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Thanks for your hard work BA. A must follow every week. Thoughts on this CLMP? Pays +126 on BOL. Who loses? Indiana at Rutgers Okie St at Kansas UCF vs Pitt Mich at NW LSU vs Miss
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bookieassassin | 60 |
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Quote Originally Posted by motowner:
Colts did outgain Cincy by 50 yds and were looking to win late when Cincy got the clutch strip and return for a TD.
Colts also ran about 30 more plays. If the Bengals do win, I’d look to play the Colts over Skins Sunday. Luck did look good and there’s a chance he will make them better than we expect |
bpickin | 11 |
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I wouldn’t say they were lucky. Colts were driving to win yes but still needed a TD. The Bengals only punted twice. They had two turnovers but moved the ball with relative ease on offense. The Ravens are a huge step up in class on D but Flacco is certainly not Luck. I don’t trust Dalton in prime time which doesn’t make me confident in the Bengals. The Ravens looked great but the Bills are the worst team in the NFL with Peterman starting. Both teams have improved offenses. It should be a close grind it out game and I don’t really see an advantage either way. Good luck |
Digitalkarma | 24 |
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You can take the points at +3 if you want, but that shouldn’t be necessary as I fully expect the Bengals to win straight up. The Colts are home but it’s a short trip from Cincinnati and the Bengals simply have much more talent than the Colts. I forgot to mention ball hawk Malik Hooker but I still don’t think the Colts have an answer for AJ Green, the other offensive weapons, or the Bengals pass rush. The Bengals play the Ravens off a short week on TNF but it’s at home and after a slow start last season I think they’ll be ready to get off to a hot start against one of the weakest opponents they’ll face all year. Colts are in Washington next week so I don’t see any scheduling impact for them. They’ll be hyped for Luck’s return but that simply won’t be enough. Bengals money line is the play. |
WaterMalone | 4 |
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Offensively: Andy Dalton is an average QB but this is the type of game he can thrive in. The past few seasons he’s taken a major step back as the second best WR on the roster next to AJ Green has been Brandon Lafell. They finally let LaFell go and will give their young WRs that they’ve invested draft capital in a chance to play. John Ross had a disastrous first season, but you can’t deny his explosiveness and ability to stretch the field. Tyler Boyd has shown signs of being a capable slot guy. Tyler Eifert is healthy and although you can’t bank on him staying healthy, him being ready to go this week is certainly a plus. The biggest issue with the Bengals offense the past few years has been their atrocious offensive line. It still isn’t very good but it is improved. The additions of LT Corey Glenn and C Bill Price should help. Their running game has been poor in the preseason but Joe Mixon has tons of talent and is a threat out of the backfield as well. Gio Bernard is a solid spark behind him as well. Bill Lazor has had all offseason to prepare in his first full year as OC and has a ton of weapons at his disposal to begin the season as they’re fully healthy. Jabaal Sheard could cause disruption but other than him, the Colts severely lack talent on the defensive side of the ball. |
WaterMalone | 4 |
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This is the only Week 1 play I am confident of at the moment. Aside from QB, there are mismatches in the Bengals favor all over the field. And the QB advantage the Colts have is minimized as this is Andrew Luck’s first game in a few years. He may have flashes but he will certainly be rusty and it will take time for him to get back to his normal self. I love the Bengals to win on the road here. Defensively: The Bengals pass rush will give the Colts o-line a very difficult time. Geno Atkins is a stud, Carlos Dunlap still provides talent on the outside, but its the young Bengals players who are rejunvenating their pass rush. Carl Lawson is a beast and after an impressive rookie campaign will get more opportunities and will continue to create havoc. Andrew Billings is poised for a great second season and will see several 1-on-1 chances with Geno facing double teams. Jordan Willis provides depth as well. The Colts have a very weak o-line and although they addressed it with Nelson in the first round they still need tons of help. Luck will face pressure and he is known to be careless with the ball at times. Jack Doyle will have a big game as the Bengals always struggle to guard TEs. The Colts best WR TY Hilton will be contained as William Jackson will have the primary responsibility of guarding him. TY is a smaller receiver similar to Antonio Brown and Jackson was the best in coverage vs AB last year. Jackson is one of the best young corners in the game. No Burfict shouldn’t have much of an impact in this game and I don’t see the Colts having too much success in the run game to exploit Burficts absence. To be continued... |
WaterMalone | 4 |
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TD - appreciate all of your hard work, you and BA are the best on here. I hate to be that guy so I apologize in advance.. Where do you make your FBS v FCS plays? I recently joined BetOnline so am not sure when they typically post those games. Not trying to be lazy, just can’t find that info anywhere. Thanks in advance |
