Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
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Rough one, lots of opportunities and just dropped TDs (SMU) and red zone turnovers. Liking Oklahoma, let's ride! |
MITM | 1772 |
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Merry Christmas Falcon! |
MITM | 1772 |
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Tossing one out tonight because the model loves it LAL/MIN under 230.5 |
Kicker31 | 101 |
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The Math! |
MITM | 1772 |
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No sweat! Appreciate the play |
MITM | 1772 |
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Looked really good until the teams went ice cold mid 2nd half. C'est la vie. On to the next! |
MITM | 1772 |
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LAC/IND under 272.5 76ers +1 DAL/DEN over 226.5 |
Kicker31 | 101 |
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Wizards +21 |
Kicker31 | 101 |
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@Ramanujan The other challenge of it is that the live lines have a slight bit more juice, depending on when / where you look. So instead of a 52.4% breakeven point, it's probably a little closer to 54% breakeven. Makes it that much tougher to really hit a positive ROI. I would gamble that I'll finish above 0% ROI this year, but I can't promise that the rest of year ROI will go up from where it currently is, and it may be 50/50 ball coasting off of a 30% ROI hot start. |
Kicker31 | 101 |
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@Ramanujan Yeah I'd imagine it's in the breakeven range, give or take. Being honest, the beginning of the system I was able to dedicate a lot more time to scoreboard watching & really tracking the games. Finding the specific moment in time to strike as the model thinks one direction, and the line jumps after a basket to the other, there may only be ~15 sec where that line is available, if not less. So I think spending more time watching the lines / following the model will certainly help, been bogged down & multitasking. Once again, I'm only really hopeful that I can break even with the system, that's perfectly fine with me as a project to explore live-updating & data processing. |
Kicker31 | 101 |
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Sheesh, lots of points in the last two minutes to hit the over. Beautifully done. |
MITM | 1772 |
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DAL/DEN over 226.5 |
Kicker31 | 101 |
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CHI/PHI - 76ers +1 (halftime) |
Kicker31 | 101 |
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First one of the day LAC/IND under 272.5 |
Kicker31 | 101 |
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2-1 on the day, in the green! 52-35, +14.57% ROI |
Kicker31 | 101 |
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Don't know why this is being annoying with my posts. ORL/BOS over 223.5 NOP/SAS over 237.5 WAS/PHX under 232.5 |
Kicker31 | 101 |
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ORL/BOS over 223.5 |
Kicker31 | 101 |
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WAS/PHX under 232.5 |
Kicker31 | 101 |
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NOP/SAS - over 237.5 |
Kicker31 | 101 |
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ORL/BOS over 223.5 |
Kicker31 | 101 |
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