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Quote Originally Posted by gatordisciple: Not my analysis but an interesting angle on playbook.com; Play against any NFL road favorite off three striaght home games considering these teams are 22-43-1 ATS since 1980. Put these road favorites in non-division affairs and they drop to their knees, going 10-28-1 ATS. Worse yet, dress them up as non-division road favorites of 3 or more points off three straight home games against .666 or less opposition and they disappear deeper than a cigar shared between Bill Clinton and an intern, going 3-21 ATS. sent you a request, have a question for you. thanks |
radiobam | 34 |
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Quote Originally Posted by AtlantaFalcons: I'm not here to gloat because there is still a lot of work to be done. When the Falcons win the NFC and sustain homefield throughout the playoffs, they will be in the superbowl, and it's my personal guarantee. A team that is pinnacle in the Dome will not yield to any of these overrated NFC teams at home. Other NFC teams have synthetic defenses that can't compete against true undervalued talent like your 2010 MVP, Roddy White. Take time and learn how to commend depreciated talent so when February rolls around, you analysts will not look like babbling morons. Though he will not be awarded it, the true MVP of the 2010 NFL season so far is Roddy White. Atlanta fans, we do not expect to get recognition. We feed of the fact that no matter what, we are the underdog. And we co-exist as one to prove the doubters and sadly the haters wrong. The city of Atlanta is a depreciated sports town. I can't argue against that because of only one professional championship. We strive for a breakthrough that will one day put Atlanta sports over the top and look towards a future in hopes that it includes a city where hockey isn't look at as a derision to other fanbases. Matt Ryan and co. will change the tides. It's our time now. To gamblers, the money should be on the Falcons. you're a tremendous douchebag and IF put actual cash on the failcants this year you would be down money. stay far away from this clown's opinion on the failcants, all of their fans are emotional. |
Covers | 47 |
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Quote Originally Posted by oddsbuster: Wednesdays action: Miami (Ohio) -9.5 for 10 units... Lets take a look at the Redhawks losses this season which are @FLA, @MISOU, @CIN & OHIO. Those 4 teams combined sport a record of 23-15 this season. Within the MAC conference this season the Redhawks have taken care of business going 5-1su and 4-2ats (very important numbers IMO). So why and/or how has the Redhawk team been able to win 6 games this year while putting up an average of 26.3 points per game on the board in those wins. Simple (to me at least), they are sporting a solid bunch of wr's that have made Zac Dysert's job easier than expected this season. The 2 top wr's this season are Armand Robinson & Nick Harwell who have combined stats of 110catches, 1311yards & 8td's. Those 2 wr's have opened up many things for the Redhawks passing game and are the main reason they are averaging 255yards per game in the air this season. And thats exactly what the Zips can not stop as they are allowing 268yards per game in the air. Also the Zips run defense does'nt get much better as they are also allowing 168ypg in that department. But wait theirs more as if that isn't enough to convince you lets take a look at that Zips offense averaging a miniscule 257 total yards per game ( Ranked 120th) and a QB that has only completed 48% of his passes all season. When you are allowing 39ppg and sport an offense such as the Zips do, that is how 0-10su records are produced. As for records this is nothing new for the Zips as they are only 3-19su & 7-15ats these last 2 seasons. I like this game with or without Zac Dysert as the Redhawks should be able to stack that box and contain the one and only weapon that the Zips have in rb Alex Allen as their should be no fear of the Zips passing all over the field in this one. This one opened up currently at -13 at most books but has since been widdled down to just -9.5 ( @ bookmaker), and I feel that this move is nothing more than a headfake by the books...POD
I have the Redhawks putting up 34 or more in this one. I don't see the Zips putting up more than 17 at best IMO... sooner you pay more attention to sharp money the better off you will be, this is an epic failure and one you should learn from. |
oddsbuster | 29 |
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Quote Originally Posted by grahamillion: Out of the six games, St. Louis was favoured twice by 10 or more points. Does that look like "greatest show on turf" quality lines? Besides for the 2003 season (when St. Louis went 12-4) I don't know what you're talking about with "greatest show on turf." St. Louis has been pretty much bad since 2002 - when I date back to their last 6 games. So the only stat that was apparently irrelevant, isn't so irrelevant by your theory, is it? The reason trends like that are irrelevant is because each game is mutually exclusive, especially in the NFL. Trends are pointless, logic is pointless. If it's too good to be true or too easy than it is. |
radiobam | 34 |
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trends mean nothing, logic means nothing, it's all about sharp money.
