Why I like it:I
think Syracuse may be in the same shape as SMU was last year, in complete
rebuilding mode and not really caring about this season, but caring more about
laying a foundation for next.I counted
12 players in the 3 deep that left the team.While Minny has not been in the role of a favorite very often they are
money ATS on the road.I simply think
Weber to Carpenter and Decker will serve to be so much more productive than
Palaus to whomever, I will gladly lay the 6.5
Why I’m worried.I’m
really not.I think I am more confident
in this play than any of my other plays.Sure Minny is on the road and they had their melt down last year.This is as much of an orange fade than
anything.I plan to keep it up until it
proves unsuccessful.
My predicted score:Minnesota 41 Syracuse 17
NC State –2.5 SC 2.2 to win 2
Why I like it:I
really think Garcia is a bum.I think
there is a huge gap in QB talent between the two teams.There is the revenge factor and the Thursday
night home game.
Why I’m worried:I
wish Nate Irving could be on the field.Dogging an SEC team usually worries me a bit as well.I got this line as well as a few more when
The Greek first posted their numbers, I figured it would be 4 and jumped when I
saw 2.5.Maybe I put too much emphasis
on getting the pack at less than a FG when I was sure it would open at 4.We will see.
Why I like it:I
think Syracuse may be in the same shape as SMU was last year, in complete
rebuilding mode and not really caring about this season, but caring more about
laying a foundation for next.I counted
12 players in the 3 deep that left the team.While Minny has not been in the role of a favorite very often they are
money ATS on the road.I simply think
Weber to Carpenter and Decker will serve to be so much more productive than
Palaus to whomever, I will gladly lay the 6.5
Why I’m worried.I’m
really not.I think I am more confident
in this play than any of my other plays.Sure Minny is on the road and they had their melt down last year.This is as much of an orange fade than
anything.I plan to keep it up until it
proves unsuccessful.
My predicted score:Minnesota 41 Syracuse 17
NC State –2.5 SC 2.2 to win 2
Why I like it:I
really think Garcia is a bum.I think
there is a huge gap in QB talent between the two teams.There is the revenge factor and the Thursday
night home game.
Why I’m worried:I
wish Nate Irving could be on the field.Dogging an SEC team usually worries me a bit as well.I got this line as well as a few more when
The Greek first posted their numbers, I figured it would be 4 and jumped when I
saw 2.5.Maybe I put too much emphasis
on getting the pack at less than a FG when I was sure it would open at 4.We will see.
Why I like it:First
lets start by saying I am a UK homer.With that being said I rarely bet them, maybe 2 or 3 times a year and am
pretty good at finding the right spots.I thought this line would be 17 and it opened at the The Greek at
13.Kentucky prepares well for these
types of games.I think they have the
longest non conference-winning streak in the country.All the reports out of camp are that Mike Hartline looks like a
different QB.Brooks has stated he
thinks this team is ahead of any other team he has coached coming out of
camp.In Hartline’s defense he really
had nothing to throw at last year and gets one hell of an athlete in Randall
Cobb as a permanent fixture at WR after having to use him behind center and at
RB some last year. Don’t worry about a look ahead to UL as there is a bye week
after this game.
Why I’m worried: Brooks has constantly complained about the
Defense during Fall practice.He has
stated it has not improved like he would have liked.UK’s Center is suspended for the game.Cobb was held out of practice nursing injuries last week but
should be okay come Saturday.
My predicted score:UK 38Miami OH 13
Missouri/Illinois over 602.2 to win 2
Why I like it:They
scored 94 combined last year in the Edward Jones Dome and 74 the year
before.Sure Mizzou lost a lot at their
skill positions.I’m really not worried
about a big drop off at QB especially against a not so great defense in
Illinois.Gabbert has a cannon for an
arm and has looked really good in the spring.I love having a QB that you can count on for a few big passing plays
when playing an over.Illinois should
have no trouble moving the ball with Juice and company versus an average Mizzou
defense.
