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Limit me for NFL bets. 2000.00 limit forced me to spread money around to multiple accounts. Just ridiculous. Then another limited my bets. Didn't even play that long. Must be new AI rules Now have to fly to Vegas to place a bet and then split it up between casinos that don't own each other, rude! Funny thing is, moneyline is the most accurate of lines because a player wants to win and will put effort out to not lose no matter his advantage. But spreads give the gift of irreverence. " OK dude, you put in a good effort there, but I'm still going to beat you". This week's picks are Chargers upset about their loss which they feel was an ass-whooping which it wasn't and the Chiefs, also but hurt, both lay a number greater than 3 on their opponent (emotions), how many favorites you have can say that....
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abcpohl | 2 |
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Mackey Jannis was the last knuckebalker that I can remember in 2021 He allowed 7 runs in 3+1/3 innings of relief in his MLB debut in a 13–0 loss. |
abcpohl | 4 |
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Padres have scored 23 runs in last 2 days ( bats have come alive ). Padres playing the Washington Nationals one of the worst teams in MLB. Only 19 pitches were knucklballs in 2022, none by starters. Padres are confident throwing a kid from triple A against the pros. They either are going to eat him alive and pull him in the 2nd or 3rd inning or he makes a historic start. Over under is 9, wouldn't take that but this game is going to be decisive either way, that run line at 1.5 looks like .0001 to me. |
abcpohl | 4 |
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Just my 2 cents. Phoenix won the 1st qtr by 10, 4, and negative 3 at home. 1st quarter minus 2 looks tempting, Phoenix should come out hard and get a lead to start. Then the endurance race begins. |
NEWPORT | 6 |
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@EzzClap Ok. Now reverse it, chargers take 2nd half, win by 6-14 @EzzClap
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abcpohl | 5 |
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Exactly, Rocked Carr; hasn't been the same since... |
abcpohl | 5 |
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Madden Trbute. Rugs. Gruden, Lots of emotion. Taking Raiders Plus 2.5, enough said.. . |
abcpohl | 5 |
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Vikings will run 1st half. Throw 2nd half if behind, big under 1st half. |
abcpohl | 4 |
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@LuckyBrand Nuggets +4 -103 |
LuckyBrand | 3 |
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The charges have had plenty of experience going against good lines like KC and Denver, so they should score especially if they don't make too many throws at the Rams corners but put Keenan Allen in the slot. The rams will get time to throw, I would expect blitzes from the Chargers Derwin James among others to try to add pressure to Goff but he should have a field day. This game should be wide open because of both offenses and both defenses are capable of picks. The rams should be favored but could be a trap game with the Vikings vs Rams on Thursday and just overconfidence. First team to 30 points wins. |
ChOmP | 6 |
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And yes SDSU will win out right.
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abcpohl | 3 |
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Take the over the 2nd half.
The trend will continue.
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abcpohl | 3 |
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SDSU minus 10 fav and 148.5 o/u
Take the over, SDSU has offense and defense is not as good as previous years. If smart wait for halftime, better bet then...
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abcpohl | 1 |
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I'll keep taking your NFL picks, so thanks again.
I put the Saints winnings on Nevada which saved my behind. But I did lose a little but this was a surprise to most Americans, even some Republicans who thought today would be depressing. Where were all these voters in 2012 ? Since Roosevelt in 1904, no party has won 3 straight presidencies in a row except for Reagan/Bush, so historically it would be rare for Hillary to win. Now that she lost, we must repeal Obamacare which is costing me real money and slashing taxes sounds good too. I prefer Pence more so I wouldn't be against a heart attack in the next year, lol. Have a good day!
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abcpohl | 20 |
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I guess I should make a prediction at least.
I went to my best friend's house on Sunday to watch Football, (have to wear your team's colors), he voted Trump and his wife after she voted for the propositions, she gave him the ballot to vote for president how he wants. So 2 votes for Trump. My parents, 80 years old, both voted for Trump. My dad said last Saturday said, "Hillary's a crook".. My father in law, who is Mormon, told my wife during my kid's 7th birthday party 2 Saturday's ago that any vote against Trump is a vote for Hillary. Thought they would vote for Evan McMullin; surprise! I told my best friend on Sunday, whose 41 years old, that I'm voting for Gary Johnson and he almost fell off his chair, luckily we were drinking lots of beer; my wife voted for Gary Johnson tonight after I said he's an idiot but if he gets 5%, then they get national campaign money for the next guy who could do well and end up in the debates; not likely. All that being said, we're all Americans and no matter who we vote for, I respect your right to vote for whoever. When we wake up Wed morning, nothing will change till Jan 20th and it will take months after that for the President to get anything done through Congress; if then. Remember Election day is tomorrow but impeachment/investigations begins the day after. My prediction is Crook wins by 4 and will be out after 4 years. Already e-mailed Cruz, told him that my wife and I think he's a complete jerk but he's next up. Historically runner-up usually wins the next time (Reagan, Hillary, Bush, etc.); so Cruz is the favorite now. God bless us all! |
abcpohl | 20 |
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Just wanted to say Thanks Kevin Vanlith.
