::Sunday:: 3/8 (303-296-0) -29 units

1* 265-255

2* 29-31

3* 7-8

4* 1-1

5* 1-1

1* High Point Panthers -6.5

The Panthers only loss in the conference was to this Winthrop team, and it was by 17.  High Point got revenge at home, but only by 2.  Now everything is on the line, and I think the conferences best offense, and best defense, will rise to the occasion.  

1* Campbell Camels +7.5

Wilmington swept the season series, but both games were tight to the end, and the Camels covered this number both times.  They played very well yesterday in their win over Stony Brook, and i think they keep the momentum rolling into this match up with the conference winner, who has had a few days off, and will be their first time in this gym.

1* Northern Iowa Panthers -2.5

Give me Ben Jacobson in a title game every time.  The dude knows how to win.  The split the season series, winning on each others home floors.  This is going to be an awesome game, wish I was there.  But in a game that only needs to be decided by a possession, I'll take the veteran coach, in a situation he's been in before. 

More coming.  Time change has me all fucked up. 

Good luck STL

1* Charlotte/South Florida Over 152.5

This game means nothing to South Florida, so I expect another street ball style game like we had with USF/Memphis.  No, Charlotte doesn't run like Memphis does, they are actually one of the slower tempos in the country.  But they are efficient on offense.  And they are still playing for a chance at a bye in the conference tournament, so we should get a great effort.  The 16 points seems like way too much, but with how USF runs, it could get Charlotte away from their game, and they could blow them out. 

1* Rice Owls -11.5

UTSA can't get this season over fast enough.  They are absolutely awful, and I'd imagine everyone hits the portal to go elsewhere.  Rice doesn't even have to really show up, and they can cover this, but I think they will.  They can still get a better seed for next week, and they are going to own the glass, giving them ample opportunities to blow this thing open.

1* Western Carolina Catamounts +3.5

The Cats are the hottest team in the Southern right now.  They ended the season winning 6 straight, and then knocked off the two seed Mercer yesterday.  ETSU lost their last two games of the year, and 3 of the last 5, after an 11-2 conference start.  They swept the season series, but won by a combined 6 points in those two games. WCU gets another upset today.

1* Michigan St Spartans +9.5

Michigan won in East Lansing by 12, but Sparty couldn't have shot the ball worse.  They were 4-23 from 3 in that game.  They were even on the glass, and they have the bodies to throw at Lendenborg and Johnson.  Dusty May is a great coach, but its March, give me Tom Izzo as a double digit dog every single time. 

Heels ... Unless I am mistaken, I think 'Rice' is 'cooked' as only the top 10 teams make the tournament. They are a game behind Memphis for the 10th and final spot, but Memphis won the season series over Rice 1-0. E. Carolina needs a win over UAB, and a Memphis loss to Tulane, since E. Carolina has the tiebreaker on Memphis. 

@rangersmets

 You’re 100% right. I didn’t realize the AAC changed thier format. That’s what I get for not checking. But that also means UTSA‘s last game is today and they can’t get out of there fast enough lol.

1* Merrimack Warriors -3.5

I've loved Marist and their defense all year, but they won't be able to score with Merrimack.  They won the first game by 13, and the second by 25. They are a really good basketball team, that should win this tournament, and if they get the right match up, could win a game in the big dance.  They are small, so anyone with size will kill them, but tonight, Marist doesn't present that problem.  It will be a lower scoring game, but I think Merrimack wins by at least two possessions.  

1* Towson/Charleston Under 138.5

Back to Towsons defense I go. The first game played to 113.  Charleston can't shoot from the outside, so everything has to come from the interior, and Towson doesn't let you get close to basket easily.  Towsons offense is super slow, and really bad.  They can't shoot from anywhere, and the fact that they went 5-11 yesterday from 3, leads me to believe they will come back to their mean today.  

1* Nebraska Cornhuskers -5.5

Iowa is reeling, losing 5 of their last 7.  They've locked up the 9th spot in the league.  Nebraska, with a win (and some help) can finish tied for 2nd place.  I haven't gone through the tie breakers to see who would get what seed, but still plenty of motivation.  Senior night for Sam Hoiberg (coaches son), and a few other guys.  The place will be packed and going bananas.  

1* Northwestern St Demons +1.5

The Colonels swept the regular season, by a combined 5 points.  Two heart break loss' provide quite a mit of motivation in a tournament setting.  The Demons will be up for this one.  Their lack of offense will hopefully be neutralized by the neutral floor. 

1* Marshall Thundering Herd -4.5

Georgia Southern is on a heater of all heaters.  5th game in 5 days has to take some sort of effect on their legs though.  Marshall likes to run too, adding to the tired legs angle.  Also add in that, Southern swept the regular season, including Marshalls Senior Night.  Big time revenge spot, to go to the finals.

1* Hofstra Pride -3.5

The Pride lost the only meeting @ Bill and Mary by 7.  Their defense gave up 89 points in the that game.  Since then, the defense is giving up 59 points a game.  This isn't the same team the Tribe saw the first time.  Speedy Claxtons guys have gone 8-2 over that stretch. Defense suffocates the Tribe offense, taking them out of their pace and rhythm. Pride win comfortably. 

1* Pacific/Santa Clara Under 149.5

The only way Pacific stays in the game, is if they slow it down to a snails pace, and limit possessions. The first two meetings, which Santa Clara won handily, were two very different games.  The first meeting, Pacific shot 50% from the field and that game went over todays number by a couple points.  The second meeting, Pacific shot closer to their season average, and the game didn't even get to 130.  In an unfamiliar gym, I'll take the later offense to show up, along with the slow pace, keeps this number around 140.