@Bridge1
FWIW, here's what I have this week. Hope guys like you and BA don't mind me posting in your threads.... too lazy to make my own and keep up with it.
Chattanooga / Wofford Under 53 max bet, played again at U50.
Chance of rain in the forecast and (I think) two solid defenses here. Wofford HC definitely defensive minded and they've continued the run 1st offense since he took over (helps burn the clock). Chattanooga's lone fall game vs. WKU was low scoring, I expect more of the same.
Northern Iowa / Youngstown State Under 43 max bet, played again at U40.5.
Chance of rain in the forecast again and regardless of that I think UNI wins about 14-7. Defenses should dominate here. YSU new staff and a lot of new players will play hard, but I can't see UNI going to 0-2 in basically a must win game. UNI run game / O-Line worse than I thought LW vs. SDSU. I think they find a way to win a low scoring ugly game here. YSU's young QB set HS passing records and should slowly but surely beat out the veteran who's #s are very pedestrian. Also have UNI -5 but only 0.5u.
North Dakota / South Dakota State Under 52.5 (2u). (I think) two solid run defenses based on a limited sample size. SDSU with a different QB 1st string than any of us expected, I need to circle back and see if the other two are healthy and he beat them out or if they are out for other reasons. That opening # looked a little high too me for the style of play for these two teams. Also took North Dakota +11 (0.5u).
BTW, SDSU only Dakota schools that plays outdoors, but MVFC purposely scheduled them with road games to start the spring season.
Arkansas Pine Bluff -13 (1u) - full disclosure, very little capping here, but my final 2019 #s are solid and I would have made the postseason line -21.5, so based on that, and the number alone, had to fade the winless team. For all I know they have 60 new players and the 2nd year coach is tearing it down to build it back up, but they'll have to prove it to me. APB new HC promoted from within, offensive minded. Continuity should keep the upward progress going (much improved 2018 to 2019).
Nicholls State -15 (1u) - wanted -14 or better, but knew this would go up regardless. It did. Nicholls solid in the Southland. Really a fade of a bad team with a new HC that had the weather issues last week (how much and how well did they really practice??). Lamar has to be a run 1st team based on new HC's resume and coaching mentors over the years. A lot of new players, we'll see how long it takes them to come together on the field.
Gardner-Webb +20.5 (0.75u) - more a fade of Elon than a play on G-W. New HC, but as far as I can tell Gardner-Webb will remain a run first offense. Same type of offense that gave Elon trouble last week (Davidson, run 1st offense).
Robert Morris +38.5 (0.75u) - line looks about right based on last season's final PR#s and common opponent St. Francis. Think I need 1 TD out of RM here. JMU lost a lot of production and league play begins next week, can't see them going peddle down in the 2nd half here. RM much improved from 1st to 2nd year under this HC, now moving to a tougher conference in his 3rd season.
Was going to add more general stuff on FCS, conferences, etc. but I'm needed elsewhere. Take care boys! Hopefully more later.
TD