CBB [701] TOTAL o150-110 (SAINT LOUIS vrs MASSACHUSETTS) 500.00 USD / 455.00 USD ........ track meet ..... neither team emphasizes D and Saint Louis undersized... Umass will get all they want at rim and line which is where they get 70% of pts anyway. both teams run. both take high % shots from 2 and get to the line. Don't see many points from 3s as neither takes a ton, shoots a high %, and both emphasize getting to the hoop on O and running off the 3pt line on D. See constant pick and cuts and isolation with lots of fouls and pace. winner gets to 80+
CBB [701] TOTAL o150-110 (SAINT LOUIS vrs MASSACHUSETTS) 500.00 USD / 455.00 USD ........ track meet ..... neither team emphasizes D and Saint Louis undersized... Umass will get all they want at rim and line which is where they get 70% of pts anyway. both teams run. both take high % shots from 2 and get to the line. Don't see many points from 3s as neither takes a ton, shoots a high %, and both emphasize getting to the hoop on O and running off the 3pt line on D. See constant pick and cuts and isolation with lots of fouls and pace. winner gets to 80+
only reason above play is 'small' is bc neither shoots well from distance nor shoots many 3s so it takes more possessions to have a high scoring game without threat of the 3ball constant
only reason above play is 'small' is bc neither shoots well from distance nor shoots many 3s so it takes more possessions to have a high scoring game without threat of the 3ball constant
CBB [714] ARKANSAS -7½-110 1000.00 USD / 909.09 USD ............... COMPLETE CLASH OF STYLES here.....COMPLETELY OPPOSITE teams ......height height height height height. Arky is 5th tallest effective height team in nation. Mizzou is 331st. MASSIVE advantage for a team that plays through their bigs. Mizzou relies on long ball and shoots it damn well from everytwhere HOWEVER Arky allows the 20th fewest points from 3 in the nation while scoring almost 85% of their Offensive points from 2 and FT line. Mizzou won't have the ridiculous shooting night they had against a similar heigh disparity matchup with Illinois and that stylistic matchup was not similar to this one as Arky far superior to Illy and plays through their bigs whereas Illy gets 40% of points from 3. Arky should run them out of the gym
CBB [714] ARKANSAS -7½-110 1000.00 USD / 909.09 USD ............... COMPLETE CLASH OF STYLES here.....COMPLETELY OPPOSITE teams ......height height height height height. Arky is 5th tallest effective height team in nation. Mizzou is 331st. MASSIVE advantage for a team that plays through their bigs. Mizzou relies on long ball and shoots it damn well from everytwhere HOWEVER Arky allows the 20th fewest points from 3 in the nation while scoring almost 85% of their Offensive points from 2 and FT line. Mizzou won't have the ridiculous shooting night they had against a similar heigh disparity matchup with Illinois and that stylistic matchup was not similar to this one as Arky far superior to Illy and plays through their bigs whereas Illy gets 40% of points from 3. Arky should run them out of the gym
nothing to say other than swallow the medicine and endure the brutal day.......... either I am not capping situations well OR the kenpom #'s and peripheral data I look at just have a staggering variance this year and are lacking statistical significant OR I'm not looking at something i should OR it's just an unlucky run OR all of them..... either way it's been a brutal 2-3 week stretch from the time I topped +9k and was 10 games over .500...... moving on....
........ tonight went 1-3 and win smallest bet and lose parlay which counts in -$ total but not in record ...... gotta give props to TCU when Miles goes off for 40 to single handedly win that game and Mizzou hung around after Arky looked to be pulling away up 10 but can't make FTs.... loyola never had a chance.... that's gambling...... Back To Square One...... updated record stands at 31-30, +$65 ........ it's a game of runs..... hot and cold .... manage those emotions.... good luck all..... i'll post when i feel I have something meaningful to contribute that isn't fade fodder !!
nothing to say other than swallow the medicine and endure the brutal day.......... either I am not capping situations well OR the kenpom #'s and peripheral data I look at just have a staggering variance this year and are lacking statistical significant OR I'm not looking at something i should OR it's just an unlucky run OR all of them..... either way it's been a brutal 2-3 week stretch from the time I topped +9k and was 10 games over .500...... moving on....
