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Helluva inning by Nova to get out of that |
ToddC | 53 |
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Quote Originally Posted by H82LOZE:
Adding o2.5 Wash F5 -120 King Creole - Just a stat junkie - look at splits Batter vs. Pitcher, lefty/ righty, WHIP, weather, wind, umpires, vegas o/u / game line, etc. where can I find information in the umpires? Thanks . |
H82LOZE | 10 |
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Quote Originally Posted by dakeelay:
Yesterdays Record 3-2 ATS 3-0 QTR/HLF ATS 3-0 LIVE BETS Overall (9-2) +4u Overall Totall 55-32-2 ATS 20-10-2 ATS MAR 35-22 ATS FEB 3-0 Moneyline +485 Qtr/Hlf Bets (9-3) +3.0U Live Bets (5-3) +1.0U 72-38-2 Total Its been good so far bois, real good, lets keep it rolling, GSW -11.5 In games where golden state has played against the spurs without Kawhi, their avg mov is +24.75 ppg. No Kawhi and no Pau tonight for the spurs, no Iggy and West for GSW. SA has lost 7 of their last 10 SU and 6 of their last 10 ATS, barely pulling out a 2 point win to a Memphis team.... Theyve been keeping it close with teams lately but the GSW are a different breed of basketball, and the Spurs wont be able to keep up tonight. Big win for GSW lay the big number at home and grab your popcorn BOS -2 Kyrie irving is back in the lineup playing against a Timberwolves team without Jimmy Butler that including the game he got hurt has lost 3 of their last 5 games. Boston has won everygame since the ASB except for that nailbiter in HOU where the Rockets came back to win late in the 4th quarter. As away favorites this year the Celtics are 13-7 ATS hitting 65% of the time, and playing a wolves team without their best player is gonna be a cake walk. The wolves are also 0-5 ATS against teams with a winning record. Lay the points on the road fella's MIA -1 In their last 10 matchups, the home team has won 9 out of 10 times. When these two teams met earlier in the month it was a dogfight to the finish and miami barely escaped with a victory with D Wade shooting 27 total and getting 15 of those points in the 4th quarter. These teams are neck and neck in the division race with only 2 games separating 6th and 7th place in the East. The winning home team trend should continue as PHI is not the best road team and Miami needs to put a little distance between itself and milwuakee in 8th place. Lay the small number at home Good Luck Everybody! Tips are appreciated! paypal.me/klydefrog
With you on all except GS. Both teams have three tough games after tonight. On the plus/minus side GS is only +5 better. I think SA plays them tough tonight. Anyway, good luck to you tonignt! |
dakeelay | 12 |
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Quote Originally Posted by ragingstorm:
Three cappers here have my theory and are winning also ..thanks for them for not publicly teling everyone .8 people have offered me tips. I tell them to donate it to a local animal shelter. I'm here to help you win money. If you think I have the time to be your therapist on why I'm winning well I simply dont have that time ..you people look at 37 different things on deciding which team to pick .I have needled it down to about 2. My record speaks for itself. I couldnt give 2 s.h.i.t.s. Who is in or out. How many games in a row they have covered with a particular referee or who pooped three times within the hour of tipoff ..i dont care. I put 50 bucks in my account in early November and havent had to deposit once since then ..am I betting 1K per game? No im betting what I can affordYou guys who question me dont really have to look at my posts .I know for a fact there are guys who wait for my pick and then basically copy me .I find it flattering .It takes me what a minute to deal a game? You all can look at your trends ..refs .Road home record who .has the flu .What time the team bus comes in or who got laid last night or whatever you choose to look at ..i dont careI dont always take every game that fades the public .I got 6 emails asking why I didnt take Utah the other night even tho they were around 29% I said it once and I'll say it. again ..i choose my battles . for those who hate what I do just remember when bookies lose I lose. Think about it. Who has more money? The Mandalay Bay sports book or the gambler? Keep betting against the book I'll keep betting with it ..im here to make people money not to spend 20 minutes and defend my choices .
Can someone please give my nigga a "slow clap" for just roasting all the haters today??? ???????????? |
ragingstorm | 53 |
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Looking parlying these picks: Ind-3 Chi+5 Atl+2.5 Sac+5.5 Chi under 217 |
HeHateMe33 | 3 |
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Quote Originally Posted by ragingstorm:
Charlotte -2 What do you think of Suns +7.5? |
ragingstorm | 18 |
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Currently, only MGM and William Hill have this game, all other books have pulled it. Does anybody know why?
