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NO BLOWN LEADS out of 10. Okay, that's weird. Then again, the night before was weird too, with 3 of 4 with comebacks and all ATS DOGS. TNT always has that drama. Took a break to recover from some serious casino baccarat losses. Need to re-double my efforts on NBA to get my bankroll back. ROAD DOGS have been killing it the last 3 days, going 4-0. CHI +11 was the biggest upset of that stretch. CHI has been rolling lately... 9-1 ATS L10. If I get on one good team and ride it, those losses will disappear fast. RELIABLE FAVORITES PHI -2.5 WON / NYK -1.5 WON / HOU -2.5 LOST / SAC -3.5 LOST ROAD FAVORITES NYK -1.5 WON / DEN -3.5 WON / LAL -3.5 LOST / LAC -2 WON RELIABLE HOME DOG CHI +3.5 WON RELIABLE AWAY DOG NONE RELIABLE picks... PHI -2.5 WON / NYK -1.5 WON / HOU -2.5 LOST / SAC -3.5 LOST / CHI +3.5 WON (Well, it was progress.) Decent line-up for a Thursday. And, no TNT drama. MOST UN-RELIABLE TEAM NOP IND MIN NOP has got to be the worst team in the league, on the ROAD, for a consistent game. You have to expect a crazy game. IND is almost as bad on the ROAD. It is so strange to see MIN have so many games with comebacks at HOME. They love to play catch-up and have an 11-1 HOME record to show for it. MOST RELIABLE TEAM CHI (MEM MIL) The 2nd most rock solid team in the NBA is in action CHI. These guys know how to play a straight game. Just behind are MEM MIL. This is the stable side of the league. RELIABLE FAVORITES DET -2.5 / CHI -6 / MEM -2.5 / MIL -8.5 (CHI is hot. DET is not. MEM has Ja. MIL blew the cover last game vs. SAS.) ROAD FAVORITES NOP -3.5 RELIABLE HOME DOG NONE RELIABLE AWAY DOG SAS +6 RELIABLE picks... DET -2.5 / CHI -6 / MEM -2.5 / MIL -8.5 (Going to stick with the HOME DOGS and fade the ROAD DOGS until the New Year and re-evaluate.) RELIABLE Season: 71-78-1 ATS --- RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023 SU 91-44 / ATS 70-64-1 ATS (48-44-1 HOME / 22-20 AWAY)
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@packersbackers There was the Lockdown in 2020. How can anyone look at professional sports that year and not think all this stuff is political? Got to adapt in this betting game and try to find the angles. |
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NBA superstar LeBron James calls Hamas attacks on Israel ‘tragic and unacceptable’ October 12, 2023 - https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/12/sport/lebron-james-hamas-israel-nba-spt-intl/index.html So, the face of the NBA has definitely sided with Israel. I am not betting on the Pistons any time soon. They are probably going to set the record for the worst season in NBA history if this Israel/Hamas stuff keeps going. A 20+ game losing streak certainly sent the message to me that the NBA wants the Detroit Pistons to be an embarrassment. And, if I got the message, so did the Palestinian Congress critter. Now, someone asked me why haven't the Detroit Lions suffered the same fate. Simple. The NFL and the Ford Family (that owns the Lions) have nothing to do with Hamas/Israel. Sometimes you learn things betting on this stuff. |
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@BigMick87
Quote Originally Posted by BigMick87:
bruh are you the new "buffer?" with this post???? I live in Philly, so i'm no expert on Detroit, but i think most of the muslim population you're referring to is in Dearborn, Sagniaw....other smaller towns in Michigan I think you mean Adam Silver....Joel Silver is a Hollywood producer responsible for Die Hard, 48 Hours, Lethal Weapon movies. I'm sure Israel and Mossad can come up with better attacks than secretly sabotaging an NBA franchise. If you want to blame someone for the Pistons sabotage, i'd start with that fat tub of goo on TNT named Stan Van Gundy. When he wasn't dealing draft picks for middling players, he was crowing to the media about my hometown Sixers and the whole "Tanking" "Trust the Process" stuff. He drove Detroit into the ground and got paid a lot of money while doing so. Nowadays they look like they're tanking, but just can't get out of the hole SVG dug for them https://www.nba.com/news/nba-nbpa-issue-statement-on-israel "The NBA and NBPA mourn the horrific loss of life in Israel and condemn these acts of terrorism. We stand with the people of Israel and pray for peace for the entire region." I don't know about that. The NBA has definitely picked a side here. If Israel and the Mossad wanted the Pistons to intentionally lose games to send a message to Rashida Tlaib, I can't say that's an impossibility.
