i'm going to do the same thing i did last week, not because it was a good week but because it's easier and much less time consuming. that is, i'm going to look at the matchups, determine what the CDS.com line would be and then write down any initial reactions.
TB @ Stl: i said even. not that Stl -2.5 is a big difference. i don't care too much about the lines below 3 although it is odd to see Stl a favorite for the seconw eek in a row (i think they were a favorite last week). Stl is horrible and basically just has a couple good (albeit very good) players. i wouldn't trust them here. i doubt i'll be betting this.
NYJ @ Dallas: i was right on at NYJ -3.5. i maybbe tempted by dallas as we';ve been betting them with success this season. not just in moenoy of Hugh Jorman Sports but because they are the kind of team we look for. shit QB so they get no respect, good running game (at least at times) and underrated defense. them winning always depends on their running game and defense. the jets are no joke on defense but if dallas can run, i think their defense can make things tough for the jets offense. i'd consider dallas.
Chicago @ Minn: i said -6 and pinnacle is showing 5.5. minn has come back down to earth but chicago has been a disaster lately. but then they surprise you and beat GB. no real opinion right now.
Atl @ Jax: i said -2 but pinnacle has it at 3. i'm always interested when there i think the line is off and there is a 3 or 7 involved. Jax crushed indy last week but didn't look as good as the score indicated and indy made some bad mistakes. of course, Atl is in a free fall but their score looked worse than it seems with Atl having 4 fumbles and 3 turnovers. maybe atl won't end the season 0-9? theoretically they are still in the wildcard race. if this stays at 3 or goes higher, Atl might be worth a play.
i'm going to do the same thing i did last week, not because it was a good week but because it's easier and much less time consuming. that is, i'm going to look at the matchups, determine what the CDS.com line would be and then write down any initial reactions.
TB @ Stl: i said even. not that Stl -2.5 is a big difference. i don't care too much about the lines below 3 although it is odd to see Stl a favorite for the seconw eek in a row (i think they were a favorite last week). Stl is horrible and basically just has a couple good (albeit very good) players. i wouldn't trust them here. i doubt i'll be betting this.
NYJ @ Dallas: i was right on at NYJ -3.5. i maybbe tempted by dallas as we';ve been betting them with success this season. not just in moenoy of Hugh Jorman Sports but because they are the kind of team we look for. shit QB so they get no respect, good running game (at least at times) and underrated defense. them winning always depends on their running game and defense. the jets are no joke on defense but if dallas can run, i think their defense can make things tough for the jets offense. i'd consider dallas.
Chicago @ Minn: i said -6 and pinnacle is showing 5.5. minn has come back down to earth but chicago has been a disaster lately. but then they surprise you and beat GB. no real opinion right now.
Atl @ Jax: i said -2 but pinnacle has it at 3. i'm always interested when there i think the line is off and there is a 3 or 7 involved. Jax crushed indy last week but didn't look as good as the score indicated and indy made some bad mistakes. of course, Atl is in a free fall but their score looked worse than it seems with Atl having 4 fumbles and 3 turnovers. maybe atl won't end the season 0-9? theoretically they are still in the wildcard race. if this stays at 3 or goes higher, Atl might be worth a play.
KC @ this is the first one where i'm way off but i always tend to underestimate the person lines. i said -6 and it's -7.5 . but the shrimps are in such bad shape, i certainly understand. i was looking to play KC this week. we were fortunate going against them last week (although SD could have tied it with a dropped TD pass) but their stats were pretty good. i like them to beat up on the shrimps but i don't like giving 7+ on the road.
Buffalo @ Wash: i had wash at -2 but it's buffalo -1. again, no real difference. friggin washington took our money last week getting an early lead on chicago. buffalo did ok but probably two turnovers were the difference. i may be on buffalo here just because i think they are clearly the better team.
Tenn @ NE: surprised i was right on for a big spread game. NE is -14. obviously i agree with the line because NE is playing pretty well and tenn is horrible. but, as i've said a few times, i just don't see how NE covers these big spreads with the injuries they have. other than the obvious (gronkowski), i said the biggest injury was lewis. blount is slow and an average runner but he did pretty well last week. now, he's out. i might take the 14, although i'll guess it goes below 14 by sunday.
