wackycracker YOUR Correct most of the wy about oddsmakers and linesman in vegas and many thought KC was going to win but look at all playoff teams
week 1 each year they all are ovavlued bets very poor bets especially laying points on DIV road !
AMWAY how vegas sets the lines !
THEEEEEEEEE mostcomplicated mathematical formula ever used !
A team of guys all sit together in one room every freaking day
NFL NCAAF and whatever other sports there are !
THEY USE power ratings : teams that they beat strength of schedule home field and away Head coaches yada yadda badda bing badda boom etc....
then add for injuries; Players doubtful or OUT and finally PUBLIC Perception is added into the Equation !
What do they feel mr and ms. square will bet on and what over under line will they bite on
POINTS are added on your public favorite teams as in patriots , jets , Packers always juiced more than normal 2 - 3 points higher
THEN results are given to head lines men HE sets the 1st lines !
Goes into a room before we even know about it or see the 1st lines and puts them up on big electronic board !
closed door!
then has others look at them all before putting them public and after 1st hour spreads are adjusted acccordingly to how money flows
like last week look at Titans opened +3 game day Titans were the 1 point favorite in Jackson ville !
OMG they could have gotten double whacked by sharp middlers !
Ravens Steelers opened at 3 for some weird reason the line was bet down to -1 ????
ME knowing the recent history of superbowl losers didnt care what spread was put up i knew that it would be more than a TD victory BUT did not expect 35 - 7 final !
another spread move turned a push into a win cards dropped to - 6.5 6
JETS bolted up to - 6 1/2 a 3 point jump and sure enough the public blood bath happened JETS won by 3 !
DONT even try to figure this out on your own it's very complicated mathematical process and thats all these guys do is crunch numbers not knowing who is going to win the game or if it's going over the total or not all they want is close to even action on both sides as they can get so they dont lose money !
LIKE many college games a Team wins one week as huge -55 chalk by a score of 65 - 3 NEST wekk what happens
BOOM guaranteed NO cover - 50 spread win by 40 50 - 10
NO team can perform that same way two weeks in a row
College is NUTS a team can win a game 35 -0 and YOU lost your bet
so good luck everybody do your due diligence just DO NOT overdue it overloaded brains perform worse than those who keep it simple !
LOOK at teams schedules 1st see who did they beat last who are they playing next is this a letdown spot for them are they looking ahed to DIV rival or playing the Champs next !
THE DOG dosent look ahaed THE favored team does
many times DOG will just do that play possum and roll over on the field to play A game vs the champs in home opener or next game !