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HeHateMe33 | 2 |
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Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin: sorry boys running behind.......plus wanna RELAX / watch the gamesMy 'what the line should be'....with notes / leans for week 2 up late Sat / early Sunday....should ready to go for those delectable BetOnline openers .....anywhere from 11:00a > 2:00p C* plus 5Dimes has most week 2 up already....you can use those....THEN check Sagarin (not bad at all this year / esp this early)....maybe Massey's (his early #'s look weak tho)....I've checked Bill C's numbers and they're not bad at all...... * BEST?.....lay out the $8-9... Gold Sheet's numbers.....these most reflect the Vegas pointspread STOP.....using ESPN's.....or STEELE'S.......especially....those +/- ratings aren't worth a crap IN FACT : my boi TD's numbers are BETTER than both... * with respect to Double-Up.....his are really good but reflect his own opinions more > thus more suited for his own use > (less reflective of Vegas point-spread).................IMOTODAY....Gotta be Ohio St or nothing.....UNDER looks like the way to go if anything...........Buckeyes could beat the hell outta them....or maybe their O could struggle.....yet againGotta be Buffalo or nothing.....LEAN......ULM for me.....either way looks likeYou're crazy to bet EITHER ASU ....or NMSU.....kinda sorta like NMSU......BUT they could get destroyed here....over.... a definite look...as both should be able to RUN here * how awesome would it be....for Rose to rush for 350 or so > they beat ASU > run that POS Graham outta town?........... Gotta be ....FIU I would think...too many pointsOKIE ST?....too unpredictable in this SPOT for me....but gotta be them or nothing hereIN-GAME / halftime?........ * looking for OFFENSES.....that WILL move it at some pointOkie St.....if they start slow.....Memphis ditto........Ariz St?.....I'll be watching this one closely.....slow start a definite possibility....I don't see how NMSU stops their running game for 4Qtrs.....if NMSU is running well.....OVER maybe betterI would imagine.....that UCF finds a way to WIN.....if they start slow.....Butch may have FIU playing TOUGH......or they might stink.....I say they play UCF toughBuckeyes struggle early?....REALLY tough to see losing here... * probably WRONG to assume...they move the ball well here....RECALL.....Indy HC Allen.....knows Wilson's tendencies as well.......................So.....nothing for me today.........lotta action tomorrow...... *unfortunately for SOME.................most value is long goneEM/CLT......stay awayLoved Rutgers at 31......at 27'?......pass or play in-game / halftime......I would think.....Huskies get up early.....then CRUISE....as CP likes to do...so what appears to be a 40-0 game..........becomes a 40-13.....40-17......40-20 type game$$$$$ I see no reason for him to HUMILIATE Chris Ash / Rutgers here..........meaning put his 1st D back out there late to prevent a late score.....crap like thatI like FAU to play Navy tough.....bet it at 17' long time ago.....forgot to post sooooooo......currently I would pass at 10 or lessWisky / Utah St.....slight lean Utah StLike BC at 2'......at 4 or more?......pass / bet ML instead / in-game maybe..........Love(d) Col St at 7'+....at 3 or so?.........PASS......after that huge P12 romp over OSU last week....I might consider Col here.....at 3BOL boys.............................. BA...always been a fan of your insight and analysis. Wanted to know how feel about Nevada +25? |
bookieassassin | 337 |
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Nebraska is @ -15 now!!!!!!
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Last2thirst | 19 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst: Don't touch it. Out of the 4, Penn St. might have the most difficulty with their opponent and 1 of the other 3 will most likely get a backdoor cover, if not lethargic offensive play Oh I'm taking the dogs in those games. Clemson auburn play each other next week and USC is playing Stanford next week! |
Last2thirst | 19 |
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My local bar (filled with old drunk men)has parlay cards featuring Clemson -43, Penn st -33 Auburn -38 and USC -29.......hmmnmmm
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Last2thirst | 19 |
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My local bar released their parlay cards. They got BYU+15, think I'm gonna jump on!
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Trojan_man1988 | 25 |
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Currently the o/u is 54, thinking on taking the under based on the fact that both teams do not have a quality qb but both defenses look competent. Thoughts?
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HeHateMe33 | 5 |
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Bar parlay card was printed on Tuesday so totals and spreads are a little high. Thinking of putting this card in today:
Tenn U @ 44 Jets U @ 49 Cincy U @ 46 Wash U @48 Pitt U @ 48 Miami U @49 LA U @45 SF U @48 Bal +7 Miami +15 Any thoughts? |
HeHateMe33 | 1 |
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Local bar is offering a 4 point teaser with a ten team limit. Any thoughts on picks?
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HeHateMe33 | 2 |
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Quote Originally Posted by 1347dillpill: +6.5 is the most profitable trend. In the last 25 years or so, it's been around a 57% win rate. +2.5 has also had a positive win rate. This is Vegas knowing you like those key numbers and go for the favorites thinking you'll have a positive outcome because of the likelihood of a 3 or 7 point game. A lot of people don't see a big difference in betting a favorite -4.5 or -6.5 but really 9% of nfl games end in 5 or 6 point margins of victory. Vegas will blow those teams that should be 4.5 up to 6.5 knowing you'll bet them. After seeing those trends, I realized you almost NEVER see a 4.5 opening line get released. So do you go for the -4.5 if available? |
HeHateMe33 | 7 |
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Has anyone seen or noticed that in football (either college or NFL) that +6.5s always win? I believe that in one thread that I read, someone stated that you you always fade -6.5s. Interesting as to why. Any thoughts?
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HeHateMe33 | 7 |
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What about Bears +4.5? They play the colts coming back from London!
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footballsmart | 10 |
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TSA does has a terrible offense and cannot run the ball but is -14.5 for SM too much for a road team?????
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HeHateMe33 | 2 |
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Watched the Canes Georgia tech game. Mark R's play calling is suspect. Kept running the ball when it was not working and throwing. Should have beating tech by 4tds. Can't see the Canes winning if they decide to run instead of throwing
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DoubleUp4Life | 45 |
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