YTD 36-20 Tulane Under 149.5

Tulane/UCSD under 149.5. If anyone is chasing and needs an explanation on how I arrived at this decision just ask. Otherwise gl and let’s keep it rolling!

@Noonball

 Not chasing but would like to know your thoughts. Both teams average 80+ points per game. 149.5 feels low

Thank you in advance

UCSD has good offense no? 

@dayknight

 Np, that’s exactly why I think the under hits. Whenever the line is below what the teams average by 8 or more points and ppg against is also lower than the total it’s typically a trap line. 
I’ve used this system for 15 years and if I had to guess it hits close to 63 pct. 

The other reason I’m playing the under is because it’s the last bet of the night and it’s not a taxable number like Fresno last night where the total was overinflated to ensure the under was taken. Tonight the number is displayed at a discount rate, to ensure the over is taken, but it’s a trap.

Overs, as you know are optimistic bets. You’re alive until you’re dead. Unders, are pessimistic and you’re dead until it’s finished. Sorry for the strange analogy. My point is in this spot people will be chasing with the over because by this time of day you don’t want to enter a wager dead on arrival if that makes sense.

Reality is, LVSC, the people who set the numbers need the square action on the over knowing the sharps will balance out the money. Not to say this is a guaranteed win, but the smart money will be on the under because every conceivable indicator says to take the over like you described. Hope you win no matter what you play!

BOL nooner

@Noonball

 Great explanation and it definitely makes sense. Ill sprinkle.

Do you think 1h under also hits or you sticking to full game?

@MatthewJL46

 You too brother! Thanks for the tails!

I do like the insight and it's not an odd analogy. Psychologically overs are always in play....until they are not. But I do hate unders as a bet overall. 

@dayknight

 The way the 1st halves are shaded down I’d just play full game. That’s your best bet. 

@Noonball

 Next up lg Defense! 

love it on it large 

Is the game still on? Bet365 shows nothing about the game nor live. 

I like that the teams have to wait an extra half hour and their biorhythms will be off schedule.

fck, I didn’t have chance to bet on it and there’s no info about it on  bet365 lol, I can’t even live bet 

@ayashifx55

 Not a soft flex. I’m 7-0 today, bound to lose soon. Remember that ot game we had under on and it still almost survived ot? This could be one of those too!

@Noonball

 Bol man, I can’t tag. Bet365 doesn’t show that game, neither the Hawaii game. 

@Noonball

 Great Run Today....