Milwaukee 3rd Eastern Conference49-33
New Orleans 8th Western Conference49-33
BSN, WMLW, NBATV

Milwaukee @ New Orleans props

Smoothie King Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Herbert Jones Points Scored Props • New Orleans

H. Jones
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
+104

Herbert Jones has converted 47.8% of his treys over the last 15 games at home, 9.3% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while at home. Herbert Jones has played 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's played over the course of the year. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 5th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (43.5%). The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Herbert Jones has converted 47.8% of his treys over the last 15 games at home, 9.3% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while at home. Herbert Jones has played 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's played over the course of the year. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 5th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (43.5%). The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Larry Nance Jr. Points Scored Props • New Orleans

L. Nance Jr.
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk an impressive 41.9% of his 3-point shots this year, a significant increase from his 33.0 rate last year. Larry Nance Jr. has tallied 25.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Larry Nance Jr. has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this year while at home.

Larry Nance Jr.

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk an impressive 41.9% of his 3-point shots this year, a significant increase from his 33.0 rate last year. Larry Nance Jr. has tallied 25.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Larry Nance Jr. has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this year while at home.

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-125

Khris Middleton has sunk 60.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 11.1% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while on the road. Khris Middleton has made 53.1% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 15.2% higher than he's made from downtown overall this year. In terms of scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's stellar 120.6 points per game comes in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year. The 5th-speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Khris Middleton

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Khris Middleton has sunk 60.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 11.1% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while on the road. Khris Middleton has made 53.1% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 15.2% higher than he's made from downtown overall this year. In terms of scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's stellar 120.6 points per game comes in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year. The 5th-speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Under
-132

Brook Lopez has totaled a mere 12.4 points per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 16.1 points per game last season. Among all players in the league, Brook Lopez ranks in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game while on the road this year. The matchup with Jonas Valanciunas places in the 7th percentile with the other side's starting Cs nailing a mere 26.0% of their three-point shots this year. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Brook Lopez

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Brook Lopez has totaled a mere 12.4 points per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 16.1 points per game last season. Among all players in the league, Brook Lopez ranks in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game while on the road this year. The matchup with Jonas Valanciunas places in the 7th percentile with the other side's starting Cs nailing a mere 26.0% of their three-point shots this year. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
28
Best Odds
Under
-127

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 3.4 three attempts per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Pelicans, marking this as a tough matchup. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Compared to last year's 12.2 rate, Giannis Antetokounmpo's number of foul shots has declined this year to 10.9 foul shots per game. Giannis Antetokounmpo will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 3.4 three attempts per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Pelicans, marking this as a tough matchup. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Compared to last year's 12.2 rate, Giannis Antetokounmpo's number of foul shots has declined this year to 10.9 foul shots per game. Giannis Antetokounmpo will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-104

Malik Beasley has made an impressive 45.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, significantly higher than his 37.6 mark last year. Malik Beasley has been on the court for a whopping 29.8 minutes per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 23.6 minutes per game last season. In terms of scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's stellar 120.6 points per game comes in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The 5th-speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Malik Beasley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Malik Beasley has made an impressive 45.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, significantly higher than his 37.6 mark last year. Malik Beasley has been on the court for a whopping 29.8 minutes per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 23.6 minutes per game last season. In terms of scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's stellar 120.6 points per game comes in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The 5th-speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Over
-105

Zion Williamson has attempted 16.9 field goals per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Zion Williamson has sunk 100.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games at home, 37.5% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season while playing at home. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 1.8 three-pointers per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a strong matchup. The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Zion Williamson

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

Zion Williamson has attempted 16.9 field goals per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Zion Williamson has sunk 100.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games at home, 37.5% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season while playing at home. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 1.8 three-pointers per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a strong matchup. The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Under
-129

In contrast to last year's 11.3 clip, Damian Lillard's shots from behind the three-point arc have been reduced this year to 8.7 per game. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Damian Lillard has attempted a mere 6.9 free throws per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 9.6 mark last season. Damian Lillard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce stat production in all facets of the game.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.3
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.3

In contrast to last year's 11.3 clip, Damian Lillard's shots from behind the three-point arc have been reduced this year to 8.7 per game. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Damian Lillard has attempted a mere 6.9 free throws per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 9.6 mark last season. Damian Lillard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce stat production in all facets of the game.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
-122

Bobby Portis has been called for 2.2 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Bobby Portis is expected to experience a decrease in output in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this game.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Bobby Portis has been called for 2.2 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Bobby Portis is expected to experience a decrease in output in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this game.

Trey Murphy III Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy III
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
+100

Trey Murphy III has sunk 3.7 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. In contrast to last year's 2.0 mark, Trey Murphy III's personal fouls per game have declined this year to 1.2. The matchup against Milwaukee is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most baskets per game in the league this year (7.0). The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Trey Murphy III

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

Trey Murphy III has sunk 3.7 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. In contrast to last year's 2.0 mark, Trey Murphy III's personal fouls per game have declined this year to 1.2. The matchup against Milwaukee is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most baskets per game in the league this year (7.0). The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds
Over
-122

Compared to last season's 2.8 clip, CJ McCollum's threes drained have increased this season to 3.4 per game. CJ McCollum has tallied 31.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. This year, the other team's starting PGs have registered 21.7 points per game (most in the league) against the Bucks, resulting in a strong matchup for offensive production. The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

CJ McCollum

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.9
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.9

Compared to last season's 2.8 clip, CJ McCollum's threes drained have increased this season to 3.4 per game. CJ McCollum has tallied 31.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. This year, the other team's starting PGs have registered 21.7 points per game (most in the league) against the Bucks, resulting in a strong matchup for offensive production. The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Valanciunas
center C • New Orleans
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jonas Valanciunas has made 68.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 12.8% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. The matchup vs. Brook Lopez is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 12.3 field goals per game (100th percentile). The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas comes in at the 75th percentile for free throws converted playing at home, posting an enormous 1.9 per game this year.

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Jonas Valanciunas has made 68.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 12.8% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. The matchup vs. Brook Lopez is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 12.3 field goals per game (100th percentile). The Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas comes in at the 75th percentile for free throws converted playing at home, posting an enormous 1.9 per game this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic