Baltimore +7.5 and +300 are joke lines sustained by squares with 1 week memories. Big bet.
Baltimore will be about a PK or so (under 3 either way) against NYG, and they should win. Baltimore currently at +615 to win the SB just isnt as good as rolling over the ML's, so that is what I will be doing.
GL - have fun.
I never met a hater better than me. I am on twitter
Baltimore +7.5 and +300 are joke lines sustained by squares with 1 week memories. Big bet.
Baltimore will be about a PK or so (under 3 either way) against NYG, and they should win. Baltimore currently at +615 to win the SB just isnt as good as rolling over the ML's, so that is what I will be doing.
Baltimore +7.5 and +300 are joke lines sustained by squares with 1 week memories. Big bet.
Baltimore will be about a PK or so (under 3 either way) against NYG, and they should win. Baltimore currently at +615 to win the SB just isnt as good as rolling over the ML's, so that is what I will be doing.
GL - have fun.
I agree that the Ravens +7.5 is the play but I don't think they will win outright. If they do and they play the Giants in the superbowl they wont win. Joe Flacco will get sacked about 6 times because he's terrible in the pocket. Giants will drop by 7 and watch him go 12-28 for 160 and 2 picks. Rice may be get 100 yards but they wont score enough points.
Baltimore +7.5 and +300 are joke lines sustained by squares with 1 week memories. Big bet.
Baltimore will be about a PK or so (under 3 either way) against NYG, and they should win. Baltimore currently at +615 to win the SB just isnt as good as rolling over the ML's, so that is what I will be doing.
GL - have fun.
I agree that the Ravens +7.5 is the play but I don't think they will win outright. If they do and they play the Giants in the superbowl they wont win. Joe Flacco will get sacked about 6 times because he's terrible in the pocket. Giants will drop by 7 and watch him go 12-28 for 160 and 2 picks. Rice may be get 100 yards but they wont score enough points.
Thanks Van and I value your views but I don't see it. Maybe I am SQUARE on this but I really don't think Balt is as good today as their legend of the past is. The Texans damn near handed it to them last week in their own house and Balt has had some questionable losses on the road this year. Minus that Jacoby Jones blunder, that game would have been different. Balt's offense was awful and their def looked slow. Slow compared to Balt of the past. I think NE has an elite offense and an improving def. I think Balt has a good def and a average offense at best.
I think NE and their TE's (among others) will give an aging Balt defense more than they can handle ... and, of course, they won't let up.
BOL bud and again, thanks for the thread. Always good stuff.
Thanks Van and I value your views but I don't see it. Maybe I am SQUARE on this but I really don't think Balt is as good today as their legend of the past is. The Texans damn near handed it to them last week in their own house and Balt has had some questionable losses on the road this year. Minus that Jacoby Jones blunder, that game would have been different. Balt's offense was awful and their def looked slow. Slow compared to Balt of the past. I think NE has an elite offense and an improving def. I think Balt has a good def and a average offense at best.
I think NE and their TE's (among others) will give an aging Balt defense more than they can handle ... and, of course, they won't let up.
BOL bud and again, thanks for the thread. Always good stuff.
I agree w/ Makaveli I think Baltimore is a flawed team but Pats are also flawed. I am having a hell of a time capping this week's game but leaning Pats at the moment. I think whoever comes out of NFC wins superbowl and deserves to be favored but won't be which makes me happy because I will be all over NFC regardless.
I agree w/ Makaveli I think Baltimore is a flawed team but Pats are also flawed. I am having a hell of a time capping this week's game but leaning Pats at the moment. I think whoever comes out of NFC wins superbowl and deserves to be favored but won't be which makes me happy because I will be all over NFC regardless.
I agree that the Ravens +7.5 is the play but I don't think they will win outright. If they do and they play the Giants in the superbowl they wont win. Joe Flacco will get sacked about 6 times because he's terrible in the pocket. Giants will drop by 7 and watch him go 12-28 for 160 and 2 picks. Rice may be get 100 yards but they wont score enough points.
So, how will the Giants score? You must see that matchup as a very low scoring game.
