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pitt has bal next week..... |
jezhead | 2 |
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Quote Originally Posted by csmit19:
Adding a few plays that I really like ... really hoping COVID doesn’t spread like wild fire ! Adding .... Panthers +3 (+100) for 2 units ($200 to win $200) Rams -13 (-110) for 1 unit ($110 to win $100) Lions +3 (-110) for 1 unit ($110 to win $100) Texans -3.5 (-110) for 1 unit ($110 to win $100) Also will be locking in some prop plays that I really like: DeVante Parker Over 61.5 Rec Yards (-120) for 3 units ($360 to win $300) Darrell Henderson Over 86.5 Rush + Rec yards (-120) for 2 units ($240 to win $200) James Robinson Over 84.5 Rush + Rec yards (-120) for 2 units ($240 to win $200) Mike Davis Over 5.5 Rec (+100) for 2 units ($200 to win $200) David Johnson Over 92.5 Rush + Rec Yards (-120) for 1 unit ($120 to win $100) Brandin Cooks Over 4.5 Rec (+100) for 1 unit ($100 to win $100) Anthony Miller Over 2.5 Rec (+110) for 1 unit ($100 to win $110) TJ Hockenson Over 41.5 Rec Yards (-120) for 1 unit ($120 to win $100) Week 4 - Official Plays: 1. Jets TT Over 19.5 (-120) for 1 unit ($120 to win $100) *WIN* 2. Jags +3 (-110) for 2 units ($220 to win $200) / Jags ML (+140) for a half unit ($50 to win $70) 3. Dolphins +6.5 (-110) for 2 units ($220 to win $200) 4. Panthers +3 (+100) for 2 units ($200 to win $200) 5. Rams -13 (-110) for 1 unit ($110 to win $100) 6. Lions +3 (-110) for 1 unit ($110 to win $100) 7. Texans -3.5 (-110) for 1 unit ($110 to win $100) Week 4 - Official Prop Plays: 1. DeVante Parker Over 61.5 Rec Yards (-120) for 3 units ($360 to win $300) 2. Darrell Henderson Over 86.5 Rush + Rec yards (-120) for 2 units ($240 to win $200) 3. James Robinson Over 84.5 Rush + Rec yards (-120) for 2 units ($240 to win $200) 4. Mike Davis Over 5.5 Rec (+100) for 2 units ($200 to win $200) 5. David Johnson Over 92.5 Rush + Rec Yards (-120) for 1 unit ($120 to win $100) 6. Brandin Cooks Over 4.5 Rec (+100) for 1 unit ($100 to win $100) 7. Anthony Miller Over 2.5 Rec (+110) for 1 unit ($100 to win $110) 8. TJ Hockenson Over 41.5 Rec Yards (-120) for 1 unit ($120 to win $100) YTD: 1-0-0 (+1.00 unit(s) / +$100.00) May add more as we get closer to Sunday.
I thought you liked NO? |
csmit19 | 79 |
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Depending on who you have used, I would go with IND now since your best next chance to use IND would be W17 vs. JAC or W6 vs CIN. |
vanzack | 7 |
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I do the same and bet against the line move (ie, I consider the look-ahead line to be the correct line - unless massive injuries are reported). |
fts1409 | 4 |
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SF
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LeagueCapper | 60 |
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If you take 3 as HFA, it means Jets would be favored by 7' at home. Sounds about right.
Although, road favorites are usually more disadvantaged than this.
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mguerri2016 | 11 |
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Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper: Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars Extra
motivation? Former Bills coach Doug Marrone has been hired by the Jacksonville
Jaguars as an assistant head coach/offensive line coach. I
like the Jags to pull the upset and get their first win in London this weekend. ... I would usually agree here, but I think its a reverse emotion. all the players think that their former coach abandon them. Just left them like an ugly step-child, so they going to show up and kick behind. Something like how USC lost to UW that got Sark fired.
