A winner posted here last week (9-6, .600). That puts the season overall at .514 (18-17). No money to be made on that. In classic tech-fashion (evaluating every game), the box likes this bunch for week four: 1) FloridaInter(-4.5)/Delaware 2) UTEP(-4.5)/LA-Monroe 3) SoMIssissippi(+ 3.5)/LouisTech 4) BoiseState(-9.5)/AirForce 5) EasternMich(+3.5)/LA-Lafayette 6) Hawaii(+3)/FresnoState 7) Buffalo(-6.5)/Troy 8) EastCarolina(+7.5)/BrighamYoung 9) Charlotte(+3.5)/Rice 10) MiamiFlorida(-7.5)/Florida 11) Arkansas(-6.5)/Memphis 12) NorthTexas(+1.5)/Army
Last Saturday the system brought a broader level of success, but failed to perform at the top. Nonetheless, it has so-far shown rank-value for the top two picks (5-1, .833).
The three-week mark is pivotal, in that the Human Administrator feels there’s enough data to assess the system internally for its cutoff points. It’s a small sample size, but that dutiful weekly-exam will continue on into the season.
By design, the algorithm is structured to produce volume; while realizing a reasonable success rate. That combo has intrinsic value – which may, or may-not, be achieved. During the final eight weeks of 2024, the top eleven went .650 (52-28-3). In other words, the model has some positive history. It’s still early, so only the wait & see will show how much “value” the 2025 algorithm can generate.
We have 50 games on the board this week; ample opportunity for all. Good luck, TheKingfish
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
A winner posted here last week (9-6, .600). That puts the season overall at .514 (18-17). No money to be made on that. In classic tech-fashion (evaluating every game), the box likes this bunch for week four: 1) FloridaInter(-4.5)/Delaware 2) UTEP(-4.5)/LA-Monroe 3) SoMIssissippi(+ 3.5)/LouisTech 4) BoiseState(-9.5)/AirForce 5) EasternMich(+3.5)/LA-Lafayette 6) Hawaii(+3)/FresnoState 7) Buffalo(-6.5)/Troy 8) EastCarolina(+7.5)/BrighamYoung 9) Charlotte(+3.5)/Rice 10) MiamiFlorida(-7.5)/Florida 11) Arkansas(-6.5)/Memphis 12) NorthTexas(+1.5)/Army
Last Saturday the system brought a broader level of success, but failed to perform at the top. Nonetheless, it has so-far shown rank-value for the top two picks (5-1, .833).
The three-week mark is pivotal, in that the Human Administrator feels there’s enough data to assess the system internally for its cutoff points. It’s a small sample size, but that dutiful weekly-exam will continue on into the season.
By design, the algorithm is structured to produce volume; while realizing a reasonable success rate. That combo has intrinsic value – which may, or may-not, be achieved. During the final eight weeks of 2024, the top eleven went .650 (52-28-3). In other words, the model has some positive history. It’s still early, so only the wait & see will show how much “value” the 2025 algorithm can generate.
We have 50 games on the board this week; ample opportunity for all. Good luck, TheKingfish
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