I never met a hater better than me. I am on twitter
I agree that the Ravens +7.5 is the play but I don't think they will win outright. If they do and they play the Giants in the superbowl they wont win. Joe Flacco will get sacked about 6 times because he's terrible in the pocket. Giants will drop by 7 and watch him go 12-28 for 160 and 2 picks. Rice may be get 100 yards but they wont score enough points.
So, how will the Giants score? You must see that matchup as a very low scoring game.
Thanks Van and I value your views but I don't see it. Maybe I am SQUARE on this but I really don't think Balt is as good today as their legend of the past is. The Texans damn near handed it to them last week in their own house and Balt has had some questionable losses on the road this year. Minus that Jacoby Jones blunder, that game would have been different. Balt's offense was awful and their def looked slow. Slow compared to Balt of the past. I think NE has an elite offense and an improving def. I think Balt has a good def and a average offense at best.
I think NE and their TE's (among others) will give an aging Balt defense more than they can handle ... and, of course, they won't let up.
BOL bud and again, thanks for the thread. Always good stuff.
Houston was one game.
NE has a putrid defense. Not sure why everyone is choosing to ignore that fact. They give up the 2nd worst in yards in the league (almost dead last by .5 yard per game), and yes their PPY given up is pretty good - I attribute that to good fortune rather than any quantifyable variable. And those numbers are all even worse when adjusted to SOS.
The 7.5 here is absurd IMO. If this game was before last week, it would have been about 3 to 3.5.
I never met a hater better than me. I am on twitter
Thanks Van and I value your views but I don't see it. Maybe I am SQUARE on this but I really don't think Balt is as good today as their legend of the past is. The Texans damn near handed it to them last week in their own house and Balt has had some questionable losses on the road this year. Minus that Jacoby Jones blunder, that game would have been different. Balt's offense was awful and their def looked slow. Slow compared to Balt of the past. I think NE has an elite offense and an improving def. I think Balt has a good def and a average offense at best.
I think NE and their TE's (among others) will give an aging Balt defense more than they can handle ... and, of course, they won't let up.
BOL bud and again, thanks for the thread. Always good stuff.
Houston was one game.
NE has a putrid defense. Not sure why everyone is choosing to ignore that fact. They give up the 2nd worst in yards in the league (almost dead last by .5 yard per game), and yes their PPY given up is pretty good - I attribute that to good fortune rather than any quantifyable variable. And those numbers are all even worse when adjusted to SOS.
The 7.5 here is absurd IMO. If this game was before last week, it would have been about 3 to 3.5.
i agree on Blt but what's this giants' play all about?
I know we watched the end of the 49ers game together last week (online). I went back and watched it several times - they were unprepared - even in the winning drive the first 3 plays took 45 seconds - they were standing around looking very confused. They were EXTREMELY lucky to win that game - bad gameplanning.
Im confident that Eli will outshine Alex. I do think the Giants will put pressure on Alex similar to the Saints - but unlike the Saints I dont think the running game will work at all for the 49ers. So you might get in to a situation where you know the throw is coming - and the Giants will eat him up. Giants balance on offense (their running game is coming together despite terrible season long stats) will get enough to win.
Dont love it - but those are the reasons -
I never met a hater better than me. I am on twitter
i agree on Blt but what's this giants' play all about?
I know we watched the end of the 49ers game together last week (online). I went back and watched it several times - they were unprepared - even in the winning drive the first 3 plays took 45 seconds - they were standing around looking very confused. They were EXTREMELY lucky to win that game - bad gameplanning.
Im confident that Eli will outshine Alex. I do think the Giants will put pressure on Alex similar to the Saints - but unlike the Saints I dont think the running game will work at all for the 49ers. So you might get in to a situation where you know the throw is coming - and the Giants will eat him up. Giants balance on offense (their running game is coming together despite terrible season long stats) will get enough to win.
I agree w/ Makaveli I think Baltimore is a flawed team but Pats are also flawed. I am having a hell of a time capping this week's game but leaning Pats at the moment. I think whoever comes out of NFC wins superbowl and deserves to be favored but won't be which makes me happy because I will be all over NFC regardless.