AZ @ Philly i said AZ -3 but it is 3.5. hard to take a mess of a team like philly against a team as solid as AZ.
Carolina @ NYG: i said -4 but it's 5.5. not much difference above 4 until you get to 6 so i was close enough. also, i probably rate carolina lower than most. that being said, the giants are not good. their defense is average at best but is really injured right now. their running game isn't very good. they rely on manning too much, which is fine against miami but could be a problem against carolina. i'd like to bet against carolina as a road favorite against a decent team but not sure i trust the NYG with their many flaws.
Cleveland @ Sea: i said 15, it is 14.5 so close enough. cleveland is going to have a hvery hard time here. if seattle can find someone to put at RB and run the ball a little bit, they'll win by as much as they want if they try hard. it's really not a make or break game for them and they do have two division games coming up. if they lose, they probably still go to the playoffs but a win would certainly make them much more comfortable.
KC @ this is the first one where i'm way off but i always tend to underestimate the person lines. i said -6 and it's -7.5 . but the shrimps are in such bad shape, i certainly understand. i was looking to play KC this week. we were fortunate going against them last week (although SD could have tied it with a dropped TD pass) but their stats were pretty good. i like them to beat up on the shrimps but i don't like giving 7+ on the road.
Buffalo @ Wash: i had wash at -2 but it's buffalo -1. again, no real difference. friggin washington took our money last week getting an early lead on chicago. buffalo did ok but probably two turnovers were the difference. i may be on buffalo here just because i think they are clearly the better team.
Tenn @ NE: surprised i was right on for a big spread game. NE is -14. obviously i agree with the line because NE is playing pretty well and tenn is horrible. but, as i've said a few times, i just don't see how NE covers these big spreads with the injuries they have. other than the obvious (gronkowski), i said the biggest injury was lewis. blount is slow and an average runner but he did pretty well last week. now, he's out. i might take the 14, although i'll guess it goes below 14 by sunday.
AZ @ Philly i said AZ -3 but it is 3.5. hard to take a mess of a team like philly against a team as solid as AZ.
Carolina @ NYG: i said -4 but it's 5.5. not much difference above 4 until you get to 6 so i was close enough. also, i probably rate carolina lower than most. that being said, the giants are not good. their defense is average at best but is really injured right now. their running game isn't very good. they rely on manning too much, which is fine against miami but could be a problem against carolina. i'd like to bet against carolina as a road favorite against a decent team but not sure i trust the NYG with their many flaws.
Cleveland @ Sea: i said 15, it is 14.5 so close enough. cleveland is going to have a hvery hard time here. if seattle can find someone to put at RB and run the ball a little bit, they'll win by as much as they want if they try hard. it's really not a make or break game for them and they do have two division games coming up. if they lose, they probably still go to the playoffs but a win would certainly make them much more comfortable.
Gb @ Oak: i was right on with GB being -3. oakland was a little fortunate to win that one last week and they aren't looking s good as they did in the first half. their defense has some serious problems. this may not be a good matchup for them. not sure mack can take over the game each week.
Miami @ SD: i said 2 and that's what it is. SD was horrible last week for the most part. so was miami. both teams are done fore the season. miami is probably better but it's a long road trip. tough one to figure out.
Denver @ Pitt: i said 6 and it is 6.5. denver was a mess last week not being able to run and throwing osweiler way too often. pitt was good but was fortunate that cincy lost dalton and eifert early. if this was 7, i'd bet on that denver defense to keep it close although they have little chance if denver can't run the ball and keep their offense on the field. tough matchup for denver the way their offense is playing. but 6.5 is a lot against a top defense.
Cincy @ SF: earlier i said this should be 5 and then changed my mind to 6.5 and it is now at 4.5. this looks like an overreaction to the cincy backup qb. cincy s a much, much better team no matter who is their QB. i'd look at them at 6 or less.
Det @ NO i got this one right at 3. NO playing better, detroit is an odd team that has potential but plays like garbage too often. can't run the ball either although they should be able to do what they want against this defense. no opinion.
Gb @ Oak: i was right on with GB being -3. oakland was a little fortunate to win that one last week and they aren't looking s good as they did in the first half. their defense has some serious problems. this may not be a good matchup for them. not sure mack can take over the game each week.