TD21 | 93 |
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Thanks UNIMAN. Their secondary is a bit worrisome but returning their entire OL/Jordan Taylor and a hopefully improved Hornibrook, their O should carry them. If they win on the road at Iowa early on then they should win the West rather comfortably. |
WaterMalone | 17 |
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Thanks guys. I locked it in. Hopefully they don’t cancel the bet. While I was feeling lucky I decided to throw a little action on Dwayne Haskins to win the Heisman at +3750... worth a shot |
WaterMalone | 17 |
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On Heritagesports. Unless it’s a typo |
WaterMalone | 17 |
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Wisconsin to win the Big Ten West is +195. I’m shocked by this. Who else wins it? I know there’s no such thing as easy money but I don’t think you’d have to sweat this one out. Seems like too good of value to pass up. Thoughts are appreciated. |
WaterMalone | 17 |
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Rolling with Sparty -2 I don't like playing a road fav but this feels a lot to me like Miami-FSU last night. Home team coming off a big home upset in a letdown spot. MSU needs this one. Mostly a gut feeling GL everyone |
WaterMalone | 2 |
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bb - Their O has been much better lately. They've been shooting the 3 very well but they rely on it too much at times so we'll see what happens
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WaterMalone | 4 |
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My first CBB post this season was USF +25 at UC on Sunday and let's just say that didn't work out at all. UC hasn't typically blown teams out under Mick Cronin, however, this is the best offense he's had. I still like Tulsa to keep this close at home where they beat the Bearcats last season. Cincy isn't a good FT shooting team and that could keep Tulsa in it. I could be wrong to keep doubting the Cats but I think we're getting great value in Tulsa +11 as the public is overrating UC after a nice win over Xavier and a massacre of dumpy USF. Tulsa +11
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WaterMalone | 4 |
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USF +25
Cincinnati coming off an emotional comeback victory against rival Xavier on Thursday Night. Might be tough to get up for USF.
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WaterMalone | 2 |
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^^ gonna point out the losses but not acknowledge the two 1st td scorer hits with fantastic payouts... Great work papa. And hit the Bo first td on bama game
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PapaShango | 26 |
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@cashinwong - I can see it
@dk - that was a good call knowing Ben never sits as long as a normal human should. Whoever wins week 16 bal-pit will give you a solid shot. I would have waited a week on the bet but I don't see the Bengals (my squad) beating Pit Sunday. I know it will be our super bowl but Ben owns us in Cincy and our last two wins were against the crappy road eagles and the Browns. BOL
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WaterMalone | 13 |
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Looks like the best value to me. Pitt is most likely the biggest threat to go into Foxboro and win in January. Their offense is so explosive and balanced and I know they're an easy team for the public to fall in love with but they seem poised for a run. Clicking at the right time and no one in the AFC looks that strong. The Chiefs have similar odds and may host the Steelers in a playoff game but I'll take Big Ben over Alex Smith. KC may be the best all around team and Tyreek Hill is a freak but I don't see them winning it all, even if they beat Pitt.. Dallas, New England, and Seattle all have flaws and come at a much steeper price. The Raiders are a year away and I can't trust the Falcons defense. That leaves us with Green Bay at +1800. I personally think they can sneak into the playoffs over Detroit and if they do they could make a deep run. But a lot must happen for them to make the playoffs. With all that said, I think that makes the Steelers the best value SB bet.
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WaterMalone | 13 |
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Looking for picks for a 4 team 13 point teaser. I know in the long run these aren't smart for my bankroll, I get that. It's a stupid bet but I can't help myself. I like to play one per weekend just for fun. Right now these are the options I am looking at:
1. Seahawks +14.5 2. Chargers +18.5 3. Ravens +15.5 4. Raiders +14 5. Redskins/Lions Over 37 6. Bucs +13 7. Syracuse +17.5 8. U of Minnesota -6 9. Ohio St -6.5 10. Bama -5 (thought of A&M +31 but I'm a puss) 11. UCF +8.5 12. Arkansas +23 A tie makes the whole bet a loss. Which 4 are your favorite? If you have any others I didn't mention feel free to comment. I know most of you think it's not a smart bet which is fine but I appreciate any thoughts/opinions. Thanks
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WaterMalone | 1 |
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Agree with all of those. GL
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trainwreck66 | 33 |
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