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There are a lot of Muslims around Detroit and the only Palestinian Congress critter is from Detroit. Did Joel Silver and the NBA sabotage the Pistons because they play in Detroit because of that and the Israel/Hamas thing. Can't understand how an NBA team can lose 20 games in a row with the roster Detroit has. Asking for a friend. |
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2 out of 8 with BLOWN LEADS. IND/WAW HOU/MEM It was a rather ordinary night of action. Kind of surprising to see one of the safest match-ups of the night, have a wild outcome in MEM. Got a little sidetracked and missed the early game. Still going to count it, despite MIL leading at HT. RELIABLE FAVORITES PHI -15.5 WON / BOS -5 WON / TOR -2 LOST / HOU -4 WON / PHO -4.5 LOST (A nice little up day.) ROAD FAVORITES NOP -9.5 WON / IND -8.5 LOST / LAL -6.5 LOST / HOU -4 WON (This line has definitely cooled off.) RELIABLE HOME DOG CHO +9.5 LOST / MEM +4 LOST (This line has died this season.) RELIABLE AWAY DOG NYK +4.5 WON (This line just keeps stacking the ATS wins. And... this was SU!) RELIABLE picks... CHO +9.5 WON / PHI -15.5 WON / BOS -5 WON / TOR -2 LOST / MEM +4 LOST / PHO -4.5 LOST (Started strong and died by the end of the night.)
Lots of late games for Saturday. Probably afraid of the day time college action. MOST UN-RELIABLE TEAM GSW MIN (ATL) These are some scary teams to play if you expect an easy game GSW MIN. Almost as bad is ATL, who either collapses, or comes back every other game. MOST RELIABLE TEAM NYK (CHI SAC) It is fascinating that NYK have been so consistent for so long. They are the class of the league. Not quite on the same level, but also VERY stable are CHI SAC. RELIABLE FAVORITES MIL -16.5 / PHI -12 / DAL -5 / SAC -10 ROAD FAVORITES PHI -12 / DAL -5 RELIABLE HOME DOG CHO +12 RELIABLE AWAY DOG NONE DET +16.5 / CHI +6 / NYK +6 RELIABLE picks... MIL -16.5 / CHO +12 / DAL -5 / MIA -6 / LAC -6 / SAC -10 (Going to stick with the HOME DOGS and fade the ROAD DOGS until the New Year and re-evaluate.) RELIABLE Season: 68-76-1 ATS --- RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023 SU 79-40 / ATS 60-58-1 SU (56-23 HOME / 23-17 AWAY) ATS (40-38-1 HOME / 20-20 AWAY)
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1 out of 7 with BLOWN LEADS. MIN/DAL Kind of surprised there was only a single inconsistent game on the night. Thought for sure OKC or GSW would be wild. Oh well. They were small LIVE bets anyway.