Miami @ SD: i said 2 and that's what it is. SD was horrible last week for the most part. so was miami. both teams are done fore the season. miami is probably better but it's a long road trip. tough one to figure out.
Denver @ Pitt: i said 6 and it is 6.5. denver was a mess last week not being able to run and throwing osweiler way too often. pitt was good but was fortunate that cincy lost dalton and eifert early. if this was 7, i'd bet on that denver defense to keep it close although they have little chance if denver can't run the ball and keep their offense on the field. tough matchup for denver the way their offense is playing. but 6.5 is a lot against a top defense.
Cincy @ SF: earlier i said this should be 5 and then changed my mind to 6.5 and it is now at 4.5. this looks like an overreaction to the cincy backup qb. cincy s a much, much better team no matter who is their QB. i'd look at them at 6 or less.
Det @ NO i got this one right at 3. NO playing better, detroit is an odd team that has potential but plays like garbage too often. can't run the ball either although they should be able to do what they want against this defense. no opinion.
Houston @ Indy. no line because of the qb situation. i'm pretty sure hoyer is out so that pouts yates in the game. hasselbeck is probably out which would put whitehurt in unless luck somehow comes back. obviously too much uncertainty with luck in the equation since he's really the only very good player on taht team. but, with no luck, i'd say the line should be houston -2. yates has experience and they are the better team. indy is terrible.
Houston @ Indy. no line because of the qb situation. i'm pretty sure hoyer is out so that pouts yates in the game. hasselbeck is probably out which would put whitehurt in unless luck somehow comes back. obviously too much uncertainty with luck in the equation since he's really the only very good player on taht team. but, with no luck, i'd say the line should be houston -2. yates has experience and they are the better team. indy is terrible.
I think the only game I'm going to play quickly is Cinci -4.5. I absolutely love that line even though I should know better than to have faith in Marvin Lewis. It's a genetic deficiency in my brain.
1) Minnesota/Chicago seems like a go on the under 43. The Bears under total is probably an even better bet.
2) New England -14 over Tennessee? Absolutely. The Titans are in no shape or form ready to cover that spread under the current circumstances. The Pats have a lot to discover in their offense right now(Welcome aboard Montee Hall and Steven Jackson). But their criminally underrated defense will probably score twice. Book it.
3)Brownies +14 ? Weird. I'd think this line wouldn't garner Cleveland action if it were 17. Maybe not even 20. Cleveland did show a balanced effort on both sides of the ball last week, and maybe they catch Seattle napping. Might be just the time to go against the grain and play Cleveland, because nobody else will.
4) Oakland looks like a team that hit it's peak and is on a steady slide downwards. Del Rio is just the type of coach who works hard on the basics but doesn't have the mental aptitude to adjust when opponents figure his blueprint out. He coached the Jags for 8+ years, and he's still the same. Not the sharpest tool in the shed. I like Green Bay here in one of those "where has that team been all year!?" moments.
5) Don't you just want to take a flyer on the Chargers this week? If they weren't so incredibly injured and God awful, I would. Arguably the worst game of the week, which is why I want to watch it...and probably have a Benjamin on the Charge. It's not like Miami gives a damn anymore.
6) Jax/Atlanta. The obvious is the obvious. We have a team which started 5-0 under new coach Dan Quinn and looked to be in a class by themselves. Since then, they're 1-7 with 6 straight losses. Now there's rumors of the GM getting axed, Ryan being traded, and even Quinn getting fired.
Meanwhile, the Jags are coming together as a complete unit and despite sill having flaws(you can't be 5-8 without flaws), are playing at a level which is really impressive right now. It's probably too late for the playoffs (even though a win would keep them alive for at least 1 more week), but the times they are a changing. It's time to take Jax seriously.
Playing Atlanta this week is chasing the team that was 5-0, not the one that shows up at Everbank in week 15 on a 6 game skid with no hope in sight.
I think the only game I'm going to play quickly is Cinci -4.5. I absolutely love that line even though I should know better than to have faith in Marvin Lewis. It's a genetic deficiency in my brain.
1) Minnesota/Chicago seems like a go on the under 43. The Bears under total is probably an even better bet.
2) New England -14 over Tennessee? Absolutely. The Titans are in no shape or form ready to cover that spread under the current circumstances. The Pats have a lot to discover in their offense right now(Welcome aboard Montee Hall and Steven Jackson). But their criminally underrated defense will probably score twice. Book it.
3)Brownies +14 ? Weird. I'd think this line wouldn't garner Cleveland action if it were 17. Maybe not even 20. Cleveland did show a balanced effort on both sides of the ball last week, and maybe they catch Seattle napping. Might be just the time to go against the grain and play Cleveland, because nobody else will.
4) Oakland looks like a team that hit it's peak and is on a steady slide downwards. Del Rio is just the type of coach who works hard on the basics but doesn't have the mental aptitude to adjust when opponents figure his blueprint out. He coached the Jags for 8+ years, and he's still the same. Not the sharpest tool in the shed. I like Green Bay here in one of those "where has that team been all year!?" moments.
5) Don't you just want to take a flyer on the Chargers this week? If they weren't so incredibly injured and God awful, I would. Arguably the worst game of the week, which is why I want to watch it...and probably have a Benjamin on the Charge. It's not like Miami gives a damn anymore.
6) Jax/Atlanta. The obvious is the obvious. We have a team which started 5-0 under new coach Dan Quinn and looked to be in a class by themselves. Since then, they're 1-7 with 6 straight losses. Now there's rumors of the GM getting axed, Ryan being traded, and even Quinn getting fired.
Meanwhile, the Jags are coming together as a complete unit and despite sill having flaws(you can't be 5-8 without flaws), are playing at a level which is really impressive right now. It's probably too late for the playoffs (even though a win would keep them alive for at least 1 more week), but the times they are a changing. It's time to take Jax seriously.
Playing Atlanta this week is chasing the team that was 5-0, not the one that shows up at Everbank in week 15 on a 6 game skid with no hope in sight.
Bucs / Rams Over 41 - The Bucs offense should come alive
Patriots / Titans Over 46.5 - The patriots will score and often
Packers -3 - The packers are rolling in December
Cowboys / Jets Over 42 - Both teams need a win to stay alive in the wild card race. The Cowboys look to rebound at home and the offense will show up. if not , then they can go home.
Bucs / Rams Over 41 - The Bucs offense should come alive
Patriots / Titans Over 46.5 - The patriots will score and often
Packers -3 - The packers are rolling in December
Cowboys / Jets Over 42 - Both teams need a win to stay alive in the wild card race. The Cowboys look to rebound at home and the offense will show up. if not , then they can go home.
KC @ this is the first one where i'm way off but i always tend to underestimate the person lines. i said -6 and it's -7.5 . but the shrimps are in such bad shape, i certainly understand. i was looking to play KC this week. we were fortunate going against them last week (although SD could have tied it with a dropped TD pass) but their stats were pretty good. i like them to beat up on the shrimps but i don't like giving 7+ on the road.
Buffalo @ Wash: i had wash at -2 but it's buffalo -1. again, no real difference. friggin washington took our money last week getting an early lead on chicago. buffalo did ok but probably two turnovers were the difference. i may be on buffalo here just because i think they are clearly the better team.
Tenn @ NE: surprised i was right on for a big spread game. NE is -14. obviously i agree with the line because NE is playing pretty well and tenn is horrible. but, as i've said a few times, i just don't see how NE covers these big spreads with the injuries they have. other than the obvious (gronkowski), i said the biggest injury was lewis. blount is slow and an average runner but he did pretty well last week. now, he's out. i might take the 14, although i'll guess it goes below 14 by sunday.
AZ @ Philly i said AZ -3 but it is 3.5. hard to take a mess of a team like philly against a team as solid as AZ.
Carolina @ NYG: i said -4 but it's 5.5. not much difference above 4 until you get to 6 so i was close enough. also, i probably rate carolina lower than most. that being said, the giants are not good. their defense is average at best but is really injured right now. their running game isn't very good. they rely on manning too much, which is fine against miami but could be a problem against carolina. i'd like to bet against carolina as a road favorite against a decent team but not sure i trust the NYG with their many flaws.
Cleveland @ Sea: i said 15, it is 14.5 so close enough. cleveland is going to have a hvery hard time here. if seattle can find someone to put at RB and run the ball a little bit, they'll win by as much as they want if they try hard. it's really not a make or break game for them and they do have two division games coming up. if they lose, they probably still go to the playoffs but a win would certainly make them much more comfortable.