........ tonight went 1-3 and win smallest bet and lose parlay which counts in -$ total but not in record ...... gotta give props to TCU when Miles goes off for 40 to single handedly win that game and Mizzou hung around after Arky looked to be pulling away up 10 but can't make FTs.... loyola never had a chance.... that's gambling...... Back To Square One...... updated record stands at 31-30, +$65 ........ it's a game of runs..... hot and cold .... manage those emotions.... good luck all..... i'll post when i feel I have something meaningful to contribute that isn't fade fodder !!
CBB [1738] TOTAL u61-105 (1H MARYLAND vrs 1H RUTGERS) 315.00 USD / 300.00 USD .................... both teams have better Def Eff than Off Eff and their oppnents. Both teams play below avg in pace. And both teams are sub-avg in all shooting metrics except Rutgers from 2 pt land. Expect a physical big ten typical game. Lastly, both teams do not rely on or shoot many 3s and both teams defend the 3 with great emphasis, e.g. Maryland allows the 25th least amount of points in the nation from 3. Expect a slow-paced slugfest to start this game. Small plays until i get my groove back
CBB [1738] TOTAL u61-105 (1H MARYLAND vrs 1H RUTGERS) 315.00 USD / 300.00 USD .................... both teams have better Def Eff than Off Eff and their oppnents. Both teams play below avg in pace. And both teams are sub-avg in all shooting metrics except Rutgers from 2 pt land. Expect a physical big ten typical game. Lastly, both teams do not rely on or shoot many 3s and both teams defend the 3 with great emphasis, e.g. Maryland allows the 25th least amount of points in the nation from 3. Expect a slow-paced slugfest to start this game. Small plays until i get my groove back
CBB [753] TOTAL o150½-105 (UAB vrs FLORIDA ATLANTIC) 315.00 USD / 300.00 USD . ........ both teams are great shooting teams, except FLAT from FT is weak but UAB runs at the 12th fastest pace nationally and I don't see any reason the Owls will slow it down as they get the overwhelming majority of their points (as a very very short team) in transition and with the drive and dish specifically from distance. They get 40% of points from 3 and being at home tonight will likely get the role players more comfortable shooting. UAB has huge height advantage as Owls are 339th in height and UAB gets almost 75%+ of their points from 2 and FT line. Based on their advantages inside I see UAb scoring at will and based on their Offensive Efficiency and points distribution, I see Owls shooting 30+ 3s tonight and hitting 40%. THis should be played in the 80s with the winner def getting there. Like the 1H over as well as I think the pace and shots fall from the start but taking it easy
CBB [753] TOTAL o150½-105 (UAB vrs FLORIDA ATLANTIC) 315.00 USD / 300.00 USD . ........ both teams are great shooting teams, except FLAT from FT is weak but UAB runs at the 12th fastest pace nationally and I don't see any reason the Owls will slow it down as they get the overwhelming majority of their points (as a very very short team) in transition and with the drive and dish specifically from distance. They get 40% of points from 3 and being at home tonight will likely get the role players more comfortable shooting. UAB has huge height advantage as Owls are 339th in height and UAB gets almost 75%+ of their points from 2 and FT line. Based on their advantages inside I see UAb scoring at will and based on their Offensive Efficiency and points distribution, I see Owls shooting 30+ 3s tonight and hitting 40%. THis should be played in the 80s with the winner def getting there. Like the 1H over as well as I think the pace and shots fall from the start but taking it easy
CBB [306553] ARMY -2-110 330.00 USD / 300.00 USD ..... shooting disparity is massive. take a look at kenpom 2023 Miscellaneous Team Stats: Offense ........ and you'll have your reasoning...... both teams are pretty weak in many areas but there is a glaring disparity with shooting
CBB [306553] ARMY -2-110 330.00 USD / 300.00 USD ..... shooting disparity is massive. take a look at kenpom 2023 Miscellaneous Team Stats: Offense ........ and you'll have your reasoning...... both teams are pretty weak in many areas but there is a glaring disparity with shooting
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