Made some adjustments. Added a few
Friday:
JMAD +14
Saturday:
plays:
Iowa +3.5
Over 46.5 Nebraska - Akron
Under 59 Syracuse UConn
Indy-35.5
UCLA -2.5
UAB +21
OREG ST -3
Under 47 Rutgers Miami - Oh
Okla St. +28
Texas St.+4.5
Missouri St. +10
No. Carolina -13.5
Rice+15
Az St -6
Under 62 USC
WASH ST -1
SMU -2.5
Stan +21
5 of Stanfords last 6 games have been 3 point games.
I know what BYU did last week and for me that increases this line.
If Stanford would have gotten destroyed by 10+ at Hawaii that’s a different story. Stanford is competing.
BYU freshman QB -21. Sounds like that play pretty conservative to me. Plenty of room for a win no need for them to blow them out.
Oregon State played Cal last week, same line. Cal is better than Fresno. Taking a shot with the same line against what I have rated as a lesser Foe. The risk is neither team is quality so penalties special teams and big mistakes are keys
San Diego State was wack last year and I’m not a fan of Sean Lewis.
Washington State at home after a close game vs Idaho last week
Washington St should be motivated not to get into a tight battle like last week. I don’t trust San Diego to get a road win.
Once again 2 inferior teams matching up and last weeks scores influence lines.
Over Nebraska
last week vs Cincy the total was 47 this week they should have more offensive production
Akron didn’t score last week against Wyoming so I expect at least 10 points here which applys a lot of pressure to the over. I just really like the opportunity for both teams to reverse some of the scoring problems they dealt with in week 1
under USC: In their history dating back to 2007. USC when lined -21 or more points with a total of 60+ they have covered and the game went over 4 times and 13 losses. Last week was one of those wins so to do it back to back would be extra ordinary. This is one of the later games so I can pay close attention to the scoring. If it’s competitive I can bet ingame and adjust if the under has a problem. More scoring by GSOu can be a nice play and line opportunity
Navy has trashed UAB the last 2 meetings. This one could get ugly as well. In their history dating last 2 meetings Bavy was a fog in one of those hearings and last season they were only -5.
-21 is a lot for a team like Navy unless they have A QB like Army did last season.
Previous lines in previous battles and the way Navy can shut down a game control the ball and clock should make climbing -21 points. The key is UAB mistakes.
Miz State +10
Marshall laying a lot here. Let’s see if they dominate again this season. This game will be much less stressful for Miz State after that 73 points they allowed to USC last week. In my opinion they should be getting a few extra bonus points after that big loss.
UCLA -2.5
They got manhandled by a superior team that plays hard nosed football.
Cant say this about UNLV. UNLV got exposed by Idaho state in week 1. So this combination makes the line of only -2.5 easily digestible. Last week against Utah that line was +5.
Thus the play
UNC was out matched last week. They appear to have very little. We all saw it too. Well a scheduling benefit in this game as Charlotte is 5-13 in ther last 18 home games. The question becomes how much does N Carolina win by? When a human starves, when they find food they eat. This is that opportunity.
Arizona State A playoff team with a ton of recent cashes. Miss State is improving but I just find the opportunity decent enough to take a chance on a 7 point road win against a team trying to build. Miss State is still unstable in my opinion. ASU has the stability.
SMU was thrashed in the playoff last season
They payed -51 last week and only scored 42points against a nobody Texas college team.
After a great 2024 season Baylor is facing some really quality out of conference teams and the lines they have are making them win games to cover.
I like Baylor but I need more points in these big tough games. They just are not “there” yet. Last week was proof and this line is in the same pocket. Should be sane issues.
I would like to take South Florida this week but their outstanding performance in week 1 holds me back. It appears that Boise isn’t 2024 Bouse and that brings me to pause in this game. The points look like a lot but I haven’t see USF be consistent enough to be able to perform at high levels each week. This is a good Florida team that played a very harsh schedule in 2024. As good as UF played in 2024 they were consistently dogs. Well this is an opportunity to show out and stomp in the swap.
Things will not be going so smooth for USF this week. How do they handle the adversity.
Strong lean to the Swamp men here.
Friday:
JMAD +14
Saturday:
plays:
Iowa +3.5
Over 46.5 Nebraska - Akron
Under 59 Syracuse UConn
Indy-35.5
UCLA -2.5
UAB +21
OREG ST -3
Under 47 Rutgers Miami - Oh
Okla St. +28
Texas St.+4.5
Missouri St. +10
No. Carolina -13.5
Rice+15
Az St -6
Under 62 USC
WASH ST -1
SMU -2.5
Stan +21
Texas Am -31.(UTSA last week was -24 and they had that covered. This is Utah State !
You've got the BAZOOKA number of plays out haha.....I love it
The book declares their power rankings in week 1. Then they start adjusting and over reacting. The more volatile the score the more they tend to react. Last years closing games impact the data I seek. I don’t care about stats and yards and all that noise. I can’t watch all these games and even if I did how do I cap the inconsistent variables and blunders that occur?
it’s math, numbers and using the info at hand.
Lines matter than most anything. That’s the mission beat the line.
The top 10 teams have very little blunders and volatility. 2024 Indiana and Army and the like are not volatile until they are pushed past their limits. Now these teams have made changes and will be volatile again.
There are only so many complete teams. The schedule will catch up with them in time.
BYU played nobody last week and in their bowl last year were a dog to Colorado and killed them. Now their QB took off for Tulane. I bet they are real cautious and conservative this week when they know the game is pretty much sure thing.
So BYU off 2 big lined blowouts let’s see if this game is a blowout again. The books will adjust too.
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