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And when these sweet 16 teams play against a team off a double digit victory (Wichita State), they are 0-3 ATS and SU (average losing margin of 10.33) (losses of 19, 13, and 7).
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Mest16 | 3 |
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For what it's worth:
Going back to 2007, sweet sixteen teams off an overtime game (and yes, I know there are a few days of rest) are 1-6 ATS and 1-6 SU. The ATS win and SU win aren't the same team though. The one team that won didn't cover and the one team that covered didn't win. So underdogs are 1-4 ATS and 0-5 SU. Obviously way more angles when handicapping a game but just providing one that I have not seen people discussing. Best of luck everyone!
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Mest16 | 3 |
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created a topic
Here's a playoff trend for when there was a blowout in the regular season matchup...
in NFL Betting Since 2003, if a team lost by 20+ points in the previous regular season matchup between the two teams (in that same season), the team that lost by 20+ is 9-4 ATS in that playoff matchup (7-3 if they are an away underdog). Same conditions but only in the Conference Championship game: Those teams are 3-0 ATS. Under all of the same conditions except when that team lost by 9+ (give ourselves a larger same size): Those teams are 22-10 ATS, including 6-0 in Conference Championship games. These trends definitely suggest that we should expect to see
at least one of the underdogs (Colts and Packers) cover this weekend. |
Mest16 | 3 |
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Since 2003, if a team lost by 20+ points in the previous regular season matchup between the two teams (in that same season), the team that lost by 20+ is 9-4 ATS in that playoff matchup (7-3 if they are an away underdog).
Same conditions but only in the Conference Championship game: Those teams are 3-0 ATS. Under all of the same conditions except when that team lost by 9+ (give ourselves a larger same size): Those teams are 22-10 ATS, including 6-0 in Conference Championship games. These trends definitely suggest that we should expect to see at least one of the underdogs (Colts and Packers) cover this weekend.
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oldasskorean | 11 |
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ATS. If you bought a half point or full point, that's cool though!
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Mest16 | 4 |
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Going into last week, I was on a 13 game ATS betting streak with the NFL (over the course of four weeks). Unfortunately my streak ended with my lone 1 o'clock pick, but I played three of the four 4 o'clock games and the SNF game and won on all four, so I'm back on a 4 game winning streak and I have won 17 of my last 18 plays. What a fun run it has been!!
Curious to hear how this compares to other people: What is your best streak or best run in the NFL? Thanks for the input and best of luck with your playoff wagers!
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Mest16 | 4 |
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Second2-Numbers | 15 |
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Best of luck tonight LC! We've been on the same side a lot lately, but I went with Falcons +14 on Monday and I will be going with the Cards tonight.
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LeagueCapper | 22 |
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Updated record for SU picks:
26-9 (+8.88 units) 12/10 Detroit Red Wings for $300 Best of luck everyone!
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Mest16 | 7 |
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12/9
4-2 (+1.13 units) (won $339.00)
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Mest16 | 7 |
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Mest16 | 7 |
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Mest16 | 7 |
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Just felt like posting my plays today for the fun of it. I got stuck at work late so haven't had a chance to post until now. I'll try to copy and paste my ticket for proof.
I track my plays in a spreadsheet and I'm 22-7 for the year which comes outs to an ROI of 25.44%. I'm at +7.75 units with a unit size of $200. I'm raising my unit size to $300 now for most plays. I actually haven't made a play in December yet and I tend to do better in December than November, so I guess we'll see how things play out. Best of luck everyone! Tonight I have: Montreal for $300 Tampa Bay for $300 Dallas for $200 San Jose for $200 Toronto for $300 Columbus for $300
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Mest16 | 7 |
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Second2-Numbers | 7 |
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Since 2001, Pats are 14-0 SU and ATS on the road after a loss in which the team they are playing won their previous game.
Despite losing their last 8 games on grass, the Pats are 6-0 SU and ATS (small sample size) on grass since 2005 after a loss against teams with a winning percentage at or above .500. Philip Rivers is 30-7 SU in his career in in December and 20-1 SU against opponents after a loss. However out of the 37 games, the Chargers were home dogs 3 of the games (losing two) and were never home dogs out of the 22 games. Tom Brady has won 6 of his last 8 SNF games (only other game which the Pats lost was all the way back in 2002) and Philip Rivers is 5-1 at home on SNF.
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Mest16 | 1 |
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Wasn't pretty but
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Mest16 | 5 |
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Since 2008 when two teams are playing their 12th game of the season, the team that is playing for a bowl game (the team that has 5 wins and the motivation for that 6th win)...is 13-0 SU (10-1-2 ATS) when they are playing on the road against a team with 3 wins or less. The only ATS loss came last week when Tennessee won by 7, but did not cover the 16 point spread.
So basically, when teams are playing their final game of the season for a bowl game against a bad team on the road...they tend to win.
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Mest16 | 5 |
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For what it's worth...Since 2008 when two teams are playing their 12th game of the season, the team that is playing for a bowl game (the team that has 5 wins and the motivation for that 6th win)...is 13-0 SU (10-1-2 ATS) when they are playing on the road against a team with 3 wins or less. The only ATS loss came last week when Tennessee won by 7, but did not cover the 16 point spread.
So basically, when teams are playing their final game of the season for a bowl game against a bad team on the road...they tend to win.
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gotime | 24 |
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"The Bengals are in an absolutely terrible spot. They’re playing in their 3rd straight road game, and are in a massive look-ahead as they have the Steelers, Browns, Broncos, and Steelers after this game. " When those same teams have a divisional game the next week, they are 6-0 ATS Away favorites that just came off an away game and have their next two games against divisional opponents are 21-8 ATS. Best of luck buddy!
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LeagueCapper | 161 |
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Second2-Numbers | 5 |
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