Why I’m worried:I’m
really not.I love the play.An inexperienced QB is a bit of a concern
and a few untimely Turnovers’ in the red zone can kill overs. I may even
consider action points on this at $10 a point.
My predicted score:Illinois 45Missouri 41
Troy –6 Bowling Green 2.2 to win 2
Why I like it:This
game did no stand out to be before it got so much board love.Then I took a closer look at the game.I really just think Troy is much the better
team.The BG backers will point out
that Troy’s defense is not much, true but I still feel it is better than Bowling
Green’s.Troy seems like a team that is
turning into a year in and year out consistent team.They have 7 starters back on offense including a QB that had a
15-3 TD INT ratio last year.
Why I’m worried:As
pointed out in an earlier post by the much respected BigDaddyHD,Troy will have no experience at DB as their
starting CB was just ruled academically ineligible.This could turn out to be a high scoring game that lends itself
to back door covers.Let’s hope that
Troy can hold the lead if it comes to this.
Why I like it:First
lets start by saying I am a UK homer.With that being said I rarely bet them, maybe 2 or 3 times a year and am
pretty good at finding the right spots.I thought this line would be 17 and it opened at the The Greek at
13.Kentucky prepares well for these
types of games.I think they have the
longest non conference-winning streak in the country.All the reports out of camp are that Mike Hartline looks like a
different QB.Brooks has stated he
thinks this team is ahead of any other team he has coached coming out of
camp.In Hartline’s defense he really
had nothing to throw at last year and gets one hell of an athlete in Randall
Cobb as a permanent fixture at WR after having to use him behind center and at
RB some last year. Don’t worry about a look ahead to UL as there is a bye week
after this game.
Why I’m worried: Brooks has constantly complained about the
Defense during Fall practice.He has
stated it has not improved like he would have liked.UK’s Center is suspended for the game.Cobb was held out of practice nursing injuries last week but
should be okay come Saturday.
My predicted score:UK 38Miami OH 13
Missouri/Illinois over 602.2 to win 2
Why I like it:They
scored 94 combined last year in the Edward Jones Dome and 74 the year
before.Sure Mizzou lost a lot at their
skill positions.I’m really not worried
about a big drop off at QB especially against a not so great defense in
Illinois.Gabbert has a cannon for an
arm and has looked really good in the spring.I love having a QB that you can count on for a few big passing plays
when playing an over.Illinois should
have no trouble moving the ball with Juice and company versus an average Mizzou
defense.
Why I’m worried:I’m
really not.I love the play.An inexperienced QB is a bit of a concern
and a few untimely Turnovers’ in the red zone can kill overs. I may even
consider action points on this at $10 a point.
My predicted score:Illinois 45Missouri 41
Troy –6 Bowling Green 2.2 to win 2
Why I like it:This
game did no stand out to be before it got so much board love.Then I took a closer look at the game.I really just think Troy is much the better
team.The BG backers will point out
that Troy’s defense is not much, true but I still feel it is better than Bowling
Green’s.Troy seems like a team that is
turning into a year in and year out consistent team.They have 7 starters back on offense including a QB that had a
15-3 TD INT ratio last year.
Why I’m worried:As
pointed out in an earlier post by the much respected BigDaddyHD,Troy will have no experience at DB as their
starting CB was just ruled academically ineligible.This could turn out to be a high scoring game that lends itself
to back door covers.Let’s hope that
Troy can hold the lead if it comes to this.
Why I like it.Another game that The Greek openers were less than I had predicted.I figured you would be forced to lay 17 +
with LSU.I jumped at the 15.5.I think the speed of SEC defenses are such a
huge advantage in non conference games such as this.LSU has their QB situation under control and may be poised to
redeem itself for a horrible season last year.I think the overall gap in talent may be too much to make up for
Washington.
Why I’m worried.It
was pointed out in a write up on this game that one should not generally play
against home night dogs especially ones with a quality QB.I agree and am afraid I may be playing with
fire with Locker. This is another game
that a Back door cover really scares me.Honestly I knew I would want action on the late game and got the number
I wanted.I hope I can squeak by.
