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Here is my point of view on the line and goofy line movement. Like comes out at 2.5 and we see that action is being placed in SC's favor, however, Vegas then and adjusts the line down. Now why would they do that? 1, there could be 'sharp' money on Tennessee or 2, they could be adjusting the line down to scare people off from and putting more on SC when they realized they may have made a mistake with the line and it shoulda been higher to begin with. Then you could say, "well why wouldnt vegas just move the line up to 3 or 3.5? well this would clearly signal to the public that heavy action is on SC and the correct bet. By reversing the line movement I think they are just playin with the public. Of course, I may just be eating the cake, but the cake looks good, South Carolina -1.5.
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fr130 | 2 |
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Pimp, i like the weber play but my only concern here is what do they have to play for? they already have the conference locked up, does this worry you at all? along with the line dropping with heavy public betting on them? just curious for a response to this
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Pimpdaddy55 | 139 |
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i like the pick but what does weber state have to play for? not much in my opinion they already have the conference locked up
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MrVegasWins | 13 |
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i got citadel -6....bol
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admirals05 | 65 |
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holy fouls.....these refs obviously took ND
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bibendi23 | 169 |
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really? you must have some real thin skin my friend. your going to cry and whine becuase the DEGENERATES that tail you bash your picks when you lose? who the fuck cares what they think, you aint gunna get anywhere in life if you let other people mess with you. get over it and grow up, you sound like jay cutler.
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expertcapper | 73 |
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replied to
This Heat/Cavs game is looking an awful lot like the Jazz/Cavs one last month
in NBA Betting
word to the wise...
im from cleveland and follow the cavaliers very closely obviously...i would be hesitant to take the cavaliers here tonight....they generally do not play well in miami over the years, (you can check the games), they played a very physical game last night with Atlanta, coupled with the plane problems, i dont know, i would have to be hard pressed to take the cavaliers tonight... i do remember that utah game though, as i thought they had NO chance of winning that game and they even suprised me by beating the jazz that night... i just dont know tonight...if i had to take a team i think i would lean Miami even as a huge cleveland fan/backer...i think there are better games out there, specifically the sixers -2 vs the hornets, hope this helps for anyone that cares
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ValueforRent | 46 |
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likin the pick bird...this line jumped out at me when i first looked at the card...i think MIA is a little overvalued due to the way they played duke and unc recently and i also fell FSU is a little undervalued/under the radar team nobody really knows about...i think FSU is in a good spot too after getting wacked by Wake....should be a good game but i like FSU minus the points here
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Bird4332 | 82 |
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Any thoughts on this game, gotta be a trap line right? even tho im still leaning creighton, whats everyones thoughts?
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fr130 | 10 |
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wtf!!!
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fr130 | 6 |
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Quote Originally Posted by WOW: BEING HOT HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH THIS GAME I DONT CARE IF WEST VIRGINIA WAS HOT AND NOVA WAS COLD...THE FACTS ARE THE FACTS...THIS TALK THAT WEST VIRGINIA IS A BETTER REBOUNDING TEAM NEEDS TO STOP NOVA IS JUST AS GOOD IF NOT A BETTER REBOUNDING TEAM. LIKE I SAID IN MY THREAD NOVA HAS A STATISTICAL EDGE IN EVERY CATEGORY EXCEPT DEFENSE AND THAT IS BECAUSE THEY SCORE AND RUN SO MUCH THAT THEY DONT PAY AS MUCH ATTENTION ON D. IF THEY WERENT AS GOOD ON OFFENSE LIKE WVU HAS BEEN LATELY THAN I BET THEY WOULD HAVE STELLAR D NUMBERS AS WELL. PEOPLE ON HERE ARE EMPHASISING TOO MUCH TO THE FISHY LINE AND TO WHAT THE PUBLIC ARE BETTING AND SO FORTH...ESPECIALLY AFTER LAST NIGHT. THIS GUYS ONLY IS .25 OF WHAT YOU SHOULD BE LOOKING AT. MATCHUPS IS THE MAJORITY OF CAPPING IN MY BOOK AND THE MATCHUP ADVANTAGES ARE IN FAVOR OF NOVA. ASK YOURSELF THIS QUESTION WHAT WEAKNESS CAN WEST VIRGINIA TAKE ADVANTAGE OF AGAINST NOVA TONIGHT?? THE ANSWER I'M GIVING IS NOTHING. you hit the nail on the head as for rebounding. I mean, West V has been outrebounded in 4 of there last 6 games and the 2 games that they DID out rebound there opponents it was against, Providence and St. Johns, two games they won by 25 pts. Woopty fuckin doo, this just makes me want to play Nova more as I was on the fence before i entered this thread and now i am off and running on novas side, regardless of the weird line and line movement.
