thanks all. hope everyone made some $ .......... record was 27-20, $7,865.58
1-0 on drake including 1220 risk at +5 and 369 risk at +4.5 and ML $200 risk. 4 plays on side all count as only 1 total for record ....
new record:
28-20, $9,575.15
thanks all. hope everyone made some $ .......... record was 27-20, $7,865.58
1-0 on drake including 1220 risk at +5 and 369 risk at +4.5 and ML $200 risk. 4 plays on side all count as only 1 total for record ....
new record:
28-20, $9,575.15
thanks all. hope everyone made some $ .......... record was 27-20, $7,865.58 1-0 on drake including 1220 risk at +5 and 369 risk at +4.5 and ML $200 risk. 4 plays on side all count as only 1 total for record .... new record: 28-20, $9,575.15
pederson - been following for over a decade . You’re a True Asset to the NCAAB Forum, and this is the best Covers Forum of all imo. Limited Ego’s and plenty of Winners.
Thank you for the hard work and taking the time to post!!
thanks all. hope everyone made some $ .......... record was 27-20, $7,865.58 1-0 on drake including 1220 risk at +5 and 369 risk at +4.5 and ML $200 risk. 4 plays on side all count as only 1 total for record .... new record: 28-20, $9,575.15
pederson - been following for over a decade . You’re a True Asset to the NCAAB Forum, and this is the best Covers Forum of all imo. Limited Ego’s and plenty of Winners.
Thank you for the hard work and taking the time to post!!
only reason this isn't a 2k+ play is bc there is no motivation for these huge favorites to run up the score and many times coaches will sit starters for last 5-10 minutes and losing team keeps pushing and pressing to score while favorite doesn't care if lead lessens........ in short, iowa one of the top shooting teams in nation.... EIU one of the worst and is 358th/363 in off efficiency. Iowa is 8th. Iowa also has a massive height, age, experience, depth advantage and should score at will from distance or inside the paint. Iowa gets majority of points from 3, as we all know they shoot long ball at will, and interestingly enough EIU gives up the majority of opponent pointsfrom distance as they pack it in and try to disallow interior game. On other hand, Iowa is very tall and completely shuts off penetration. EIU sucks at shooting and will have to settle for poor shots from distance and will not be able to penetrate and get any clean looks inside the paint. Despite the massive talent gap, This game completely plays into Iowa's hands on both sides of the floor stylistically. I see a 45-22 type half and a 95-55 type final score.
only reason this isn't a 2k+ play is bc there is no motivation for these huge favorites to run up the score and many times coaches will sit starters for last 5-10 minutes and losing team keeps pushing and pressing to score while favorite doesn't care if lead lessens........ in short, iowa one of the top shooting teams in nation.... EIU one of the worst and is 358th/363 in off efficiency. Iowa is 8th. Iowa also has a massive height, age, experience, depth advantage and should score at will from distance or inside the paint. Iowa gets majority of points from 3, as we all know they shoot long ball at will, and interestingly enough EIU gives up the majority of opponent pointsfrom distance as they pack it in and try to disallow interior game. On other hand, Iowa is very tall and completely shuts off penetration. EIU sucks at shooting and will have to settle for poor shots from distance and will not be able to penetrate and get any clean looks inside the paint. Despite the massive talent gap, This game completely plays into Iowa's hands on both sides of the floor stylistically. I see a 45-22 type half and a 95-55 type final score.
iowa 1H loser. expected better shooting from them and not as good from EIU ..... and frankly a little better defensive effort from Iowa. they will need a much better effort in 2H to give me/us a split. Not a good 1H by any stretch. EIU shot 50%! Their best 1H shooting performance of the year.
iowa 1H loser. expected better shooting from them and not as good from EIU ..... and frankly a little better defensive effort from Iowa. they will need a much better effort in 2H to give me/us a split. Not a good 1H by any stretch. EIU shot 50%! Their best 1H shooting performance of the year.
