Best wishes for 2015 for all our dedicated subscribers
Thanks for all the banter and discussion during 2014. It is much appreciated.
So far good start to the bowls 6-3; ND burned me yesterday what an impressive showing by those guys and we were a bit worried about the unknown QB and coaching prowess of Kelly. A job well done and ND fans should be looking forward to the future with that guy at QB in my early estimation. We still love ourselves some LSU tho can't wait to see Fournette dominate next yr.
Today ? Will have 2 leans and one #steamlockpounder
First up
Peach Bowl
Looked at this game for a while last night. On the one hand - you have the team that has scored 30+ points in EVERY game this yr - say what you want - that is impressive - AND they have a chip on their shoulder (maybe?) to prove they should have been in the 4 team playoff.....On the other hand - you have the #1 scoring D in the NCAA - not as impressive later in the yr - but they are still a force....And they go against a TCU team that has not faced a D near this caliber yet....AND the Big12 has #shitthebedbigtime so far in bowl games - which may mean squat - but it surely has to make you wonder just a bit.
So what do we do? Well as you know with our annoying 2 page write-ups - we put down our thoughts and try to come up with something - or at the very least - help the young Sparkies out there make a decision on their picks. For our money - just too much uncertainty to put a full unit on this one so just going with a lean on this one.
lean - TCU team total under 30.5 (Bet 365)..........We see mostly 29/29.5 out there - Bet 365 actually has 30.5 and 24.5 with a spread of TCU -3.5.
Now this is no gimme - like we said TCU has scored 30 in every game this yr. But Ole Miss has only given up 14ish/game so think TCU may be in for a bit of culture shock in this yr. Then again - maybe not. Just an action play on this one.....Ole Miss did give up 35 to Auburn - probably similar in explosiveness to TCU.....gave up 30 to Arkansas (turned it over 6 times tho)....over 440Y to Miss St......Gonna just hope for a good game and hope that the Ole Miss D shows up with a chip on THEIR shoulder with something to prove as an underdog in this one and with Ole Miss missing some weapons on offense.
Best wishes for 2015 for all our dedicated subscribers
Thanks for all the banter and discussion during 2014. It is much appreciated.
So far good start to the bowls 6-3; ND burned me yesterday what an impressive showing by those guys and we were a bit worried about the unknown QB and coaching prowess of Kelly. A job well done and ND fans should be looking forward to the future with that guy at QB in my early estimation. We still love ourselves some LSU tho can't wait to see Fournette dominate next yr.
Today ? Will have 2 leans and one #steamlockpounder
First up
Peach Bowl
Looked at this game for a while last night. On the one hand - you have the team that has scored 30+ points in EVERY game this yr - say what you want - that is impressive - AND they have a chip on their shoulder (maybe?) to prove they should have been in the 4 team playoff.....On the other hand - you have the #1 scoring D in the NCAA - not as impressive later in the yr - but they are still a force....And they go against a TCU team that has not faced a D near this caliber yet....AND the Big12 has #shitthebedbigtime so far in bowl games - which may mean squat - but it surely has to make you wonder just a bit.
So what do we do? Well as you know with our annoying 2 page write-ups - we put down our thoughts and try to come up with something - or at the very least - help the young Sparkies out there make a decision on their picks. For our money - just too much uncertainty to put a full unit on this one so just going with a lean on this one.
lean - TCU team total under 30.5 (Bet 365)..........We see mostly 29/29.5 out there - Bet 365 actually has 30.5 and 24.5 with a spread of TCU -3.5.
Now this is no gimme - like we said TCU has scored 30 in every game this yr. But Ole Miss has only given up 14ish/game so think TCU may be in for a bit of culture shock in this yr. Then again - maybe not. Just an action play on this one.....Ole Miss did give up 35 to Auburn - probably similar in explosiveness to TCU.....gave up 30 to Arkansas (turned it over 6 times tho)....over 440Y to Miss St......Gonna just hope for a good game and hope that the Ole Miss D shows up with a chip on THEIR shoulder with something to prove as an underdog in this one and with Ole Miss missing some weapons on offense.
Mega! Thanks for all of the hard work this year, BOL today and in 2015.
