Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
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Detroit -4.5
Pit/ari u45 Oakland -3.5 Kc/oak o42.5 New Orleans 13.5 Ind/no o48.5 Baltimore -9 |
Gambller | 33 |
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To add to my previous post, this is the opponents of both Green Bay and Washington in depth:
Green Bay opponents (Offense/Defense)
Philadelphia: 23.75 (20/35/28/12)/19.75 (27/32/3/17)
Buffalo: 15.25 (10/10/24/17)/31.25 (15/34/38/38)
Chicago: 17.25 (19/27/20/3)/17.00 (14/20/17/17)
Detroit: 20.50 (14/32/10/26)/26.50 (19/35/24/28)
Washington opponents (Offense/Defense)
Dallas: 18.00 (7/20/27)/17.67 (13/27/13)
Houston: 27.00 (34/30/13/31)/25.50 (24/27/27/24)
St. Louis: 19.25 (13/14/30/20)/13.00 (17/16/16/3)
Philadelphia: 23.75 (20/35/28/12)/19.75 (27/32/3/17)
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Gambller | 33 |
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Why am I getting
Green Bay: 22
Washington: 19
Green Bay
Offense: 26.5
Defense: 18.25
Washington
Offense: 18.25
Defense: 19.75
Green Bay's opponents
Offense: 19.19
Defense: 23.63
Washington's opponents
Offense: 22.00
Defense: 18.98
Green Bay efficiency
Offense: 1.12 (26.5/23.63)
Defense: 0.95 (18.25/19.19)
Washington efficiency
Offense: 0.96 (18.25/18.98)
Defense: 0.90 (19.75/19.00)
Green Bay overall efficiency: 1.01 ((1.12+0.90)/2)
Washington overall efficiency: 0.96 ((0.96+0.95)/2)
Green Bay projected score: 22 ((1.01*23.13)-1.5)
Washington projected score: 19 ((0.96*18.25)+1.5)
Please respond where our difference is or just post all the stats you got like I did so I know if my system is incorrect
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Gambller | 33 |
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@Hibore222-Please tell me how it goes
San Diego 20
NY Jets 26
Seattle 20
Cleveland 21
Atlanta 18
Detroit 33
Washington 21
Carolina 19
Chicago 23
Tampa Bay 19
Denver 23
Miami 21
Houston 19
Tennessee 21
Pittsburgh 21
Arizona 16
Kansas City 15
Oakland 35
Green Bay 32
Minnesota 19
St. Louis 11
Dallas 30
Indianapolis 19
New Orleans 40
Baltimore 29
Jacksonville 10
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Gambller | 33 |
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Quote Originally Posted by SpamBurger:
this looks to be interesting. by any chance is there any backdata? I dont have any, which is why im trying it out this year. Ill post the projected scores tomorrow after I double check them |
Gambller | 33 |
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Spreads:
Cincinnati -7-W
Washington +2.5-L
Green Bay -14-W
Buffalo +3-P
OUs:
Jacksonville/Pittsburgh Under 40.5-W
Buffalo/NY Giants Over 50-W
Overall:
ATS: 5-3
OU: 5-3
Overall: 10-6 (62.5%)
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Gambller | 33 |
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Barring any drastic spread changes, official picks will be:
Spreads:
Cincinnati -7
Washington +2.5
Green Bay -14
Buffalo +3
OUs:
Jacksonville/Pittsburgh Under 40.5
Buffalo/NY Giants Over 50
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Gambller | 33 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jwsone:
add me to your friends list, lets swap some sheets I put about 75 man hours into my sheet so I really won't be needing yours, thanks though and Ill let you know if Ill swap :) |
Gambller | 33 |
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I dont know how
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Gambller | 33 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Gambller: Looks like official picks will be:
NO/CAR O51-W
PHI/BUF O 52.5-W
Buffalo +3-W
CIN/JAC U36.5-L
Indianapolis -1-L
TEN/PIT U40-L
Tennessee +3-L
NYJ/NE O50.5-W
GB/ATL O53-L
Green Bay -5.5-W
Detroit -5-W ATS: 3-2
OU: 3-3
Overall: 6-5 (55%)
Week 6
Carolina 24
Atlanta 25
San Francisco 22
Detroit 25
Indianapolis 13
Cincinnati 31
Philadelphia 17
Washington 24
St. Louis 11
Green Bay 40
Jacksonville 8
Pittsburgh 22
Buffalo 36
NY Giants 27
Cleveland 19
Oakland 31
Houston 16
Baltimore 28
New Orleans 32
Tampa Bay 21
Dallas 26
New England 35
Minnesota 19
Chicago 22
Miami 17
NY Jets 28
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Gambller | 33 |
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Looks like official picks will be:
NO/CAR O51
PHI/BUF O 52.5
Buffalo +3
CIN/JAC U36.5
Indianapolis -1
TEN/PIT U40
Tennessee +3
NYJ/NE O50.5
GB/ATL O53
Green Bay -5.5
Detroit -5
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Gambller | 33 |
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New Orleans 35
Carolina 25
Philadelphia 24
Buffalo 38
Seattle 15
NY Giants 30
Cincinnati 16
Jacksonville 10
Kansas City 17
Indianapolis 25
Tennessee 17
Pittsburgh 13
Arizona 22
Minnesota 21
Oakland 21
Houston 31
Tampa Bay 16
San Francisco 21
NY Jets 24
New England 36
San Diego 22
Denver 22
Green Bay 41
Atlanta 24
Chicago 19
Detroit 34
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Gambller | 33 |
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I didnt create this system and don't know if its any good, so I thought I would try it:
Ive created a workbook in excel where I can click the name of any team in the NFL and match them up against any other team, using the systems' methods it projects a score.
Spreads/OUs covering by 7+ points will be an official pick.
Potential Picks (not official)
NOR/CAR O51.5
PHI/BUF O50.5
Buffalo +2.5
CIN/JAC U37.5
Cincinnati +1
Indianapolis -1
TEN/PIT U40
Tennessee +3
NYJ/NE O50
GB/ATL O52.5
Green Bay -5.5
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Gambller | 33 |
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Ill post how to do it later
So far I got:
Detroit -6
Indiana +6.5
Utah -4
Milwaukee +2
New Jersey +4 (Only if LBJ is not playing, if he is then I cant touch it)
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Gambller | 1 |
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