SORRY for ur team total wager, a moose is a moose. on a side note thats completely relevant to ur targeted scenario. Kings dont care to play much D, or any at that. Check out what they allow and what they score since the break, u will see, another angle is that last matchup was another shootfest. So its not like u can jus bank on both teams being b2b and suns scoring under 101 is so great afterall.
The play with highest odds of favorable outcome was OVER 206. Thats the lesson.
I watch a lot of Suns games (unfortunately). And they have a huge problem scoring, especially with no Dragic. Just like somebody here said the Suns scored over 101 in only 1 out 9 games. I understand that the Kings allow a bunch, but Suns don't even come close to that most nights, even against some bad defensive teams. In retrospective, Kings Over 106 made more sense as the Suns play no D and Kings scored over 100, i think in 23 out 26 games or something like that.Sucks to lose like that, but I still think it wasn't such a bad bet.
SORRY for ur team total wager, a moose is a moose. on a side note thats completely relevant to ur targeted scenario. Kings dont care to play much D, or any at that. Check out what they allow and what they score since the break, u will see, another angle is that last matchup was another shootfest. So its not like u can jus bank on both teams being b2b and suns scoring under 101 is so great afterall.
The play with highest odds of favorable outcome was OVER 206. Thats the lesson.
I watch a lot of Suns games (unfortunately). And they have a huge problem scoring, especially with no Dragic. Just like somebody here said the Suns scored over 101 in only 1 out 9 games. I understand that the Kings allow a bunch, but Suns don't even come close to that most nights, even against some bad defensive teams. In retrospective, Kings Over 106 made more sense as the Suns play no D and Kings scored over 100, i think in 23 out 26 games or something like that.Sucks to lose like that, but I still think it wasn't such a bad bet.
Laid off yesterday, today I have 2 bets involving the same game. Im gonna roll with Boston. They still havent clinched a playoff berth, the Hawks already have. Hawks on thier 4th road game in a row. also taking the over in this game. Its been 5-2 ats the last 7 meetings between these 2. No KG and a tired Atlanta D with Bostons playoff hopes on the line should give enough points for the over.
Laid off yesterday, today I have 2 bets involving the same game. Im gonna roll with Boston. They still havent clinched a playoff berth, the Hawks already have. Hawks on thier 4th road game in a row. also taking the over in this game. Its been 5-2 ats the last 7 meetings between these 2. No KG and a tired Atlanta D with Bostons playoff hopes on the line should give enough points for the over.
knicks should dominate at home. i see a 20+ victory. i hate novak but the kid can shoot and he'll make it rain tnite. as long as his 3s go in(which they should since he plays better wen knicks r up) i see a 20 point win.
rlm with the hornets..let down spot...etc etc. plus 71-72 lakers lost next 4 games after their streak ended. miami is also looking at spurs..which they know is one of the teams they should look out for, so they'll prob ease up with the hornets...i dont see any extra motivation to win here besides bouncing back and gaining confidence wen they play the spurs. miami makes it close..play good def..but hornets cover.
knicks should dominate at home. i see a 20+ victory. i hate novak but the kid can shoot and he'll make it rain tnite. as long as his 3s go in(which they should since he plays better wen knicks r up) i see a 20 point win.
rlm with the hornets..let down spot...etc etc. plus 71-72 lakers lost next 4 games after their streak ended. miami is also looking at spurs..which they know is one of the teams they should look out for, so they'll prob ease up with the hornets...i dont see any extra motivation to win here besides bouncing back and gaining confidence wen they play the spurs. miami makes it close..play good def..but hornets cover.
isn't miami close with the western conference for home court advantage throughout the playoffs? that'd be the only reason they're playing in my opinion.. because i know they want home court in the finals.
isn't miami close with the western conference for home court advantage throughout the playoffs? that'd be the only reason they're playing in my opinion.. because i know they want home court in the finals.
It seems like that Casper sucked the life out this thread ?? Where is everyone ? Did you give up action on Fridays ? Where is that loser anyways, he was bugging me like 36 hours before that final display he put on, I came to read off after the buzzers and all I see is him acting like his tablet is his girlfriend. hope everyone can come back.. it's Friday!!
It seems like that Casper sucked the life out this thread ?? Where is everyone ? Did you give up action on Fridays ? Where is that loser anyways, he was bugging me like 36 hours before that final display he put on, I came to read off after the buzzers and all I see is him acting like his tablet is his girlfriend. hope everyone can come back.. it's Friday!!
We're here. Let's just all try to forget that happened with that guy. Fairly big NBA card tonight, so hopefully some picks and discussion of tonight's games will start soon.
We're here. Let's just all try to forget that happened with that guy. Fairly big NBA card tonight, so hopefully some picks and discussion of tonight's games will start soon.
Key component to both offenses will be missing tonight with Lawson and Johnson out, a little fatigue factor for Brooklyn who will be on the 6th game of their 7 game trip.Brooklyn's last ten games have averaged 196.5 pts and denver has averaged 202.5 in the last ten.There has been RLM with this game also.
-Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 home games
-Under is 6-0-1 in Nuggets last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game
Key component to both offenses will be missing tonight with Lawson and Johnson out, a little fatigue factor for Brooklyn who will be on the 6th game of their 7 game trip.Brooklyn's last ten games have averaged 196.5 pts and denver has averaged 202.5 in the last ten.There has been RLM with this game also.
-Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 home games
-Under is 6-0-1 in Nuggets last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game
Louisville-10: this is a lot of points.. but i feel lousiville press should get to dominic artis as he is still very young.. and louisville is just too strong and too fast.. they won't allow oregon to break the press and find open shots.. feel a big game from gorgui dieng down low and way russ smith is playing.. lotta points but Louisville clicking on all cylinders.. and they saw what happened to Indiana..
Kansas-2: kansas has 4 seniors and Ben Mclemore.. they're just the bigger stronger older team in this matchup.. i'll take experienced 22 year olds over 18-20 year old everyday.. feel withey will be too much for mitch mcgary down low and he will have big game.. only chance i see Mich having is if they drain from 3 pt land which they are capable of, but i feel kansas is ready for this matchup, and have better coach in my opinion.
duke-2: mich st is the garbage! don't get me wrong, but i feel duke will be able to spread the ball well and hit their shots.. and when that happens that will open plumlee down low.. this game should come down to the wire, but i expect duke to come thru clutch tonight.
Florida-13: I Initially leaned gulf coast +13.. BUT as week went on i felt how much Florida is game filming for gulf coast and won't take them lightly.. i won't forget the stretch earlier in season when FLA was beating SEC opponents by an average of 20+ppg.. they dominate teams that are better than gulf coast on the regular.. and feel they will want to shut up ESPN and Tom Rinaldi for all the press gulf coast is getting.. plus see some RLM as public on gulf coast and line trending up to 13.5 some books.. if Florida show up tonight and takes care of the ball.. they should win this one easily.
good luck guys thanks for reading!! where majority of my $$ is today.. some NBA today will post picks after some research..
Louisville-10: this is a lot of points.. but i feel lousiville press should get to dominic artis as he is still very young.. and louisville is just too strong and too fast.. they won't allow oregon to break the press and find open shots.. feel a big game from gorgui dieng down low and way russ smith is playing.. lotta points but Louisville clicking on all cylinders.. and they saw what happened to Indiana..
Kansas-2: kansas has 4 seniors and Ben Mclemore.. they're just the bigger stronger older team in this matchup.. i'll take experienced 22 year olds over 18-20 year old everyday.. feel withey will be too much for mitch mcgary down low and he will have big game.. only chance i see Mich having is if they drain from 3 pt land which they are capable of, but i feel kansas is ready for this matchup, and have better coach in my opinion.
duke-2: mich st is the garbage! don't get me wrong, but i feel duke will be able to spread the ball well and hit their shots.. and when that happens that will open plumlee down low.. this game should come down to the wire, but i expect duke to come thru clutch tonight.
Florida-13: I Initially leaned gulf coast +13.. BUT as week went on i felt how much Florida is game filming for gulf coast and won't take them lightly.. i won't forget the stretch earlier in season when FLA was beating SEC opponents by an average of 20+ppg.. they dominate teams that are better than gulf coast on the regular.. and feel they will want to shut up ESPN and Tom Rinaldi for all the press gulf coast is getting.. plus see some RLM as public on gulf coast and line trending up to 13.5 some books.. if Florida show up tonight and takes care of the ball.. they should win this one easily.
good luck guys thanks for reading!! where majority of my $$ is today.. some NBA today will post picks after some research..
So, after everyone had his say about casper - can we please focus on what we're here for. I suggest instead of complaining about the lack of input by other - to make your own input
So, after everyone had his say about casper - can we please focus on what we're here for. I suggest instead of complaining about the lack of input by other - to make your own input
Houston (14-21) is not a good road team, and Memphis (28-8) is excellent at home. Houston is in a tough spot here -- after playing the last SEVEN games at home, they have this odd roadie before heading back to Houston tomorrow for two more at home. Playing 9 out of 10 at home, I don't expect much from the lone road test, especially against a team fighting for home-court advantage in the playoffs. Memphis has won their last 10 home games, 8 of them by 6 points or more. I realize this pick goes against some slight RLM, but as we saw earlier this week RLM doesn't always mean much.
Houston (14-21) is not a good road team, and Memphis (28-8) is excellent at home. Houston is in a tough spot here -- after playing the last SEVEN games at home, they have this odd roadie before heading back to Houston tomorrow for two more at home. Playing 9 out of 10 at home, I don't expect much from the lone road test, especially against a team fighting for home-court advantage in the playoffs. Memphis has won their last 10 home games, 8 of them by 6 points or more. I realize this pick goes against some slight RLM, but as we saw earlier this week RLM doesn't always mean much.