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LeagueCapper | 47 |
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Quote Originally Posted by St2ee: Not sure why you think Zona looks like a trap. They are 3 or 3.5 point favs IN Pittsburgh. Pitt just won a game in San Diego. Zona is 4-1....but there are 5 unbeaten teams in the NFL, so the respect is not up to speed yet. The loss 2 weeks ago sets this line up perfectly. If they were at home, it would be around 9 points. Always, have no fear. Zona rolls Thats what the line is implying but I would bet this line would be ARI-7' at home. So you are probably giving up 2-3 pts in value depending on how much HFA is for ARI.
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SgtBrody | 9 |
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Quote Originally Posted by MrWhatsItToYa: I love Balt in this spot,i cant believe I haven't seen this angle mentioned anywhere.But John Harbaugh is gonna have the chance to avenge the way this organization treated his brother,i think to him,thats is a big deal.Thats gonna give him a ton of motivation to put it to SF,plus the 9ers are a complete disaster,right now. For what its worth, he already said that he doesn't hold a grudge.
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rudy22 | 46 |
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I read somewhere that SD was the slowest team in the NFL a year ago. So I expect them to try to take every second per play to shorten the game and a 10' pts is a lot to give. I like the "best QB" angle too.
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LeagueCapper | 57 |
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CHI@DET - Thinking along the same line here too, but that DET team might have given up and the new D scheme for Chi might be starting to jell. Caldwell << Fox and I don't think Fox is all that good. I think Caldwell get fired before the season ends.
One other interesting tidbit is that Fox is from AFCW, so he knew OAK and KC and SD and now has to plan against a NFCN team. I'd hate to put money on Caldwell.
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ballinonabudget | 37 |
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DEN@CLE - I like your analysis. Was thinking the same (had OAK LW, btw). But only thing about bad teams is that they are inconsistent and the BIG win BIG loss theory of betting might apply here. I will probably pull the trigger on CLE, but that was a BIG win for them at BAL, and BAL did shred them rushing. If CLE gets down early, NO way they comeback on DEN. Also, I think the Pass O of OAK is better and probably a better Run D too.
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ballinonabudget | 37 |
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IDK boys... ARI is gonna want kick some behind, Arians was OC for many years at PIT but got passed up for the HC job and went to IND. And Arians is way better coach than Tomlin.
And Palmer's career went to the toilet after PIT roll up on his knee and took him out of that playoff game vs CIN. So, both the coach and QB looking for some payback??? .
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Blazayblah | 26 |
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Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: 5. REDSKINS+8(-120)*bovada 77% on atl yet the line is gonna hit 7 soon Hopefully D'Angelo Williams plays in this one. Write ups coming later... ATL-OC was the OC for WAS and AHC Morris was WASDB coach and the RB coach for ATL was the Assist HC for WAS. Notice how they did well against NFCE this year? I like WAS, but staying away. Even the ATL OL coach was a coach at WAS.
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undermysac | 33 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Natty68: this ones a stay away. more promising low-hanging-fruit on this weeks card. And those would be?
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DegenCurtis21 | 20 |
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Had he lost 3 in a row to start a season before?
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begginerboy | 11 |
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i wait till they go to OAK to fade them.
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Crashdavis565 | 34 |
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Quote Originally Posted by suuma: Good luck buddy, turnaround week for you. Guys, the Jets have a terrible matchup this week. Why is that? From a x/o perspective or from scheduling? Thanksin advance.
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amd | 85 |
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Quote Originally Posted by bettingman103: Lot of times I would not make plays that I was scared to bet and they won One of my systems - The "scary bet" bet.
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bettingman103 | 32 |
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Phi scored 37 (Was 27) and 24 (@was 27) with Foles. If he can score 24 this time, STL should cover.
Wow, WAS only had 4.2NYPP vs. STL Ly in that 24-0 game
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Targa1 | 35 |
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