Nice hit yesterday. If I am understanding this system right, we should be on Phi/Mil over and TB/LAA under today.
Yes. PHI/MIL qualifies under both systems, TB/LAA ALMOST qualifies under both...qualifies under V2 but misses V1 by 0.3%...cutoff is 53, LAA is currently at 52.7 overall. I'm confident the U will hit though, LAA has only has gone 33-2 for series this year with at least one U, the two losses came against two 50/50 teams in TOR and most recently CLE. Would be asinine to see all 4 games in the TB/LAA series go over with each teams respective arsenal of starting pitchers. Both series are 4 gamers so tread lightly...
Nice hit yesterday. If I am understanding this system right, we should be on Phi/Mil over and TB/LAA under today.
Yes. PHI/MIL qualifies under both systems, TB/LAA ALMOST qualifies under both...qualifies under V2 but misses V1 by 0.3%...cutoff is 53, LAA is currently at 52.7 overall. I'm confident the U will hit though, LAA has only has gone 33-2 for series this year with at least one U, the two losses came against two 50/50 teams in TOR and most recently CLE. Would be asinine to see all 4 games in the TB/LAA series go over with each teams respective arsenal of starting pitchers. Both series are 4 gamers so tread lightly...
Also, I'd like to point out that while I haven't done a complete backtest of this system so far this year, I have found a couple of losses earlier on in the season. Our saving grace has been that these teams, while both having high U%, one had an EXTREMELY high U%...the one series CIN/PIT (I think in June?) went over all three times, but PIT was clipping at a ridiculous 68%. In May, TEX and BAL went over four times in their series, but one of the teams, I think it was TEX was clipping at a remarkable 64% at the time. No team has ever finished above 61% for the season for a particular total. Highest is like 60.5ish. Sooo to filter it out, anything above 64% is basically a "no play", anything between 61% and 64% should be a "danger zone"...Tampa Bay had all unders against SEA and is now clipping at a 61.5%. They'll likely regress at some point. I don't think it should come this series, but just giving an early heads up to my followers. Buyer beware.
Sorry for the essay lol just wanna explain myself as clearly and concisely as possible so that there's no confusion!
Also, I'd like to point out that while I haven't done a complete backtest of this system so far this year, I have found a couple of losses earlier on in the season. Our saving grace has been that these teams, while both having high U%, one had an EXTREMELY high U%...the one series CIN/PIT (I think in June?) went over all three times, but PIT was clipping at a ridiculous 68%. In May, TEX and BAL went over four times in their series, but one of the teams, I think it was TEX was clipping at a remarkable 64% at the time. No team has ever finished above 61% for the season for a particular total. Highest is like 60.5ish. Sooo to filter it out, anything above 64% is basically a "no play", anything between 61% and 64% should be a "danger zone"...Tampa Bay had all unders against SEA and is now clipping at a 61.5%. They'll likely regress at some point. I don't think it should come this series, but just giving an early heads up to my followers. Buyer beware.
Sorry for the essay lol just wanna explain myself as clearly and concisely as possible so that there's no confusion!
incredibly simple & great system, CC. Just wondering if you've looked at 4 GM series in the same way we play the RPI system? 'A' GM winner, then treat the next games as a 3 GM series.
I'm currently checking the NFL for the past 3 seasons to see if we might use a similar system for football. GL
incredibly simple & great system, CC. Just wondering if you've looked at 4 GM series in the same way we play the RPI system? 'A' GM winner, then treat the next games as a 3 GM series.
I'm currently checking the NFL for the past 3 seasons to see if we might use a similar system for football. GL
incredibly simple & great system, CC. Just wondering if you've looked at 4 GM series in the same way we play the RPI system? 'A' GM winner, then treat the next games as a 3 GM series.
Yeahhh unfortunately doesn't carry over as well. Again, haven't backtested it completely but there's been losses. Infact first series I tracked there was an A game win with the under, followed by 3 overs. No real way to filter it out either, both teams fell into both systems.
incredibly simple & great system, CC. Just wondering if you've looked at 4 GM series in the same way we play the RPI system? 'A' GM winner, then treat the next games as a 3 GM series.
Yeahhh unfortunately doesn't carry over as well. Again, haven't backtested it completely but there's been losses. Infact first series I tracked there was an A game win with the under, followed by 3 overs. No real way to filter it out either, both teams fell into both systems.
Both of these games are eerily similar. Both reaching the breaking point in the Top of the 5th. Gonna take a minor miracle for this game to stay under, though.
Both of these games are eerily similar. Both reaching the breaking point in the Top of the 5th. Gonna take a minor miracle for this game to stay under, though.
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