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Bird4332 | 181 |
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Quote Originally Posted by GWarner27: The success Huggins has had in every stop would constitute him being a better coach than Jay Wright. Mike D'Antoni is a good coach, but what has he won? His offense, similar to Jay Wright's, won't win titles unless you have all the athletes in the world, i.e. UNC. Why has Roy Williams only won 1 title in his career despite having some of the most talented teams in the country? That run-n-gun offense simply doesn't win games when you play disciplined teams. Every bad play WVU makes in practice leads to a minute on a treadmill at full speed, which has built character in this WVU team that has completely changed from a team of big men who shoot the 3, to a rough and tough team that kills the boards. Ebanks and Jones will be big role players off their bench, who should use their length to get some blocked shots and crash the glass. The x-factor could be Truck Bryant today, as he'll push the pace in transition and maybe get some early fouls called on Scottie Reynolds, who may be the most inconsistent shooter i've ever seen play college basketball. He's a great shooter at times, but he's unconscious with range and if he starts to miss a few it will lead to big problems for Villanova. I don't think you can use past performances as a rule, or else you should be betting Cleveland State every game because they beat Syracuse that must make them a better team. Circumstances are important in every game, and the HCA will be a huge difference tonight from what should be a drunk and rowdy crowd well i guess we'll agree to disagree, but good arguments none the less, bol tonight
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Bird4332 | 181 |
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also, all you west v backers acknowledging that there such a great rebounding team, what happens when you miss 3 pointers? you tend to get loooooonnngggggg rebounds, which in my opinion, nuetralizes west vs ability to rebound. If Nova is missing 3s most will be long rebounds which end up being loose ball situations, something to think about as well...
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Bird4332 | 181 |
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the biggest variable here may be dwayne andersons knee and if he is 100% tonight, thats somethng to look into
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Bird4332 | 181 |
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Quote Originally Posted by GWarner27: i hate to take this thread over, but i'm the 1 and Birdman's the 2. ...are you saying Jay Wright is a better coach than Bob Huggins? Really What is disciplined about Villanova? They run all game long because they can't execute in the half court, and you consider that discipline? Who's going to guard Cunningham? Wellington Smith, Cam Thoroughman or John Flowers could all push him to the perimeter. What makes Huggins a better coach than jay wright? All i am saying is that jay's kids respond to him which indicates they respect the coach and are disciplined. just because they gun 3s all day doesn't mean they are not disciplined. So would you say Mike Dantoni is a bad coach b/c his team cant play in a half court set? Even though, most NBA execs think hes one of the top 5 coaches in the league? Cunningham is going to get his looks, i dont think those guys you mentioned are really going to throw him off that much. They didnt seem to do much vs Pitt Syracuse and Uconn, so why would it change vs Nova? also, west v lost to a Louisville team who does what?, shoots a lot of 3s. granted they were at louisville, the cards still put a whooping on them until they decided to let west v back in the game late. all im sayin is that its difficult to not take the points here they way nova has been playing and they way west v has played against common opponents.
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Bird4332 | 181 |
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Quote Originally Posted by chefmikeg: have you watch nova at all? its not just 3 point shooting dante cunnigham might be the most improved player this year. he can post up or shoot the 15 footer.pena also adds depth in the frontcourt.
i dont think i am touching this game i cant say that you are on the wrong or right side but from looking at your comments. you clearly do not like nova team for some reason.jay wright is a great coach and gets the most talent out of his guys gl |
Bird4332 | 181 |
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who is going to guard Cunningham? He is arguably Nova's best player and he is an inside presence with a nice 15 foot jumper. I say Nova feeds it to him early to get all the shooters into the flow of the game. I don't know but WV is giving points to an obviously superior Nova team, its hard not to take the points even if it seems like a trap. Nova is disciplined and well coached which makes a huge difference in road games.
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Bird4332 | 181 |
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Am I missing something here or does UC Riverside -1.5 look to good to be true?
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fr130 | 2 |
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My theory: Take the better team and hope for the best, its that simple.
Oklahoma -3 Xavier -3 North Carolina -2 BOL everybody
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fr130 | 2 |
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dude, take it money line if your that worried
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jabroni | 39 |
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