows a good thing when he sees it. How do I know he's a TOUT.

1. New memeber...two posts. His first post his quote above...his second post was right after saying "whoops I meant over"...

2. He finds my post and goes against it completely...TOUTS hate me because my picks are free and he loses money.

3. No, of course I lose, but I have won more than I lost this year and this TOUT knows it.

Keep em coming...I LOVE THE HATERS!

GLA

 
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Posted: #113
Quote Originally Posted by Fpronk:

This here is an example of a TOUT who knows a good thing when he sees it. How do I know he's a TOUT.

1. New memeber...two posts. His first post his quote above...his second post was right after saying "whoops I meant over"...

2. He finds my post and goes against it completely...TOUTS hate me because my picks are free and he loses money.

3. No, of course I lose, but I have won more than I lost this year and this TOUT knows it.

Keep em coming...I LOVE THE HATERS!

GLA



fpronk u been on here for a while i a lot of people respect u.  don't let one person get to u.  That's actually a decent teaser.  to over line has moved so much that the game line might hit 63.5 at this rate.  u can even get a ball state pick and under 66.5 now.  the more points, the better.  Good luck!
 
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Posted: #114

Quote Originally Posted by shishiman25:



fpronk u been on here for a while i a lot of people respect u.  don't let one person get to u.  That's actually a decent teaser.  to over line has moved so much that the game line might hit 63.5 at this rate.  u can even get a ball state pick and under 66.5 now.  the more points, the better.  Good luck!

Thanks shishi...it doesn't bother me but there a lot of people who post on here that are TOUTS and I like to point them out when it happens. I can tell you how many times a new member with just one post finds my pick and goes against it.. coincidence, I doubt it. GL

 
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Posted: #115
 wow line was 55 now the total is at 61 @ bookmaker

WOW is over really the play?!?
 
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Posted: #116
Under 61.5 on BetEd...Im taking it by itself now.
 
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Posted: #117
My book has Ball State -6,I don't think that you'll need the points tonight all you CMU bettors this will be an outright win for the the CHIPS ,Home field means everything in the MAC for the better teams and we hereall know who the home teamis
 
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Posted: #118
sorrry for the typo's
 
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Posted: #119
"We've been in this situation before the last two seasons, playing Western Michigan later in the year," said junior quarterback Dan LeFevour of winning the division. "Hopefully that experience will help us, but at the same time, Ball State has had some success this year and has great confidence as well. That's why you play the game - to see who's going to win."

The Cardinals won their first 10 games of the season by an average of 22.2 points per game.
 
CMU average margin of victory is .5 points per game.
 
Ball st easily handled Northern Illinois 45-14 on Nov. 5.

CMU 33-30 overtime win over NIU on Wednesday
 
CMU are on a six-game winning streak.

CMU won the last four games of the series
 

 
 
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Posted: #120
Got burned last night with the under, thought NIU would hold em but DID NOT think NIU would put up 42 points
 
Total with my local is 61, liked the over but not at 61. Going with the better defense here Ball St. - 6-.
 
GOOD LUCK TONIGHT!!!
 
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Posted: #121
Quote Originally Posted by rusty103:

sorrry for the typo's

No problem Rusty, but if I apologized for all my typo's I would be here all day.

 
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Posted: #122
I don't post a often but Fpronk along with a few other i actually listen to and respect there opinion. Keep up the good work
 
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Posted: #123
Ball St. -6
 
Good Luck
 
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Posted: #124
Who knows which team shows up tonight.  Ball State remembers what CMU did to them last year on their home field and i would expect for them to return the favor but who knows.  Either way i think it's gonna be a dog fight and both teams WILL score.  I expect at least 4 tds from each time and maybe a field goal to win in the last 2 minutes.  31-28?  35-28?  Sounds about right?
 
 
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Posted: #125
uh oh, new unis for CMU.  last time there was a mid-week uni change was Marshall's big upset.  not looking good for Ball St.
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