A quick look I see SB lines something like this
Pats -3.5 vs Gints
Ravens -3 vs Gints
Pats -4.5 vs SF
Ravens pk vs SF
Super Bowl bettors have a very short memory so the SB line will have a lot to do with what the masses see this week - but I do not thinik the Ravens will be favored over the Giants - in fact - if you untie some of the prop bets that are dependent on this matchup you will find that the lines show that the Giants would be favored.
Barring an injury - I doubt it owuld be over 2.5 either way.
I never met a hater better than me. I am on twitter
I agree w/ Makaveli I think Baltimore is a flawed team but Pats are also flawed. I am having a hell of a time capping this week's game but leaning Pats at the moment. I think whoever comes out of NFC wins superbowl and deserves to be favored but won't be which makes me happy because I will be all over NFC regardless.
A quick look I see SB lines something like this
Pats -3.5 vs Gints
Ravens -3 vs Gints
Pats -4.5 vs SF
Ravens pk vs SF
Super Bowl bettors have a very short memory so the SB line will have a lot to do with what the masses see this week - but I do not thinik the Ravens will be favored over the Giants - in fact - if you untie some of the prop bets that are dependent on this matchup you will find that the lines show that the Giants would be favored.
Barring an injury - I doubt it owuld be over 2.5 either way.
I know we watched the end of the 49ers game together last week (online). I went back and watched it several times - they were unprepared - even in the winning drive the first 3 plays took 45 seconds - they were standing around looking very confused. They were EXTREMELY lucky to win that game - bad gameplanning.
Im confident that Eli will outshine Alex. I do think the Giants will put pressure on Alex similar to the Saints - but unlike the Saints I dont think the running game will work at all for the 49ers. So you might get in to a situation where you know the throw is coming - and the Giants will eat him up. Giants balance on offense (their running game is coming together despite terrible season long stats) will get enough to win.
Dont love it - but those are the reasons -
fair enough. i posted my thoughts in the PB.
basically, with the saints game, i thought i had the better defense, better running game, better special teams at home and this was the first time the saints saw a top ten defense on the road all season and i was getting more than a field goal. in this one, i think i'm getting the better defense, better running game, better special teams, home team and this is the best defense the giants will see on the road all season and as long as i'm laying less than a field goal, i assume i just have to win the game.
I know we watched the end of the 49ers game together last week (online). I went back and watched it several times - they were unprepared - even in the winning drive the first 3 plays took 45 seconds - they were standing around looking very confused. They were EXTREMELY lucky to win that game - bad gameplanning.
Im confident that Eli will outshine Alex. I do think the Giants will put pressure on Alex similar to the Saints - but unlike the Saints I dont think the running game will work at all for the 49ers. So you might get in to a situation where you know the throw is coming - and the Giants will eat him up. Giants balance on offense (their running game is coming together despite terrible season long stats) will get enough to win.
Dont love it - but those are the reasons -
fair enough. i posted my thoughts in the PB.
basically, with the saints game, i thought i had the better defense, better running game, better special teams at home and this was the first time the saints saw a top ten defense on the road all season and i was getting more than a field goal. in this one, i think i'm getting the better defense, better running game, better special teams, home team and this is the best defense the giants will see on the road all season and as long as i'm laying less than a field goal, i assume i just have to win the game.
NE has a putrid defense. Not sure why everyone is choosing to ignore that fact. They give up the 2nd worst in yards in the league (almost dead last by .5 yard per game), and yes their PPY given up is pretty good - I attribute that to good fortune rather than any quantifyable variable. And those numbers are all even worse when adjusted to SOS.
The 7.5 here is absurd IMO. If this game was before last week, it would have been about 3 to 3.5.
Broncos couldn't cover anybody against the Pats. Ravens man up, I like these picks. I can't beleive they are getting 7+.
NE has a putrid defense. Not sure why everyone is choosing to ignore that fact. They give up the 2nd worst in yards in the league (almost dead last by .5 yard per game), and yes their PPY given up is pretty good - I attribute that to good fortune rather than any quantifyable variable. And those numbers are all even worse when adjusted to SOS.
The 7.5 here is absurd IMO. If this game was before last week, it would have been about 3 to 3.5.
Broncos couldn't cover anybody against the Pats. Ravens man up, I like these picks. I can't beleive they are getting 7+.
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