KC @ this is the first one where i'm way off but i always tend to underestimate the person lines. i said -6 and it's -7.5 . but the shrimps are in such bad shape, i certainly understand. i was looking to play KC this week. we were fortunate going against them last week (although SD could have tied it with a dropped TD pass) but their stats were pretty good. i like them to beat up on the shrimps but i don't like giving 7+ on the road.
Buffalo @ Wash: i had wash at -2 but it's buffalo -1. again, no real difference. friggin washington took our money last week getting an early lead on chicago. buffalo did ok but probably two turnovers were the difference. i may be on buffalo here just because i think they are clearly the better team.
Tenn @ NE: surprised i was right on for a big spread game. NE is -14. obviously i agree with the line because NE is playing pretty well and tenn is horrible. but, as i've said a few times, i just don't see how NE covers these big spreads with the injuries they have. other than the obvious (gronkowski), i said the biggest injury was lewis. blount is slow and an average runner but he did pretty well last week. now, he's out. i might take the 14, although i'll guess it goes below 14 by sunday.
AZ @ Philly i said AZ -3 but it is 3.5. hard to take a mess of a team like philly against a team as solid as AZ.
Carolina @ NYG: i said -4 but it's 5.5. not much difference above 4 until you get to 6 so i was close enough. also, i probably rate carolina lower than most. that being said, the giants are not good. their defense is average at best but is really injured right now. their running game isn't very good. they rely on manning too much, which is fine against miami but could be a problem against carolina. i'd like to bet against carolina as a road favorite against a decent team but not sure i trust the NYG with their many flaws.
Cleveland @ Sea: i said 15, it is 14.5 so close enough. cleveland is going to have a hvery hard time here. if seattle can find someone to put at RB and run the ball a little bit, they'll win by as much as they want if they try hard. it's really not a make or break game for them and they do have two division games coming up. if they lose, they probably still go to the playoffs but a win would certainly make them much more comfortable.
A ridiculously high amount of people on the Jets tonite. All the Covers "sharps", all the touts (13 of 15 who have released a side), and all the public (80%ish). Very interesting to see this result.
A ridiculously high amount of people on the Jets tonite. All the Covers "sharps", all the touts (13 of 15 who have released a side), and all the public (80%ish). Very interesting to see this result.
caca asked me about this game a couple of hours ago and i forgot this was tonight. when i looked, 3.5 was too expensive, (around $1.35) so i couldn't pull the trigger. i do like dallas, might see about a live bet if the jets get an early lead.
caca asked me about this game a couple of hours ago and i forgot this was tonight. when i looked, 3.5 was too expensive, (around $1.35) so i couldn't pull the trigger. i do like dallas, might see about a live bet if the jets get an early lead.
Cinci -4.5 Early week bet. Line is now 6. The Bengals are better all over, and even backup McCarron is arguably a notch above Gabbert. A lot of people didn't see that right away. Even still, it's Marvin Lewis. Who knows what will happen.
NYGiants +4 The Streak ends sometime, doesn't it? I was guessing around week 5, but week 16 is just as well.
GBay -3 Packers may have turned the season around after the Hail Mary win. Sometimes that's what it takes to get guys believing in themselves again. Oakland is still too young and mistake prone to trust here.
Denver +7 If this isn't value, I don't know what is. Denver's strength of schedule has been so much tougher than Pitt's. Not much to like about the Bronco offense, but they won't get shut out. Will they?
NE -14 Kind of stupid to lay this number in a meaningless game, but the Patriots cover by default. I can't imagine any scenario where the Titans make a game of this.
AZ -3.5 Cardinals have shown really well in these odd road spots for the last 2 years. They still play with the proverbial chip on their shoulder. Eagles suck. (My favorite handicapping angle )
Totals Parlay 40/104 Chc/Minn U43, Hou/Ind U42. 7 of last 8 Bear/Vike games have stayed under. It's just the way they play each other. Fox + Zimmer = Under. Texans haven't scored over 17 last 5 trips to Indy. All 5 have gone under. Colts focus strictly on D after giving up 96 past 2.
