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Official Play:
Dayton +1 (-105) (1 Unit)
The Abbot sees a big offensive advantage here for the Dayton Flyers. This team currently ranks 11th in the entire nation in adjusted offensive efficiency. The Flyers are shooting 40% from three point range this season (6th best in nation). The Abbot knows Dayton gets nearly 40% of their total points from the three point line, and play to the strength of their shooters. The Abbot is aware there is the risk of an off shooting night. While that could happen, The Abbot believes Duquesne’s defense struggles to defend the three point line. Their opponents are shooting about 35.643% from three point range, which ranks well outside of the top 200. If Dayton can dictate the pace they will win this game. The Abbot is rolling with the Dayton Flyers tonight for 1 unit.
Abbot |
The_ABBOT | 4 |
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The Abbot has had his eyes on the Hornets/Spurs under all day today. He sees value in what should be a low scoring affair. However, from 8-10am the line jumped from 242 to 237 losing over 10% of +EV. The Abbot still likes the play, but will exercise discipline here and seek value tomorrow.
Abbot |
The_ABBOT | 26 |
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Peace is the absence of confusion.
Abbot |
The_ABBOT | 26 |
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Official Play:
Phoenix Suns PK (-110) (1 unit to win .91 units)
The Abbot believes Phoenix has a significant rest advantage tonight. The Abbot knows Rui Hachimura is doubtful for the Lakers, and Cam Reddish may also miss this game. Despite the Suns big three playing together in very few games this season, the Abbot still believes the Suns have a much better offensive efficiency rating according to his OER model. The Abbot firmly believes this metric will only improve as they continue to get healthy. The Lakers certainly have the better defense, but the Abbot believes they will have their hands full tonight with the BBD. The Abbot also sees a nice advantage in the rebounding metric department. The Abbot will be rolling with the Phoenix Suns tonight on the floor for 1 unit.
Abbot |
The_ABBOT | 26 |
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In order to be one of the greats, you’ve got to study the greats.
Abbot |
The_ABBOT | 26 |
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Inspiration is found everywhere if you look hard enough.
Abbot |
BornToDie | 103 |
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Official Play:
Sacramento Kings @ Charlotte Hornets under 231 Total Points (-108) (1 unit)
The Abbot has the Hornets and the Kings respectively ranked 17th and 11th on his pace rating model, along with having the 26th and 14th rated offenses in the league. The Abbot know that the Kings typically average 117.862 points per game, and will be coming into the Queen City on the second night of a back to back. According to The Abbot's calculations after removing a DOT game against the Magic, the Kings are averaging a paltry 101 points in this spot. The Hornets, on the other hand, are averaging 109 points a game. The Abbot sees more paths to the under in this matchup with all the makings of a lower scoring game, and will be placing a 1 unit wager on the under 231 Total Points.
Abbot |
The_ABBOT | 26 |
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Know the ledge to where your heart is or fall off into the internal hell that’s uncharted.
Abbot |
The_ABBOT | 26 |
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Official Play:
Lipscomb -1 (-105) (.75 units to win .71 units)
The books believe this to be a let down spot for Lipscomb but the Abbot isn't buying it. Eastern Kentucky can't defend the three and this will be a long night for them.
Abbot |
The_ABBOT | 4 |
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Peace is the absence of confusion.
Abbot |
The_ABBOT | 4 |
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The ol' abbot 'n shit, y'knahmean?
WELCOME TO THE NCAAB MONASTERY Featuring the Abbot, and an +EV NCAAB system guaranteed to make you a profit if followed correctly.
Rules: Rule #1: Have a bankroll. What you are willing to lose for the month. Rule #2: Stick to the script. 1 unit per play (Unless specified). Rule #3: Have a consistent unit size = Never more than 5% total bankroll Rule #4: If you’re going to play a parlay this is not the place for you. Rule #5: See Rule Number 2.
System Tracker: 0-0 (0.0 units)
Put your wallabies back on, It’s time for a swarm.
Abbot |
The_ABBOT | 4 |
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Sunshine plays a major part in the daytime.
Abbot |
The_ABBOT | 208 |
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A special Saturday gift.
