The Tampa Bay Lightning are on the brink of elimination, while the Florida Panthers can punch their ticket to Round 2 with a home win on Monday. Similarly, the Vegas Golden Knights can hit the highway with a commanding 3-1 series lead, or the Dallas Stars can pull even heading back to Big D with a win in Sin City.
There's a lot on the line, and the Panthers and Stars are the betting favorites in the NHL odds.
Read on for our free NHL picks and NHL player props for both games on Monday, April 29.
NHL prop picks and best bets for April 29
- Lundell Over 0.5 points (+120 at BET99)
- Robertson Over 2.5 shots (-145 at BET99)
- Hintz Over 0.5 points (-110 at BET99)
Picks made on 4-29 at 12:15 p.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.
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Today’s NHL prop picks and best bets
Prop bet #1: Look to Lundell
Moving to a top-six role continues to work for Florida Panthers center Anton Lundell, and he’s collected an assist in three straight games with wingers Matthew Tkachuk and Carter Verhaeghe on his flanks. The trio has also clicked nine high-danger scoring chances while driving possession with a 56.5 Corsi For percentage and generating 70.9% of the expected goals at 5-on-5.
Additionally, I consider these Anton Lundell odds off the mark because he finished the season strong and has flashed success when called upon to play a larger role. He’s marked the scoresheet in eight of 11 games dating back to the regular season, and his career trajectory continues to point up since being selected 12th overall in 2020.
Lundell isn't a depth piece climbing the depth chart out of necessity. He's a top-six talent who played a bottom-six role as a luxury.
Anton Lundell prop: Over 0.5 points (+120 at BET99)
Prop bet #2: Keep rolling with Robertson
Dallas Stars winger Jason Robertson continues to trade at a 2.5-shot total without the vig climbing into completely crippling territory, and he keeps clearing the number with three or more shots in five of his past seven games dating back to the regular season.
Robertson's 231 shots and 477 attempts paced the Stars during the regular season, and he’s continued the trend to rank second in shots (nine) and third in attempts (23) through the first three games against the Vegas Golden Knights. Additionally, he’s also been on the ice for a high-end 59.0 Corsi For percentage at five-on-five and skates with the No. 1 power-play unit.
Finally, I value these Jason Robertson odds because he’s often traded at a 3.5-shot total over the past two years, and the Stars have driven 5-on-5 possession (58.5 CF%) against the Golden Knights all series, including with a 61.5% mark on the road in Game 3.
Jason Robertson prop: Over 2.5 shots (-145 at BET99)
Prop bet #3: Roope ripe for positive regression
Stars forward Roope Hintz is mired in a seven-game point drought dating back to the regular season despite skating on the top line and No. 1 power-play unit. He’s an obvious candidate for statistical correction after finishing third in points per 60 minutes (3.1) for the Stars over the past three years.
Hintz has also been on the ice for four goals across the first three games against the Golden Knights in Round 1, and he paced Dallas with 24 points across 19 postseason games last spring.
Finally, Hintz's 5-on-5 numbers have been solid with a 59.8 Corsi For percentage and 69.2 expected goals percentage, while Vegas has an unsustainably high .955 team save percentage with him on the ice. I value these Roope Hintz odds because the underlying numbers also support the incoming positive offensive regression.
Roope Hintz prop: Over 0.5 points (-110 at BET99)
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