Since 2003, if a team lost by 20+ points in the previous
regular season matchup between the two teams (in that same season), the team
that lost by 20+ is 9-4 ATS in that playoff matchup (7-3 if they are an away
underdog).
Same conditions but only in the Conference Championship
game:
Those teams are 3-0 ATS.
Under all of the same conditions except when that team lost
by 9+ (give ourselves a larger same size):
Those teams are 22-10 ATS, including 6-0 in Conference
Championship games.
These trends definitely suggest that we should expect to see
at least one of the underdogs (Colts and Packers) cover this weekend.
Since 2003, if a team lost by 20+ points in the previous
regular season matchup between the two teams (in that same season), the team
that lost by 20+ is 9-4 ATS in that playoff matchup (7-3 if they are an away
underdog).
Same conditions but only in the Conference Championship
game:
Those teams are 3-0 ATS.
Under all of the same conditions except when that team lost
by 9+ (give ourselves a larger same size):
Those teams are 22-10 ATS, including 6-0 in Conference
Championship games.
These trends definitely suggest that we should expect to see
at least one of the underdogs (Colts and Packers) cover this weekend.
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