Cinci -4.5 Early week bet. Line is now 6. The Bengals are better all over, and even backup McCarron is arguably a notch above Gabbert. A lot of people didn't see that right away. Even still, it's Marvin Lewis. Who knows what will happen.
NYGiants +4 The Streak ends sometime, doesn't it? I was guessing around week 5, but week 16 is just as well.
GBay -3 Packers may have turned the season around after the Hail Mary win. Sometimes that's what it takes to get guys believing in themselves again. Oakland is still too young and mistake prone to trust here.
Denver +7 If this isn't value, I don't know what is. Denver's strength of schedule has been so much tougher than Pitt's. Not much to like about the Bronco offense, but they won't get shut out. Will they?
NE -14 Kind of stupid to lay this number in a meaningless game, but the Patriots cover by default. I can't imagine any scenario where the Titans make a game of this.
AZ -3.5 Cardinals have shown really well in these odd road spots for the last 2 years. They still play with the proverbial chip on their shoulder. Eagles suck. (My favorite handicapping angle )
Totals Parlay 40/104 Chc/Minn U43, Hou/Ind U42. 7 of last 8 Bear/Vike games have stayed under. It's just the way they play each other. Fox + Zimmer = Under. Texans haven't scored over 17 last 5 trips to Indy. All 5 have gone under. Colts focus strictly on D after giving up 96 past 2.
unfortunately, dropped the ball with the saturday night game and missed 3.5 that was available most of the week.
on the bright side, as bad a season as it's been, when we put a bet in early, we almost always get a better line than what is available on sunday. they say that's a good sign. anyway, looks like we got a good one with cincy, not at 6.5. hopefully, people who like cincy got it early.
as for atlanta, i like it, thought about betting it early but waited on purpose. anyway, i took it at -135 which i hate to do, and almost never do, but when i do that, i risk the same amount so the bet doesn't cost me more i just win less. if it wins. so, to use a round number, i'd bet $11 to win $8.15, rather than $13.50 to win $10.
anyway, had a hard time with this one, but here's what i have:
Cincy -4.5 Atl +3 (-135, risking same amount to win less) AZ -4 Detroit +3
unfortunately, dropped the ball with the saturday night game and missed 3.5 that was available most of the week.
on the bright side, as bad a season as it's been, when we put a bet in early, we almost always get a better line than what is available on sunday. they say that's a good sign. anyway, looks like we got a good one with cincy, not at 6.5. hopefully, people who like cincy got it early.
as for atlanta, i like it, thought about betting it early but waited on purpose. anyway, i took it at -135 which i hate to do, and almost never do, but when i do that, i risk the same amount so the bet doesn't cost me more i just win less. if it wins. so, to use a round number, i'd bet $11 to win $8.15, rather than $13.50 to win $10.
anyway, had a hard time with this one, but here's what i have:
Cincy -4.5 Atl +3 (-135, risking same amount to win less) AZ -4 Detroit +3
Cinci -4.5 Early week bet. Line is now 6. The Bengals are better all over, and even backup McCarron is arguably a notch above Gabbert. A lot of people didn't see that right away. Even still, it's Marvin Lewis. Who knows what will happen.
NYGiants +4 The Streak ends sometime, doesn't it? I was guessing around week 5, but week 16 is just as well.
GBay -3 Packers may have turned the season around after the Hail Mary win. Sometimes that's what it takes to get guys believing in themselves again. Oakland is still too young and mistake prone to trust here.
Denver +7 If this isn't value, I don't know what is. Denver's strength of schedule has been so much tougher than Pitt's. Not much to like about the Bronco offense, but they won't get shut out. Will they?
NE -14 Kind of stupid to lay this number in a meaningless game, but the Patriots cover by default. I can't imagine any scenario where the Titans make a game of this.
AZ -3.5 Cardinals have shown really well in these odd road spots for the last 2 years. They still play with the proverbial chip on their shoulder. Eagles suck. (My favorite handicapping angle )
Totals Parlay 40/104 Chc/Minn U43, Hou/Ind U42. 7 of last 8 Bear/Vike games have stayed under. It's just the way they play each other. Fox + Zimmer = Under. Texans haven't scored over 17 last 5 trips to Indy. All 5 have gone under. Colts focus strictly on D after giving up 96 past 2.
Buon Natale !
gettysports dominates vegas. should have won denver too from what i saw.
