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My updated top 15 picks for week 1

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Posted: #101
Longhorn the official weekly 12 pack comes out noon Vegas on Thursday.





A tout wannabee....or using touts plays / passing them off as his own.....I told you knuckleheads...............

* A super weird nerdish-foreigner type....(not that there's anything wrong with that)........
* A chick
* OR....regular dude suffering from recent SEVERE head trauma.....that is the only explanation for his ridiculous posts

" I don't BELIEVE.....in regression to the mean!"............
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #102
VJ - I still like the Notre Dame/Texas Under 60.   This is week 1.     I think with N Dames loss of Redfield, some think Texas will be able to pass.    I think both D's will be strong against the run, or at least I hope for my Longhorns sake.    I think both teams will be forced to pass, and Texas as crappy slow un-athletic, but good leader Dylan Hanes at FS, and N Dame will start a true freshman (though highly recruited) at FS.  I am not worried about it.     Heck, isn't the Indiana v. FIU Total only 60.    There will not be much defense in that game...Have faith...but, like I said earlier, I have tempered expectations for my Longhorns.     And I just remember that I saw 3 dismal Texas Defensive performances last season in person, Notre Dame,  TCU, and Texas Tech...I think N. Dame has much more discipline than Texas right now.      I think Jimmy may be on to something with regard to the 1st half under.   Texas will be jacked up and play with emotion in the first half, then N Dame will make adjustments, and they will be off to the races...I don't know...

With regard to the criticism above, don't worry about it.   Though you need  to be as honest as you can. but the main thing is to pick a relatively high % ATS, and you will have a backing.    I think you may want to limit your picks to 6-8...Don't try to be a tout...Just make your picks and back them up with a rational... And honestly, I have no idea with regard to the order/ranking of your picks...
LonghornHoosier
 
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Posted: #103
BookieAssasian whats your deal with me?
 
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Posted: #104
I have stated many times I have no interest in being a tout. I like the back and forth of conversation about games. 
 
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Posted: #105
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:

Longhorn the official weekly 12 pack comes out noon Vegas on Thursday.





A tout wannabee....or using touts plays / passing them off as his own.....I told you knuckleheads...............

* A super weird nerdish-foreigner type....(not that there's anything wrong with that)........
* A chick
* OR....regular dude suffering from recent SEVERE head trauma.....that is the only explanation for his ridiculous posts

" I don't BELIEVE.....in regression to the mean!"............


Bro, I am just trying to help!     I see Doc Strangelove is now on Kansas St.   you still believe Stan is 21 points better after the loss of Love.      I guess we will find out soon enough...I still need to post my pros and cons tomorrow prior to the Tenn kickoff.  Thanks for everything you do!    Let's get it this season!   


LonghornHoosier
 
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Posted: #106
Longhorn sometimes I split total bets with 1st half and game. In this game I have bet all on the game under. I am not disagreeing with the 1st half under strategy, just already have committed my bets at 58.5 60.5 and 60. Have small wagers on ND -5  and -5.5 made earlier this summer. Longhorn I will stick with the 12 pack through this season. I think its reasonable to use the same system all season. For anyone curious these are 12 games all capped by me. I use touts, but those games are not released till game days. I respect the many great cappers on here in this forum and others over the years. One issue with many of the great cappers people want to tail, is that trying to follow what are official picks and when they are released is very hard sometimes. For those that like my picks, I will make it very easy to follow me with one release time each week.
 
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Posted: #107
(SHUA) to make clear, those were my thoughts on the game at the time. Yes I have locked in wagers at various spreads on many of those games. For record keeping purposes the 12 pack will be my official releases. I will post my write ups on each game throughout Wednesday and Thursday. Many posters on here use lines that are not available when they make the post, I FIND THIS either dishonest or not useful for people reading the post. I will use 5 dimes, and post 12 games with lines current at the time I hit submit on the post. 
 
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Posted: #108
 
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Posted: #109
Indiana did not end up being my game of the week Clemson did, My 12 picks are in another thread. I have big in game bets on Indiana and will make big halftime wager as well.
 
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Posted: #110
Night 1 crazy as usual. Congrats to all the Tulane and Under backers smart plays. Sweating this Indiana big time. Backed off making more wagers on Minnesota at 13, but still have lots of money at 10. That guy that had 40K moneyline on Tenn is breaking some serious sweat. Pissed I didnt grab Louisville game. Great call to the many of you backing Louisville in this forum. I almost always take the trailing team and over on the halftime in games like Louisville up 56-0 have it parlayed twice with some other bets.
 
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Posted: #111
Damn that TN, FIU offense as bad as I thought. Oregon St stepping up so far. Public got killed on TN and SC. 
 
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Posted: #112
I meant got killed betting Vandy vs SC! Public won big on Louisville though. Good call on whoever drove down that Tulane-WF game and drove up the WKU-Rice spread.
 
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Posted: #113
Wild 1st night, hope everyone got off to a good start. Or at least avoided getting buried.
 
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Posted: #114
I doubled down on Stanford its now a max bet -12.5, -14.5 , 15 and -16.5 lines for me. 
 
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Posted: #115
I have no idea what drove that Stanford line down 3 points this morning, some whale/elephans watching the Tenn debacle and telling himself that Bill Snyder and KSU are undervalued and putting a mil on KSU?     
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Posted: #116
Longhorn I ended up in Texas, didnt get to go to the Hoosiers game. They made me sweat. Defense looked good versus that horrid FIU offense. Enjoy your Labor Day weekend in Austin. Have any fresh picks for Saturday? I am staying high on Clemson, OU, SMU.
 
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Posted: #117
Loving Temple down here at 14.5 . 
 
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Posted: #118
Longhorn you confused me with the repost of BookieAssassian? I think I have a very transparent system releasing all 12 of my picks with current spreads at the same time each week. Yes I did change from the system I said I would use this summer.
 
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Posted: #119
Update?   
 
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Posted: #120


Don't run and hide from a bad week....   


We don't like people that do that....   


Especially those talk big and claim to bet bigger......
 
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Posted: #121
I had a losing week so far

He did suddenly disappear
Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
 
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Posted: #122
Opinion. 

Again. PROVE what your big mouth spits out or shut up. You look so amazingly stupid each time you post
Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
 
 
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Posted: #123
Who cares. Only you. As said before, let it go

Your obsession is beyond sad
Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
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