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Solid write up, I agreed with your thoughts on Game 5 but I think this is different, here's why:
- Spurs now know that Miami will be well rested for finals, they can't afford to keep playing cute on games with an old team - I believe in Diaw, Pop has finally found the right combination to match up to OKC and I expect him to either start or play similar minutes in game 6 - Spurs won game 5 with another quiet game from Parker (3 in a row now), even a slight improvement in his game could be a game changer - Jackson is hurting and I don't think can be relied on for scoring effectively. That means a lot of double teams on Durant and Westbrook and someone else stepping up ... But who? Finally - and I know this is somewhat subjective - I find that when everyone starts talking about one trend, in this case home blowouts it often means a bloodbath coming. It would have happened with OKC 1H in game 3 had Westbrook not hit the miracle 3 from just past half court. 3.5 points smells fishy to me and feels like books are begging you to take OKC given what happened in games 3-4. With that said I see OKC starting strong here and giving it 110%, and I'll happily back them for 1Q and 1H. I just think the spurs depth will start to show 2nd half, and when the crowd energy no longer carries the OKC team we will see the wily veterans come through. My plays then: - OKC 1Q - OKC 1H - OKC / Spurs half time / full time - Spurs +4 - Spurs live with any line +7 or above |
begginerboy | 92 |
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Hitting all these alternate handicaps, when Pacers lose they lose BAD and this smells like a game where we see the old Jekyl and Hyde behaviour.
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CMP | 3 |
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All season I've seen Indiana quit, they are good front runners but horrible at playing from behind. Hibbert will get an early 4th foul, James will ensure Paul continues to be a no show, game will get embarrassing.
Miami will win this game by 20+, the only fear is some rubbish three pointers in the last 60 seconds.
I'll take my chances, Mia 2H ML, 10x |
CMP | 1 |
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I had U189.5 in live betting, but nothing amazes me in the NBA any more.
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buttnhelmet | 11 |
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No heart, as I said, Indiana covered 2H only because Atlanta have their own self-destructive tendencies.
The sooner this overpaid kids are out of the playoffs the better.
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TrustMyP | 19 |
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Whisper is exactly correct, 20-12 is a bullsh.it record that doesn't include his twitter plays, can't believe I spent 5 seconds researching this but goes to show most people don't really care who they follow. Why is it that 99% of the people who post picks on this sites are dishonest scum? Guess it goes with the gambling community.
Anyways, as you were, people can follow who they want.
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SnapSports | 56 |
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No way - no heart, no soul. Indiana were quitters all year, nothing is changing now. If they ever get down by 10 or so in an away game like this, you can basically bet big on the other team. I'd be taking Atlanta 2H.
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TrustMyP | 19 |
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Miami? Indiana will be lucky to beat Atlanta, and will not get past New York, too young, and give up too easily. Mental fortitude of a gnat.
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LetEMride | 9 |
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I jumped on the o360 in play and now the fkers haven't scored in the last 2 minutes. Typical of my luck
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Onthereal | 12 |
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Pitcher stats clearly point towards Oakland, they are a popular dog, the ESPN preview leans towards them; and yet Texas is -125+
I've seen this type of game all year, and the "obvious" dog play rarely if ever wins against good teams. A's are the sucker play IMO.
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GDayMate | 8 |
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It's your fault if you bet big just because some guy on the Internet said he's making a large play ... Though why you'd make a large play on two teams with no shot blockers all of a sudden not being able to score I don't know
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Damon102 | 28 |
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replied to
Here comes...I'll just throw myself at the Pacer's player and get a foul called...
in NBA Betting
Don't forget to scream as if you've been kicked in the nuts! Wade is even worse than Lebron in this game.
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camicom | 3 |
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I got Barkley to talk about his eyebrows being manscaped during the half time show for -400, free money.
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MakinUnits | 30 |
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Fk man you're cold as ice.
And I know I know, "stop tailing then", don't worry I will.
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JFen31 | 108 |
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Same old story - who really didn't see it coming? Did anyone seriously think he WASN'T going to go tout? If you didn't then you need to look at yourself in the mirror and say 3 times, "I am gullible, and can be taken advantage of, I am gullible and can be taken advantage of, I am gullible and can be taken advantage of."
I'm serious - if you didn't spot this your "radar" is off, and you are at risk of being fleeced, conned, manipulated and fooled - use this as a reality check to realise that you are the prime target market for con-men. Smartbets went on a streak where he went 56-35 - forget the units won that's irrelevant - people's records should always be judged as if they were flat betted. So think about that for a second - he went on a streak of 80 games where for every 5 or so winners he choose 3 losers. I don't know about you but I've done that many times before and I'm firmly a 52% at best type of capper. He has no previously documented record for previous years. And yet people are considering paying the guy???? If you pay money to this guy you are truly a fool.
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faider | 79 |
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Yep lines move automatically by computer, no human could keep up with them; but the algorithms are very sophisticated and I'm pretty sure they are tweaked by humans in real time for the big games.
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kjrpat | 9 |
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Overtime - woot! And we hit on NC state so I've hedged and can now safely enjoy the Minn vs Wisc game.
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JFen31 | 70 |
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Quote Originally Posted by gd2436: what do you mean by"score doesnt 100% reflect the actual game flow"....just because one team is hot means it doesnt reflect actual game flow?????...dahhh!!...teams create the game flow and wisconsin is hot...what in the world is your definition of "game flow"?????????????? "Game flow" is what the realistic score should be given how two teams are playing - it should have been a 3-4 point lead for Wisc at half-time not 8, and that was because of a few miracle 3's - could be the difference in the game.
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JFen31 | 70 |
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Fk me - Taylor just keeps hitting them. And Minnesota has a total of 1 - that's right 1 - assist the whole game so far
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JFen31 | 70 |
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Quote Originally Posted by JFen31: Just got home and haven't seen a second of either game. Very troubling numbers in the Tech-NC State game. I'm staying with it, but hopefully the effort picks up from the Wolfpack. Seems like Wisconsin put on quite a 3-point clinic in the first half. Wide open looks or contested shots? Either way, Tubby Smith is one of the best in the business at adjusting his defense at halftime. I'm only following the NC State game on box score, thankfully Georgia Tech are shooting horribly - that's keeping them in the game. I'm watching Minn vs Wisc, and Wisc have been hitting some miracle 3's, so the score doesn't 100% reflect the actual game flow, but Minnesota are really struggling on offensive, both from the 3 and inside the paint. I just realised I have live betting on this game from Pinny - will gauge second half and hopefully get a chance to at least hedge out if things are looking bad!
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JFen31 | 70 |
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