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So, I started to play this system on April 14th. I had to painfully watch the Dodger and KC over runs from afar since those runs started after I started betting. Since the 14th, the Opposite System breakeven, including juice. The original system (following the trend) proposed here started well, but has faded lately.
With playing both systems it can get pricey pretty quick over 80 units already and it is early. I like the insurance part of it, but I hate giving all that juice away, when at times I will be betting with a guaranteed loss of juice just to make sure I do not miss the run. I know you only did 2009 Neilsy which is why I took on 2007 for more data. What was your net for 2009 just out of curiosity? It took so long to 2007 I really don't have the time to do 2009. Thanks for the concept in the first place. |
neilsy25 | 85 |
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I was intrigued by the premis of this theory at the beginning of the season so I too tested all teams for 2007 and came up with about 180 net units. I did add a couple of stop gaps such as max 25 unit loss, done with that team and/or if it hit 8 on the labby bet, done, getting too expensive. In some cases if I would have hung in there it would have recovered for a profit, but on another, if I played it out it was going to be a 260 unit loss, that is how bad a team can take you.
While going through the data I was noticing another trend, what if I play the opposite of this system, ie after two overs play for an under, or if two unders play for the over. Again, I did this for every team and put some stop gaps in very similar to the above. And wouldn't you know 186 net units. Well now what, which system to play? Why not both, they are independent of each other anyway, and one sort provides insurance for the other. If both were played would be up 360 units, minus juice of about 15%, if I remember correctly. |
neilsy25 | 85 |
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Is that a typo for the Totals Chase system winning 1000 units last year? |
neilsy25 | 10 |
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This system has been working well as we all know, but has anyone come up with any rationalization as to why it works. Not that I am looking a gift horse in the mouth, but how did the originator come up with this theory. Just trying to get thoughts for creating other strategies for other sports, especially for the NBA next since this year's system are killing me lately, damn Denver blew through three systems on the latest losing streak.
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gasman33 | 1160 |
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