Not a good night with a PUSH and a LOSS. That was the first PUSH of the season and it almost seemed as if CLE/BOS were trying to keep the score in a small range after halftime. For some reason, it felt as if DAL would collapse after their early LEAD. MIN is the worst in the league for wild games, and they lived down to their reputation. RELIABLE FAVORITES BOS -9 WON / DAL -1 LOST (This line has cooled!) ROAD FAVORITES NONE RELIABLE HOME DOG NONE RELIABLE AWAY DOG NONE RELIABLE picks... BOS -9 PUSH / DAL -1 LOST (LIVE betting saved the night with BOS.) There are a good mix of games for Friday. Almost every game looks like it gets action. MOST UN-RELIABLE TEAM ATL (IND) The bane of my betting existence is the wildest team of the night ATL. Just behind, is another team that always seem to nail me IND. MOST RELIABLE TEAM MEM NYK It is truly amazing how consistent these teams are MEM NYK. For the whole season, these teams just never surprise you (well, except for NYK last game in UTA). They were like this last season. Rock solid, consistent, stable teams. RELIABLE FAVORITES PHI -15.5 / BOS -5 / TOR -2 / HOU -4 / PHO -4.5 (This line has not been good since Tuesday.) ROAD FAVORITES NOP -9.5 / IND -8.5 / LAL -6.5 / HOU -4 RELIABLE HOME DOG CHO +9.5 / MEM +4 (This line just crapped the bed in December. 2-4 ATS L6.) RELIABLE AWAY DOG NYK +4.5 (As far as ATS, this is no longer the loser line. On the other hand, it is 15-45 SU Season) RELIABLE picks... CHO +9.5 / PHI -15.5 / BOS -5 / TOR -2 / MEM +4 / PHO -4.5 (Strange picks, but there should be lots of LIVE betting opportunities with teams this consistent.) RELIABLE Season: 65-73-1 ATS --- RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023 SU 76-38 / ATS 57-56-1 SU (54-21 HOME / 22-17 AWAY) ATS (38-36-1 HOME / 19-20 AWAY)
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3 out of 7 with BLOWN LEADS. NOP/WAW ATL/TOR NYK/UTA Lots of wild action for the night. Once again, I tried to outsmart ATL, and they still nailed me. It was an uneven night with the erratic play of TOR and NYK. Those teams had been very stable recently. Should have known ATL would quit after getting the early LEAD. And, NYK had no business being favored that much on the ROAD in UTA. DOGS are still getting killed. And, FAVORITES lost the late games. So, it was a down day for the picks. RELIABLE FAVORITES TOR -1.5 WON / HOU -7.5 WON / PHO -2 LOST / NYK -5 LOST (And, just like that, the line cooled off.) ROAD FAVORITES PHI -12 WON / NOP -8 WON / LAL -3 PUSH / NYK -5 LOST (This line is still going strong. Why does LAL have so many weird games?) RELIABLE HOME DET +12 (Lost 20 in a row. How is this possible for highly paid professionals?) RELIABLE AWAY DOG MEM +7.5 LOST (Finally, this line produces a predictable game.) RELIABLE picks... DET +12 LOST / TOR -1.5 WON / HOU -7.5 WON / PHO -2 LOST / NYK -5 LOST (I stopped blindly betting these picks after that 5-17 run.) There are a decent number of games for Thursday, but only 2 have consistent teams. MOST UN-RELIABLE TEAM GSW (MIN) The wackiest, wildest team in the league is in action GSW. They went from one of the most consistent last year, to the wildest, this year. And, now you have drama with Draymond Green. Ever since December of 2022, MIN has just been plain nuts. These teams have BLOWN LEADS almost every other game! MOST RELIABLE TEAM DAL (BOS) How in the world did DAL become the most consistent team in the NBA, the past 2 weeks? It is truly amazing to watch, because I keep expecting them to go crazy. BOS has been quietly putting together a nice stretch of consistent games. RELIABLE FAVORITES BOS -9 / DAL -1 (The run is done.) ROAD FAVORITES NONE RELIABLE HOME DOG NONE RELIABLE AWAY DOG NONE RELIABLE picks... BOS -9 / DAL -1 (Seems decent enough, but I will wait for the early LEAD and do some LIVE betting.) RELIABLE Season: 65-72 ATS --- RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023 These numbers are correct and up-to-date for the season. SU 75-37 / ATS 57-55 SU (53-20 HOME / 22-17 AWAY) ATS (38-35 HOME / 19-20 AWAY)
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UPDATE. RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023 Had to run this through a couple of calculators to get the numbers to add up correctly. SU 73-35 / ATS 55-53 SU (52-20 HOME / 21-15 AWAY) ATS (37-35 HOME / 18-18 AWAY) @Fuse
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2 out of 5 with BLOWN LEADS. CLE/BOS GSW/PHO TNT came through with the drama. It was a wild night of NBA action.