I have 30 for TT under but I think I'm going to play, ole miss D is pretty ferocious, plus I don't want to lay the +3.5 with Bad Bo involved.
I'm also leaning GT +6.5 (would love 7) tonight, it's a motivation play as I don't think Miss State is very excited to be there. Possibly a parlay with the over as Tech's D stinks
Mega! Thanks for all of the hard work this year, BOL today and in 2015.
I have 30 for TT under but I think I'm going to play, ole miss D is pretty ferocious, plus I don't want to lay the +3.5 with Bad Bo involved.
I'm also leaning GT +6.5 (would love 7) tonight, it's a motivation play as I don't think Miss State is very excited to be there. Possibly a parlay with the over as Tech's D stinks
Another really tough game for us....We know it is not always helpful to tell you that - but maybe you guys can find a nugget in here to push you one way or another.......We are just going with another lean here....Figure we owe Covers Nation some write-ups and more POTENTIALLY ANNOYING BABBLE
These 2 teams looks very evenly matched to us....Both are very balanced on offense - Az 42 rush 28th pass - Boise is 28/26....Boise D statistically looks ok but got lit up vs NMex and Nev for over 45 and gave up almost 30 to the bucktoothed moron and SD St pointshaving HC but we digress....AZ D has had its moments but gave up 86 pts last 2 games - and had trouble pretty much all yr squeeking by utsa nevada cal washington....rank 72 vs run and 102 pass eff D....They played a much tougher schedule from wk to wk - but when you look at how they played some pretty weak teams - very often they played down to their level....And will they be 100% up for this one?? Yes it is close to home - but off the oregon trouncing??? Boise should be jacked to make yet another statement....Maybe slight motvation edge but that is just a guess to be honest as you guys know.
Lean - we are gonna try Boise +3 small based on what we noted above....Boise really started to click as the yr went on - and stud RB Jay Ajiaiijaiiji is a beast - QB over 70% - D creates turnovers and gets to the QB....Az D has some holes and has been inconsistent this yr......Boise managed to get 28+ points in 11 out of 13 games this yr - one of those they missed was an August tilt with ole miss....Think this one should be close.....Not going full unit because we have not selected Pac12 games up to our standards this yr and Az has played such tougher teams week in and week out that we cannot lie - a bit worried that they jump out early and cruise - so again - just an action play on this one.
Another really tough game for us....We know it is not always helpful to tell you that - but maybe you guys can find a nugget in here to push you one way or another.......We are just going with another lean here....Figure we owe Covers Nation some write-ups and more POTENTIALLY ANNOYING BABBLE
These 2 teams looks very evenly matched to us....Both are very balanced on offense - Az 42 rush 28th pass - Boise is 28/26....Boise D statistically looks ok but got lit up vs NMex and Nev for over 45 and gave up almost 30 to the bucktoothed moron and SD St pointshaving HC but we digress....AZ D has had its moments but gave up 86 pts last 2 games - and had trouble pretty much all yr squeeking by utsa nevada cal washington....rank 72 vs run and 102 pass eff D....They played a much tougher schedule from wk to wk - but when you look at how they played some pretty weak teams - very often they played down to their level....And will they be 100% up for this one?? Yes it is close to home - but off the oregon trouncing??? Boise should be jacked to make yet another statement....Maybe slight motvation edge but that is just a guess to be honest as you guys know.
Lean - we are gonna try Boise +3 small based on what we noted above....Boise really started to click as the yr went on - and stud RB Jay Ajiaiijaiiji is a beast - QB over 70% - D creates turnovers and gets to the QB....Az D has some holes and has been inconsistent this yr......Boise managed to get 28+ points in 11 out of 13 games this yr - one of those they missed was an August tilt with ole miss....Think this one should be close.....Not going full unit because we have not selected Pac12 games up to our standards this yr and Az has played such tougher teams week in and week out that we cannot lie - a bit worried that they jump out early and cruise - so again - just an action play on this one.
