Week 5 YTD… 71-68 ATS

Utah State is 6-1 ATS last 7 Whipped Air Force by 19 

Hung with A&M losing by 20 but easily covered.  
dating back to last season have scored 28 points In 10 of 11 games and the only failure was highly ranked Texas AM 

teams getting +14 that have shown the ability with consistency to score +21 points getting +20 point lines are high quality teams. 

line>14 and A and n:A and n:F and n:line>-7 and points>19

assuming UTAH ST scores 20+ hits at 76% ATS

@spottie2935

 Opinion on Oregon vs Penn State?

@avlbuilder

 Not a very good one, but if I had to pull Sonething it would be Penn St moneyline.  Penn State all these huge lines for Penn State and no covers means hidden credibility.

 They look like they are failing but in actuality the lines are too much.  Lines being too much is a lot of credibility for them. 

We’ll see but these big games are not within my wheel house. These teams are too consistent and don’t have the volatility in their lines that I desire when looking to make a bet. 

Penn st coach  0-14 vs top 6 and 2-14 or 16 I believe vs top 10 

but i remember last year Penn st had Oregon but  the coach did some bad calls that helped Oregon win the game 

now it’s in happy valley and white out 

I used to love to bet on Penn st they made me some money over the years but in tuff games always let me down just some info

i do teasers 13 points so I got Oregon +16.5 too nfl college football harder for 13 point teasers so I try to limit teams my other in college is Seminole Hoosiers and usc and N Texas too many tho I know but they all look good on teasers and ive done well on 13 point teasers over the years 

Bol everyone sweep your board 

2 points. 

1.teasers are usually excellent in these elite matchups. 

2. Penn st coach  0-14 vs top 6 and 2-14 or 16 I believe vs top 10. 

There is always that one season that these coaches get by their all their past history troubles. I believe in Penn State but not until the bracket.  They might yet fail again this week  in the regular season. 

Alabama, Georgia and the SEC are not as high level as in the past. Michigan is less.  Ohio State is not 2024. I believe the nation champ is Penn St. we’ll see though I’m always thinking outside the box.  What a news story to sack what is widely known from the facts you present. 

@spottie2935

team=PNST and line<=-2 and start time >1700 and season>=2014

@MrFreedo

team=PNST and date>=20181001 and o:rank<8 and line<15

Houston Cougars this season 

beat Colorado (Colorado QB situation is suspect and CU started and played their 3rd string QB all game, he could be the best 3rd QB in football but none the less. )

Beat Rice laying -13.5  35-9

beat FBS team laying -23.5   27-0 

We have yet to see what Houston can do and maybe even in this game that question won’t be answered. I think -14 is too many points but some of this is in the dark and best guess is taking the points. 

Oregon St is poor yes I agree but they just got done playing 2 highly ranked teams (Oregon and Texas Tech).

Before that in weeks 1,2 they failed both times as small favorite and small dog to Cal and Fresno.  Fair point all 4 games were lousy and only covered the early line last week vs Oregon+35

The reason I like this is it isn’t close to a pickem like the first 2 failure games and I also think Houston valuation is over evaluated.  Houston has not lost ATS  and depending on the line ORST has yet to cover.  

I love this scenario because it creates volatility. Dogs do well in volatility games because the lines maker is trying to get equal action and in most cases adds points. 

In the king of covers contest the consensus is 77% Houston. 

add all this up and I think I have the stronger ROI bet. 

we will see. 

If the non Saturday dogs do well expect a voice back from the favorites.  I predict the Thursday and Friday dogs to execute nicely vs the line. 

CFB Army +4.5 -116

CFB Virginia +7-114

CFB TCU +3 -112 

CFB Oregon State +14-118

CFB Bowling Green +10-111

CFB Liberty +17-109

CFB Florida Atlantic +14-117

CFB Northern Illinois +3-115

CFB TOTAL u64-106 (Notre Dame vrs Arkansas)

CFB Virginia Tech +10-105

CFB Indiana -8-110

CFB Wake Forest +13½-105

CFB Notre Dame -5-108

CFB UCLA +5½-104

CFB Utah State +22½-106

CFB Oklahoma State +20-107

CFB Colorado +7-115

CFB UGA -3.5 -102 

CFB Army +4.5 -116

CFB Virginia +7-114

CFB TCU +3 -112 

CFB UNDER TEN. E.C 64.5 -115

CFB UNDER MIN.E. Soda 51.5 -112

CFB Oregon State +14-118

CFB Bowling Green +10-111

CFB Liberty +17-109

CFB Florida Atlantic +14-117

CFB Northern Illinois +3-115

CFB TOTAL u64-106 (Notre Dame vrs Arkansas)

CFB Virginia Tech +10-105

CFB Indiana -8-110

CFB Wake Forest +13½-105

CFB Notre Dame -5-108

CFB UCLA +5½-104

CFB Utah State +22½-106

CFB Oklahoma State +20-107

CFB Colorado +7-115

CFB UGA -3.5 -102 

20-0 is the goal.