Why is everyone so heavy on BOS? I hate betting on ATL, but they have been super hot lately. Boston finally by some miracle comes back and beat CLE after losing 5 in a row and all of a sudden public is on them. What am I missing?
Why is everyone so heavy on BOS? I hate betting on ATL, but they have been super hot lately. Boston finally by some miracle comes back and beat CLE after losing 5 in a row and all of a sudden public is on them. What am I missing?
my guess is people are just siding with the home team on a low line.. one of those"boston's at home so they SHOULD win." lol, i don't know.. not on that game tonight, just guessing
my guess is people are just siding with the home team on a low line.. one of those"boston's at home so they SHOULD win." lol, i don't know.. not on that game tonight, just guessing
i'm waiting to post my picks lol.. i'm taking all underdogs tonight and feel line will move up in my favor..do like the picks so far.. especially yours batman! agree with both.
i'm waiting to post my picks lol.. i'm taking all underdogs tonight and feel line will move up in my favor..do like the picks so far.. especially yours batman! agree with both.
Under Spurs because a playoffs environment, plus both teams play to the under at home and on the road respectively and the refs statistics support the under.
Under Rockets, Houston playing defense lately and i expect that after the bad defense performance the Grizzlies showed in NY they will come out and play defense tonight, also Memphis has a pretty good Under record at home.
Celtics, lot of injuries on both sides but i feel the most important is Al Horford for the Hawks, Boston have a really good home record and Jeff Green is playing really good since Garnett get injured.
Under Spurs because a playoffs environment, plus both teams play to the under at home and on the road respectively and the refs statistics support the under.
Under Rockets, Houston playing defense lately and i expect that after the bad defense performance the Grizzlies showed in NY they will come out and play defense tonight, also Memphis has a pretty good Under record at home.
Celtics, lot of injuries on both sides but i feel the most important is Al Horford for the Hawks, Boston have a really good home record and Jeff Green is playing really good since Garnett get injured.
agree with midas here in the fact that you can hear it in the heats voice.. they were tired and ready to rest up.. even if they win i like taking home dogs and will take 6 points.
Knicks have impressed me lately with basically killing the grizzlies and the celtics.. they should kill the bobcats here.. believing the knicks train keeps rolling...
timberwolves simply a gut play, taking a chance.. just like home dogs.. and believe that timberwolves have been playing well lately and will score enough points to keep it within DD..
good luck everyone.. and don't worry bout the troll! i'm sure he'll get banned eventually.. doing everything i can to make sure he does! people like him don't deserve a voice.
agree with midas here in the fact that you can hear it in the heats voice.. they were tired and ready to rest up.. even if they win i like taking home dogs and will take 6 points.
Knicks have impressed me lately with basically killing the grizzlies and the celtics.. they should kill the bobcats here.. believing the knicks train keeps rolling...
timberwolves simply a gut play, taking a chance.. just like home dogs.. and believe that timberwolves have been playing well lately and will score enough points to keep it within DD..
good luck everyone.. and don't worry bout the troll! i'm sure he'll get banned eventually.. doing everything i can to make sure he does! people like him don't deserve a voice.
Knicks have gone 2-0 at home versus non playoff teams, beating the
Magic by 12 and most recently the Raptors by 26. In general home teams that have clinched
playoff berths versus non playoff teams have covered in 11 of 16 contests. In 2 of the 5 games that didn't cover, the
home team lost and I don't see the Knicks losing here.
It has gone Over in 13 of 21 contests between teams that have clinched
playoff berths and non playoff bound teams.
5 of the games that have gone Under, the non playoff team won straight
up. Since I think the Miami Heat will
win, the over is 13 of 16 in those situations.
I also think King James gets more fouls called this game, since he
voiced his complaints.
Western Conference teams that have clinched playoff berths are 0-5 versus
Non Playoff teams on the road. I'll take
my chance riding with the Timberwolves +8 tonight. Hoping the Thunder rest their players late
thinking towards their trip to Milwaukee tomorrow (not looking ahead to the
Bucks, but looking ahead to being fresh for the playoffs).
Knicks have gone 2-0 at home versus non playoff teams, beating the
Magic by 12 and most recently the Raptors by 26. In general home teams that have clinched
playoff berths versus non playoff teams have covered in 11 of 16 contests. In 2 of the 5 games that didn't cover, the
home team lost and I don't see the Knicks losing here.
It has gone Over in 13 of 21 contests between teams that have clinched
playoff berths and non playoff bound teams.
5 of the games that have gone Under, the non playoff team won straight
up. Since I think the Miami Heat will
win, the over is 13 of 16 in those situations.
I also think King James gets more fouls called this game, since he
voiced his complaints.
Western Conference teams that have clinched playoff berths are 0-5 versus
Non Playoff teams on the road. I'll take
my chance riding with the Timberwolves +8 tonight. Hoping the Thunder rest their players late
thinking towards their trip to Milwaukee tomorrow (not looking ahead to the
Bucks, but looking ahead to being fresh for the playoffs).
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