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All Forums | College Football

nostradamus week 5

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LonghornHoosier
GWarner27
tonyperaino
Orangemen44
gatorbear
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LonghornHoosier
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 12:02 AM ET #26

I locked in the following this evening...

Texas -10 over @ Iowa State

I believe my Longhorns are still hungy and this is a revenge game.  Iowa State beat us in Austin last year.  The clones have played well, but I think talent differential will be the difference. 

Georgia Tech -12 over @ NC State

GT has a certain mastery at running the back and NC State can't stop the run.  Glennon will be a great QB eventually at NC State, but now it is a bit of a struggle.   In addition, NC State has some key injuries at LB.  I am not sure if those players will be back for this game.  I understand M. Greene for NC State will still be out for this game.

Cincinatti -13 over @ Miami (Ohio)

Cinci dominated NC State on a Thursday night.  A lot of their partisans are still not completely sold on Kelly's replacement at coach and his system.  Pead is the real deal, Collares is an outstanding athlete, Tenn humbled Cinci earlier this month at Knoxville and made them humble and hungry.  Cinci has had challenges on the road recently, and Miami does have an experienced team with a good coach (though they are 0-3).   I think the Ohio regional rivalry along with Pead and Collares will result in a Cinci cover -13.

NOS - good luck this week.   I will appreciate your thoughts.

LonghornHoosier
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I locked in the following this evening...

Texas -10 over @ Iowa State

I believe my Longhorns are still hungy and this is a revenge game.  Iowa State beat us in Austin last year.  The clones have played well, but I think talent differential will be the difference. 

Georgia Tech -12 over @ NC State

GT has a certain mastery at running the back and NC State can't stop the run.  Glennon will be a great QB eventually at NC State, but now it is a bit of a struggle.   In addition, NC State has some key injuries at LB.  I am not sure if those players will be back for this game.  I understand M. Greene for NC State will still be out for this game.

Cincinatti -13 over @ Miami (Ohio)

Cinci dominated NC State on a Thursday night.  A lot of their partisans are still not completely sold on Kelly's replacement at coach and his system.  Pead is the real deal, Collares is an outstanding athlete, Tenn humbled Cinci earlier this month at Knoxville and made them humble and hungry.  Cinci has had challenges on the road recently, and Miami does have an experienced team with a good coach (though they are 0-3).   I think the Ohio regional rivalry along with Pead and Collares will result in a Cinci cover -13.

NOS - good luck this week.   I will appreciate your thoughts.

 
GWarner27
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 12:21 AM ET #27

Colorado seems really short, can't blame you for taking 11.5 with Auburn cuz if it's a shootout I think you'll win (USC's offense is shit right now), lean your way on Ucla but would have waited if I were you, like the other side of TCU and Baylor but you grabbed at the right time.

good luck buddy
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Colorado seems really short, can't blame you for taking 11.5 with Auburn cuz if it's a shootout I think you'll win (USC's offense is shit right now), lean your way on Ucla but would have waited if I were you, like the other side of TCU and Baylor but you grabbed at the right time.

good luck buddy
 
tonyperaino
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 12:43 AM ET #28

[Quote: Originally Posted by nostradamus12]

YTD 33-23 (6-2) (+10.5u)

9-7 (0-2) (-1.6) last week

Nostradamus  i had you going 8-10 last week !  Did we change a couple plays  ?

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[Quote: Originally Posted by nostradamus12]

YTD 33-23 (6-2) (+10.5u)

9-7 (0-2) (-1.6) last week

Nostradamus  i had you going 8-10 last week !  Did we change a couple plays  ?

 
Orangemen44
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 5:27 AM ET #29

Going against my boys this weekend in the Dome i see? 

GL this week with your plays, i dont like too much this week outside of Bama and Va Tech. 

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Going against my boys this weekend in the Dome i see? 

GL this week with your plays, i dont like too much this week outside of Bama and Va Tech. 

 
gatorbear
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 7:22 AM ET #30

GL this week ND. BetUS still does not have their college lines out.


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GL this week ND. BetUS still does not have their college lines out.


 
slomotion
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 9:54 AM ET #31

Just stoping in to say hello.....keep it going bud and good luck the rest of the way.
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Just stoping in to say hello.....keep it going bud and good luck the rest of the way.
 
