and i am going to go ahead and take S.Illinois +8 at Bradley, S Ill has won 3 str, and they lost at Bradley earlier by 1 pt 69-70, these teams are pretty even SIU is 19-10 and Bradley is 20-9 on the year, SIU is 18-9-1 ats this year, and away they are pretty good ats also, they are 7-3 ats away, and 7-3 ats as a dog, and 4-2 ats as an away dog, and they last played on Feb 25th and Bradley Played on the 24th, reason i point that out is S.Illinois is 5-0 ats with a rest disadvantage ....and i think SIU has this game circled on their calendar, when they played earlier it was a game of 2 diff halves, it was a game S Ill should not have lost , they were up 21 pts at half, and lost by 1 OUCH!!! they were down 70-69 and had the ball with 11 sec's left and could not score ...i think they will want this game, it should be a close game so i'll grab 8 points for sure ...in the 1st game both teams took 50 shots, both made 13 ft's , Bradley made 8 3's SIU made 7 a very even game
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
S.Illinois +8 big
and i am going to go ahead and take S.Illinois +8 at Bradley, S Ill has won 3 str, and they lost at Bradley earlier by 1 pt 69-70, these teams are pretty even SIU is 19-10 and Bradley is 20-9 on the year, SIU is 18-9-1 ats this year, and away they are pretty good ats also, they are 7-3 ats away, and 7-3 ats as a dog, and 4-2 ats as an away dog, and they last played on Feb 25th and Bradley Played on the 24th, reason i point that out is S.Illinois is 5-0 ats with a rest disadvantage ....and i think SIU has this game circled on their calendar, when they played earlier it was a game of 2 diff halves, it was a game S Ill should not have lost , they were up 21 pts at half, and lost by 1 OUCH!!! they were down 70-69 and had the ball with 11 sec's left and could not score ...i think they will want this game, it should be a close game so i'll grab 8 points for sure ...in the 1st game both teams took 50 shots, both made 13 ft's , Bradley made 8 3's SIU made 7 a very even game
going to go with UL Lafayette -2 at home vs Troy, i have to think this team is going to give this all they got, they are back home after losing 3 in a row on the road, and it is a revenge game vs Troy, when Troy beat them at Troy 79-73 in a game where ULL had 20 to's, and Troy had 15 and ULL made 1 more shot took 4 more shots, but were just 12/16 at the ft line and Troy was 21/28 , they will get this game, last 3 games they were a -9 score margin and at home they are a +10 , they will get the turnovers under control i think, they win this by 6+ maybe 8 , they are 10-2 str up at home and 8-1 str up as a home favorite, Troy is just 4-8 str up away and 0-7 str up as an away dog,
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UL Lafayette -2
going to go with UL Lafayette -2 at home vs Troy, i have to think this team is going to give this all they got, they are back home after losing 3 in a row on the road, and it is a revenge game vs Troy, when Troy beat them at Troy 79-73 in a game where ULL had 20 to's, and Troy had 15 and ULL made 1 more shot took 4 more shots, but were just 12/16 at the ft line and Troy was 21/28 , they will get this game, last 3 games they were a -9 score margin and at home they are a +10 , they will get the turnovers under control i think, they win this by 6+ maybe 8 , they are 10-2 str up at home and 8-1 str up as a home favorite, Troy is just 4-8 str up away and 0-7 str up as an away dog,
GAME AT 4pm Also i am going to go with American -2 at Army, Army is not that good this year and American is actually a decent team ..they are 6-3 str up in their last 9 away games and their 3 losses were by 2 pts, 2 pts and 4 pts ...as a favorite they are 12-6 str up this year and as an away favorite they are 5-2 str up this year, they are 9-7 ats away, and 11-7 ats as a favorite, and 5-2 ats as aan away favorite, Army is 1-6 str up at home as a home dog this year, and 2-5 ats as a home dog this year....American is also shooting much better last 3 games than Army is, they are shooting the 3 at 36% to 28.8% for Army, effective shooting 48% to 40%, over all 41% to 35% and they shoot better away than Army does at home , American won the 1st meeting at home this yeat 79-60 they shot 58% in that game had 20 assist, 8 more rebounds, and took 6 more shots holding Army to 38% shooting
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American -2