STUPID REVENGE BET SHOULD FADE THIS GAME OF THE WEEK
Miss St -6.5
We are still smarting from that awesome PIPE FITTER STYLE back door cover by GT vs Fla St - down 9 at their own 3 yd line 3 min left ...option qb - 5/5 on the drive passing 97 yds and john elway leads them to a cover Now you guys know we never whine - just having fun - GT was the right side - just a painful way to end that one you know how it is ....Why bring it up? We hope this is not a stupid revenge bet....read what we think and fade it or tag along
1. Miss St was considered a top team for most of the year - and based on their resume - have to still be considered a top 10 team at worst........played a very tough SEC schedule and while they faded a bit down the stretch - it is no disgrace to lose to ole miss - and they outgained bama on the road 428-335 in a 5 pt loss....Time off should help Dak get healthy
2. Miss St #25 vs the run. #121 in pass y allowed. Think this is a good matchup for them with their size and speed on D....Yes - GT can run on anyone - got 250+ rush every game - but this should be much tougher sledding and probably best D they will face all yr - Miss St ranked #1 in red zone D hopefully will not keel over like the Fla St D but i guess you never know
3. Last 5 bowl games - GT is 1-4 and scored 14 7 27 21 17 and none of those were against a team as good as Miss St....Now we do not want to go URBAN LEGEND and talk about how extra time off helps a D prepare for the option - but maybe just maybe there is a bit of truth? You guys decide - it is interesting to think about and the time off cannot hurt. Next thing you know we will turn into BLOODBATH guy and note how a 44% win rate somehow translates into Covers always loses
4. The biggie for us - of course could be wrong - we give GT credit and love their QB - but just think after it is all said and done trading paint all game - Miss St gets more stops....that GT D is just not very good at all - eye test - just our opinion - but think that over the course of the game Miss St will impose their will more often....11th ranked rush D in the ACC and they do not even play themselves....11th in the ACC in pass eff D.
STUPID REVENGE BET SHOULD FADE THIS GAME OF THE WEEK
Miss St -6.5
We are still smarting from that awesome PIPE FITTER STYLE back door cover by GT vs Fla St - down 9 at their own 3 yd line 3 min left ...option qb - 5/5 on the drive passing 97 yds and john elway leads them to a cover Now you guys know we never whine - just having fun - GT was the right side - just a painful way to end that one you know how it is ....Why bring it up? We hope this is not a stupid revenge bet....read what we think and fade it or tag along
1. Miss St was considered a top team for most of the year - and based on their resume - have to still be considered a top 10 team at worst........played a very tough SEC schedule and while they faded a bit down the stretch - it is no disgrace to lose to ole miss - and they outgained bama on the road 428-335 in a 5 pt loss....Time off should help Dak get healthy
2. Miss St #25 vs the run. #121 in pass y allowed. Think this is a good matchup for them with their size and speed on D....Yes - GT can run on anyone - got 250+ rush every game - but this should be much tougher sledding and probably best D they will face all yr - Miss St ranked #1 in red zone D hopefully will not keel over like the Fla St D but i guess you never know
3. Last 5 bowl games - GT is 1-4 and scored 14 7 27 21 17 and none of those were against a team as good as Miss St....Now we do not want to go URBAN LEGEND and talk about how extra time off helps a D prepare for the option - but maybe just maybe there is a bit of truth? You guys decide - it is interesting to think about and the time off cannot hurt. Next thing you know we will turn into BLOODBATH guy and note how a 44% win rate somehow translates into Covers always loses
4. The biggie for us - of course could be wrong - we give GT credit and love their QB - but just think after it is all said and done trading paint all game - Miss St gets more stops....that GT D is just not very good at all - eye test - just our opinion - but think that over the course of the game Miss St will impose their will more often....11th ranked rush D in the ACC and they do not even play themselves....11th in the ACC in pass eff D.
Ataboy! I like em' (I will wait till closer to game time to jump on the Miss. st. game (It's either Miss. st minus points OR Miss. St. team total OVER--or nothing at all in that tilt) and your LEAN on TCU TT/UND??.. you should fall over on whatever your leaning on and make that a play…EZZ call IMO my Brother
Ataboy! I like em' (I will wait till closer to game time to jump on the Miss. st. game (It's either Miss. st minus points OR Miss. St. team total OVER--or nothing at all in that tilt) and your LEAN on TCU TT/UND??.. you should fall over on whatever your leaning on and make that a play…EZZ call IMO my Brother
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