sooner some of you realize it the better off you'll be |
Covers | 65 |
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Quote Originally Posted by PrenticeGT: Matt Ryan looked VERY shaky most of the game against a bad Cleveland pass defense. I don't have a good feeling about this game in Philly for he and the Falcons. Good thing is the Falcons defense has been steady. Not spectacular, but Philly will have to win this game thru the air. Can they do it? Looks like a low scoring game to me. That's because Matt "death by a thousand 10yrd hook routes" Ryan is just a below average QB with a weak arm. Failcants are a sham |
Covers | 48 |
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Quote Originally Posted by r36670: Just got off the phone with my buddy that goes to all the Wisconsin games, and he guessed the line would be +13, I figured it would be +8.5......when we just looked and saw +4, we laughed our asses off. I actually flew out for the last OSU game at night time in Wisconsin 2 years ago. Don't be worried about that element. POUND OSU -4 (no hooks.....this line is an absolute miss......7-pt game, minimum) That's funny because the same type post came in on the Auburn vs KY game. How there is no way KY can play with Auburn yet those who faded Auburn are the ones who banked. Sharp money knows more than anyone, sharps say Wisc. |
Covers | 84 |
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Quote Originally Posted by AtlantaFalcons: Falcons win easily. Falcons should be 4-0. By far the best team in the nfc. Ummmmm, they should be 1-3 actually. Hartley makes a chip shot and Clements simply falls down, the Falcons are a fraud and have been lucky as hell this year. You're a blind homer, typical Failcant fan.. |
Covers | 46 |
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falcons are a below average team, on the road, vs a team coming off a bye. Giants should be giving 9 to 10 in this game. Ryan is reverting back to his BC days where he made poor decisions and threw an enormous amount of ints. He is nothing more than an average QB who needs an 1800 yrd RB behind him to be effective. I look for Ryan to throw multiple ints again and for the Giants to roll all over an extremely poor Falcon secondary. Giants - 34 Falcons - 10 |
Covers | 42 |
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Quote Originally Posted by atlantasports:
Last weeks game was a fluke for both teams. I have never seen a luckier team in my life then the Dallas Cowboys. No i am not making excuses either because the Falcons should have drove down there throats all game. The Falcons problems every week are fumbles in the opponents territory. We should be blowing teams out easily. Now about luck, Tony Romo should change his last name to Luck. Dude is not good at all. He should have been sacked atleast 7 times. He's lucky we have so many defensive injuries. Teams like Giants and Eagles eat him up alive. He is not good nor is the team but enough about them they will be lucky to win 7 games. As for the Falcons... injuries hurt. 3 starters on defense injured. Everyone should expect the Falcons to give up atleast 21 points a game. The offense should be getting atleast 40. Mike Smith will have the team ready. You'll see. We won't lose by more then 7 if we indeed lose which will probably happen because the team decides to not show up on prime time games. Falcons may not be contenders to some people but i can gaurantee anybody on these forums that the Saints will EASILY lose to the following teams in the NFC in the playoffs when it matters most: Eagles and Giants - teams that show up , and probably the Vikings ... So don't get too happy about the Saints in the regular season. They will falter. Falcons will win a superbowl in the next 3 years and thats all i care about the most so you go ahead and bet who ever you want weekly , in the end ill have my satisfaction when i go partying for weeks. within 3 years... thats something i'll bank on
You're such a tool. So the Cowboys beating the living shat out of the Falcants was luck? The Falcants are an average team at best, they will get rolled on Monday night. Ryan is starting to show his true self, they shouldn't be killing anyone because they're garbage.
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Covers | 199 |
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Can't wait to see what the douchenozzle from Atlanta has to say about this one. Atlanta is an average team, their offense is overrated and their defense is facing offenses that can expose the weak secondary. Matt Ryan is becoming more who most thought he was, a TO prone QB with poor decision-making. This is what he was at BC, he will continue this downward spiral especially without an 1,800 yrd RB. Ryan isn't good enough to do it on his own and has proven this year that when put on his shoulders he chokes. Lay the points, easy money in the big easy this week. Saints - 47 Falcons - 21 |
Covers | 199 |
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Raiders.
I'm a Bucs fan and 13 points with that offense is way too much. The Raiders may win outright
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Mr_Covers | 24 |
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The Falcons have been the luckiest team in the league this year. Maybe the Rams can gift wrap 7 fumbles this week for them
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Mr_Covers | 36 |
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Quote Originally Posted by atlantasports:
You clearly have no clue what your talking about. We have the better : QB Ryan, WR White, RB Turner, FB Mughelli, LE Abraham, O-Line, Special Teams. We arguably have the better corners. Not only do we favor in them positions but we also favor in the following matchups : Roddy White Vs. (i dont care what corner sticks him, you could double him for all i care), Our Run Defense against a weak run game in Dunn and Williams. And Garcia is going to have to get it done through the air which is alot to ask for. I'm hoping by the end of this day, Roddy White has close to 1450 yards so he can make a run at 1700. So yeah, The Bucs dont really match up to well with the Falcons.
LOL The Bucs with Trueblood, Faine, Sears, Joeseph, and Penn are lightyears better than the Falcons OL. To even suggest that the Falcons have better cornes shows how homer you are, there's no reason to even continue this rediculous discussion. Bucs win becuse the Falcon defense is atrocious on every level, DL, LB's, and will field one of the worst secondaries in the league. |
Mr_Covers | 54 |
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It seems every game that the Falcons lose, in atlantasports eyes, is always the other team getting lucky.
You are a homer, the Falcons will go down this week because they don't match-up well with the Bucs at almost every position.
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Mr_Covers | 54 |
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It's going to be a tough game for TB but the Falcons defense is atrocious. The Bucs have distinct match-up advantages all over the place and their run D will not lay an egg like Monday night. Bucs 28 Falcons 17 |
Mr_Covers | 54 |
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First let me say that I'm a huge Bucs fan, enormous.
Having said that the NFC South teams don't lose at home. The Panthers got steamrolled in Tampa and will be looking to prove something.
Panthers cover in this one, unfortunately.
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Mr_Covers | 177 |
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Bucs D is tough as hell, much better than the Pack. Brees will get a few but the Bucs O will run through the Saints D.
Bucs at home are very difficult to beat
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Mr_Covers | 29 |
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I feel bad for the Falcant fans who have their hopes up for a playoff run only to have their team win 2 more games at most. The Panthers will roll this week |
Mr_Covers | 34 |
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I'm a huge TB fan, having said that take Det and run.
The Bucs are horrible on the road and giving that many is simply insane
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Mr_Covers | 36 |
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