Made some good money today thanks to Breeze and you. Florida was taken off of Heritage and moved to -253 on Bookmaker, someone must know something. Will put winnings on a senate race, will make decision tomorrow morning. |
abcpohl | 20 |
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It's ironic that you pointed to the next president in 2020.
I became a Republican to vote for this xxxhole in the CA primary this year because he could beat Clinton. He's a complete jerk but will likely become the next Republican nominee just as Romney, Reagan, Clinton finished 2nd in the primaries. Historically, he is the favorite to win the next primaries. He's already fundraising as he sold his e-mail list many times to Trump and the Republican party for 50K a pop. Now he has confidence and is talking about how Republicans don't need to vote for a Supreme Court Justice for 4 years. By the way, votes by mail are up 47% in Miami Dade county and early voting is up 95% as well compared to 2012, think that bodes well for Trump ? Florida now -125 vs -120 for the Crook over the Creep on Heritage. AZ moving against me but can hedge on Monday. |
abcpohl | 20 |
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First I must point out that polling can be biased but early voting polling is less so because it is based on who actually voted, so unlike exit polling it is cross-checked with county received actual ballot data detailing party, race, gender, etc.to eliminate bias. Each night this information is released all over the country. Over 50% of the Florida vote is in and Clinton leads among those early voters. Quinnipiac has Clinton up 6 in early voting https://poll.qu.edu/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2399 InsiderAdvantage has her up 9 I'm only looking at polls of early voters as they are more accurate than the polls and you can data model how the vote will move based on prior elections. For example, Dem lead in NC but lose that lead as the election progresses unless they have a big enough lead. By election day 60%+ of the vote will be in in FL and close to 70%+ in AZ where 83% of the hispanics plan on voting. Polls will continue to underestimate the hispanic vote. For every phone call to one 60+ white woman, it takes 300 calls to reach a younger hispanic. Hispanic turnout will be the theme post-election: https://heavy.com/news/2016/11/arizona-early-voting-results-election-2016-turnout-hillary-clinton-donald-trump-hispanic-latino-black-white-down-up/ Don't forget about Alaska which is close. They're voting like mad up there and no one is paying attention.Big turnout isn't good for Trump as he does much better among likely voters and almost all the swing states show Clinton leading among non-likely voters who are turning out this time. Rasmussen shows this clearly as Trump leads by 10 for likely voters but is tied for those less likely. https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch_nov3
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abcpohl | 20 |
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Florida is -120 for Dems on Heritage. So Trump is the underdog.
If Republican like Bush and others are defecting at greater than they did for Romney such as last night's poll suggest, then it's all over. Other polls such as Monmouth University which has Hillary up 10 in AZ among people that already voted suggest Rep defections as well. Polls don't know who is going to show up, they just assume what happened in 2012 will happen again and weight accordingly. In AZ women voted 51-49 in 2012 but in 2016 it is 54 to 46. Florida has voted democratic twice now and in 2016 turnout among hispanics are 4% more, whites are 5% less, and blacks are 1% less of the electorate than 2012. https://www.nbcnews.com/card/hispanics-make-greater-share-florida-early-vote-2016-n676486 All point to a changing demographic base favoring Democrats, Same in GA, TX, and AZ as hispanics grow and people move from NJ to FL or CA to AZ, these states are becoming more Democratic just as the Midwest such as in MN are becoming Republican. Each election the electorate is becoming 2% less white and no President has been elected this century without winning at least 40% of the hispanic vote which Bush did twice. It's not my fault you ignored the 3 guys (Bush, Cruz, and Rubio) that all spoke fluent Spanish. |
abcpohl | 20 |
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Further update, while this poll indicates 28% of republicans who have already voted for Hillary in FL (33% already voted), thanks largely to Cubans, even 18% of Florida Republican cross-over is an easy win for Hillary.
But more to the point, Nate Cohn on twitter thinks this is too high and so do I but he shows NC as still going 80-10 for Trump among Republicans which means NC is lost too. As you move more to the South the Never Trump movement combined with Hispanics whose vote numbers are surging around 40% bring states like Arizona (50% already voted) and New Mexico into jeopardy. Any Republican cross-over near 10% means Clinton will carry AZ like her husband did. Further note, she shows up in Phoenix tomorrow and her vice-president Gomer Pyle is there today and Thursday, they must see something. God forbid 4 more years of that voice. But money is money. |
abcpohl | 20 |
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