MASN, NBCSP

Washington @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+600
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+600
Projection Rating

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Aaron Nola today. Keibert Ruiz has been unlucky this year, notching a .185 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .114 deviation. Keibert Ruiz is in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season).

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Aaron Nola today. Keibert Ruiz has been unlucky this year, notching a .185 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .114 deviation. Keibert Ruiz is in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season).

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+475
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+475
Projection Rating

Alec Bohm's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Alec Bohm will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Alec Bohm's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Alec Bohm will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Garrett Stubbs Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

G. Stubbs
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+450
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+450
Projection Rating

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Garrett Stubbs will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams today... and the cherry on top, Williams has a large platoon split. Garrett Stubbs has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Garrett Stubbs will hold that advantage today.

Garrett Stubbs

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Garrett Stubbs will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams today... and the cherry on top, Williams has a large platoon split. Garrett Stubbs has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Garrett Stubbs will hold that advantage today.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+370
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+370
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Because of Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Kyle Schwarber will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Because of Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Kyle Schwarber will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Nick Senzel Total Hits Props • Washington

N. Senzel
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+360
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+360
Projection Rating

Nick Senzel is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Nick Senzel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nick Senzel is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+290
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+290
Projection Rating

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge in today's matchup. With a .349 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, CJ Abrams grades out in the 80th percentile.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge in today's matchup. With a .349 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, CJ Abrams grades out in the 80th percentile.

Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington

I. Vargas
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+285
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+285
Projection Rating

Ildemaro Vargas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Ildemaro Vargas has compiled a .268 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a 0.87 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Ildemaro Vargas has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 100th percentile.

Ildemaro Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ildemaro Vargas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Ildemaro Vargas has compiled a .268 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a 0.87 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Ildemaro Vargas has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 100th percentile.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Young
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. As it relates to his batting average, Jacob Young has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .257 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .285. Jacob Young has recorded a .323 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. As it relates to his batting average, Jacob Young has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .257 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .285. Jacob Young has recorded a .323 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best hitter in the league. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Because of Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Bryce Harper will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best hitter in the league. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Because of Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Bryce Harper will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Winker
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jesse Winker ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jesse Winker will have an edge today. Jesse Winker has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 23.52 ft/sec to 25.98 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Jesse Winker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jesse Winker ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jesse Winker will have an edge today. Jesse Winker has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 23.52 ft/sec to 25.98 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nick Castellanos will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Nick Castellanos has been unlucky this year, compiling a .250 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .070 gap.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nick Castellanos will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Nick Castellanos has been unlucky this year, compiling a .250 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .070 gap.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Bryson Stott has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Williams in today's game... and moreover, Williams has a large platoon split. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Bryson Stott has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Williams in today's game... and moreover, Williams has a large platoon split. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP talent. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Williams has a large platoon split. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP talent. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Williams has a large platoon split. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Clemens
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

Kody Clemens has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Williams in today's game... and even better, Williams has a large platoon split. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kody Clemens has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Williams in today's game... and even better, Williams has a large platoon split. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Garcia Jr.
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Luis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Luis Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola today. Luis Garcia has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Luis Garcia Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Luis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Luis Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola today. Luis Garcia has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Rojas
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Johan Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Johan Rojas's footspeed has improved this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.89 ft/sec now.

Johan Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Johan Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Johan Rojas's footspeed has improved this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.89 ft/sec now.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Edmundo Sosa pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Edmundo Sosa is remarkably quick, placing in the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.67 ft/sec this year.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Edmundo Sosa pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Edmundo Sosa is remarkably quick, placing in the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.67 ft/sec this year.

Victor Robles Total Hits Props • Washington

V. Robles
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. With a .268 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Victor Robles is ranked in the 81st percentile. Victor Robles has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 86th percentile with a 1.73 K/BB rate. In notching a .267 batting average since the start of last season, Victor Robles is ranked in the 83rd percentile.

Victor Robles

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. With a .268 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Victor Robles is ranked in the 81st percentile. Victor Robles has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 86th percentile with a 1.73 K/BB rate. In notching a .267 batting average since the start of last season, Victor Robles is ranked in the 83rd percentile.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. J.T. Realmuto will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. J.T. Realmuto will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Joey Meneses has been unlucky this year, compiling a .249 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .298 — a .049 disparity.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Joey Meneses has been unlucky this year, compiling a .249 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .298 — a .049 disparity.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Washington

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Eddie Rosario has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Eddie Rosario will have an edge in today's game. Eddie Rosario has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .264 figure is quite a bit lower than his .346 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Eddie Rosario has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Eddie Rosario will have an edge in today's game. Eddie Rosario has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .264 figure is quite a bit lower than his .346 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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