Buldawg57
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 11:11 AM ET #32

Nos- What about South Florida -3 at Pitt? I was surprised that it wasnt a double digit spread seeing that they hang 30+ points every game.
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Nos- What about South Florida -3 at Pitt? I was surprised that it wasnt a double digit spread seeing that they hang 30+ points every game.
 
nostradamus12
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 1:04 PM ET #33

all

oahu, buldawg - no lean on Houston although UTEP overmatched showed some life on offense last week, slight lean USF at FG or less although it will probably be a close one

tonyp - nah I don't think I've messed up in 4 yrs on that...8-7-1 full plays (Penn St push at 28 maybe you had different line) and 5-3 on other plays (net one 0.75 win) equals 9-7...sounds like you counted the losses from small plays without counting the wins...techically I was 13-10-1 including small plays however other plays only counted if net W or L amount equal regular as explained earlier in year and previous years since they're not full plays by themselves

longhorn - would agree with that analysis on those, BOL bud

nccapper - hard to make a case for NCS at this point so GT less than 10 sounds good, BOL NC

pecador - what's happening doc, rarely have Colorado however they're decent at home and even though improved last couple years WSU has one straight up road win in that time GL man

updated week 5

Texas -9 (2u)
Colorado -3 (2u)
West Va -17 (hook) (1.5u)
Baylor -3 (1.5u)
BYU -8.5 (1.25u)
TCU -11.5 (1.25u)
Virginia -17 (1.25u)
Tulsa -22
Auburn +11.5
Rutgers +3 (-105) (0.75u)
UCLA +22 (0.75u)

checking out a couple totals tonight or tomorrow

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all

oahu, buldawg - no lean on Houston although UTEP overmatched showed some life on offense last week, slight lean USF at FG or less although it will probably be a close one

tonyp - nah I don't think I've messed up in 4 yrs on that...8-7-1 full plays (Penn St push at 28 maybe you had different line) and 5-3 on other plays (net one 0.75 win) equals 9-7...sounds like you counted the losses from small plays without counting the wins...techically I was 13-10-1 including small plays however other plays only counted if net W or L amount equal regular as explained earlier in year and previous years since they're not full plays by themselves

longhorn - would agree with that analysis on those, BOL bud

nccapper - hard to make a case for NCS at this point so GT less than 10 sounds good, BOL NC

pecador - what's happening doc, rarely have Colorado however they're decent at home and even though improved last couple years WSU has one straight up road win in that time GL man

updated week 5

Texas -9 (2u)
Colorado -3 (2u)
West Va -17 (hook) (1.5u)
Baylor -3 (1.5u)
BYU -8.5 (1.25u)
TCU -11.5 (1.25u)
Virginia -17 (1.25u)
Tulsa -22
Auburn +11.5
Rutgers +3 (-105) (0.75u)
UCLA +22 (0.75u)

checking out a couple totals tonight or tomorrow

 
Ice4Blood
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 2:57 PM ET #34

i see you and a couple other people on UCLA... just wondering what the thought process is there... not buying into Stanford?

seems like a game that is a bet Stanford or nothing, from my angle... got any particular thoughts on why you like UCLA in this one?
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i see you and a couple other people on UCLA... just wondering what the thought process is there... not buying into Stanford?

seems like a game that is a bet Stanford or nothing, from my angle... got any particular thoughts on why you like UCLA in this one?
 
Pipe-Light
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 3:03 PM ET #35

Quote Originally Posted by tonyperaino:

Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

YTD 33-23 (6-2) (+10.5u)

9-7 (0-2) (-1.6) last week

Nostradamus  i had you going 8-10 last week !  Did we change a couple plays  ?

 

Bro, I hope you go back and pull up the thread and post the wins and losses. i read this thread every week and would like to know it is spot ON. All wins and losses count no matter how big or small I hope and points are the ones posted.

I have not even started betting this year. Just hope those i follow are right on. A couple I dont because they have been shown to lie.... 72kcup for one....

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Quote Originally Posted by tonyperaino:

Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

YTD 33-23 (6-2) (+10.5u)

9-7 (0-2) (-1.6) last week

Nostradamus  i had you going 8-10 last week !  Did we change a couple plays  ?

 

Bro, I hope you go back and pull up the thread and post the wins and losses. i read this thread every week and would like to know it is spot ON. All wins and losses count no matter how big or small I hope and points are the ones posted.

I have not even started betting this year. Just hope those i follow are right on. A couple I dont because they have been shown to lie.... 72kcup for one....