Kind of an uneven night. CHI and PHO got the moose. Forgot to put in BOS, who didn't cover. For my records, they are counted (especially since I lost that game). But, for posted plays, it was not. RELIABLE FAVORITES BOS -11.5 WON / PHO -3.5 WON ROAD FAVORITES LAL -2 LOST / DEN -7.5 WON (Still going strong despite LAL.) RELIABLE HOME DAL +2 WON / CHI +7.5 LOST (This line finally won a game. It was the first time this month.) RELIABLE AWAY DOG SAC +3 LOST (Now, this is what I expect.) RELIABLE picks... PHO -3.5 LOST / DAL +2 WON / CHI +7.5 LOST / LAC -3 WON --- Lots of games for Wednesday. Got some interesting match-ups in action. MOST UN-RELIABLE TEAM NOP (ATL LAL) Year after year, NOP has always played erratic, inconsistent games. And here they are again, this season. Just behind are ATL LAL. Never understood how to bet ATL games, no matter what system I tried. That team has always been a mystery to me. But, LAL was my money team last year. Now, they've gone crazy. MOST RELIABLE TEAM MEM NYK (TOR) Ol' reliable are in action MEM NYK. Somehow, someway, TOR has become a perfectly predictable team the last few weeks. I hate betting games with TOR in them. Well, let's see how this goes. RELIABLE FAVORITES TOR -1.5 / HOU -7.5 / PHO -2 / NYK -5 (9-3 ATS/10-2 SU L12.) ROAD FAVORITES PHI -12 / NOP -8 / LAL -3 / NYK -5 (11-2 ATS L13.) RELIABLE HOME DET +12 (This line is 1-11 SU/ATS L12 since 11/29. DET had 4 of those losses. How does a team lose 19 in a row?) RELIABLE AWAY DOG MEM +7.5 (9-5 ATS & 3-11 SU since 11/30.) RELIABLE picks... DET +12 / TOR -1.5 / HOU -7.5 / PHO -2 / NYK -5 (DET is the proper play, but you know they are on a bad ATS & SU run.) RELIABLE Season: 63-69 ATS --- RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023 These numbers are correct and up-to-date for the season. SU 74-36 / ATS 57-53 SU (52-20 HOME / 21-15 AWAY) ATS (38-34 HOME / 18-18 AWAY)
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4 out of 13 with BLOWN LEADS. IND/DET CLE/ORL DEN/ATL MIN/NOP As expected, given the in-season tournament is done. Finally, a decent performance from the RELIABLE teams. Hopefully, this is the start of the long recovery of the bankroll from that AWFUL in-season tournament stretch. Actually got a sweep on the FAVORITES. First time all season with that many games. RELIABLE FAVORITES NYK -4 WON / HOU -9.5 WON / DAL -1.5 WON / SAC -4.5 WON (Sweep!) ROAD FAVORITES MIA -4 WON / IND -7.5 WON / DEN -3 WON / DAL -1.5 WON (Sweep!) RELIABLE HOME DET +7.5 LOST / MEM +1.5 LOST (O-fer.) RELIABLE AWAY DOG CHI +11.5 WON (This line just keeps covering, lately.) RELIABLE picks... DET +7.5 LOST / MIL -11.5 LOST / NYK -4 WON / HOU -9.5 WON / DAL -1.5 WON / SAC -4.5 WON (This line has gone 9-19 since 11/30. But, it is getting better.) --- The dreaded TNT Tuesday is here. Let's see if they keep the pattern of one close game and one blowout. MOST UN-RELIABLE TEAM GSW (CLE) Times have changed, because GSW is the most erratic team in action. Almost half their games are wild. Now, CLE is giving them a run for the money, because they can't seem to play a straight game. Their games should have a lot of back and forth, in the early action. MOST RELIABLE TEAM PHO DAL (CHI SAC) Once again, PHO plays their consistent ball. But, somehow, DAL has become as