28-21, $7,425.15 ................. gave back all the drake winnings and some from yesterday... yuck ..... inexcusable effort from Iowa....remember that for future
28-21, $7,425.15 ................. gave back all the drake winnings and some from yesterday... yuck ..... inexcusable effort from Iowa....remember that for future
no writeup = i looked at kenpom analytics and liked it and teamrankings has it also as a 2 unit play across all their metrics so when i like it, kenpom likes it, and teamrankings likes it, i make it a play. good luck all
no writeup = i looked at kenpom analytics and liked it and teamrankings has it also as a 2 unit play across all their metrics so when i like it, kenpom likes it, and teamrankings likes it, i make it a play. good luck all
28-22, +$6,500.00 ............ updated after that SD loss..... CSUN shot 53% from 3, 20% above their season avg and SD played without 2 players from their rotation (didn't see that announced.....) so that sucked..... moving on .................... feel like going on tilt after those last 2 losses..... but this is when money management and psyche are most important............... small plays until i catch a rhythm and get hot again........ Stanford
-5½ -115
Loyola Chicago @ Stanford
Spread - Game
Risk
$
575.00
Win
$
500.00
........................................ stanford has height, age/experience, continuity, and depth advantages. They aren't a better shooting team than Loyola but they also get most of their pts from inside and FT line as they are the 5th tallest team in the nation. Loyola is in the mid 200s in height and not deep or old. I expect Stanford to impose their will and win by DD based on significant offensive efficiency % in this game and forcing Loyola to beat them from outside, which is not Loyolas bread and butter. ......................................................... Total
O 153½ -110
Illinois @ Missouri
Total Points - Game
Risk
$
550.00
Win
$
500.00
................. mizzou is 17th in tempo and illini are 56th. this will be a free flowing fast game. Neither team will slow it down and neither are very disciplined. Neither team shoots FTs well but both are great at 2s and 3s. Expect this game to be in the 80s. only risk is game is neutral in St Louis, so rims aren't familiar for Mizzou. Mizzou better shooting team, I like them, but Illini going to eat them up inside as Mizzou is 309th height team and illini in top 30. massive advantage for Illini inside, so they should get tons of buckets on the interior. Because of that, and despite Mizzou being 10-1, i expect Illinois to pull away. Going to try and thread the needle here with the total and side. Illinois
-6½ -110
Illinois @ Missouri
Spread - Game
Risk
$
550.00
Win
$
500.00
...................................... ........................................... last play of night: Washington State
-10½ -105
George Washington @ Washington State
Spread - Game
Risk
$
525.00
Win
$
500.00
....................... Wazzu lives and dies by the 3. Typically I avoid these games however they get 40% of their points from distance and shoot 38%+ . 3s are deadly for offensive efficiency, especially when your opponent, enter GW, gives up the 3 ball at a 40% clip. GW packs it in and doesn't allow penetration or O boards but they will give Wazzu unlimited open looks from 3. And conversely Wazzu doesn't allow shots from distance at all, as 30th in nation defending the 3 and also they have a huge height and depth advantage on the frontline. This has blowout written all over it on the island.
28-22, +$6,500.00 ............ updated after that SD loss..... CSUN shot 53% from 3, 20% above their season avg and SD played without 2 players from their rotation (didn't see that announced.....) so that sucked..... moving on .................... feel like going on tilt after those last 2 losses..... but this is when money management and psyche are most important............... small plays until i catch a rhythm and get hot again........ Stanford
-5½ -115
Loyola Chicago @ Stanford
Spread - Game
Risk
$
575.00
Win
$
500.00
........................................ stanford has height, age/experience, continuity, and depth advantages. They aren't a better shooting team than Loyola but they also get most of their pts from inside and FT line as they are the 5th tallest team in the nation. Loyola is in the mid 200s in height and not deep or old. I expect Stanford to impose their will and win by DD based on significant offensive efficiency % in this game and forcing Loyola to beat them from outside, which is not Loyolas bread and butter. ......................................................... Total
O 153½ -110
Illinois @ Missouri
Total Points - Game
Risk
$
550.00
Win
$
500.00
................. mizzou is 17th in tempo and illini are 56th. this will be a free flowing fast game. Neither team will slow it down and neither are very disciplined. Neither team shoots FTs well but both are great at 2s and 3s. Expect this game to be in the 80s. only risk is game is neutral in St Louis, so rims aren't familiar for Mizzou. Mizzou better shooting team, I like them, but Illini going to eat them up inside as Mizzou is 309th height team and illini in top 30. massive advantage for Illini inside, so they should get tons of buckets on the interior. Because of that, and despite Mizzou being 10-1, i expect Illinois to pull away. Going to try and thread the needle here with the total and side. Illinois
-6½ -110
Illinois @ Missouri
Spread - Game
Risk
$
550.00
Win
$
500.00
...................................... ........................................... last play of night: Washington State
-10½ -105
George Washington @ Washington State
Spread - Game
Risk
$
525.00
Win
$
500.00
....................... Wazzu lives and dies by the 3. Typically I avoid these games however they get 40% of their points from distance and shoot 38%+ . 3s are deadly for offensive efficiency, especially when your opponent, enter GW, gives up the 3 ball at a 40% clip. GW packs it in and doesn't allow penetration or O boards but they will give Wazzu unlimited open looks from 3. And conversely Wazzu doesn't allow shots from distance at all, as 30th in nation defending the 3 and also they have a huge height and depth advantage on the frontline. This has blowout written all over it on the island.
Washington State
-5½
-113
George Washington @ Washington State
Spread - 2nd Half
Risk
$
565.00
Win
$
500.00
................................... wazzu 3/17 from 3..... that'll improve substantially.
Washington State
-5½
-113
George Washington @ Washington State
Spread - 2nd Half
Risk
$
565.00
Win
$
500.00
................................... wazzu 3/17 from 3..... that'll improve substantially.
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