MASN, NBCSP

Washington @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Winker
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+750
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+750
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Jesse Winker has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 23.52 ft/sec to 25.98 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Jesse Winker has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17.2° mark is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (80th percentile). In terms of plate discipline, Jesse Winker's skill is quite good, putting up a 1.9 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 75th percentile.

Jesse Winker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Jesse Winker has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 23.52 ft/sec to 25.98 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Jesse Winker has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17.2° mark is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (80th percentile). In terms of plate discipline, Jesse Winker's skill is quite good, putting up a 1.9 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 75th percentile.

Victor Robles Total Hits Props • Washington

V. Robles
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+550
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+550
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Victor Robles will have the upper hand today. Victor Robles pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. By putting up a .268 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Victor Robles finds himself in the 82nd percentile. Posting a 1.61 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Victor Robles has demonstrated strong plate discipline, placing in the 89th percentile. Victor Robles has recorded a .273 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 88th percentile.

Victor Robles

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Victor Robles will have the upper hand today. Victor Robles pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. By putting up a .268 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Victor Robles finds himself in the 82nd percentile. Posting a 1.61 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Victor Robles has demonstrated strong plate discipline, placing in the 89th percentile. Victor Robles has recorded a .273 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 88th percentile.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+370
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+370
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Nick Castellanos will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Nick Castellanos will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Castellanos's true offensive talent to be a .320, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .065 difference between that figure and his actual .255 wOBA.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Nick Castellanos will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Nick Castellanos will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Castellanos's true offensive talent to be a .320, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .065 difference between that figure and his actual .255 wOBA.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+425
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+425
Projection Rating

Riley Adams has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (90% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Riley Adams will have the upper hand today. Riley Adams has really hit the ball hard. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.8 mph) put him among MLB's best: in the 87th percentile since the start of last season. Riley Adams is in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.2% rate since the start of last season).

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Riley Adams has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (90% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Riley Adams will have the upper hand today. Riley Adams has really hit the ball hard. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.8 mph) put him among MLB's best: in the 87th percentile since the start of last season. Riley Adams is in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.2% rate since the start of last season).

Cristian Pache Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

C. Pache
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+380
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+380
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Cristian Pache will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Cristian Pache will hold that advantage today. Since the start of last season, Cristian Pache's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) ranks in the 76th percentile at 93.9 mph.

Cristian Pache

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Cristian Pache will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Cristian Pache will hold that advantage today. Since the start of last season, Cristian Pache's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) ranks in the 76th percentile at 93.9 mph.

Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Rojas
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+285
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+285
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Johan Rojas will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage today. Johan Rojas's quickness has improved this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.89 ft/sec now. Johan Rojas has posted a .347 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 89th percentile.

Johan Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Johan Rojas will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage today. Johan Rojas's quickness has improved this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.89 ft/sec now. Johan Rojas has posted a .347 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 89th percentile.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+260
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+260
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Edmundo Sosa pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Edmundo Sosa will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 97th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.56 ft/sec this year, Edmundo Sosa is very fast.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Edmundo Sosa pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Edmundo Sosa will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 97th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.56 ft/sec this year, Edmundo Sosa is very fast.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 20th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Kyle Schwarber is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's game.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 20th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Kyle Schwarber is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's game.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the game. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Bryce Harper will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP. Bryce Harper has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the game. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Bryce Harper will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP. Bryce Harper has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Alec Bohm will have an advantage in today's game. Alec Bohm will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Alec Bohm will have an advantage in today's game. Alec Bohm will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. J.T. Realmuto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. J.T. Realmuto will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. J.T. Realmuto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. J.T. Realmuto will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Sporting a .343 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, CJ Abrams finds himself in the 75th percentile.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Sporting a .343 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, CJ Abrams finds himself in the 75th percentile.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

Joey Meneses's batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Joey Meneses will have an advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joey Meneses's true offensive skill to be a .299, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .048 disparity between that mark and his actual .251 wOBA.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Joey Meneses's batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Joey Meneses will have an advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joey Meneses's true offensive skill to be a .299, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .048 disparity between that mark and his actual .251 wOBA.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington

I. Vargas
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

Ildemaro Vargas is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Cristopher Sanchez today. Ildemaro Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. By putting up a .268 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ildemaro Vargas is ranked in the 75th percentile. In terms of plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas's skill is quite good, posting a 0.87 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 100th percentile.

Ildemaro Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ildemaro Vargas is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Cristopher Sanchez today. Ildemaro Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. By putting up a .268 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ildemaro Vargas is ranked in the 75th percentile. In terms of plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas's skill is quite good, posting a 0.87 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 100th percentile.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz's true offensive ability to be a .299, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .114 difference between that figure and his actual .185 wOBA. Keibert Ruiz is in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season).

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz's true offensive ability to be a .299, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .114 difference between that figure and his actual .185 wOBA. Keibert Ruiz is in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season).

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Young
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Jacob Young will have an edge in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.285) implies that Jacob Young has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .257 actual batting average. Posting a .323 BABIP since the start of last season, Jacob Young is ranked in the 80th percentile.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Jacob Young will have an edge in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.285) implies that Jacob Young has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .257 actual batting average. Posting a .323 BABIP since the start of last season, Jacob Young is ranked in the 80th percentile.

Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

W. Merrifield
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Whit Merrifield's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Whit Merrifield will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Whit Merrifield will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Whit Merrifield has had some very poor luck given the .047 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.

Whit Merrifield

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Whit Merrifield's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Whit Merrifield will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Whit Merrifield will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Whit Merrifield has had some very poor luck given the .047 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.

Nick Senzel Total Hits Props • Washington

N. Senzel
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

Nick Senzel is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Nick Senzel will have an edge today.

Nick Senzel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nick Senzel is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Nick Senzel will have an edge today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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