GAME AT 4pm Also i am going to go with American -2 at Army, Army is not that good this year and American is actually a decent team ..they are 6-3 str up in their last 9 away games and their 3 losses were by 2 pts, 2 pts and 4 pts ...as a favorite they are 12-6 str up this year and as an away favorite they are 5-2 str up this year, they are 9-7 ats away, and 11-7 ats as a favorite, and 5-2 ats as aan away favorite, Army is 1-6 str up at home as a home dog this year, and 2-5 ats as a home dog this year....American is also shooting much better last 3 games than Army is, they are shooting the 3 at 36% to 28.8% for Army, effective shooting 48% to 40%, over all 41% to 35% and they shoot better away than Army does at home , American won the 1st meeting at home this yeat 79-60 they shot 58% in that game had 20 assist, 8 more rebounds, and took 6 more shots holding Army to 38% shooting
also i am on Lafayette+1 at Navy 1st off i think this line will change, i think Lafayette may be the favorite by tomorrow i am betting it now, but whats weird about Lafayette it is such a huge diff if they are favored or a dog, as a favorite they are 7-2 str up, and 3-16 str up as a dog, and they are 3-0 str up and 3-0 ats as an away favorite been on them all 3 times , and Navy is 8-3 str up as a fav and 1-14 as a dog...lol now i am not sure about when its this small but i would say i hope they become favored...lol Lafayette won the 1st matchup 78-62 at home even though Navy took 16 more shots as they were 23/67 34% and Lafayette was 29/51 57%, Navy had 15 offensive rebounds too , so Lafayette has some work to do but i am still on them here, they are still 8-5 ats away this year, and i do think this mine moves
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Lafayette+1
also i am on Lafayette+1 at Navy 1st off i think this line will change, i think Lafayette may be the favorite by tomorrow i am betting it now, but whats weird about Lafayette it is such a huge diff if they are favored or a dog, as a favorite they are 7-2 str up, and 3-16 str up as a dog, and they are 3-0 str up and 3-0 ats as an away favorite been on them all 3 times , and Navy is 8-3 str up as a fav and 1-14 as a dog...lol now i am not sure about when its this small but i would say i hope they become favored...lol Lafayette won the 1st matchup 78-62 at home even though Navy took 16 more shots as they were 23/67 34% and Lafayette was 29/51 57%, Navy had 15 offensive rebounds too , so Lafayette has some work to do but i am still on them here, they are still 8-5 ats away this year, and i do think this mine moves
and my Lehigh team plays tomorrow at home vs Boston and they are 6 pt fav's and if ya remember the write up i did lon lehigh a couple of games ago when they won by 40 as a 2 pt dog, each team that has beat them they have come back and beaten that team, and Boston beat Lehigh at Boston 72-71 , Lehigh is on a 5 game winning streak, and Boston has won 3 str but i think the revenge thing continues here, but this line is a bit higher than they have been, i am thinking this line might go up, but i could also see it staying the same here, i am going to go and lay the 6 points at home on Lehigh but a small play, i may add to it, be interesting to see where this line goes
Lehigh-6
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and my Lehigh team plays tomorrow at home vs Boston and they are 6 pt fav's and if ya remember the write up i did lon lehigh a couple of games ago when they won by 40 as a 2 pt dog, each team that has beat them they have come back and beaten that team, and Boston beat Lehigh at Boston 72-71 , Lehigh is on a 5 game winning streak, and Boston has won 3 str but i think the revenge thing continues here, but this line is a bit higher than they have been, i am thinking this line might go up, but i could also see it staying the same here, i am going to go and lay the 6 points at home on Lehigh but a small play, i may add to it, be interesting to see where this line goes
going to go OVER 166 IPFW at Wright st, last time they played it was 106-98 at IPFW Wright st winning, this should be a shootout, just hoping the each get close to 90, this should be a 94-87 type of game, favor wright st -6 also but going with the OVER here OVER 166 1 unit
others off the top i am interested in maybe are MERCER +8 at Chattanooga......Furman+2 at WCU, La Tech-2 at WKY, Ill st -4 at home Texas AM-5 Evansville+10, OVER 152 Samford/Wofford
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going to go OVER 166 IPFW at Wright st, last time they played it was 106-98 at IPFW Wright st winning, this should be a shootout, just hoping the each get close to 90, this should be a 94-87 type of game, favor wright st -6 also but going with the OVER here OVER 166 1 unit
others off the top i am interested in maybe are MERCER +8 at Chattanooga......Furman+2 at WCU, La Tech-2 at WKY, Ill st -4 at home Texas AM-5 Evansville+10, OVER 152 Samford/Wofford
my southern illinois current +7- .......hope am around will ck live play...thanks for posting oh crap you got ton more posted since i began .....had to edit which game ha ha...