stable. What a strange early season. The old standbys of CHI SAC are doing their thing, being consistent, as usual. RELIABLE FAVORITES PHO -3.5 (8-2 ATS L10. Out of nowhere, this line is HOT!) ROAD FAVORITES LAL -2 / DEN -7.5 (10-1 ATS L11. This line is running wild!) RELIABLE HOME DAL +2 / CHI +7.5 / (This line is 0-10 SU/ATS L10 since 11/29. It is a bankroll buster.) RELIABLE AWAY DOG SAC +3 (9-4 ATS & 3-10 SU since 11/30. Who would have thought this would be a winner in December.) RELIABLE picks... PHO -3.5 / DAL +2 / CHI +7.5 / LAC -3 (I am LIVE betting this stuff, since it is a TNT night. But, these are the RELIABLE plays.) RELIABLE Season: 61-67 ATS --- RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023 These numbers are slightly off. The ATS record wins seems to be correct, but the HOME/ROAD record is not matching. Close, but not correct. Will update next time. SU 71-34 / ATS 54-51 SU (50-19 HOME / 21-15 AWAY) ATS (37-32 HOME / 18-18 AWAY)
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NO GAMES. If recent action is any indication, there should be about 4 crazy games for Monday. It's time for the NBA grind to begin.
The run of RELIABLE picks has been gut-wrenching since November 30th. Currently, my bankroll has withstood a 1-16 drought. Worst of my betting life. HOME DOGS are killing me. How do you survive something like that? Drop your action to a bare minimum until the books can get their game lines properly set. The In-season tournament seems to have wreaked havoc with their ability to cap the NBA. But, now that's over, so we shall see. (I can't win following the picks of the best cappers on Youtube/Covers. This can't last forever.) (From Friday, 12/8) RELIABLE FAVORITES TOR -5.5 LOST / CHI -2.5 WON / DAL -8 WON (Two straight winning days for this line.). ROAD FAVORITES TOR -5.5 LOST / CLE -1 WON / MIN -5.5 WON / CHI -2.5 WON / SAC -2.5 WON / LAC -7.5 WON / DAL -8.5 WON (This line is burning up!) RELIABLE HOME MIA +1 LOST / MEM +6 LOST (This is where it all went wrong.) RELIABLE AWAY DOG DET +12 LOST / NYK +7 LOST (Well, at least this came through.) RELIABLE picks... DET +10.5 LOST / TOR -5.5 LOST / CHI -2.5 WON / DAL -8 WON / MIA +1 LOST / MEM +6 LOST / BOS -8 WON --- The meat of the season has begun. This is the NBA grind and it starts Monday. MOST UN-RELIABLE TEAM IND CLE NOP POR These teams have been absolutely terri-bull the past 2 weeks IND CLE NOP POR. You get the usual suspects, but what happened to CLE? How things change. MOST RELIABLE TEAM NYK MEM DAL These teams either win or lose early, NYK MEM DAL. How did DAL end up on this side of the NBA. Did Mark Cuban take a vacation or something? These guys are playing straight games for a change. RELIABLE FAVORITES NYK -4 / HOU -9.5 / DAL -1.5 / SAC -4.5 (5-7 ATS/8-4 SU in December.) ROAD FAVORITES MIA -4 / IND -7.5 / DEN -3 / DAL -1.5 (6-1 ATS on Friday.) RELIABLE HOME DET +7.5 (DET has lost 19 straight and this line is 0-8 SU/ATS last 8 since 11/29. DET had 3 of those losses.) RELIABLE AWAY DOG CHI +11.5 (8-4 ATS & 3-9 SU since 11/30.) RELIABLE picks... DET +7.5 / MIL -11.5 / NYK -4 / HOU -9.5 / DAL -1.5 / SAC -4.5 (This line has gone 5-17 since 11/30. That will kill a bankroll, esp. if you are chasing losses.) RELIABLE Season: 57-65 ATS --- RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023 SU 67-34 / ATS 50-51 SU (47-19 HOME / 20-15 AWAY) ATS (34-32 HOME / 17-18 AWAY)