 
nostradamus12
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 4:23 PM ET #36

ice - hard to make a case for UCLA after losing 35-0 LY at home with similar teams (although was 24-16 in Palo Alto year before), like the Bruins getting back to running game and quite a few points

pipe - i think i've only reposted picks twice in 5 years so this will be the last time...as indicated in the first few weeks as with previous years the small plays count only to extent cumulative if net won or lost equals regular play...if you want to use 13-10 and count all of them then go for it, it actually sounds better than 9-7 to me and I could use the improvement last week...however I'll keep my own using the same consistent method as past few seasons

final week 4

Texas Tech -19.5 (2u) L
Auburn -31 (2u) L
Penn St -28 (1.5u) T
Baylor -17 (hook) (1.5u) W
MiaFL -13 L
Notre Dame -5.5 L
So Florida -27.5 W
Tulane +11 L
W Michigan +12 (0.75u) W
Bowling Green +6 (0.75u) W
UL-Lafayette +17 (hook) (0.75u) W
Fresno St -3 (0.75) W
Vandy-SC under 51.5 (0.75) W
Ark-Alabama under 51 (0.75)  L
USC-Ariz St under 54 (0.75) L
UGA-Ole Miss under 54 (0.75u) W

others - Cincinnati -7.5 (0.5) W, Clemson u25.5 (team) (0.5) L, Buffalo u18.5 (team) (0.5) W,  BYU +5/u51 teaser (0.35) W, West Va u21.5 (team) (0.35) W, Okla St +11.5/USC +10 teaser (0.35) L, Minnesota -6 (0.25) L, Marshall +21 (hook) (0.25) W...(net +0.75)

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ice - hard to make a case for UCLA after losing 35-0 LY at home with similar teams (although was 24-16 in Palo Alto year before), like the Bruins getting back to running game and quite a few points

pipe - i think i've only reposted picks twice in 5 years so this will be the last time...as indicated in the first few weeks as with previous years the small plays count only to extent cumulative if net won or lost equals regular play...if you want to use 13-10 and count all of them then go for it, it actually sounds better than 9-7 to me and I could use the improvement last week...however I'll keep my own using the same consistent method as past few seasons

final week 4

Texas Tech -19.5 (2u) L
Auburn -31 (2u) L
Penn St -28 (1.5u) T
Baylor -17 (hook) (1.5u) W
MiaFL -13 L
Notre Dame -5.5 L
So Florida -27.5 W
Tulane +11 L
W Michigan +12 (0.75u) W
Bowling Green +6 (0.75u) W
UL-Lafayette +17 (hook) (0.75u) W
Fresno St -3 (0.75) W
Vandy-SC under 51.5 (0.75) W
Ark-Alabama under 51 (0.75)  L
USC-Ariz St under 54 (0.75) L
UGA-Ole Miss under 54 (0.75u) W

others - Cincinnati -7.5 (0.5) W, Clemson u25.5 (team) (0.5) L, Buffalo u18.5 (team) (0.5) W,  BYU +5/u51 teaser (0.35) W, West Va u21.5 (team) (0.35) W, Okla St +11.5/USC +10 teaser (0.35) L, Minnesota -6 (0.25) L, Marshall +21 (hook) (0.25) W...(net +0.75)

 
nostradamus12
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 4:24 PM ET #37

now you both owe me a $1  where's that 8-10 fucker now

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now you both owe me a $1  where's that 8-10 fucker now

 
nostradamus12
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 4:32 PM ET #38

Texas 38 Iowa St 13.....like the change at QB for the Horns and believe they will be looking for a piece after LY ridiculous loss in Austin

Colorado 38 Wash St 20....seems like a short number for WSU team that has one SU road win over past years (Oreg St), CU not that bad at home going 7-5 over past 2+ seasons

West Va 45 Bowling Gr 17....BG has been a good road dog 15-5 ATS over past few seasons and had them twice (Idaho, MiaOH) this year myself...however believe they are overmatched here unless WV is still hung over from last week

Baylor 38 Kansas St 23...refuse to believe Calvin Klein can match scores with RGIII

working on rest of scores later

 

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Texas 38 Iowa St 13.....like the change at QB for the Horns and believe they will be looking for a piece after LY ridiculous loss in Austin

Colorado 38 Wash St 20....seems like a short number for WSU team that has one SU road win over past years (Oreg St), CU not that bad at home going 7-5 over past 2+ seasons

West Va 45 Bowling Gr 17....BG has been a good road dog 15-5 ATS over past few seasons and had them twice (Idaho, MiaOH) this year myself...however believe they are overmatched here unless WV is still hung over from last week

Baylor 38 Kansas St 23...refuse to believe Calvin Klein can match scores with RGIII

working on rest of scores later

 

 
Ice4Blood
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 4:37 PM ET #39

Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

ice - hard to make a case for UCLA after losing 35-0 LY at home with similar teams (although was 24-16 in Palo Alto year before), like the Bruins getting back to running game and quite a few points



fair enough... i think i could buy into the value angle more if it weren't for the fact that Stanford is coming out of their bye week, and they are playing in that 10pm time slot that Stanford seems to own...

i got Stan (-20.5) so we could both be right...
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Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

ice - hard to make a case for UCLA after losing 35-0 LY at home with similar teams (although was 24-16 in Palo Alto year before), like the Bruins getting back to running game and quite a few points



fair enough... i think i could buy into the value angle more if it weren't for the fact that Stanford is coming out of their bye week, and they are playing in that 10pm time slot that Stanford seems to own...

i got Stan (-20.5) so we could both be right...
 
nostradamus12
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 4:42 PM ET #40

BYU 34 Utah St 17.....revenge spot for last year's humiliation in Logan....QB much improved over same time last year

TCU 38 SMU 17....had a fair number as 18 in this spot, SMU banged up at WR

Virginia 38 Idaho 13....long flight back for the vandals, Cavs improved this year on offense

Tulsa 45 No Texas 13....Tulsa usually owns this level, possible letdown after upset over Indiana

So Carolina 30 Auburn 27....Garcia still making mistakes, Tigers can move the ball

Rutgers 23 Syracuse 21....orange just scrapping by against weaker teams than this (WF and Toledo)

Stanford 30 UCLA 13...Bruins getting back to running game might be able to hang around awhile, mostly a road series

short write ups this week since I had to waste time getting last weeks picks, time to check out some totals, GL all

 

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BYU 34 Utah St 17.....revenge spot for last year's humiliation in Logan....QB much improved over same time last year

TCU 38 SMU 17....had a fair number as 18 in this spot, SMU banged up at WR

Virginia 38 Idaho 13....long flight back for the vandals, Cavs improved this year on offense

Tulsa 45 No Texas 13....Tulsa usually owns this level, possible letdown after upset over Indiana

So Carolina 30 Auburn 27....Garcia still making mistakes, Tigers can move the ball

Rutgers 23 Syracuse 21....orange just scrapping by against weaker teams than this (WF and Toledo)

Stanford 30 UCLA 13...Bruins getting back to running game might be able to hang around awhile, mostly a road series

short write ups this week since I had to waste time getting last weeks picks, time to check out some totals, GL all

 

 
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 4:44 PM ET #41

ice - 21 sounds good to me...as you can see it's not real high on the money list....UCLA could get shutout at any moment, GL this week
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ice - 21 sounds good to me...as you can see it's not real high on the money list....UCLA could get shutout at any moment, GL this week
 
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 5:54 PM ET #42

Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

now you both owe me a $1  where's that 8-10 fucker now

Hey Nos... I did not want you to post it. He was the one saying it was wrong, thus I used HIS quote and told HIM to go back and get it, and make it right.... I said : I have been reading it for years. I guess I should have added that I had never seen anything wrong with it, thus I was telling him to fix it..

 

Sorry if it came off as i was asking you, hope you look at it again, I used HIS quote !

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Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

now you both owe me a $1  where's that 8-10 fucker now

Hey Nos... I did not want you to post it. He was the one saying it was wrong, thus I used HIS quote and told HIM to go back and get it, and make it right.... I said : I have been reading it for years. I guess I should have added that I had never seen anything wrong with it, thus I was telling him to fix it..

 

Sorry if it came off as i was asking you, hope you look at it again, I used HIS quote !

 
Hotrod0310
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 9:17 PM ET #43

Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

now you both owe me a $1  where's that 8-10 fucker now

  Go get'em Nos.  Screw those fuckers.  Keep doin what u doin!  Card looks great

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Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

now you both owe me a $1  where's that 8-10 fucker now

  Go get'em Nos.  Screw those fuckers.  Keep doin what u doin!  Card looks great

 
apeterson8809
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Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 9:48 PM ET #44

GL NOS
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GL NOS
 
phancard
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Posted: Sep. 27, 2011 - 2:05 AM ET #45

Good luck Nos, like most of your plays except UCLA . I don't feel lucky betting against luck in his house. UCLA is not that good and I follow their games closely because I live 30 minutes away from campus.
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Good luck Nos, like most of your plays except UCLA . I don't feel lucky betting against luck in his house. UCLA is not that good and I follow their games closely because I live 30 minutes away from campus.
 
longhornswin
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Posted: Sep. 27, 2011 - 2:12 AM ET #46

GL Nos!  Card is lookin' strong!
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GL Nos!  Card is lookin' strong!
 
tideman
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Posted: Sep. 27, 2011 - 8:23 AM ET #47

Nos    
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Nos    
 
BigRedGambler
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Posted: Sep. 27, 2011 - 11:53 AM ET #48

GOOD LUCK THIS WEEK NOS. I'M LOVING THE BAYLOR PLAY.
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GOOD LUCK THIS WEEK NOS. I'M LOVING THE BAYLOR PLAY.
 
SportsFreak69
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Posted: Sep. 27, 2011 - 2:46 PM ET #49

Best of Luck
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Best of Luck
 
 
PROPHET4
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Posted: Sep. 27, 2011 - 4:10 PM ET #50

NOS  
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NOS  
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