goldfinger 1964
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my southern illinois current +7- .......hope am around will ck live play...thanks for posting oh crap you got ton more posted since i began .....had to edit which game ha ha...
S. Illy definitely need this game. They currently at 11-7 hold down the fourth and final bye for the first round of the MVC tournament with 2 league games left. Northern Iowa at 11-8 and Belmont at 10-8 are right there hoping to capitalize if they slip up. As fate would have it, the Salukis host N. Iowa in the regular season finale. Of course it is Seniors Night for Bradley on Wed night and they have a tough task going to Drake in the finale. And at 12-6, Bradley could conceivably, though unlikely, lose the first round bye themselves with 2 losses. Suffice to say it should be an interesting game. I would agree taking the points is the way to go.
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S. Illy definitely need this game. They currently at 11-7 hold down the fourth and final bye for the first round of the MVC tournament with 2 league games left. Northern Iowa at 11-8 and Belmont at 10-8 are right there hoping to capitalize if they slip up. As fate would have it, the Salukis host N. Iowa in the regular season finale. Of course it is Seniors Night for Bradley on Wed night and they have a tough task going to Drake in the finale. And at 12-6, Bradley could conceivably, though unlikely, lose the first round bye themselves with 2 losses. Suffice to say it should be an interesting game. I would agree taking the points is the way to go.
Great Pick.i to.really.Like SUI they will cover.well my best play is Oregon state plus 12.5 bet the house to.cover. Oregon and Oregon state have played 360.and Oregon state has a slight lead. This last game.between them ever in pac 10 team. Oregon going to.big 10.or.big 12 and Oregon state west conference
So.this will.be big deal.oregon state may win outright.
Also take.minnesota big and Lasalle
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Great Pick.i to.really.Like SUI they will cover.well my best play is Oregon state plus 12.5 bet the house to.cover. Oregon and Oregon state have played 360.and Oregon state has a slight lead. This last game.between them ever in pac 10 team. Oregon going to.big 10.or.big 12 and Oregon state west conference
So.this will.be big deal.oregon state may win outright.
my main thing is to always get ahead of line moves and by that you have to know the Public and where they will bet today so far i was right on everything except Lafayette and to be honest that surprises me, but looking at stats of 1st game i kind of see it, but american is now -3.5 s.ill is +7 but do see 8 still, total went from 166 to 168, lehigh is -7 ull-2.5 , as a handicapper no matter who we like it is important to try and know where a line will go, our # 1 thing is to always get the best line we can, does not mean it will win but its important, so knowing to bet early or to wait is key, cause if you do not think a point or half pt matters in basketball??? well you have not been betting on it long....lol i may add to Lafayette i just have a thing about when i cap a game and the public goes against me ill add to it as long as the move is not due to injury or suspensions, in other words believe in your handicapping , be surprised how many people panic when they bet and the line goes against them..lol
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my main thing is to always get ahead of line moves and by that you have to know the Public and where they will bet today so far i was right on everything except Lafayette and to be honest that surprises me, but looking at stats of 1st game i kind of see it, but american is now -3.5 s.ill is +7 but do see 8 still, total went from 166 to 168, lehigh is -7 ull-2.5 , as a handicapper no matter who we like it is important to try and know where a line will go, our # 1 thing is to always get the best line we can, does not mean it will win but its important, so knowing to bet early or to wait is key, cause if you do not think a point or half pt matters in basketball??? well you have not been betting on it long....lol i may add to Lafayette i just have a thing about when i cap a game and the public goes against me ill add to it as long as the move is not due to injury or suspensions, in other words believe in your handicapping , be surprised how many people panic when they bet and the line goes against them..lol