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RELIABLE picks... DET +10.5 / TOR -5.5 / CHI -2.5 / DAL -8 / MIA +1 / MEM +6 / BOS -8 (This line is 1-14 ATS since 11/30. Feel free to fade away.) |
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2 BLOWN LEADS out of 2. IND/MIL NOP/LAL Both games were wild. These are not consistent teams, so that is not a surprise. Been out of it the last week trying to get my old bookie to pay me and trying to find a new one. It's just as well because my line has been 1 win and 15 losses since November 30th. Everything just went downhill from that point. Not too big a surprise because early December is always a shaky time as the books adjust to the season. As they figure things out, the lines get sharper and things should become profitable again.
RELIABLE FAVORITES NONE ROAD FAVORITES NONE RELIABLE HOME DOG NONE RELIABLE AWAY DOG NONE RELIABLE picks... No picks for in-season tournament. This is the last day before the tournament ends. So, Friday is full of games. MOST UN-RELIABLE TEAM POR (ATL ORL CLE) How things have changed in the last 2 weeks. POR went from being one of the most consistent to the craziest in the NBA. Those ROAD wins @IND & @CLE made them very unpredictable. ATL ORL CLE are almost as bad. Things really changed for these teams after Thanksgiving. MOST RELIABLE TEAM NYK (DET MIA MEM) The last 2 weeks, DAL NYK MEM have been perfectly predictable. Somehow, someway MIA joins DET as ALMOST perfectly consistent recently. What kind of season is this that DAL and MIA have become RELIABLE? RELIABLE FAVORITES TOR -5.5 / CHI -2.5 / DAL -8 (This line is cold. 4-10 ATS L14 since 11/30). ROAD FAVORITES TOR -5.5 / CLE -1 / MIN -5.5 / CHI -2.5 / SAC -2.5 / LAC -7.5 / DAL -8.5 (4-6 ATS since 11/29.) RELIABLE HOME MIA +1 / MEM +6 (0-6 SU/ATS last 6 since 11/29. This line has been BRUTAL lately.) RELIABLE AWAY DOG DET +12 / NYK +7 (8-5 ATS & 3-9 SU since 11/30.) RELIABLE picks... SAC -3.5 (This looks like a decent pick. Or, you could do some LIVE betting and hope for a better number.) RELIABLE Season: 54-61 ATS --- RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023 SU 65-33 / ATS 48-50 SU (47-19 HOME / 18-14 AWAY) ATS (34-32 HOME / 15-17 AWAY)
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@ThaFazz It's funny how they had no problem taking the money without "verification" but suddenly DEMAND it when paying out the money. That is the move of a chiseler/deadbeat. @MadeInDade Well, if I'm the problem for these sportsbooks, it's time to move to another one. @Morpheus2769 May try Caesars. Heard a lot about them. Was with MGM from the start. Then, they just went nutso wacko. DraftKings looks like it was headed the same way. @Morpheus2769 that is why I am looking for a better one. @Cowbeagle FanDuel is fine. Just don't like that they pay by check because they don't accept my credit union. It takes 2 weeks to get a check in the mail. The casino craps are garbage. They rig the dice. Everyone sees it. Then, they don't fix it and pay the number everyone sees on the table. Straight robbery. I am staying out of the casino, if for no other reason, that it is rigged as hell. |
