Preview: Texas A&M at Kansas State

When: 9:00 PM ET, Wednesday, December 28, 2016
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas




ADVOCARE V100 TEXAS BOWL STORYLINES

1. A pair of former conference rivals square off in the AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl on Dec. 28 in Houston, where Texas A&M faces Kansas State. The Aggies limp into this contest after losing four of their final six games, including an ugly 54-39 setback to LSU in the regular-season finale. Kansas State, meanwhile, has won five of its last six with the only loss a late collapse against a quality Oklahoma State squad.

2. One of the key matchups to watch is the Kansas State rushing attack against the Texas A&M run defense. The Wildcats ran for nearly 2,800 yards and 36 touchdowns as a team with each of their top five runners averaging at least five yards per carry. Quarterback Jesse Ertz (945 yards) should see plenty of action on the ground against an Aggies squad that allowed at least 250 rushing yards in four of their final five games against Power 5 conference teams.

3. Texas A&M leads the all-time series 8-7, but Kansas State has won the last three meetings (all when the teams were members of the Big 12). The most recent matchup was a four-overtime triumph in 2011 that helped the Wildcats earn bowl eligibility under legendary coach Bill Snyder, who is set to embark on his 19th postseason appearance with the Wildcats. The bad news for Kansas State is that despite the win over Texas A&M, it went on to lose its bowl game that season - part of a 1-7 mark in bowl games since 2004.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Texas A&M -2

ABOUT TEXAS A&M (8-4, 4-4 SEC): The Aggies allowed Derrius Guice to run for an LSU-record 285 yards in the regular-season finale, but they also couldn't stop the Tigers' passing game as Danny Etling torched their secondary for 324 yards and two scores. "We were 6-0 and No. 4 in polls at one point. Here we are three weeks later, and we are unranked (in College Football Playoff rankings). That is disappointing," said quarterback Trevor Knight (16 passing TDs, 10 rushing), who hasn't thrown for 250 yards in a game since early September, although Trayveon Williams (1,024 rushing yards, eight TDs) gives the team plenty of offensive balance. First-team All-American defensive end Myles Garrett (8.5 sacks) is a force who could end up as the No. 1 overall pick in next year's NFL draft.

ABOUT KANSAS STATE (8-4, 6-3 Big 12): The Wildcats don't get much help from their passing attack, as Ertz's season high is 207 passing yards and he only has eight TD passes on the year. However, the junior has 10 rushing scores - second on the team behind Winston Dimel's 12 - and gets plenty of help from Charles Jones (577 yards), Alex Barnes (442) and Justin Silmon (387). Kansas State's defense is trending in the right direction, as the team has allowed decreasing point totals in four straight games - 43, 21, 19 and most recently six points in its regular season-ending win against TCU.



PREDICTION: Kansas State 33, Texas A&M 29

Stats and Records

Team Comparison

  W/L Strk PF PA Home Away Grass Turf Conf
Texas A&M 8-4 L1 35.4 23.8 6-2 2-2 7-4 0-0 4-4
Kansas State 8-4 W3 32.2 21.8 5-1 3-3 3-2 0-0 6-3

Last Meeting

Texas A&M Kansas State
Date Away Home Tot Rus Pas Tot Rus Pas
11/12/11 TAM 50 KSU 53 482 272 210 411 130 281

Player Stats

Previous Matchup
Passing Player COMP% YDS TD INT
TAM R. Tannehill 58.7 210 3 1
KSU C. Klein 63.0 281 1 1
Rushing Player CAR YDS AVG TD
TAM C. Gray 30 218 7.3 2
KSU C. Klein 35 103 2.9 5
Receiving Player REC YDS AVG TD
TAM R. Swope 9 58 6.4 1
KSU C. Harper 4 134 33.5 1
TDs Player TD
TAM C. Gray 2
KSU C. Klein 5
Season
Passing Player COMP% YDS TD INT
TAM T. Knight 51.9 2122 16 6
KSU J. Ertz 56.6 1560 8 4
Rushing Player CAR YDS AVG TD
TAM T. Williams 147 1024 7.0 8
KSU J. Ertz 159 945 5.9 10
Receiving Player REC YDS AVG TD
TAM J. Reynolds 49 885 18.1 10
KSU B. Pringle 36 524 14.6 3
TDs Player TD
TAM C. Kirk 12
KSU W. Dimel 12

Quickchart Matchup

Texas A&M Off vs  Kansas State Def
468.1 yards
383.1 yards
5.7 yards/rush
3.7 yards/rush
7.1 yards/attempt
7.6 yards/attempt
Kansas State Off vs  Texas A&M Def
387.2 yards
444.2 yards
5.3 yards/rush
4.3 yards/rush
6.4 yards/attempt
6.9 yards/attempt

Matchup Stats - Full Matchup

Texas A&M Overall Kansas State
8-4-0 W/L 8-4-0
4-8-0 ATS 5-7-0
4-7-1 O/U 6-6-0
35.4 Pts For 32.2
23.8 Pts Against 21.8
Texas A&M A/H Kansas State
2-2 W/L 5-1
1-3-0 ATS 2-4-0
1-3-0 O/U 4-2-0
23.8 Pts For 39.5
24.2 Pts Against 21.3