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Quote Originally Posted by I_Need_A_Detox: I was ambushed by a seagull before. It swooped in and grabbed a clam from my clam plate. One of the scariest moments of my life. That's what I'm talking about. What if you happened to have a cup of scalding water there, spilled it on your lap, and burnt your nuts off? Wouldn't you think "why, why did they have to make it so hot? It's not safe!" But without nuts, you might be able to even get that angry. Corporations are going to be careless in their pursuit of profits. The referee state has to blow the whistle, fine the person, and force them to behave in ethical ways. |
don juan | 29 |
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What's amazing is what Obama didn't say. He didn't make the comparison of ISIS to the last generation of white southerners in the U.S. who would routinely set African Americans on fire and torture them during lynchings.
Unlike with ISIS, these were NOT burnings of people who had dropped bombs on them. These burnings were carried out for things like bumping into a white person inadvertently. Also unlike with ISIS, it wasn't just the perpetrators of the terror that attended the executions. Nay, thousands of whites would come and have lunch while they watched an African American be tortured for nothing. Unlike with ISIS, the most of the white community endorsed it burning the targets of their terrorism alive. |
zelo123 | 55 |
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I heard Brian Williams is going to replace Stewart. Should be good since he is great at giving fake news.
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mattbrot | 12 |
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The government proper role is to referee the games we play in our daily lives. That doesn't mean they play our games for us, just that they put in and maintain some rules for the game. See the difference?
Now it's true that people have accidents, it's just a part of life. garbage gets spilled, people trip etc. What if a mother had a cup of coffee, tripped on a crack in the sidewalk or was ambushed by a pigeon, and ended up spilling the hot as heel coffee on her baby, burning the babies skin off it's face and ruining its chances of having a normal life? Is that the fault of the mother, or should McDonalds be forced to consider inevitable and predictable outcomes which are no ones fault and NOT create very dangerous circumstances by passing out super heated java? |
don juan | 29 |
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Quote Originally Posted by canovsp: Art Laffer is the conservative equivalent to Robert Reich. Just out of curiosity, would any of you libs like to tell us what you do for a living. You don't have to name the company. Just a brief description. Me personally, I was in retail management for years and now I'm in logistics. Basically, moving freight from one location to another while managing the costs I don't do anything. I got a government grant to write the prequel to Alex Haley's Roots, tracing the struggle against imperialism that went on even before slavery. But the project got canceled because I didn't meet certain deadlines. You can't rush the creative process. Anyway with the extra money I'm just gambling now, working on apply for a couple new grants. One I'm trying to get on is to help immigrants adjust to American life and find jobs. |
mattbrot | 97 |
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The biggest terrorist enterprise going right now is the U.S. drone campaign. Why are you talking about Islamic terrorists?
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zelo123 | 5 |
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Quote Originally Posted by toutsuck: I'm looking for a legitimate reason. If you consider yourself a decent handicapper you cannot bet the jets here... Yeah because all the syndicates who won't allow a bad line to stand and who reinvest disproportional amounts of money sports betting cannot be decent handicappers lol. Yeah, its the 86% consensus who are the good cappers. This line should be 14 going by the public sentiment. The mob is always right don't be skurrrd lol |
toutsuck | 69 |
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Betting that out of sync NE offense against the bengals getting a point is just nonsensical.
Game rates to be a grind with Belicheck looking to hide his passing game from the bengals secondary and shorten the game with the run, where the bengals look a little vulnerable, On defense the Pats secondary is actually solid. Under gets the money. |
SomethingDank | 23 |
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The spread is explained by the 50 point rule or some approximation thereof. The rule says if the amount the favored team won by last week plus the amount the underdog team lost by last week is combined greater than 50, bet the underdog.
I used to make money off this rule. Now the NFL betting is so locked down it's like a joke. I'm no insider but, in my estimation, all the NFL betting is now is big data lock downs on the point spread with book makers willing to sweat the outcomes whereas they used to balance the action. How else do you think Vegas managed to lose money for the first time a few years ago? Under conventional bookmaking theory that should never have happened. They are predicting the games, not splitting the action. Handicapping is finished. You can't beat these physicists and mathematicians who model this stuff. It used to be if you were smarter than some idiot fans you could make money. Now all these seemingly out of whack point spreads are offered every week and no one can't beat them (consistently). |
ICHASETOOMUCH | 18 |
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Can't remember the last time I have seen pats in a road playoff game.
The patriots are not going to run all over Denver like they did Indie and I don't see Denver putting up less than 33 like ever. Anything less than 6 is good for Denver backers. |
HookEmHorns22 | 33 |
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There is very little chance of SF dominating here with all the pressure Car brings. In fact team total under 20.5 for SF is a decent bet at -110. So playing carolina is not likely to do anything to draw bettors to them san fran if they win. I see a line of 4.5 most likely. Anything less is just going to get too much seattle money becuase of all the dominant performances they have had at home, especially against quality teams. Of course is SF somehow manages to look impressive vs. car that could change but I think the entire range of lines, barring injury, is from 3.5 to 6 seattle favored.
