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Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:
That is a common statement from 9er backers. While that is cute they believe in their bet that much they are willing to believe in the Easter Bunny too bottom line is the following are facts: Patrick Mahomes has started 112 games. Of those 112 games he has only lost 4 of them by more than 8 points. That like 3.5%. Obviously it could happen but that is a mountain of evidence to suggest it isn’t super likely. Add to that the Mahomes trend as an underdog. The trend of Reid off a bye week. Good luck on whoever you pick but anyone is expected either team to blow the other out that is not only bold but drastically counter to historic stats and trends. BOL to all. Including to the annoying people posting tons of false information. You know who you are. Historical Evidence: NFC SB teams that lost the CC game on the Road the Previous season: '84...49'ers...Won SB 38-16 '85...Bears...Won SB 46-10 '87...Redskins...Won SB 42-10 '94...49'ers...Won SB 49-26 '95...Cowboys...Won SB 27-17 '96...Packers...Won SB 35-21 '23...49'ers There are only 2 SB teams since the league went to a 16-game season in '78 that won all 5 of their last 5 Road games & won them by an average of more than 20ppg: '84...49'ers...Won SB 38-16...had also lost CC game on the Road previous season '23...49'ers... ...had also lost CC game on the Road previous season 49'ers this season, not a Fav of -4 or more: Won 30-7 @ Pitt Won 42-10 vs Dal Won 34-3 @ Jax Won 42-19 @ Phil The way I see it, there's your historical evidence. And almost 80% bets on KC+ & on the M/L??? Yeah, Vegas always gives away free money!!! (btw...I do believe in the Easter Bunny & Santa Claus) |
jesron1269 | 19 |
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SF 38 KC 6 |
Flynt | 62 |
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Exact score: Q1...SF 10-0 Exact score: Q4...SF 7-0 49'ers will have 0 turnovers. KC will have 3 turnovers. 49'ers will have close to 400 yards of total offense. KC will be lucky to reach 200 yards of total offense. |
Riderx | 39 |
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The line will not even come close to being a factor. Even KC+ in a 10pt teaser won't win. SF s/u by 28+ |
buffer | 14 |
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I can't believe I didn't find this earlier, but this will be a blowout by the 49'ers, one of the biggest in SB history. All you folks on KC might want to hedge with at least SF-10. SF will go up 10-0 in the 1st-Qtr & never look back, pitching a shut-out in at least 3 Qtrs & possibly the 1st ever SB shut-out. Look for a 28pt blow-out, probably even more. Bank. |
Riderx | 39 |
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I already posted the previous season SB winner as a dog in the next SB...0-2 s/u. Whole world's on KC, books are gonna' make a killin'. |
Riderx | 39 |
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I didn't know Purdy was black! Damn, learn something new every day. I shoulda' guessed though with a name like B'Rock. |
joshfactor | 14 |
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I have 3 more systems that are in the d'b. Here are 2 of them... playoffs=1 and conference!=o:conference and tS(ATSW)<10 and oS(ATSW)>11 and p:H 2-0 s/u & 2-0 ats s/u by 14 & 14...SF+/- playoffs=1 and conference!=o:conference and po:division=ppo:division and F and line>-4 2-0 s/u & 2-0 ats s/u by 10 & 11...SF+/- That's 4 DD wins s/u. Still like KC+? Like LeSean "Shady" McCoy putting 50G's on KC? GFL! |
Riderx | 39 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Riderx:
I present a challenge to each & every one of you, especially the old school cappers. There have been 45 SB's played since the league went to a 16-game regular season schedule in '78. That means 90 teams that have played in the SB since '78. There are many stats cappers use to cap the SB, but there is one team in the SB this year that accomplished something that only one other SB team did since '78. What is that stat? Who was the team that did it previously? What year did they do it? What was the final score of the SB that year? And finally, which team in the SB this year did it? This is only for the serious cappers who are willing to put in the time & work to find it. And you're going to have to go old school capping...with pen & paper & a ton of research...but you will know who wins the SB this year between SF & KC. Hints: It happened during the regular season, not in the playoffs. And you can eliminate '82 as that was a really short messed up season. Good Luck! Including this year & eliminating '82, there are 90 SB teams. Only 2 SB teams did this during the regular season: Won all 5 of their last 5 regular season road games & won all 5 by an avg of more than 20ppg s/u: '84...49'ers -3 vs Dan Marino's Miami Dolphins...49'ers won the SB 38-16 '23...49'ers -2' vs Mahomes KC Chiefs... |
Riderx | 39 |
