Writeup
Let me first start off by saying this...Yes, I am betting my entire sports betting bankroll on this game tonight. I have placed about $10,000 in my accounts over the course of about 10 years. I have cashed out somewhere around $85,000 during those 10 years. I am not going to share how much money I actually have on this game tonight, because it is irrelevant and I don't want it to skew anyone...i.e. ~ I can bet more on this game because he must really be serious...NO...bet what you feel comfortable betting.
I feel comfortable with this bet because I honestly am up no matter what happens. If I lose, I will just stop betting and focus more of time elsewhere. I have had a good run of this...it is just very time consuming, and I make a decent enough amount of money with my real job, that I don't really need to invest this much time to bring in this side money. If it wins, great...my wife gets a new car, and I will continue with the remaining balance during football (which I dominate at).
What if I told you the Marlins are have scored less runs this year (453) then the lowly Astros (456). The Marlins have been shutout 3 times in their last 8 games. Joe Saunders has already shut down the Marlins this year with his only complete game all year. By the way, he only allowed 3 hits in that game (5-0 D-Backs Win).
Joe Saunders has struggled at home (4.72 ERA)
Mark Buerhle is no better on the road (4.81 ERA)
Buerhle has also logged twice as many innings this year during evening games, but his ERA is two points higher during those outings. His ERA has climbed each month he has pitched in the NL this year. Some would wonder if that doesnt mean the NL is starting to understand how to attack him when he is pitching. Maybe he is just getting a dead arm? Old? IDK...but his numbers are getting worse by the start. He gave up 7 runs on 8 hits in only 5 innings in his only start this year against the D-Backs.
Back to Saunders...I am going to give Vegas a ton of credit here folks...they know everything. Did you guys know that Saunders injured his throwing thumb on Wed? You wouldnt think that would be of any help when pitching tonight would you? I didnt think so...it actually makes me think he could struggle if anything. Saunders has also seen his ERA by month climb, with the exception of a very high ERA in the month of May. IMO, a lot more information in this game indicates a pretty easy trigger on the Over in this game. Starting number of 9.5 bet down to 9 (and even) indicates that there is some very sharp money on this game. I can't tell you for certain which SP is going to dominate tonight, but one of these pitchers is going to do just that. I expect at least a 3-4 runs difference at the end of this game between the two teams, just dont know which way....and could care less which way. I just really think this puppy is going under the total with some of the easiest information to everyone indicating an easy and obvious play on the Over. I am not biting.
Writeup
Let me first start off by saying this...Yes, I am betting my entire sports betting bankroll on this game tonight. I have placed about $10,000 in my accounts over the course of about 10 years. I have cashed out somewhere around $85,000 during those 10 years. I am not going to share how much money I actually have on this game tonight, because it is irrelevant and I don't want it to skew anyone...i.e. ~ I can bet more on this game because he must really be serious...NO...bet what you feel comfortable betting.
I feel comfortable with this bet because I honestly am up no matter what happens. If I lose, I will just stop betting and focus more of time elsewhere. I have had a good run of this...it is just very time consuming, and I make a decent enough amount of money with my real job, that I don't really need to invest this much time to bring in this side money. If it wins, great...my wife gets a new car, and I will continue with the remaining balance during football (which I dominate at).
What if I told you the Marlins are have scored less runs this year (453) then the lowly Astros (456). The Marlins have been shutout 3 times in their last 8 games. Joe Saunders has already shut down the Marlins this year with his only complete game all year. By the way, he only allowed 3 hits in that game (5-0 D-Backs Win).
Joe Saunders has struggled at home (4.72 ERA)
Mark Buerhle is no better on the road (4.81 ERA)
Buerhle has also logged twice as many innings this year during evening games, but his ERA is two points higher during those outings. His ERA has climbed each month he has pitched in the NL this year. Some would wonder if that doesnt mean the NL is starting to understand how to attack him when he is pitching. Maybe he is just getting a dead arm? Old? IDK...but his numbers are getting worse by the start. He gave up 7 runs on 8 hits in only 5 innings in his only start this year against the D-Backs.
Back to Saunders...I am going to give Vegas a ton of credit here folks...they know everything. Did you guys know that Saunders injured his throwing thumb on Wed? You wouldnt think that would be of any help when pitching tonight would you? I didnt think so...it actually makes me think he could struggle if anything. Saunders has also seen his ERA by month climb, with the exception of a very high ERA in the month of May. IMO, a lot more information in this game indicates a pretty easy trigger on the Over in this game. Starting number of 9.5 bet down to 9 (and even) indicates that there is some very sharp money on this game. I can't tell you for certain which SP is going to dominate tonight, but one of these pitchers is going to do just that. I expect at least a 3-4 runs difference at the end of this game between the two teams, just dont know which way....and could care less which way. I just really think this puppy is going under the total with some of the easiest information to everyone indicating an easy and obvious play on the Over. I am not biting.
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