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ActionMagnet | 32 |
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I think seattle is far better than denver. SD is a hard to figure team. Their defense seems to have suddenly got really good the last few weeks of the season and they always have the potential to score.
The seahawks are a nightmare matchup for the saints. It strength against strength on defense for seattle, and strength against weakness for them on offense. Saints on the road, gonna get run on, gonna get stymied on offense, Plus it's always wet there. These saints, going back awhile, never click offensively on wet conditions. I think anything less than 9 is a good bet on the hawks. When you just can't stop the run and you pitch the ball around on offense seattle is just not the place you wanna be on the road in the playoffs, in winter, as a dome team especially. I will give NO props for managing to hold the eagles offense to an acceptable total. But if they get down in this one its over. You're not going to shoot your way back against that defense. |
chargerfan10 | 19 |
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replied to
You want a write-up??? You got a write-up!!! The BIGGEST ONE OF MINE OF 2013! Jaguars@Denver baby!
in NFL Betting
*take jax lightly
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scalabrine | 143 |
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replied to
You want a write-up??? You got a write-up!!! The BIGGEST ONE OF MINE OF 2013! Jaguars@Denver baby!
in NFL Betting
I like your analysis in some aspects but according to football outsiders jax could be the worst team in NFL history, so the line is not way off base in any event. I'm not saying the line is spot on, but its not likely to be way off. It might not even be enough. It's tough to judge how bad jax really is.
I would have liked this better had Denver won by a decent margin last week instead of go through a scare. They are much less likely to take jax likely but the spread would still be the same or better for jax backers. I hear what you saying in that this is jax superbowl but I think you might be one level too low on your thinking. By now this whole let down phenomenon, which used to be betting parlance, is totally mainstream. To stay ahead of the curve you have to think one level ahead. Recall that KC is still undefeated so there is pressure in the division. This line could have been bigger and something to pounce on, but circumstances didn't line up just right. I accept that. I will take a good look at Henne and tried to cap how the team might fare with him but at most this is a small play and nothing to go crazy about. |
scalabrine | 143 |
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If San Fran is dumb enough to trade Smith to Arizona they could be a legit team. they are one QB and one or two OL from being a great roster.
Whatever happens the NFC west could end up being the toughest division. Great defenses talented QB's and running backs all around. Philly is a team that has a decent roster and just needs a coach. |
MagicBoy | 66 |
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I was thinking about philly too then I saw all the fantasy football guys saying Foles looked like crap on film. Those fantasy nerds actually give better player analysis than the ex player retards on espn
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RazorSharps | 44 |
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I couldn't believe it when the talking heads were all in agreement that
Eli is first ballot hall of fame. Then again, despite the baller suits
and ties, they are a bunch of morons underneath.
The story here is the defense. Eli Manning is a good quarterback, But he's not even as good as Matt Shuab. Eli is NOT elite, let alone HOF. The giants pass rush came alive, the talent gelled at the right time and they had their opponents in a situation where when third down came the opposing offense got queasy at the thought of trying to make some order out of imposed chaos. San Fran was 0-13 on 3rd down conversions at one point, and you're going to give Eli the credit? Eli??? Eli is solidly average and playing with the best receiving core in the game.Over the last 6 games the giants held their opponents to more than 2 touchdowns less than those opponents usually score. That's why the giants won, because they held the pats to 17 points. If the touchdown machine tight end was healthy the pats get their 23-24 points and probably win. How the giants got their d line to produce like that is what I want to know. This might sound crackpot pot it wouldn't surprise me if there was some type of artificial enhancement. |
NYG07 | 28 |
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Dolphins have a solid prospect at QB. He's a little inconsistent now but Moore def has potential.
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pucku27 | 94 |
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I couldn't believe it when the talking heads were all in agreement that Eli is first ballot hall of fame. Then again, despite the baller suits and ties, they are a bunch of morons underneath.
The story here is the defense. Eli Manning is a good quarterback, But he's not even as good as Matt Shuab. Eli is NOT elite, let alone HOF. The giants pass rush came alive, the talent gelled at the right time and they had their opponents in a situation where when third down came the opposing offense got queasy at the thought of trying to make some order out of imposed chaos. San Fran was 0-13 on 3rd down conversions at one point, and you're going to give Eli the credit? Eli??? Eli is solidly average and playing with the best receiving core in the game.Over the last 6 games the giants held their opponents to more than 2 touchdowns less than those opponents usually score. That's why the giants won, because they held the pats to 17 points. If the touchdown machine tight end was healthy the pats get their 23-24 points and probably win. How the giants got their d line to produce like that is what I want to know. This might sound crackpot pot it wouldn't surprise me if there was some type of artificial enhancement. |
dgnerate | 18 |
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crap job
if you took the 50 and bet ML every game you would have won a lot more |
sean2114 | 26 |
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