My predicted score:LSU 37Washington 17
This is my card. I am thinking of adding Texas for a first
half play and possibly Cal for a second half.Good luck to you all.
Why I like it.Another game that The Greek openers were less than I had predicted.I figured you would be forced to lay 17 +
with LSU.I jumped at the 15.5.I think the speed of SEC defenses are such a
huge advantage in non conference games such as this.LSU has their QB situation under control and may be poised to
redeem itself for a horrible season last year.I think the overall gap in talent may be too much to make up for
Washington.
Why I’m worried.It
was pointed out in a write up on this game that one should not generally play
against home night dogs especially ones with a quality QB.I agree and am afraid I may be playing with
fire with Locker. This is another game
that a Back door cover really scares me.Honestly I knew I would want action on the late game and got the number
I wanted.I hope I can squeak by.
My predicted score:LSU 37Washington 17
This is my card. I am thinking of adding Texas for a first
half play and possibly Cal for a second half.Good luck to you all.
nice pics, i have all the same picks questioning myself on nc st still thinking about taking same teams and switching to sc when line goes up alittle bit
nice pics, i have all the same picks questioning myself on nc st still thinking about taking same teams and switching to sc when line goes up alittle bit
well i picked a 8 team parlay um about a week or 2 ago at the casino, i picked sc +3.5 and when i got home i noticed they gave me nc st -3.5, i dont know if this is a blessing or not but if i win the other 7 i will be furious if i lose that one....haha
well i picked a 8 team parlay um about a week or 2 ago at the casino, i picked sc +3.5 and when i got home i noticed they gave me nc st -3.5, i dont know if this is a blessing or not but if i win the other 7 i will be furious if i lose that one....haha
all i ever saw was - 3.5 from the get go for ncsu -
Yeah I was extremely lucky. I was going to check all day on the sunday the lines were supposed to be posted and I forgot. I logged on at around 3:00 or so and they were being posted that min. I would hit refresh and some lines would change a whole point. I think Notre Dame was originally posted at 9 and every time I refreshed it moved 1/2 point about every 15 mins for over an hour. It was good getting some better numbers, but I was afraid to even think about them too long in fear of them moving as fast as some others I were seeing move. Luckily I had narrowed my card down to about 10 games to begin with so I just went with the games that were posted at better than my number. I had split my money up between there, matchbook and 5 Dimes and ran out of cash otherwise I would have grabbed the Irish -9 and looked to have middled. Good luck buddy.
all i ever saw was - 3.5 from the get go for ncsu -
Yeah I was extremely lucky. I was going to check all day on the sunday the lines were supposed to be posted and I forgot. I logged on at around 3:00 or so and they were being posted that min. I would hit refresh and some lines would change a whole point. I think Notre Dame was originally posted at 9 and every time I refreshed it moved 1/2 point about every 15 mins for over an hour. It was good getting some better numbers, but I was afraid to even think about them too long in fear of them moving as fast as some others I were seeing move. Luckily I had narrowed my card down to about 10 games to begin with so I just went with the games that were posted at better than my number. I had split my money up between there, matchbook and 5 Dimes and ran out of cash otherwise I would have grabbed the Irish -9 and looked to have middled. Good luck buddy.
well i picked a 8 team parlay um about a week or 2 ago at the casino, i picked sc +3.5 and when i got home i noticed they gave me nc st -3.5, i dont know if this is a blessing or not but if i win the other 7 i will be furious if i lose that one....haha
Man that sucks! You'll have to root against yourself if you are 6-1with a SC cover going into that last game!
well i picked a 8 team parlay um about a week or 2 ago at the casino, i picked sc +3.5 and when i got home i noticed they gave me nc st -3.5, i dont know if this is a blessing or not but if i win the other 7 i will be furious if i lose that one....haha
Man that sucks! You'll have to root against yourself if you are 6-1with a SC cover going into that last game!
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