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@pushaJ Bovada requires a cell phone. That won't work for me. @ChampaBay813 Hard Rock is not available where I live. |
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Been having lots of trouble with the "legal" sportsbooks lately. BetMGM kept my balance after demanding all kinds of personal info. Been with them for years and they pull this just as NBA is getting underway. DraftKings did the same thing as BetMGM, but after a few months of NBA. Sisportsbook did the slow pay thing when I tried to make a withdrawal. They came up with all kinds of excuses to drag out the withdrawal process. Is there such a thing as a trustworthy book that pays its bills on time and doesn't try to scam you out of your balances with all kinds of "verification" demands? Not interested in crypto/Bitcoin sportsbooks. Sports and casino are enough gambling for me. |
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5 BLOWN LEADS out of 12. GSW/LAC CLE/DET IND/MIA POR/UTA HOU/LAL Just a wild day before the Sunday break. It's been crazy since Thanksgiving. Wonder how long this continues into December. Another brutal day for RELIABLE picks. That is 1-10 the last 2 days. Yep, it just about wiped out my bankroll. Well, at least you can think of it as the worst is over (probably ). RELIABLE FAVORITES LAC -5.5 WON / MIA -3 LOST / PHO -9.5 WON / SAC -3 WON ROAD FAVORITES MIN -5.5 WON / CLE -8.5 WON / NOP -4 LOST / OKC -3.5 WON RELIABLE HOME DOG DET +8.5 LOST / DAL +3.5 LOST RELIABLE AWAY DOG MEM +9.5 LOST / HOU +5 LOST RELIABLE picks... LAC -5.5 LOST / DET +8.5 LOST / DAL ML LOST / MIA -3 LOST / PHO -9.5 LOST / SAC -3 WON / HOU +5 LOST (Any day where you pick DAL and MIA is a bad day.) Now, the grind of the NBA regular season has begun. And, it begins with a light Monday. MOST UN-RELIABLE TEAM NOP (BOS IND) You get the in-season tournament and some very inconsistent teams. NOP is the wildest of the night. But, BOS IND are very close. MOST RELIABLE TEAM SAC One of the most consistent teams in the league is in action SAC. This team has the game decided early, win or lose. RELIABLE FAVORITES SAC -3.5 ROAD FAVORITES BOS -5.5 RELIABLE HOME DOG NONE RELIABLE AWAY DOG NONE RELIABLE picks... SAC -3.5 (This looks like a decent pick. Or, you could do some LIVE betting and hope for a better number.) RELIABLE Season: 53-58 ATS --- RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023 SU 62-32 / ATS 46-48 SU (46-18 HOME / 16-14 AWAY) ATS (33-31 HOME / 14-16 AWAY)
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1 BLOWN LEADS out of 6. WAW/ORL Looks like the league went to sleep. If last year is any indication, it may stay quiet until Monday (the 4th of December). Total loss of a day. NO wins and 5 losses. Never seen failure like this going back to 2021-2022. It was that bad. 11/30 & 12/1 Destroyed most of my bankroll. Usually, after a run like that, it reverts to averages. Have to stick with the plan and not let a couple of days disrupt the action. RELIABLE FAVORITES DAL -10 LOST ROAD FAVORITES DEN -2.5 WON RELIABLE HOME DOG PHO +2.5 LOST (2-6 ATS L8.) RELIABLE AWAY DOG WAW +11 LOST / PHI +6.5 LOST / NYK +2 WON / MEM +10 WON (6-1 ATS L7. Upside down world in the NBA last couple of days.) RELIABLE picks... ORL -11 LOST / BOS -6.5 LOST / TOR -2 LOST / DAL -10 LOST / PHO ML LOST (That was epically bad. DOGS have been killing it the last 2 days. ) Now that the regular college football season is done, the league has the day filled with games for Saturday. MOST UN-RELIABLE TEAM MIN CHO (ORL) These teams are wild as hell MIN CHO. It is a good thing they are playing each other. Probably ends up as a quiet game. ORL has been very inconsistent all season. MOST RELIABLE TEAM DET DAL PHO (HOU MEM) What an interesting season. PHO is joined by DET DAL as the most consistent teams in the NBA, the last 2 weeks. Lately, HOU MEM have been very stable. RELIABLE FAVORITES LAC -5.5 / MIA -3 / PHO -9.5 / SAC -3 (Going backward last 2 days 11/30 & 12/1... 1-4 ATS/3-2 SU.) ROAD FAVORITES MIN -5.5 / CLE -8.5 / NOP -4 / OKC -3.5 RELIABLE HOME DOG DET +8.5 / DAL +3.5 RELIABLE AWAY DOG MEM +9.5 / HOU +5 (This line is 6-1 ATS L7. That is unreal! Last year, around January, it had an 8-0 ATS streak. Then, it went back to normal the rest of the season.) RELIABLE picks... LAC -5.5 / DET +8.5 / DAL ML / MIA -3 / PHO -9.5 / SAC -3 / HOU +5 (These are my tentative picks. If I don't update, these are the plays. Having DAL AND MIA on the same line worries me.) RELIABLE Season: 52-53 ATS --- RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023 Okay, these are the corrected and updated numbers. Ran them through a spreadsheet instead of trying to hand count. SU 59-31 / ATS 46-44 SU (43-17 HOME / 16-14 AWAY) ATS (32-28 HOME / 14-16 AWAY)
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ParlayBuster | 1 |
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5 BLOWN LEADS out of 9. POR/CLE CHO/BKN UTA/MIN LAL/OKC ATL/SAS What a wild day! There were more crazy games than calm ones. It's been more than 2 weeks since that last happened. It was a flat day if you got the early lines. MIN lost by the hook if you got it a few hours before game time. RELIABLE FAVORITES BKN -8.5 LOST / NYK -13.5 WON (Cooling off on this line.) ROAD FAVORITES MIL -8 LOST / ATL -7 WON RELIABLE HOME DOG NONE RELIABLE AWAY DOG DET +13.5 LOST / UTA +10.5 LOST / LAC +4.5 LOST RELIABLE picks... BKN -8.5 LOST / NYK -13.5 LOST / MIN -10.5 WON / GSW -4.5 WON (Knew not to trust New York teams 2 games in a row. Should have trusted my instincts.) It's a somewhat light day for Friday, the first day of December. MOST UN-RELIABLE TEAM BOS SAS (ORL NOP) Looks like BOS has returned to their wild ways from 2 seasons ago. Just as bad is SAS, but they used to be the face of consistency the past 2 seasons. ORL NOP have been almost as wild lately. MOST RELIABLE TEAM NYK DAL PHO These are the most stable teams in the league NYK DAL PHO. It seems so strange seeing DAL in this group. RELIABLE FAVORITES DAL -10 ROAD FAVORITES DEN -2.5 RELIABLE HOME DOG PHO +2.5 RELIABLE AWAY DOG WAW +11 / PHI +6.5 / NYK +2 / MEM +10 RELIABLE picks... ORL -11 / BOS -6.5 / TOR -2 / DAL -10 / PHO ML (Once again, it is ALL HOME teams. Don't have an opinion one way or another on these picks.) RELIABLE Season: 52-48 ATS All bets were placed 16 hours before tip-off. --- RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023 SU 60-31 / ATS 47-44 SU (43-17 HOME / 16-14 AWAY) ATS (32-28 HOME / 14-16 AWAY) |
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