Stetson -5 (.5 units to win .45 units) LSU +11.5 (.5 units to win .45 units) Missouri +5.5 (.5 units to win .45 units) Air Force +9.5 (.5 units to win .45 units)
Abbot |
The_ABBOT | 208 |
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Official Play:
Nevada +9.5 (-102) (1 unit to win .98 units)
San Diego State has one of the best defenses in the nation, and they are undefeated at home this season. That being said, The Abbot believes 9.5 points is a lot of points to give this Nevada team. The Abbot believes Nevada is one of the most well balanced teams in the country. They rank just outside of the top 50 in both adjusted offense and defensive efficiency. The Abbot also believes San Diego State creates a lot of points off of turnovers, while Nevada’s offense is very good at taking care of the basketball and avoiding turnovers. The Abbot will be rolling with the Nevada Wolf Pack tonight to keep things close for 1 unit.
Abbot
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The_ABBOT | 208 |
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Official Play:
LSU +1.5 (-110) (1 unit to win .9 units)
The Abbot's data and resources suggest the wrong team is favored in this matchup. LSU is coming off of back to back road losses to Kentucky & Texas A&M. Their only other loss on the season came at a neutral site against a very good Kansas State team. LSU is undefeated at home in Baton Rouge. The Abbot's HCA model leads him to believe LSU has one of the best home court advantages in the nation. The Abbot believes Florida to be a very good defensive team. However, Florida's one weakness is defending the perimeter. The Abbot believes LSU has been a very efficient 3 point shooting team at home this season. The Abbot also believes LSU is toting one of the best defenses in the nation at defending the 3 point line. The Abbot expects LSU to win the battle from beyond the arc, and do enough elsewhere to win the game. The Abbot will be rolling with the LSU Tigers getting 1.5 points tonight for 1 unit.
Abbot |
The_ABBOT | 208 |
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Official Play:
Illinois +4 (-110) (.5 units to win .45 units)
Here we have what the Abbot believes to be the game of the night being played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Both of these teams have taken care of business against weaker opponents, but that changes tonight. Illinois is led by Texas Tech transfer Terrence Shannon Jr., who is averaging north of 22 points per game. UCLA is led by a lot of familiar faces from just a year ago. The Abbot loves the value in taking the points here in what should be a pretty even matchup. The Abbot will be rolling with the Illinois Fighting Illini tonight for a half unit.
Abbot |
The_ABBOT | 208 |
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Official Play:
Florida State +7.5 (-110)(.5 units to win .45 units) Florida State ML (+255)(.25 units to win .64 units)
The Abbot believes this is a great buy low spot on a Florida State team that is off to a disastrous start to the season. Florida State has been favored in all three of their games this season (double digit favorites in 2/3), and they've lost them all outright. Things won't get easier tonight in this state rivalry game. That being said, The Abbot knows Florida lost a game to FAU earlier this week, and believes both of these teams have certainly looked underwhelming. The Abbot will be grabbing the 7.5 points behind a talented team that is still hunting for their first win. The Abbot will be rolling with the Florida State Seminoles tonight for a half unit and will sprinkle the money line for a quarter unit.
Abbot |
The_ABBOT | 208 |
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Official Play:
Villanova +6.5 (-110) (.5 units to win .45 units)
Simply put, The Abbot believes the market has overreacted a bit to Villanova's last two games. The Wildcats lost to Temple, and followed that up with a game that was far too close for comfort against Delaware State. The Abbot is aware that the post Jay Wright era is off to a bumpy start, but all of his data and resources lead him to believe this spread is much too large. The Abbot will trust his numbers and be rolling with the Villanova Wildcats tonight for a half unit.
Abbot |
The_ABBOT | 208 |
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Official Play:
George Washington -11 (-115) (.5 units to win .44 units)
Fading this Maryland-Eastern Shore team will be the norm for the Abbot until the books begin to adjust these lines. All of the Abbot's data and resources show a significant edge in this matchup. Maryland-Eastern Shore has lost both of their games this season by 25+ points, and the Abbot firmly believes GW looks to be a competitive team this year. The Abbot believes they should have no problem loading the stat sheet on the offensive end to cover this double digit spread. The Abbot will be rolling with the George Washington Colonials tonight -11 for a half unit.
Abbot |
The_ABBOT | 208 |
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System Tracker:
2023 SEASON: 5-5 (+.37 units)
OVERALL: 46-41 (+.49 units) |
The_ABBOT | 208 |
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