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Whoa. True story. I'm watching Speak of FS1 right now. 30 minutes ago they were talking about Mahomes winning his 3rd SB. All of a sudden the studio started shaking. They shut-up & just looked at each other. It lasted a few seconds. Then Joy Taylor said: "We're having an earthquake." When it was done they went on talking about Mahomes. They didn't realize what just happened. God had just spoken. God is undefeated. Purdy is a man of God. You still gonna' take the Chiefs? |
Riderx | 39 |
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He took the Chiefs s/u He is 0-3 on or against the Chiefs so far this playoffs. He had Mia+, Buff- & Balty- |
Footballbiker | 11 |
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"You can lead a horse to water but you can't make 'em drink." All I'm doing is trying to save people a lot of heartache & a lot of money. And I'm not going to stop. Add this to your d'b repertoire: p:playoffs=1 and P:points>42 and rest=o:rest |
Riderx | 39 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Surfrancis123:
@Surfrancis123 All of my Covers brothers and the "newbies". I have been following Sports and Gambling.for over 50 years easy. I'm just an old man now. I joined Covers 20 some years ago, when I had an AOL account and they still wont recognize Me. Anyway, Lock Up and Load on the San Francisco 49ers, whatever the spread. I have probably LOST almost 1/2 a Million dollars betting on "Knee Jerk" reactions in my lifetime. KC getting points? OMG, its Free money. Taylor and Travis are going to live " Happily Ever After", just like the dream came true. Suckers are lining up to gamble away their Money. Mahomies is a great QB, Andy Reid is a great Coach, and Travis is coming off his best game of the year. Vegas is so close to San Fran that it is almost a Home game. The stadium and Fans will be rocking for Brock Purdy and the Niners. I saw a stat late last night that SF has over 3 times something about money , over KC and I learned that teams that have money and support, often win. San Fransico 49ers are going to shut down KC. Low, very low scoring game and SF wins by 10 points. Good luck my friends. Surfs Up !!! Yes sir...from one old gambler to another... |
Surfrancis123 | 5 |
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Quote Originally Posted by PepeFrog:
I could share you all the solid betting trends that supports the Chiefs winning this super bowl against the 49ers. But you want everyone to figure out your quiz. I probably know most if not all the trends you're talking about. You are more than welcome to post them. |
Riderx | 39 |
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Knew that before you asked; I know my history. '78 Dallas+3' vs Pitt...lost s/u by 4pts '14 Seattle+1 vs NE...lost s/u by 4pts And I give Seattle the benefit of the doubt, as many books closed at pick'em. Both Dallas & Seattle were not WC teams, they were at home w/a bye in the Div Rd. & Dallas had the #1 scoring offense Vegas is not in the habit of giving out free money, especially with billions of $$$ on the line...no pun intended. |
Riderx | 39 |
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I'm not trying to be harsh by any means but think about it, guys & gals. Why would a team that won the SB last year be a dog in the SB this year, especially when their pre-season odds to win the SB was +600 vs their opponent at +1000? |
Riderx | 39 |
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Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:
Also check out the stats for a wildcard team kc beating a team coming off a bye, whiners . Way ahead of you, my man. Question back at you is: How many of the WC teams won the SB the previous season? |
Riderx | 39 |
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Quote Originally Posted by rosswin97:
Quote Originally Posted by GetThatCoin: @Riderx 84-85 49ers 85-86 Bears 87-88 Redskins 94-95 49ers 95-96 Cowboys 96-97 Packers All won there respective Super Bowls the year after losing the CC on the road.so the 7th time not the 2nd? Those are the answers to the NFC teams in the SB that lost the CC game on the road the previous year. Not the answer to my opening question, which I will post on Sat. if no one figures it out & posts it before then. |
Riderx | 39 |
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Quote Originally Posted by vetdrm:
Are you suggesting that they win by more than 9 points? Absurb my good man. "Vegas was built on absurdity, my friend" |
Riderx | 39 |
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Man, I'm just getting started, just getting warmed-up. Once again, for those chained only to the d'b, this one's about as simple as simple gets: playoffs=1 and conference!=o:conference and po:points>27 3-0 s/u & 3-0 ats & 0-3 o/u All 3 s/u by DD's The line's were not a factor |
Riderx | 39 |
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