Cinci -4.5 Early week bet. Line is now 6. The Bengals are better all over, and even backup McCarron is arguably a notch above Gabbert. A lot of people didn't see that right away. Even still, it's Marvin Lewis. Who knows what will happen.
NYGiants +4 The Streak ends sometime, doesn't it? I was guessing around week 5, but week 16 is just as well.
GBay -3 Packers may have turned the season around after the Hail Mary win. Sometimes that's what it takes to get guys believing in themselves again. Oakland is still too young and mistake prone to trust here.
Denver +7 If this isn't value, I don't know what is. Denver's strength of schedule has been so much tougher than Pitt's. Not much to like about the Bronco offense, but they won't get shut out. Will they?
NE -14 Kind of stupid to lay this number in a meaningless game, but the Patriots cover by default. I can't imagine any scenario where the Titans make a game of this.
AZ -3.5 Cardinals have shown really well in these odd road spots for the last 2 years. They still play with the proverbial chip on their shoulder. Eagles suck. (My favorite handicapping angle )
Totals Parlay 40/104 Chc/Minn U43, Hou/Ind U42. 7 of last 8 Bear/Vike games have stayed under. It's just the way they play each other. Fox + Zimmer = Under. Texans haven't scored over 17 last 5 trips to Indy. All 5 have gone under. Colts focus strictly on D after giving up 96 past 2.
Buon Natale !
gettysports dominates vegas. should have won denver too from what i saw.
unfortunately, dropped the ball with the saturday night game and missed 3.5 that was available most of the week.
on the bright side, as bad a season as it's been, when we put a bet in early, we almost always get a better line than what is available on sunday. they say that's a good sign. anyway, looks like we got a good one with cincy, not at 6.5. hopefully, people who like cincy got it early.
as for atlanta, i like it, thought about betting it early but waited on purpose. anyway, i took it at -135 which i hate to do, and almost never do, but when i do that, i risk the same amount so the bet doesn't cost me more i just win less. if it wins. so, to use a round number, i'd bet $11 to win $8.15, rather than $13.50 to win $10.
anyway, had a hard time with this one, but here's what i have:
Cincy -4.5 Atl +3 (-135, risking same amount to win less) AZ -4 Detroit +3
Ready to break out the broom.
I can't get the Lions at 3 anymore, so I'll try the moneyline @ 100/115. If Marvin Lewis and Jeff Fisher can come thru in the same week, so can Jim Caldwell.
Bad news is Justin Blackmon, a once promising 1st round draft pick has chosen his course in life. Very sad, I hope something changes, but I suspect he'll be dead before Adam Vinatieri retires.
Good news is the Jagettes are set at receiver for years to come. Robinson is amazing, Hurns plays faster than anyone not on a Pittsburgh roster, and we still don't know what we have in Lee and Greene, who are both gifted (a nod to Shrimp).
unfortunately, dropped the ball with the saturday night game and missed 3.5 that was available most of the week.
on the bright side, as bad a season as it's been, when we put a bet in early, we almost always get a better line than what is available on sunday. they say that's a good sign. anyway, looks like we got a good one with cincy, not at 6.5. hopefully, people who like cincy got it early.
as for atlanta, i like it, thought about betting it early but waited on purpose. anyway, i took it at -135 which i hate to do, and almost never do, but when i do that, i risk the same amount so the bet doesn't cost me more i just win less. if it wins. so, to use a round number, i'd bet $11 to win $8.15, rather than $13.50 to win $10.
anyway, had a hard time with this one, but here's what i have:
Cincy -4.5 Atl +3 (-135, risking same amount to win less) AZ -4 Detroit +3
Ready to break out the broom.
I can't get the Lions at 3 anymore, so I'll try the moneyline @ 100/115. If Marvin Lewis and Jeff Fisher can come thru in the same week, so can Jim Caldwell.
Bad news is Justin Blackmon, a once promising 1st round draft pick has chosen his course in life. Very sad, I hope something changes, but I suspect he'll be dead before Adam Vinatieri retires.
Good news is the Jagettes are set at receiver for years to come. Robinson is amazing, Hurns plays faster than anyone not on a Pittsburgh roster, and we still don't know what we have in Lee and Greene, who are both gifted (a nod to Shrimp).
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.