Denver 2nd Western Conference57-25
Los Angeles 7th Western Conference47-35
TSN, ABC

Denver @ Los Angeles props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rui Hachimura Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

R. Hachimura
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
+3500

Rui Hachimura has successfully made a terrific 42.5% of his three-pointers this year, a significant increase from his 33.6 rate last year. Rui Hachimura has played 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Lakers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.

Rui Hachimura

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Rui Hachimura has successfully made a terrific 42.5% of his three-pointers this year, a significant increase from his 33.6 rate last year. Rui Hachimura has played 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Lakers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
0.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
+1000
Prop
0.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
+1000
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has made 56.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 13.0% higher than he's made overall this year while playing away from home. Christian Braun has sunk 51.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 12.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the year without the home court advantage. The 6th-most up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Lakers have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Christian Braun

Prop: 0.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.6
Prop:
0.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.6

Christian Braun has made 56.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 13.0% higher than he's made overall this year while playing away from home. Christian Braun has sunk 51.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 12.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the year without the home court advantage. The 6th-most up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Lakers have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Over
+425

Jamal Murray has attempted 21.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Jamal Murray has sunk 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's sunk in all games this year away from his home court. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 85th percentile. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 15.6 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Lakers, branding this as a strong matchup. The 6th-most up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.2
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.2

Jamal Murray has attempted 21.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Jamal Murray has sunk 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's sunk in all games this year away from his home court. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 85th percentile. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 15.6 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Lakers, branding this as a strong matchup. The 6th-most up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

Aaron Gordon has converted 64.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 8.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the year when playing on the road. Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 31.7 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Lakers is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.6). The 6th-most up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Lakers have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

Aaron Gordon has converted 64.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 8.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the year when playing on the road. Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 31.7 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Lakers is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.6). The 6th-most up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Lakers have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Under
-109
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Under
-109
Projection Rating

As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's poor 111.2 points per game away from home settles in as the 10th-lowest in the league this year. Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Lakers, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Michael Porter Jr. ought to experience a decrease in efficiency across the board due to playing away from home in this matchup.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's poor 111.2 points per game away from home settles in as the 10th-lowest in the league this year. Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Lakers, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Michael Porter Jr. ought to experience a decrease in efficiency across the board due to playing away from home in this matchup.

Austin Reaves Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Reaves
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Under
-148

Over the last 25 games, opposing starting SGs have averaged 15.6 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, creating a difficult matchup for offensive output. The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Austin Reaves

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Over the last 25 games, opposing starting SGs have averaged 15.6 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, creating a difficult matchup for offensive output. The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
+106

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 50.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 9.1% higher than he's made overall this year without the home court advantage. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted 5.3 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope lands in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 31.8 minutes per game this year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Lakers have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 50.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 9.1% higher than he's made overall this year without the home court advantage. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted 5.3 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope lands in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 31.8 minutes per game this year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Lakers have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets.

Anthony Davis Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Davis
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Under
-109

Anthony Davis has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Anthony Davis

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.4
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.4

Anthony Davis has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
26
Best Odds
Under
-152

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's poor 111.2 points per game away from home settles in as the 10th-lowest in the league this year. The matchup against Anthony Davis is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.4 foul shots per game (6th percentile). Nikola Jokic should suffer a drop-off in productivity across the board due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's poor 111.2 points per game away from home settles in as the 10th-lowest in the league this year. The matchup against Anthony Davis is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.4 foul shots per game (6th percentile). Nikola Jokic should suffer a drop-off in productivity across the board due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

LeBron James Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. James
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Over
-137

LeBron James has been on the court for 40.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Lakers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 5th-highest three percentage in the league this year (44.8%). The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.

LeBron James

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.6
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.6

LeBron James has been on the court for 40.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Lakers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 5th-highest three percentage in the league this year (44.8%). The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.

D'Angelo Russell Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

D. Russell
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

D'Angelo Russell has attempted 9.3 treys per game over the last 15 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, D'Angelo Russell slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.7 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Lakers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.

D'Angelo Russell

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

D'Angelo Russell has attempted 9.3 treys per game over the last 15 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, D'Angelo Russell slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.7 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Lakers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.

Taurean Prince Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

T. Prince
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-130

Taurean Prince has converted 51.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 14.0% more than he's converted in all games this year. Taurean Prince has played a terrific 26.6 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 22.2 minutes per game last season. The Lakers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.

Taurean Prince

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

Taurean Prince has converted 51.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 14.0% more than he's converted in all games this year. Taurean Prince has played a terrific 26.6 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 22.2 minutes per game last season. The Lakers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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