most of my money i have made in the added games, not as much this year but in the past bigtime, anyone who followed me at Cappersmall knows this, you will find more mistakes in added games, that is why a lot of books do not even post those lines till a couple of hours before tip off, and some books do not let you buy pts on those games, or even parlay them with others, its crazy...and they have much smaller limits than regular games, and there is a big reason for that, i was always taught to stay away from popular TV games between popular teams, those lines usually have the sharper lines, odds makers know many of your average gamblers will bet those games, back in the 70's and 80's we did not have 100 games to watch on a saturday....lol there were maybe 5 games all day on TV and those always got the most action, now its diff, but most of the mistakes in the lines will be in added games, smaller teams, with 130 games on Saturday and 80 on wed, it is hard for odds makers to make a sharp line on every game, so focus on smaller schools, and once people learn that lines are not made to say a team will win by or lose by so many points, but are made to only try and get even action both ways, that is it, books would love if they got 10,000 to bet SIU and 10,000 to bet Bradley then just take the juice...ok enough
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most of my money i have made in the added games, not as much this year but in the past bigtime, anyone who followed me at Cappersmall knows this, you will find more mistakes in added games, that is why a lot of books do not even post those lines till a couple of hours before tip off, and some books do not let you buy pts on those games, or even parlay them with others, its crazy...and they have much smaller limits than regular games, and there is a big reason for that, i was always taught to stay away from popular TV games between popular teams, those lines usually have the sharper lines, odds makers know many of your average gamblers will bet those games, back in the 70's and 80's we did not have 100 games to watch on a saturday....lol there were maybe 5 games all day on TV and those always got the most action, now its diff, but most of the mistakes in the lines will be in added games, smaller teams, with 130 games on Saturday and 80 on wed, it is hard for odds makers to make a sharp line on every game, so focus on smaller schools, and once people learn that lines are not made to say a team will win by or lose by so many points, but are made to only try and get even action both ways, that is it, books would love if they got 10,000 to bet SIU and 10,000 to bet Bradley then just take the juice...ok enough
my record is kept at the RX under One51rum same name i always had at Cappersmall right now to date its not as good as i would like and this year i have bet way more games than usual usually ill bet about 900 games a year in college this year my record is 816-650 close to 56% i try for 60% and usually get there, but i need a good run to get there, and like i said i have went nuts this year actually not smart i just try to give write ups to explain why i like a team, there are many good handicappers on this site and others , its much harder to get 60% when betting 1000 games than it is when betting 200 games , but smarter to bet 200 id rather only post at one sight, all my plays are there, here i rarely post , i am not looking for followers..lol just like sharing my thoughts i hope everyone does well
816-650 its way too many games to be up just 10,000 as a 1 unit player at -110 juice and we all know some juices are higher
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@fts1409
my record is kept at the RX under One51rum same name i always had at Cappersmall right now to date its not as good as i would like and this year i have bet way more games than usual usually ill bet about 900 games a year in college this year my record is 816-650 close to 56% i try for 60% and usually get there, but i need a good run to get there, and like i said i have went nuts this year actually not smart i just try to give write ups to explain why i like a team, there are many good handicappers on this site and others , its much harder to get 60% when betting 1000 games than it is when betting 200 games , but smarter to bet 200 id rather only post at one sight, all my plays are there, here i rarely post , i am not looking for followers..lol just like sharing my thoughts i hope everyone does well
816-650 its way too many games to be up just 10,000 as a 1 unit player at -110 juice and we all know some juices are higher
Tennessee -5 buying a point do not think i will need it, but buying has helped alot, i never have a half pt unless i cannot buy, i personally think Tennessee wins this game by 10+, but we all know anything can happen and usually does so -5 -130 1 unit
Tenn-5 -130
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Tennessee -5 buying a point do not think i will need it, but buying has helped alot, i never have a half pt unless i cannot buy, i personally think Tennessee wins this game by 10+, but we all know anything can happen and usually does so -5 -130 1 unit
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Bacardi.
going to take a look at Salukis 
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